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Cardiff City v Southampton : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff

the Cardiff City Stadium plays host on Saturday afternoon, as Erol Bulut's Cardiff City host Russell Martin's Southampton in the Championship. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

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Cardiff City's next match is v Rotherham at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
Southampton's next match is v Leeds at 12:30 on Saturday 4th May
The last English Championship meeting between Cardiff and Southampton was on Saturday 20th April 2024
English Championship
April 20th 2024
Cardiff 2
1 Southampton
 
F. Diedhiou 68'12' J. Aribo
C. Ashford 90'
 
CAR
SOU
Shots On
7
8
Shots Off
3
8
Corners
4
5
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
10
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
CardiffSouthampton
 
E. Horvath
N. Phillips
M. Baker Romeo (R. Conte 65')
D. Goutas
J. Ralls
D. Turnbull (F. Diedhiou 61')
E. Siopis
R. Colwill
C. Ashfordfootball icon
O. Tanner (L. Giles 77')
Y. Meïté
A. McCarthy
K. Walker-Peters
(J. Bree 46') R. Manning
J. Bednarek
T. Harwood-Bellis
S. Armstrong
(S. Edozie 80') W. Smallbone
(J. Rothwell 73') football iconJ. Aribo
C. Adams
(K. Sulemana 80') A. Armstrong
(R. Fraser 80') D. Brooks
Best Tip: Southampton to win

We could well see a packed Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday afternoon but, unfortunately, we predict most of those in attendance will be coming away disappointed. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, are all pointing towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Southampton getting the better of hosts Cardiff. It could be a bruising afternoon for home manager Erol Bulut but, in the meantime, we'd strongly recommend making the most of best bookie odds of 1.53 to back the away win.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 61% chance of Southampton coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Cardiff
18%
9/1
43%
17/2
73%
5/1-
Draw
21%
19/4
44%
5/1
36%
10/3-
Southampton
61%
2/7
14%
2/7
16%
8/15-
Southampton 1-0
11%
17/2
19%
7/1
7%
7/1-
Southampton 2-0
10%
13/26/1
7%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
10%
10/1
38%
9/1
33%
15/2-
Southampton 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
7/1
7%
7/1-
Southampton 3-0
7%
15/2
23%
7/1
20%
11/1-
Southampton 3-1
7%
9/1
17%
8/1
10%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
18/1
46%
14/1
25%
14/1-
Cardiff 1-0
5%
25/1
37%
20/1
62%
18/1-
Cardiff 2-1
5%
25/1
24%
20/1
40%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1
40%
14/1
15%
14/1-
Southampton 4-0
3%
12/1
32%
10/1
27%
20/1-
Southampton 4-1
3%
14/1
29%
12/1
24%
20/1-
Southampton 3-2
3%
22/116/118/1-
Cardiff 2-0
2%
50/1
50%
33/1
48%
33/1-
Southampton 4-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/9
14%
-8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
7/4
25%
-6/5-
Home 1st Goal
40%
10/3
24%
-15/8-
Away 1st Goal
57%
1/5
10%
-4/9-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
46%
-12/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/54/5
3%
8/11-
BTTS - No
47%
10/1119/20
3%
Evs-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
14/1
25%
12/1
53%
8/1-
BTTS - Draw
16%
6/1
40%
11/2
24%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
28%
13/8
15%
6/4
17%
2/1-
Home/draw
39%
5/2
40%
13/5
47%
7/5-
Away/draw
82%
1/16
4%
1/16
7%
1/7-
Home/away
79%
1/7
7%
2/15
6%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/8
8%
-1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
5/1
39%
-10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/10
20%
-6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
8/11
15%
-1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5/2
30%
-7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
3/10
11%
-1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
5/1
40%
-8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/8
6%
-1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40
2%
---
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
18/1
46%
---
Home DNB
33%
7/1
60%
6/1
67%
10/3-
Away DNB
76%
1/12
8%
1/14
11%
1/5-
Cardiff win to nil
9%
16/1
31%
-10/1-
Southampton win to nil
33%
5/4
14%
-13/8-
Cardiff / Cardiff
7%
16/1
55%
12/1
63%
17/2-
Cardiff / Southampton
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
18/1-
Cardiff / Draw
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
16/1-
Draw / Cardiff
5%
18/1
46%
14/1
36%
12/1-
Draw / Southampton
20%
3/129/10
7%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
11%
8/1
38%
7/1
33%
11/2-
Southampton / Cardiff
2%
40/140/1
41%
40/1-
Southampton / Southampton
41%
4/5
18%
5/6
20%
13/10-
Southampton / Draw
5%
18/1
27%
16/1
31%
14/1-
bet365
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Cardiff have played 43 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 1 and won 4. Cardiff have conceded 39 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 8 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cardiff have played 21 games at home, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 24 goals, conceded 27 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Southampton lay in 4th place on 84 points in the Championship league table having played 42 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 38 games against teams below them in the table, winning 24, drawing 9 and losing 5 games. They have scored 78 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Southampton have conceded 45 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Southampton have played 20 away games, winning 10, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Cardiff
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Southampton
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
 Leicester45314105097 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2F
 Ipswich45271263393 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
 Leeds4527993990 
w
 
