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Derby County v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 6th Apr, 15:00 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

The Championship is the focus for both Derby County and Stoke City on Monday afternoon, as bosses John Eustace and Mark Robins go head to head at the Pride Park Stadium. Statistics for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derby
45%
--
Draw
29%
--
Stoke
25%
--
Derby 1-0
15%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
12%
--
Stoke 1-0
11%
--
Derby 2-0
10%
--
Derby 2-1
8%
--
Stoke 2-1
6%
--
Stoke 2-0
4%
--
Derby 3-0
4%
--
Draw 2-2
3%
--
Derby 3-1
3%
--
Stoke 3-1
2%
--
Derby 3-2
1%
--
Stoke 3-0
1%
--
Derby 4-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
41%
--
No 1st Goal
9%
--
BTTS - Yes
41%
--
BTTS - No
59%
--
BTTS - Home Win
15%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
9%
--
Home/draw
75%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
--
Home DNB
66%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Derby win to nil
30%
--
Stoke win to nil
17%
--
Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 39 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 5 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Derby have outscored their opponents by 56 goals to 46 goals.

Home League Performance

Derby have played 20 games at home winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 6 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 25 goals at home.

Stoke are in 15th position in the Championship on 51 points having played 39 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 6 and won 8. Stoke have conceded 28 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 10 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Derby
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3924874180 
l
 
3-5A
Apr 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
2
M'Boro39201182271 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
3
Ipswich38191272869 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
4
Millwall3920910969 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
5
Hull3920613566 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
6
Southampton391712101563 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 11
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
7
Wrexham39171210963 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
8
Derby3917913860 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
9
Watford39141411456 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Norwich3916617654 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 21
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
11
Birmingham39141114-153 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
QPR3915816-653 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
13
Preston39131313-452 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
14
Swansea3915717-552 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
15
Stoke3914916351 
Apr 6
l
 
3-1F
-
-
16
Bristol C3914916-151 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-5F
w
 
5-1F
May 2
17
Sheff Utd3915519050 
May 2
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
18
Charlton39121215-1048 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
19
Blackburn39111018-1343 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-2F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
20
West Brom39111018-1443 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
21
Portsmouth38101018-1740 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
22
Leicester39111216-939 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
23
Oxford Utd3991218-1539 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
24
Sheff Wed391929-55-6 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Derby have won 4 consecutive home league games
4
Stoke have lost 4 consecutive away league games
6
Stoke have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Derby 8TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Stoke 15TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Derby have not lost to Stoke in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Derby since 1994
Derby
Stoke
Goals: Scored
23
11
Games: Scored
8 / 13
7 / 13
Clean sheets
6 / 13
5 / 13
DER
8
D
3
STK
2
League games at Stoke since 1994
Stoke
Derby
Goals: Scored
21
15
Games: Scored
13 / 14
10 / 14
Clean sheets
4 / 14
1 / 14
DER
3
D
3
STK
8
Goal Statistics
Derby 8th Stoke 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Derby’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-24
Stoke have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Derby
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.2
0.9
Attack rating
25%
better
DER
STK
view stats
Games scored35
25
Failed to score4
14
Scored first21
19
Goals scored56
46
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
DER
STK
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
27
Clean sheets10
12
Conceded first18
16
Goals conceded48
43
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Derby v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
381079
M ClarkeP. AgyemangJ WardL Travis
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Clarke DEF3832
7
1
B Clark MID3832
7
-
P. Agyemang FWD35103
5
-
B Díaz FWD3453
6
-
D Sanderson DEF331
7
-
J Ward MID3117
3
1
R Brewster FWD2972
1
-
J Zetterström GLK28
1
-
C Elder DEF2815
8
-
D Ozoh MID261
6
-
L Salvesen FWD2532
3
-
C Morris FWD2410
5
-
L Travis MID201
8
1
S Langas DEF1921
2
-
L Thompson MID171
4
-
C Forsyth DEF141
2
-
O Fraulo MID12
1
-
D Batth DEF9
1
-
M Johnston DEF9
1
-
D Murkin DEF83
-
S Szmodics MID82
2
-
J Vickers GLK7
-
J Banel FWD7
-
R O'Donnell GLK5
-
O. Eames MID2
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
38101011
S ThomasS ThomasS ThomasS Thomas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Thomas FWD381010
10
1
M Manhoef FWD3873
3
-
T Seko MID371
3
-
J. Bae MID3723
1
-
B Wilmot DEF343
5
-
A Phillips DEF331
5
-
T Rigo MID2911
2
-
L Cissé FWD2713
4
-
B Pearson MID261
8
1
D Mubama FWD2651
3
1
S Nzonzi MID251
2
-
V Johansson GLK241
2
-
J Tchamadeu DEF2412
10
-
M Lawal DEF231
6
1
E Bocat DEF221
-
A Cresswell  DEF223
2
-
R Bozenik FWD191
2
-
M Taloverov DEF16
7
-
T. Simkim GLK14
2
-
L Baker MID1241
1
-
S Gallagher FWD122
-
M Smit FWD1021
-
B Gibson DEF91
1
-
J Rak-Sakyi FWD91
-
G Bazunu GLK1
-