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Derby County v Bristol City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 22nd Aug, 20:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

the Pride Park Stadium is the setting on Friday night, as John Eustace's Derby County welcome Gerhard Struber's Bristol City in the Championship. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 76% chance of Derby and Bristol C a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Championship clash according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Bristol C coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
34%
15/89/5
Draw
27%
9/49/4
Bristol C
38%
6/46/4
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Bristol C 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Derby 1-0
10%
13/26/1
Draw 0-0
9%
7/16/1
Bristol C 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Derby 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Bristol C 2-0
7%
10/19/1
Derby 2-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
Bristol C 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Derby 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Bristol C 3-0
3%
22/118/1
Derby 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Bristol C 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Derby 3-2
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
13/105/4
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/133/5
Home 1st Goal
46%
11/1023/20
Away 1st Goal
48%
20/211/1
No 1st Goal
5%
7/16/1
BTTS - Yes
49%
10/111/1
BTTS - No
51%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/219/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
16%
5/117/4
Home/draw
62%
8/151/2
Away/draw
66%
2/52/5
Home/away
73%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
4/92/5
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
7/417/10
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
10/316/5
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/91/5
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/115/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/141/16
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/121/12
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/16/1
Home DNB
53%
1/119/20
Away DNB
58%
8/113/4
Derby win to nil
20%
10/3-
Bristol C win to nil
22%
11/4-
Derby / Derby
18%
15/47/2
Derby / Bristol C
3%
28/122/1
Derby / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Derby
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Bristol C
14%
5/19/2
Draw / Draw
18%
7/210/3
Bristol C / Derby
3%
33/122/1
Bristol C / Bristol C
19%
10/33/1
Bristol C / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Bristol C
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Stoke220056 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
May 2
Nov 1
2
M'Boro220046 
Jan 1
Nov 29
Dec 20
Mar 14
3
West Brom220026 
Jan 24
Sep 13
Mar 21
Dec 26
4
Bristol C211034 
Aug 22
Jan 31
-
-
5
Coventry211024 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
Mar 7
Dec 13
6
Preston211014 
Sep 20
Jan 17
Jan 4
Sep 27
7
Birmingham211014 
Mar 21
Dec 26
Oct 25
Apr 25
8
Hull211014 
Nov 4
Feb 24
Aug 30
Feb 7
9
Southampton211014 
Oct 4
Apr 11
Oct 21
Apr 21
10
Charlton211014 
Sep 30
Jan 21
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 3
11
Leicester210103 
Dec 6
Dec 29
Dec 10
Mar 10
12
Norwich210103 
Oct 21
Apr 21
Apr 18
Oct 18
13
Watford210103 
Nov 22
Feb 21
Feb 28
Nov 7
14
Portsmouth210103 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Jan 1
Nov 29
15
Swansea210103 
Feb 14
Nov 25
Nov 22
Feb 21
16
Millwall2101-23 
Dec 10
Mar 10
Dec 6
Dec 29
17
Ipswich202002 
Feb 7
Aug 30
Sep 30
Jan 20
18
QPR2011-11 
Oct 25
Apr 25
Oct 4
Apr 11
19
Wrexham2002-20 
Jan 4
Sep 27
Feb 14
Nov 26
20
Oxford Utd2002-20 
Apr 18
Oct 18
Sep 21
Jan 17
21
Blackburn2002-20 
Feb 28
Nov 8
Nov 4
Feb 25
22
Derby2002-40 
-
-
Jan 31
Aug 22
23
Sheff Wed2002-40 
Mar 7
Dec 13
Jan 24
Sep 13
24
Sheff Utd2002-40 
May 2
Nov 1
Apr 6
w
 
