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Leeds United v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Elland Road, Leeds

Stoke City are away on Monday afternoon, as manager Mark Warburton takes his side to visit Leeds United and Daniel Farke at the Elland Road in the Championship. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Championship Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Leeds United's next match is v Plymouth at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
Stoke City's next match is v Derby at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May

The last English Championship meeting between Leeds and Stoke was on Monday 21st April 2025

English Championship

April 21st 2025

Leeds 6	0 Stoke

J. Piroe 6'
J. Piroe 8'
J. Piroe 20'
H. Firpo Adames 26'
J. Piroe 41'
D. Gnonto 59'

	LEE STK
Shots On	11 1
Shots Off	3 4
Corners	5 1
Possession	68% 32%
Fouls	7 9
Yellow/red cards	1/0

Leeds	Stoke

K. Darlow H. Firpo Adames (S. Byram 78') J. Rodon J. Bogle (I. Schmidt 77') E. Ampadu I. Gruev B. Aaronson (H. Gray 86') A. Tanaka D. Gnonto (L. Ramazani 66') M. Solomon J. Piroe (P. Bamford 66')	V. Johansson (L. Gooch 46') J. Wilson-Esbrand A. Phillips J. Tchamadeu B. Wilmot (L. Koumas 46') J. Bae L. Baker (T. Seko 72') W. Burger B. Pearson (M. Bosun Lawal 60') A. Al-Hamadi (B. Gibson 46') M. Manhoef

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Leeds to win

We think there's an outright winner in this game, and it's Leeds. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat Stoke too. The odds point towards Daniel Farke's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Monday afternoon too.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leeds are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 70% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.29.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Leeds 70%	27/100 2%	-
Draw 18%	19/4	-
Stoke 11%	9/1 17%	-
Leeds 2-0 13%	5/1 9%	-
Leeds 1-0 11%	6/1 17%	-
Leeds 2-1 10%	8/1 5%	-
Leeds 3-0 9%	13/2 7%	-
Draw 1-1 9%	10/1	-
Leeds 3-1 7%	10/1 15%	-
Draw 0-0 5%	12/1 18%	-
Leeds 4-0 5%	11/1	-
Stoke 1-0 4%	20/1	-
Leeds 4-1 4%	18/1 10%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	25/1 10%	-
Stoke 2-1 3%	28/1	-
Leeds 3-2 3%	28/1 29%	-
Leeds 5-0 2%	22/1	-
Leeds 5-1 2%	33/1 17%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	8/13 10%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	13/10 15%	-
Home 1st Goal 60%	1/5 2%	-
Away 1st Goal 36%	4/1 9%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	12/1 18%	-
BTTS - Yes 47%	6/5 12%	-
BTTS - No 53%	8/13 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 29%	11/5 11%	-
BTTS - Draw 13%	13/2 12%	-
BTTS - Away Win 6%	18/1 17%	-
Home/draw 89%	1/16 1%	-
Away/draw 30%	11/4	-
Home/away 82%	1/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1/5 4%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	7/2 13%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 34%	13/8 18%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 66%	1/2 10%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	7/2 18%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/5 5%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	8/1 18%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/14 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/33 2%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	14/1 36%	-
Home DNB 83%	1/12 1%	-
Away DNB 24%	7/1 11%	-
Leeds win to nil 42%	10/11 6%	-
Stoke win to nil 6%	16/1 13%	-
Leeds / Leeds 46%	5/6	-
Leeds / Stoke 2%	50/1	-
Leeds / Draw 4%	18/1 10%	-
Draw / Leeds 22%	11/4 4%	-
Draw / Stoke 4%	20/1	-
Draw / Draw 10%	7/1 7%	-
Stoke / Leeds 4%	20/1 9%	-
Stoke / Stoke 4%	18/1 10%	-
Stoke / Draw 4%	20/1 9%	-

Win / draw / win Championship table

Leeds have played 43 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 43 games against teams below in the table, having won 26, drawn 13 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 23 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Leeds have outscored their opponents by 83 goals to 45 goals.

