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Millwall v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 31st Oct, 15:00 BST, The Den, London

Millwall and Derby County meet at The Den on Saturday afternoon, with both Alex Neil and John Eustace hoping for success in the Championship. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Millwall
51%
--
Draw
23%
--
Derby
26%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Millwall 2-1
10%
--
Millwall 1-0
9%
--
Millwall 2-0
8%
--
Derby 2-1
6%
--
Derby 1-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
Millwall 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Millwall 3-0
5%
--
Derby 2-0
4%
--
Millwall 3-2
4%
--
Millwall 4-1
3%
--
Derby 3-1
3%
--
Derby 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
--
Home 1st Goal
53%
--
Away 1st Goal
45%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
59%
--
BTTS - No
41%
--
BTTS - Home Win
27%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
74%
--
Away/draw
49%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
68%
--
Away DNB
42%
--
Millwall win to nil
25%
--
Derby win to nil
11%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Millwall have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Millwall have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Millwall have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Derby are in 23rd position in the Championship on 6 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Derby have conceded 20 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Millwall
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Swansea11722823 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 17
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
2
West Ham116411822 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 21
Apr 10
l
 
3-0A
3
M'Boro11641622 
Apr 6
d
 
2-2F
Mar 16
Dec 5
4
Birmingham11551920 
Jan 26
Nov 3
l
 
1-2F
Feb 13
5
West Brom11623320 
Jan 30
Nov 7
l
 
0-1A
Apr 7
6
Stoke11614219 
May 1
Nov 25
l
 
0-1A
Jan 16
7
Southampton116321117 
Apr 17
l
 
5-1F
Feb 6
Nov 21
8
QPR11452317 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Feb 16
l
 
4-1A
9
Wolves10523317 
Jan 1
Dec 12
May 1
Nov 24
10
Blackburn11434115 
Feb 13
l
 
3-1A
Jan 1
Dec 12
11
Sheff Utd11434115 
Dec 8
Apr 24
Dec 29
Oct 24
12
Millwall11434015 
-
-
Jan 23
Oct 31
13
Portsmouth10424014 
Dec 29
Oct 24
Apr 20
w
 
0-2F
14
Wrexham11353-114 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
Feb 27
15
Bolton11425-314 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 10
Nov 6
Jan 30
16
Bristol C11425-314 
Mar 6
w
 
0-2F
Dec 9
Apr 24
17
Charlton11353-514 
Dec 19
Apr 3
Mar 6
l
 
2-1F
18
Lincoln11335-1012 
d
 
2-2A
Jan 16
Dec 19
Apr 3
19
Cardiff11254111 
Mar 20
Dec 26
d
 
2-2A
Mar 2
20
Watford11326-911 
Mar 17
Dec 5
Nov 28
Mar 13
21
Norwich11308-49 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 2
Nov 3
Jan 26
22
Burnley11155-58 
Nov 28
Mar 13
Feb 20
d
 