1-4F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Derby 22ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby3 - 5Coventry
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Derby0 - 1Luton
Derby0 - 0Burnley
Derby2 - 0Preston
Derby2 - 0Coventry
Derby2 - 1Blackburn
Derby0 - 1Millwall
Derby0 - 0Oxford Utd
Derby0 - 1Sheff Utd
Derby0 - 1Sunderland
Derby0 - 2Watford
Derby0 - 1Leeds
Derby2 - 1West Brom
Derby4 - 0Portsmouth
Derby1 - 2Sheff Wed
Derby1 - 2Swansea
Derby1 - 1Plymouth
Derby1 - 1Hull
Derby2 - 0QPR
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby3 - 5Coventry
ADerby1 - 3Stoke
HDerby0 - 0Stoke
ADerby1 - 0Hull
ADerby3 - 1West Brom
HDerby0 - 1Luton
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 0Preston
ADerby3 - 2Plymouth
HDerby2 - 0Coventry
HDerby2 - 1Blackburn
ADerby0 - 1M'Boro
HDerby0 - 1Millwall
ADerby0 - 4QPR
HDerby0 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Norwich
HDerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
ADerby1 - 2Cardiff
Bristol C 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Utd1 - 4Bristol C
Sheff Utd3 - 0Bristol C
Leeds4 - 0Bristol C
Luton3 - 1Bristol C
QPR1 - 1Bristol C
Burnley1 - 0Bristol C
Sheff Utd1 - 1Bristol C
Millwall0 - 2Bristol C
Cardiff1 - 1Bristol C
Oxford Utd1 - 1Bristol C
Sheff Wed2 - 2Bristol C
Coventry1 - 0Bristol C
Plymouth2 - 2Bristol C
West Brom2 - 0Bristol C
Sunderland1 - 1Bristol C
Portsmouth3 - 0Bristol C
Watford1 - 0Bristol C
Norwich0 - 2Bristol C
Preston1 - 3Bristol C
Stoke2 - 2Bristol C
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBristol C0 - 0Charlton
ABristol C4 - 1Sheff Utd
ABristol C0 - 3Sheff Utd
HBristol C0 - 3Sheff Utd
HBristol C2 - 2Preston
ABristol C0 - 4Leeds
ABristol C1 - 3Luton
HBristol C2 - 1Sunderland
ABristol C1 - 1QPR
HBristol C2 - 1West Brom
HBristol C2 - 1Watford
ABristol C0 - 1Burnley
HBristol C2 - 1Norwich
ABristol C1 - 1Sheff Utd
HBristol C1 - 1Hull
ABristol C2 - 0Millwall
HBristol C2 - 1M'Boro
ABristol C1 - 1Cardiff
HBristol C2 - 0Stoke
HBristol C0 - 1Swansea
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Bristol C
Goals: Scored
29
18
Games: Scored
14 / 16
9 / 16
Clean sheets
7 / 16
2 / 16
DER
9
D
3
BCY
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby3 - 0
1 - 3Bristol C
Derby1 - 0
1 - 2Bristol C
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Derby4 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Derby2 - 1
0 - 2Bristol C
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 1
Derby3 - 1
Derby1 - 0
3 - 4Bristol C
League games at Bristol C since 1993
Bristol C
Derby
Goals: Scored
19
16
Games: Scored
11 / 16
10 / 16
Clean sheets
6 / 16
5 / 16
DER
4
D
5
BCY
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bristol C
Bristol C1 - 0
Bristol C1 - 0
Bristol C1 - 0
Bristol C3 - 2
0 - 2Derby
Bristol C4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Derby
0 - 2Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bristol C2 - 0
Bristol C2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Derby
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics
Derby 22nd Bristol C 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Bristol C will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Derby have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Bristol C’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Bristol C
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
DER
BCY
27%
better
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored1
4
Avg. goals scored0.5
2
Avg. shots per game2
4
Avg. shots per goal3
2
Conversion rate for33
50
Avg. XG for0.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
DER
BCY
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded3
1
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
12
Conversion rate against27%
8%
Avg. XG against1.4
2.3
KickOff rating
+29%

Derby v Bristol C Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2211
J ZetterströmC MorrisC Blackett-TaylorM Clarke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Zetterström GLK2
-
M Clarke DEF2
1
-
R Nyambe DEF2
1
-
D Sanderson DEF2
-
D Batth DEF2
-
D Ozoh MID2
-
K Goudmijn MID2
-
E Adams MID21
-
L Thompson MID2
1
-
A Weimann  FWD2
-
C Morris FWD22
-
K Jackson FWD2
1
-
C Elder DEF11
-
C Forsyth DEF1
-
B Clark MID1
-
J Ward MID1
-
D Brown FWD1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD11
-
Bristol C Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2210
R VítekS TwineR McCrorie
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Vítek GLK2
-
Z Vyner DEF2
-
R McCrorie DEF211
-
G Tanner DEF2
-
R Atkinson DEF2
-
A Randell MID2
-
S Twine MID221
-
M Sykes MID2
-
J Knight MID2
-
E Riis FWD21
-
Y Hirakawa FWD2
-
A Mehmeti FWD21
-
S Armstrong FWD2
-
R Dickie DEF1
-
M Bird MID1
-
F Mayulu FWD1
-
S Bell FWD1
-