3-1F
May 4
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Southampton A45259112384 
-
-
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
 Norwich452110141673 
d
 
4-4A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
 West Brom452012132072 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
 Hull45191313970 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
 M'Boro4519917766 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
 Coventry451713151264 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
 Preston4518918-863 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Bristol C45171117662 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
-
-
 Cardiff Home4519521-1462 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
 Swansea45151218-557 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Watford45131715256 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Sunderland4516821056 
w
 
4-2F
l
 
5-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Millwall45151119-1156 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
 QPR45141120-1253 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Stoke45141120-1553 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
 Blackburn45131121-1650 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
 Sheff Wed4514823-2650 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-1F
 Plymouth45121221-1248 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Birmingham45121122-1647 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-4A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
 Huddersfield4591818-2745 
w
 
5-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 4
 Rotherham4541229-5524 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Cardiff 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
see results
HOME FORM
Cardiff1 - 3Hull
Cardiff0 - 2Sunderland
Cardiff2 - 1Ipswich
Cardiff1 - 0Huddersfield
Cardiff2 - 1Stoke
Cardiff0 - 0Blackburn
Cardiff0 - 2Preston
Cardiff0 - 3Leeds
Cardiff0 - 2Leicester
Cardiff2 - 2Plymouth
Cardiff0 - 1Birmingham
Cardiff1 - 0Millwall
Cardiff0 - 1West Brom
Cardiff2 - 3Norwich
Cardiff2 - 0Bristol C
Cardiff1 - 1Watford
Cardiff2 - 0Rotherham
Cardiff3 - 2Coventry
Cardiff2 - 0Swansea
Cardiff2 - 1Sheff Wed
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
see results
OVERALL FORM
ACardiff1 - 3Millwall
ACardiff1 - 0Birmingham
HCardiff1 - 3Hull
ACardiff2 - 1Coventry
HCardiff0 - 2Sunderland
ACardiff0 - 2Swansea
HCardiff2 - 1Ipswich
HCardiff1 - 0Huddersfield
ACardiff1 - 0Bristol C
HCardiff2 - 1Stoke
HCardiff0 - 0Blackburn
ACardiff1 - 4Norwich
ACardiff0 - 2West Brom
HCardiff0 - 2Preston
ACardiff1 - 0Watford
ACardiff1 - 3Plymouth
HCardiff0 - 3Leeds
ACardiff2 - 1QPR
HCardiff0 - 2Leicester
HCardiff2 - 2Plymouth
Southampton 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
see results
AWAY FORM
Blackburn0 - 0Southampton
Ipswich3 - 2Southampton
Birmingham3 - 4Southampton
West Brom0 - 2Southampton
Bristol C3 - 1Southampton
Rotherham0 - 2Southampton
Swansea1 - 3Southampton
Norwich1 - 1Southampton
QPR0 - 1Southampton
Coventry1 - 1Southampton
Watford1 - 1Southampton
Huddersfield1 - 1Southampton
Millwall0 - 1Southampton
Preston2 - 2Southampton
Hull1 - 2Southampton
Stoke0 - 1Southampton
M'Boro2 - 1Southampton
Sunderland5 - 0Southampton
Plymouth1 - 2Southampton
Sheff Wed1 - 2Southampton
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
see results
OVERALL FORM
HSouthampton3 - 0Preston