1-1A
23
Derby11137-116 
Oct 31
Jan 23
-
-
24
Preston11119-154 
Feb 27
w
 
0-1F
Mar 20
Dec 26
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Millwall 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Millwall2 - 2Lincoln
Millwall0 - 1Swansea
Millwall2 - 2West Ham
Millwall4 - 0Bolton
Millwall0 - 3Wrexham
Millwall3 - 0Norwich
Millwall0 - 2Hull
Millwall2 - 0Oxford Utd
Millwall2 - 0QPR
Millwall1 - 2Norwich
Millwall1 - 2Blackburn
Millwall1 - 0Derby
Millwall3 - 0Birmingham
Millwall1 - 3Portsmouth
Millwall1 - 1Sheff Utd
Millwall4 - 0Charlton
Millwall2 - 1Swansea
Millwall2 - 1Bristol C
Millwall0 - 0Ipswich
Millwall1 - 3Hull
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMillwall2 - 2Lincoln
HMillwall0 - 1Swansea
AMillwall1 - 0Preston
HMillwall2 - 2West Ham
AMillwall2 - 2M'Boro
AMillwall1 - 3Blackburn
HMillwall4 - 0Bolton
HMillwall0 - 3Wrexham
AMillwall1 - 5Southampton
HMillwall3 - 0Norwich
AMillwall2 - 0Bristol C
HMillwall0 - 2Hull
AMillwall0 - 0Hull
HMillwall2 - 0Oxford Utd
AMillwall1 - 1Leicester
AMillwall3 - 1Stoke
HMillwall2 - 0QPR
AMillwall0 - 0West Brom
HMillwall1 - 2Norwich
AMillwall2 - 1M'Boro
Derby 23RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
QPR4 - 1Derby
Burnley1 - 1Derby
West Ham3 - 0Derby
Portsmouth0 - 2Derby
Charlton2 - 1Derby
QPR2 - 3Derby
Norwich2 - 1Derby
Southampton2 - 1Derby
Coventry3 - 2Derby
Portsmouth0 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 0Derby
Hull4 - 2Derby
Watford2 - 0Derby
Bristol C0 - 5Derby
Charlton1 - 2Derby
Preston0 - 1Derby
Leicester2 - 1Derby
Birmingham1 - 1Derby
Sheff Wed0 - 3Derby
M'Boro2 - 1Derby
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby0 - 1Stoke
ADerby1 - 4QPR
HDerby1 - 1Wrexham
ADerby1 - 1Burnley
HDerby1 - 2Birmingham
HDerby0 - 1West Brom
ADerby0 - 3West Ham
ADerby2 - 0Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 3Swansea
HDerby2 - 2Cardiff
ADerby1 - 2Charlton
HDerby1 - 2Sheff Utd
ADerby3 - 2QPR
ADerby1 - 2Norwich
HDerby1 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 2Southampton
HDerby2 - 0Stoke
ADerby2 - 3Coventry
HDerby1 - 0Birmingham
ADerby1 - 0Portsmouth
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Millwall since 1993
Millwall
Derby
Goals: Scored
28
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
6 / 20
MIL
9
D
7
DER
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Millwall
Millwall1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Derby
2 - 3Derby
Millwall2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
1 - 5Derby
Millwall2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall2 - 0
Millwall2 - 1
Millwall3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall3 - 0
0 - 1Derby
Millwall4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Millwall1 - 0
League games at Derby since 1992
Derby
Millwall
Goals: Scored
19
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
9 / 20
MIL
9
D
5
DER
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Millwall
1 - 2Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
0 - 1Millwall
Derby3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Millwall
Derby1 - 0
Derby3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Derby1 - 0
0 - 3Millwall
Derby2 - 0
1 - 2Millwall
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Millwall
Goal Statistics

Millwall's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Derby County have conceded in each of their last 6 Championship matches. A PG of 1.8 for A. Neil's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been a problem for Derby County of late. It has been 6 Championship games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Millwall.

Millwall 12th Derby 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Millwall will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Derby will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Millwall’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+17
Derby have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2026/2027 season
Millwall
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
32%
better
MIL
DER
view stats
Games scored8
7
Failed to score2
3
Scored first7
4
Goals scored16
9
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.8
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for16
10
Avg. XG for1.9
1.1
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
28%
better
MIL
DER
view stats
Games conceded6
9
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first3
6
Goals conceded16
19
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+28%

Millwall v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Millwall Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11425
Z. Norton SturgeL DykesJ. MetcalfeJ. Metcalfe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z. Norton Sturge DEF111
3
-
J Cooper DEF1111
-
C Taylor DEF1121
-
J. Metcalfe MID112
4
1
L Dykes FWD1141
2
-
C Neghli FWD1132
1
-
M Sykes MID101
2
-
D Mazou-Sacko MID8
3
-
D Kelly MID8
-
L Cundle MID811
-
T Arconte FWD83
-
J Osei-Tutu DEF7
-
K Lisbie FWD71
2
-
Z Lovelace FWD71
-
M Crocombe GLK6
-
E Baggott DEF6
-
F Marschall GLK4
-
C Norre MID4
1
-
Y. Issoufou FWD4
-
J Coburn FWD42
1
-
R Leonard DEF3
1
-
T Crama DEF3
1
-
R Esse MID3
-
L Jensen GLK2
-
M Servais MID1
-
A Doughty MID1
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10324
B ClarkS SzmodicsB ClarkS Langas
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Clark MID1122
-
S Langas DEF10
4
-
D Sanderson DEF10
2
-
S Szmodics MID1031
1
-
R Hedges FWD10
1
-
L Salvesen FWD102
-
J Ward MID9
-
A Mowatt MID9
3
-
C Taylor DEF8
1
-
C Blackett-Taylor FWD8
2
-
R Brewster FWD81
1
-
J Zetterström GLK7
-
O Fraulo MID71
1
-
D Ozoh MID7
3
-
M Fuseini FWD711
2
-
C Morris FWD711
-
H. Meister FWD6
1
-
M Johnston DEF5
1
-
R Nyambe DEF5
-
L Travis MID5
2
-
J Vickers GLK4
-
F Bilbija FWD4
-
E Cashin DEF2
-
C Forsyth DEF2
-