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Derby County v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 12:30 BST, Pride Park Stadium, Derby

the Pride Park Stadium crowd welcome Stoke City's supporters on Saturday lunch time, as John Coleman's Derby County clash with Mark Warburton's troops in the Championship. All stats, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you browse each of the seventeen betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect John Coleman and Mark Warburton to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a flood of goals as Derby and Stoke go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.57 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we're recommending.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derby are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Derby 49%	1/1	-
Draw 27%	19/10 3%	-
Stoke 23%	10/3	-
Derby 1-0 15%	5/1	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Draw 0-0 11%	11/2 7%	-
Derby 2-0 10%	15/2	-
Stoke 1-0 9%	8/1 5%	-
Derby 2-1 9%	17/2	-
Stoke 2-1 5%	14/1	-
Derby 3-0 5%	16/1	-
Derby 3-1 4%	20/1 11%	-
Stoke 2-0 4%	18/1 10%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	18/1 12%	-
Derby 3-2 2%	40/1 21%	-
Derby 4-0 2%	40/1	-
Stoke 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Derby 4-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	6/4 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	8/15 3%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/6 3%	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	15/8	-
No 1st Goal 7%	11/2 7%	-
BTTS - Yes 43%	11/10 5%	-
BTTS - No 57%	4/6 3%	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	9/2 10%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4 6%	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	9/1	-
Home/draw 77%	1/5	-
Away/draw 51%	4/5	-
Home/away 73%	2/5 3%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	1/2 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	13/8 5%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	4/1 11%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/6 3%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	10/1 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/20 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	22/1 10%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/80	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/9 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	11/2 7%	-
Home DNB 69%	2/5 3%	-
Away DNB 42%	7/4 8%	-
Derby win to nil 32%	2/1	-
Stoke win to nil 14%	5/1 8%	-
Derby / Derby 24%	12/5 5%	-
Derby / Stoke 2%	40/1	-
Derby / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Derby 17%	15/4	-
Draw / Stoke 10%	7/1 6%	-
Draw / Draw 19%	10/3 4%	-
Stoke / Derby 3%	28/1 12%	-
Stoke / Stoke 13%	11/2 7%	-
Stoke / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Derby have played 45 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

35 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 7 and won 9. Derby have conceded 46 goals, scored 36, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 8 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Derby have played 22 games at home, winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Stoke lay in 18th place on 50 points in the Championship league table having played 45 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stoke have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Stoke have played 22 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 13 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Derby Stoke
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds	45	28	13	4	64	97	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	l 0-2A	l 6-0A
2	Burnley	45	27	16	2	51	97	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0
3	Sheff Utd	45	28	7	10	27	89	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	l 2-0A
4	Sunderland	45	21	13	11	15	76	l 0-1A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
5	Bristol C	45	17	16	12	4	67	w 3-0F	l 1-0A	d 2-2F	l 2-0A
6	Coventry	45	19	9	17	4	66	w 2-0F	w 1-2F	w 1-0F	l 3-2A
7	Millwall	45	18	12	15	0	66	l 0-1A	d 1-1F	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
8	Blackburn	45	19	8	18	5	65	w 2-1F	l 4-2A	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
9	M'Boro	45	18	10	17	10	64	w 1-0F	l 1-0A	l 1-3A	l 2-0A
10	West Brom	45	14	19	12	8	61	w 2-1F	w 1-3F	l 1-2A	d 1-1F
11	Swansea	45	17	9	19	-5	60	l 1-2A	l 1-0A	w 3-1A	d 0-00-0
12	Sheff Wed	45	15	12	18	-9	57	l 1-2F	l 4-2A	w 2-0F	l 2-0A
13	Watford	45	16	8	21	-8	56	l 0-2A	l 2-1F	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
14	Norwich	45	13	15	17	1	54	l 2-3A	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	l 4-2A
15	QPR	45	13	14	18	-11	53	w 2-0F	l 4-0A	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
16	Portsmouth	45	14	11	20	-13	53	w 4-0F	d 2-2F	w 6-1F	l 3-1A
17	Oxford Utd	45	13	13	19	-16	52	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
18	Stoke Away	45	12	14	19	-17	50	May 3	l 2-1A	-	-
19	Derby Home	45	13	10	22	-8	49	-	-	w 2-1F	May 3
20	Preston	45	10	19	16	-11	49	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
21	Luton	45	13	10	22	-22	49	l 0-1A	l 2-1F	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
22	Hull	45	12	12	21	-10	48	d 1-1A	w 0-1F	l 1-3F	w 1-2A
23	Plymouth	45	11	13	21	-36	46	d 1-1F	w 2-3F	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
24	Cardiff	45	9	17	19	-23	44	w 1-0F	l 2-1A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby	0 - 1	Luton
Derby	0 - 0	Burnley
Derby	2 - 0	Preston
Derby	2 - 0	Coventry
Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
Derby	0 - 1	Millwall
Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
Derby	0 - 1	Sunderland
Derby	0 - 2	Watford
Derby	0 - 1	Leeds
Derby	2 - 1	West Brom
Derby	4 - 0	Portsmouth
Derby	1 - 2	Sheff Wed
Derby	1 - 2	Swansea
Derby	1 - 1	Plymouth
Derby	1 - 1	Hull
Derby	2 - 0	QPR
Derby	2 - 3	Norwich
Derby	1 - 0	Cardiff