HSouthampton3 - 2Watford
HSouthampton2 - 1Coventry
ASouthampton0 - 0Blackburn
ASouthampton2 - 3Ipswich
HSouthampton1 - 1M'Boro
HSouthampton4 - 2Sunderland
ASouthampton4 - 3Birmingham
HSouthampton1 - 2Millwall
HSouthampton1 - 2Hull
ASouthampton2 - 0West Brom
ASouthampton1 - 3Bristol C
HSouthampton5 - 3Huddersfield
ASouthampton2 - 0Rotherham
ASouthampton3 - 1Swansea
HSouthampton4 - 0Sheff Wed
ASouthampton1 - 1Norwich
HSouthampton2 - 1Plymouth
HSouthampton5 - 0Swansea
ASouthampton1 - 0QPR
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Cardiff since 2005
Cardiff
Southampton
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
CAR
6
SOU
1
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Cardiff
Cardiff1 - 0
0 - 3Southampton
Cardiff2 - 1
Cardiff2 - 1
Cardiff1 - 0
Cardiff1 - 0
Cardiff2 - 1
All league games since 2005
Cardiff
Southampton
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
11 / 15
11 / 15
Clean sheets
4 / 15
4 / 15
CAR
8
D
2
SOU
5
see results
FIXTURE HISTORY
Southampton2 - 0
1 - 2Cardiff
Cardiff1 - 0
0 - 1Cardiff
0 - 3Southampton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Cardiff2 - 1
Southampton1 - 0
Cardiff2 - 1
Cardiff1 - 0
Southampton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Cardiff1 - 0
Southampton3 - 2
Cardiff2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Cardiff 12th Southampton 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Cardiff scoring 1 goal or less
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Cardiff’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
Southampton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Statistics Championship - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/260050/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cardiff
PG (predicted goals)
Southampton
1
2
Attack rating
CAR
SOU
32%
better
view stats
Games scored31
40
Failed to score14
5
Scored first19
31
Goals scored51
85
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate14%
17%
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
CAR
SOU
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded33
33
Clean sheets12
12
Conceded first24
13
Goals conceded65
62
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate16%
18%
KickOff rating
+7%

Cardiff v Southampton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Cardiff Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
43478
D GoutasD GoutasJ RallsD Goutas
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Horvath GLK13
-
M Romeo DEF12
1
1
N Phillips DEF15
1
-
D Goutas DEF434
8
-
J Ralls DEF3317
3
-
D Turnbull MID141
1
-
M Siopis MID39
6
-
O Tanner MID331
3
-
R Colwill MID3412
4
-
C. Ashford MID2
-
Y Méïté FWD372
7
-
Subs
M. Turner GLK
-
L. Giles DEF
-
R Sawyers MID2
-
J Colwill MID
-
R. Conte MID
-
C Antwi MID
-
R Wintle MID4024
4
-
F Diédhiou FWD131
-
Southampton Championship squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
41201210
A ArmstrongA ArmstrongA ArmstrongJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A McCarthy GLK
-
K Walker-Peters DEF3832
4
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF3623
3
-
J Bednarek DEF382
10
-
R Manning DEF342
8
-
J Aribo MID3031
5
-
W Smallbone MID3953
8
-
S Armstrong MID4147
5
-
D Brooks  FWD1424
1
-
C Adams FWD36133
4
-
A Armstrong FWD422012
5
-
Subs
J Lumley GLK
-
J Stephens DEF211
5
-
J Bree DEF151
1
T Obling MID1
-
J Rothwell MID124
1
-
K Sulemana MID223
3
1
S Edozie MID2863
2
-
S Charles MID29
6
-
R Fraser MID3562
5
-