Home League Performance

Leeds have played 21 games at home winning 16, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 51 goals, kept 12 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Stoke are in 16th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 43 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

12 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 31 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 7. Stoke have conceded 38 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 8 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Leeds Stoke
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Leeds Home	45	28	13	4	64	97	-	-	l 0-2A	l 6-0A
2	Burnley	45	27	16	2	51	97	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0
3	Sheff Utd	45	28	7	10	27	89	w 2-0F	w 1-3A	l 0-2A	l 2-0A
4	Sunderland	45	21	13	11	15	76	w 2-1A	d 2-2A	w 1-0F	l 2-1F
5	Bristol C	45	17	16	12	4	67	w 4-0F	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	l 2-0A
6	Coventry	45	19	9	17	4	66	w 3-0F	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	l 3-2A
7	Millwall	45	18	12	15	0	66	w 2-0F	l 1-0A	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
8	Blackburn	45	19	8	18	5	65	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
9	M'Boro	45	18	10	17	10	64	w 3-1F	w 0-1F	l 1-3A	l 2-0A
10	West Brom	45	14	19	12	8	61	d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-2A	d 1-1F
11	Swansea	45	17	9	19	-5	60	d 2-2F	w 3-4A	w 3-1A	d 0-00-0
12	Sheff Wed	45	15	12	18	-9	57	w 3-0F	w 0-2F	w 2-0F	l 2-0A
13	Watford	45	16	8	21	-8	56	w 2-1F	w 0-4F	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
14	Norwich	45	13	15	17	1	54	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	l 4-2A
15	QPR	45	13	14	18	-11	53	w 2-0F	d 2-2A	w 3-1F	d 1-1F
16	Portsmouth	45	14	11	20	-13	53	d 3-3F	l 1-0A	w 6-1F	l 3-1A
17	Oxford Utd	45	13	13	19	-16	52	w 4-0F	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A
18	Stoke Away	45	12	14	19	-17	50	w 6-0F	w 0-2F	-	-
19	Derby	45	13	10	22	-8	49	w 2-0F	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	May 3
20	Preston	45	10	19	16	-11	49	w 2-1F	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
21	Luton	45	13	10	22	-22	49	w 3-0F	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	l 2-1F
22	Hull	45	12	12	21	-10	48	w 2-0F	d 3-3A	l 1-3F	w 1-2A
23	Plymouth	45	11	13	21	-36	46	w 3-0F	May 3	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F
24	Cardiff	45	9	17	19	-23	44	w 7-0F	w 0-2F	d 2-2F	w 0-1F

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leeds	2 - 1	Preston
Leeds	2 - 2	Swansea
Leeds	2 - 0	Millwall
Leeds	1 - 1	West Brom
Leeds	2 - 1	Sunderland
Leeds	7 - 0	Cardiff
Leeds	2 - 0	Norwich
Leeds	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
Leeds	1 - 1	Blackburn
Leeds	4 - 0	Oxford Utd
Leeds	3 - 1	M'Boro
Leeds	2 - 0	Derby
Leeds	3 - 0	Luton
Leeds	2 - 0	QPR
Leeds	3 - 0	Plymouth
Leeds	2 - 1	Watford
Leeds	2 - 0	Sheff Utd
Leeds	3 - 0	Coventry
Leeds	0 - 1	Burnley
Leeds	2 - 0	Hull

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Leeds	1 - 0	Oxford Utd
H	Leeds	2 - 1	Preston
A	Leeds	1 - 0	M'Boro
A	Leeds	1 - 1	Luton
H	Leeds	2 - 2	Swansea
A	Leeds	2 - 2	QPR
H	Leeds	2 - 0	Millwall
A	Leeds	0 - 1	Portsmouth
H	Leeds	1 - 1	West Brom
A	Leeds	3 - 1	Sheff Utd
H	Leeds	2 - 1	Sunderland
A	Leeds	4 - 0	Watford
A	Leeds	2 - 0	Coventry
H	Leeds	7 - 0	Cardiff
A	Leeds	0 - 0	Burnley
H	Leeds	2 - 0	Norwich
H	Leeds	3 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Leeds	3 - 3	Hull
H	Leeds	1 - 1	Blackburn
A	Leeds	1 - 0	Derby