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Derby	1 - 0	Hull
A	Derby	3 - 1	West Brom
H	Derby	0 - 1	Luton
A	Derby	2 - 2	Portsmouth
H	Derby	0 - 0	Burnley
A	Derby	0 - 1	Swansea
H	Derby	2 - 0	Preston
A	Derby	3 - 2	Plymouth
H	Derby	2 - 0	Coventry
H	Derby	2 - 1	Blackburn
A	Derby	0 - 1	M'Boro
H	Derby	0 - 1	Millwall
A	Derby	0 - 4	QPR
H	Derby	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Derby	1 - 1	Norwich
H	Derby	0 - 1	Sheff Utd
A	Derby	1 - 2	Cardiff
H	Derby	0 - 1	Sunderland
H	Derby	0 - 2	Watford
A	Derby	0 - 1	Bristol C

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds	6 - 0	Stoke
Cardiff	0 - 1	Stoke
Preston	1 - 1	Stoke
Millwall	1 - 0	Stoke
Coventry	3 - 2	Stoke
Norwich	4 - 2	Stoke
Bristol C	2 - 0	Stoke
Hull	1 - 2	Stoke
Portsmouth	3 - 1	Stoke
West Brom	1 - 1	Stoke
Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Stoke
Luton	2 - 1	Stoke
Sunderland	2 - 1	Stoke
QPR	1 - 1	Stoke
Blackburn	0 - 2	Stoke
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Stoke
Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
M'Boro	2 - 0	Stoke
Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Stoke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stoke	0 - 2	Sheff Utd
A	Stoke	0 - 6	Leeds
H	Stoke	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Cardiff
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Luton
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Preston
H	Stoke	3 - 1	QPR
A	Stoke	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Blackburn
A	Stoke	2 - 3	Coventry
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Watford
H	Stoke	1 - 3	M'Boro
A	Stoke	2 - 4	Norwich
H	Stoke	3 - 1	Swansea
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Bristol C
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Hull
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Portsmouth
A	Stoke	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Plymouth

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Derby

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 12

7 / 12

Clean sheets

5 / 12

4 / 12

DER

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Derby	4 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Stoke
Derby	2 - 1
Derby	3 - 1
	0 - 3	Stoke
Derby	2 - 0
Derby	3 - 1
Derby	3 - 0
Derby	4 - 2

Stoke

Derby

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

12 / 13

9 / 13

Clean sheets

4 / 13

1 / 13

DER

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
Stoke	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Derby
Stoke	1 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Stoke	2 - 1
Stoke	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Derby
Stoke	1 - 0
Stoke	2 - 1
	1 - 3	Derby
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Stoke	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Derby 19th	Stoke 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 25% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 60% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal	0 42% 1 36% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-19 Derby have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted	-18 Stoke have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

better

DER

STK

view stats

Games scored	29		28
Failed to score	16		17
Scored first	19		18
Goals scored	48		45
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	15		13
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.2
KickOff rating		+6%

DER

STK

better

view stats

Games conceded	34		32
Clean sheets	11		13
Conceded first	23		21
Goals conceded	56		62
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	16%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.6
KickOff rating		+5%

Derby v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
41	10	4	12
E Adams	J Yates	J Yates	E Adams

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Jackson FWD	44	3	2	6 -
E Adams MID	42	6	1	12 -
J Yates FWD	41	10	4	1 -
J Zetterström GLK	40			2 -
M Harness MID	40	4	3	12 -
K Goudmijn MID	40	2	2	5 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	39	3	4	4 -
C Forsyth DEF	37	3	4	4 -
N Phillips DEF	31	1	3	5 -
K Wilson DEF	31	2	1	-
C Elder DEF	29		3	8 -
C Nelson DEF	27	2	1	3 -
L Thompson MID	26		1	5 -
B Osborn MID	24		1	2 -
T Barkhuizen FWD	18			2 -
R Nyambe DEF	17			2 -
M Clarke DEF	15	1	1	2 -
D Brown FWD	15	1		-
H. Armstrong MID	14	1		3 -
S Langas DEF	13			3 -
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	12	1		1 -
D Ozoh MID	10	1		-
L Salvesen FWD	8	1		-
J Ward MID	7			1 -
J Vickers GLK	4			-
K Roofe FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	25	4	41
J Yates	J Yates	J Yates	N Mendez-Laing

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Yates FWD	10	25	4	12
E Adams MID	6	10	1	8
M Harness MID	4	9	3	11
K Jackson FWD	3	16	2	13
C Forsyth DEF	3	6	4	8
N Mendez-Laing FWD	3	12	4	41
C Nelson DEF	2	9	1	2
K Wilson DEF	2	9	1	12
K Goudmijn MID	2	8	2	20
N Phillips DEF	1	4	3	3
H. Armstrong MID	1	2
L Salvesen FWD	1	8
D Ozoh MID	1	2
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	1	4		7
M Clarke DEF	1	2	1	4
D Brown FWD	1	2
J Ward MID		1
B Osborn MID			1	25
R Nyambe DEF				1
T Barkhuizen FWD		1		1
L Thompson MID		1	1	4
C Elder DEF		1	3	18

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1217	142	332
E Adams	E Adams	E Adams

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Adams MID	1217	142	332
J Zetterström GLK	1069	2	20
C Forsyth DEF	1036	33	137
C Nelson DEF	966	38	122
K Goudmijn MID	880	41	106
N Phillips DEF	797	35	177
C Elder DEF	756	41	123
B Osborn MID	736	31	69
N Mendez-Laing FWD	642	44	95
M Harness MID	594	57	134
K Wilson DEF	562	46	158
L Thompson MID	533	27	67
K Jackson FWD	500	38	137
M Clarke DEF	486	29	113
J Yates FWD	486	14	97
S Langas DEF	387	22	53
R Nyambe DEF	381	29	56
H. Armstrong MID	296	24	52
D Ozoh MID	222	37	64
T Barkhuizen FWD	135	6	14
J Vickers GLK	103		2
L Salvesen FWD	79	4	22
C Blackett-Taylor FWD	73	2	24
D Brown FWD	53	4	20
J Ward MID	49	2	4
K Roofe FWD	3		2

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
45	6	5	13
V Johansson	L Baker	J. Bae	J Tchamadeu

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Johansson GLK	45			4 -
L. Koumas FWD	43	3	2	6 -
J. Bae MID	42	3	5	5 -
J Tchamadeu DEF	41	1	2	13 -
B Wilmot DEF	38	3		9 -
W Burger MID	37	1	1	10 -
M Manhoef FWD	34	5	4	1 -
A Moran MID	33	4	3	9 -
E Bocat DEF	30		1	1 -
T Seko MID	25			1 -
A Phillips DEF	23			4 -
B Gibson DEF	23	3		6 -
J Thompson MID	23		1	8 -
M Rose DEF	22			3 -
S Gallagher FWD	21	3	1	6 -
L Gooch FWD	19		1	4 -
E Stevens DEF	18		2	3 -
L Baker MID	17	6	2	3 -
A Al-Hamadi FWD	14	2		1 -
B Pearson MID	13			5 -
E Tezgel FWD	12			1 -
A Vidigal FWD	10			-
N Lowe FWD	9	1		2 -
S. Sidibe MID	8		1	-
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF	6		1	-
M Lawal DEF	6			-
R Mmaee FWD	3			-
J. Dixon DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	25	5	32
L Baker	M Manhoef	J. Bae	J. Bae

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Baker MID	6	12	2	4
M Manhoef FWD	5	25	4	27
A Moran MID	4	8	3	21
L. Koumas FWD	3	14	2	11
B Gibson DEF	3	4
S Gallagher FWD	3	8	1	5
J. Bae MID	3	14	5	32
B Wilmot DEF	3	7		6
A Al-Hamadi FWD	2	5		1
W Burger MID	1	5	1	12
J Tchamadeu DEF	1	3	2	13
N Lowe FWD	1	2
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF		1	1	1
S. Sidibe MID			1	2
A Vidigal FWD		1
E Tezgel FWD		3		2
M Lawal DEF				1
V Johansson GLK				1
B Pearson MID				1
E Stevens DEF		2	2	9
L Gooch FWD		2	1	3
M Rose DEF				1
J Thompson MID			1	2
A Phillips DEF		2		1
T Seko MID		1		7
E Bocat DEF		4	1	11

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1709	83	203
B Wilmot	J. Bae	J. Bae

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Wilmot DEF	1709	55	152
V Johansson GLK	1449	1	32
B Gibson DEF	1336	14	65
W Burger MID	1304	78	174
J Tchamadeu DEF	1041	46	117
J. Bae MID	963	83	203
A Phillips DEF	880	17	84
A Moran MID	831	68	131
T Seko MID	831	45	87
E Bocat DEF	810	41	100
M Rose DEF	767	14	59
J Thompson MID	625	13	44
E Stevens DEF	541	29	65
M Manhoef FWD	523	20	97
L Baker MID	494	7	36
L. Koumas FWD	311	50	100
L Gooch FWD	262	20	36
B Pearson MID	243	17	26
S Gallagher FWD	159	15	97
A Al-Hamadi FWD	136	9	50
S. Sidibe MID	133	4	12
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF	118	3	15
N Lowe FWD	76	5	22
E Tezgel FWD	60	4	10
M Lawal DEF	37	2	7
A Vidigal FWD	29	4	10
R Mmaee FWD	19		6
J. Dixon DEF	4

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sheff Utd v Blackburn

Derby County v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Derby have played 45 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Stoke lay in 18th place on 50 points in the Championship league table having played 45 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Derby v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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