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cardiff	0 - 1	Stoke
Preston	1 - 1	Stoke
Millwall	1 - 0	Stoke
Coventry	3 - 2	Stoke
Norwich	4 - 2	Stoke
Bristol C	2 - 0	Stoke
Hull	1 - 2	Stoke
Portsmouth	3 - 1	Stoke
West Brom	1 - 1	Stoke
Burnley	0 - 0	Stoke
Sheff Wed	2 - 0	Stoke
Luton	2 - 1	Stoke
Sunderland	2 - 1	Stoke
QPR	1 - 1	Stoke
Blackburn	0 - 2	Stoke
Sheff Utd	2 - 0	Stoke
Swansea	0 - 0	Stoke
M'Boro	2 - 0	Stoke
Oxford Utd	1 - 0	Stoke
Plymouth	0 - 1	Stoke

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Stoke	2 - 0	Sheff Wed
A	Stoke	1 - 0	Cardiff
H	Stoke	1 - 1	Luton
A	Stoke	1 - 1	Preston
H	Stoke	3 - 1	QPR
A	Stoke	0 - 1	Millwall
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Blackburn
A	Stoke	2 - 3	Coventry
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Watford
H	Stoke	1 - 3	M'Boro
A	Stoke	2 - 4	Norwich
H	Stoke	3 - 1	Swansea
A	Stoke	0 - 2	Bristol C
A	Stoke	2 - 1	Hull
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Oxford Utd
A	Stoke	1 - 3	Portsmouth
A	Stoke	1 - 1	West Brom
H	Stoke	0 - 0	Plymouth
A	Stoke	0 - 0	Burnley
H	Stoke	1 - 0	Sunderland

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Leeds have beaten Stoke in 3 consecutive home league meetings

Leeds

Stoke

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

2 / 6

Clean sheets

4 / 6

3 / 6

LEE

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds	1 - 0
Leeds	5 - 0
Leeds	3 - 1
	0 - 4	Stoke
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Stoke

Leeds

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

4 / 7

LEE

STK

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
	0 - 2	Leeds
Stoke	1 - 0
	0 - 3	Leeds
Stoke	2 - 1
Stoke	3 - 1
	0 - 1	Leeds
	0 - 1	Leeds

Goal Statistics

	Leeds 1st	Stoke 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.2 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 11% 1 24% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 18% There is a 65% probability that Leeds will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 47% 1 36% 2 13% 3 4+ There is a 83% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+18 Leeds have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted	-17 Stoke have scored 17% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.4 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.5 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season

31%

better

LEE

STK

view stats

Games scored	36		28
Failed to score	7		15
Scored first	27		18
Goals scored	83		45
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	18		14
Avg. XG for	1.9		1.2
KickOff rating		+31%

29%

better

LEE

STK

view stats

Games conceded	20		30
Clean sheets	23		13
Conceded first	13		19
Goals conceded	29		54
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	5		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		8
Conversion rate against	13%		12%
Avg. XG against	0.7		1.6
KickOff rating		+29%

Leeds v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
45	19	12	11
J Rodon	J Piroe	M Solomon	J Bogle

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Darlow GLK	6			1 -
J Bogle DEF	43	6	4	11 -
J Rodon DEF	45	1		5 -
E Ampadu DEF	28			8 -
J Firpo DEF	32	4	10	7 -
A Tanaka MID	42	5	2	9 -
I Gruev MID	22		2	3 -
W Gnonto MID	42	8	5	5 -
B Aaronson MID	44	9	2	2 -
M Solomon MID	38	9	12	2 -
J Piroe FWD	45	19	7	1 -
Subs
I Meslier GLK	39			-
S Byram DEF	35	1	1	4 -
I Schmidt DEF	12			-
M Wöber DEF	7	1		1 -
A Cil MID	16			-
P Bamford FWD	15			-
L Ramazani FWD	28	6	2	2 -
M Joseph FWD	38	3	3	-
H. Gray FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	41	12	36
J Piroe	J Piroe	M Solomon	B Aaronson

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Piroe FWD	19	41	7	23
B Aaronson MID	9	26	2	36
M Solomon MID	9	23	12	36
W Gnonto MID	8	28	5	22
J Bogle DEF	6	14	4	24
A Tanaka MID	5	11	2	20
J Firpo DEF	4	10	10	20
J Rodon DEF	1	2		10
E Ampadu DEF		1		11
I Gruev MID		7	2	13
Subs
L Ramazani FWD	6	16	2	12
M Joseph FWD	3	16	3	13
S Byram DEF	1	3	1	6
M Wöber DEF	1	2		3
I Schmidt DEF		1		1
A Cil MID				1
P Bamford FWD		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
3621	101	238
J Rodon	J Bogle	J Bogle

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
J Rodon DEF	3621	40	192
A Tanaka MID	2579	96	192
E Ampadu DEF	2058	44	127
J Bogle DEF	1743	101	238
J Firpo DEF	1486	63	173
I Gruev MID	1220	30	60
B Aaronson MID	1186	58	192
M Solomon MID	943	29	132
W Gnonto MID	880	21	128
J Piroe FWD	724	17	72
K Darlow GLK	180		4
Subs
I Meslier GLK	1120		27
S Byram DEF	727	31	81
M Joseph FWD	252	14	47
L Ramazani FWD	231	23	54
M Wöber DEF	148	9	20
A Cil MID	102	4	10
I Schmidt DEF	51	5	8
P Bamford FWD	50	3	13

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
45	6	5	13
V Johansson	L Baker	J. Bae	J Tchamadeu

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Johansson GLK	45			4 -
J Tchamadeu DEF	41	1	2	13 -
A Phillips DEF	23			4 -
B Wilmot DEF	38	3		9 -
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF	6		1	-
B Pearson MID	13			5 -
W Burger MID	37	1	1	10 -
M Manhoef MID	34	5	4	1 -
L Baker MID	13	1		2 -
J. Bae MID	42	3	5	5 -
A Al-Hamadi FWD	14	2		1 -
Subs
J Bonham GLK				-
M Lawal DEF	6			-
B Gibson DEF	23	3		6 -
L Gooch MID	19		1	4 -
T Seko MID	25			1 -
A Moran MID	33	4	3	9 -
L. Koumas FWD	43	3	2	6 -
S Gallagher FWD	21	3	1	6 -
F. Fawunmi FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	25	5	32
L Baker	M Manhoef	J. Bae	J. Bae

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Manhoef MID	5	25	4	27
B Wilmot DEF	3	7		6
J. Bae MID	3	14	5	32
A Al-Hamadi FWD	2	5		1
J Tchamadeu DEF	1	3	2	13
W Burger MID	1	5	1	12
L Baker MID	1	4		5
V Johansson GLK				1
A Phillips DEF		2		1
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF		1	1	1
B Pearson MID				1
Subs
A Moran MID	4	8	3	21
B Gibson DEF	3	4
L. Koumas FWD	3	14	2	11
S Gallagher FWD	3	8	1	5
M Lawal DEF				1
L Gooch MID		2	1	3
T Seko MID		1		7

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1709	83	203
B Wilmot	J. Bae	J. Bae

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Wilmot DEF	1709	55	152
V Johansson GLK	1449	1	32
W Burger MID	1304	78	174
J Tchamadeu DEF	1041	46	117
J. Bae MID	963	83	203
A Phillips DEF	880	17	84
M Manhoef MID	523	20	97
B Pearson MID	243	17	26
L Baker MID	222	12	20
A Al-Hamadi FWD	136	9	50
J Wilson-Esbrand DEF	118	3	15
Subs
B Gibson DEF	1336	14	65
A Moran MID	831	68	131
T Seko MID	831	45	87
L. Koumas FWD	311	50	100
L Gooch MID	262	20	36
S Gallagher FWD	159	15	97
M Lawal DEF	37	2	7

English Championship match betting previews, predictions and odds

Sheff Utd v Blackburn

Leeds United v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Leeds have played 43 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Stoke are in 16th position in the Championship on 50 points having played 43 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Leeds v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

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