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Plymouth Argyle v Leeds United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 12:30 BST, Home Park, Plymouth

the Home Park plays host on Saturday lunch time, as Leonid Kuchuk's Plymouth Argyle are visited by Daniel Farke's Leeds United in the Championship. Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds. Access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 58% chance of Leeds coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Plymouth
20%
7/1
6%
-
Draw
21%
9/2-
Leeds
58%
1/4
4%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
10/1-
Leeds 2-1
10%
8/1-
Leeds 1-0
9%
7/1
14%
-
Leeds 2-0
9%
11/2
8%
-
Leeds 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
-
Leeds 3-0
6%
7/1-
Plymouth 2-1
5%
25/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
22/1-
Plymouth 1-0
5%
22/1
21%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
16/1
31%
-
Leeds 3-2
4%
25/1
10%
-
Leeds 4-1
3%
16/1
11%
-
Leeds 4-0
3%
11/1
8%
-
Plymouth 2-0
3%
40/1-
Plymouth 3-1
2%
50/1
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
8/15
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
6/4
14%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
7/2-
Away 1st Goal
55%
1/5
2%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
31%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - No
43%
8/11
4%
-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
13/2-
BTTS - Away Win
29%
15/8
10%
-
Home/draw
42%
5/2
3%
-
Away/draw
80%
1/14
1%
-
Home/away
79%
1/8
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/6
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4/1
15%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/8
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/7
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
3/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/4
7%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
7/1
20%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/12
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/40
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
16/1
31%
-
Home DNB
35%
6/1-
Away DNB
73%
1/10-
Plymouth win to nil
9%
16/1
13%
-
Leeds win to nil
29%
11/10
5%
-
Plymouth / Plymouth
5%
16/1-
Plymouth / Leeds
4%
18/1
10%
-
Plymouth / Draw
4%
20/1-
Draw / Plymouth
4%
20/1
11%
-
Draw / Leeds
21%
3/1
7%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
13%
-
Leeds / Plymouth
2%
40/1
20%
-
Leeds / Leeds
46%
4/5
2%
-
Leeds / Draw
4%
18/1-
Win / draw / win Championship table

Plymouth have played 45 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

43 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 12 and won 11. Plymouth have conceded 80 goals, scored 49, failed to score in 18 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Plymouth have played 22 games at home, winning 9, drawing 7 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 39 goals, conceded 37 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Leeds lay in 1st place on 97 points in the Championship league table having played 45 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 45 games against teams below them in the table, winning 28, drawing 13 and losing 4 games. They have scored 93 goals and kept 25 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leeds have conceded 29 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Leeds have played 22 away games, winning 10, drawing 9 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Plymouth
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds Away45281346497 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
-
-
2
Burnley45271625197 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
3
Sheff Utd45287102789 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
4
Sunderland452113111576 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
5
Bristol C45171612467 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Coventry4519917466 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
7
Millwall45181215066 
w
 
5-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
8
Blackburn4519818565 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
9
M'Boro451810171064 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
10
West Brom45141912861 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Swansea4517919-560 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-4A
12
Sheff Wed45151218-957 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Watford4516821-856 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
14
Norwich45131517154 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
6-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
QPR45131418-1153 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
16
Portsmouth45141120-1353 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
1-0A
17
Oxford Utd45131319-1652 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Stoke45121419-1750 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
6-0F
w
 
0-2F
19
Derby45131022-849 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Preston45101916-1149 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
21
Luton45131022-2249 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
22
Hull45121221-1048 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
23
Plymouth Home45111321-3646 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
May 3
24
Cardiff4591719-2344 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
7-0F
w
 
0-2F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
3
Plymouth have won 3 consecutive home league games
Plymouth 23RD
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Leeds 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Leeds have beaten Plymouth in 5 consecutive league meetings
9
Leeds have not lost to Plymouth in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Plymouth since 2004
Plymouth
Leeds
Goals: Scored
1
8
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
LEE
4
League games at Leeds since 2004
Leeds
Plymouth
Goals: Scored
9
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
1 / 5
D
1
LEE
4
Goal Statistics

Leeds United's defensive record is very strong, D. Farke's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship outings. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Plymouth Argyle makes sense in this context.

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Leeds United in their meeting with Plymouth Argyle, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 15 consecutive Championship outings.

Plymouth 23rd Leeds 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Plymouth will score no more than 1 goal
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Leeds will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
Plymouth have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
+7
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280634/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Plymouth
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.1
2
Attack rating
PLY
LEE
39%
better
view stats
Games scored26
38
Failed to score19
7
Scored first11
29
Goals scored50
93
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.1
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for0.9
2
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
PLY
LEE
53%
better
view stats
Games conceded42
20
Clean sheets3
25
Conceded first32
13
Goals conceded86
29
Avg. goals conceded1.9
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against18%
13%
Avg. XG against1.8
0.7
KickOff rating
+53%

Plymouth v Leeds Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Plymouth Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3810611
A RandellR HardieM BunduD Gyabi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gyabi MID4312
11
-
B Mumba DEF422
3
-
A Randell MID3813
7
-
R Hardie FWD36103
-
M Bundu FWD36106
4
-
K. Szűcs DEF351
7
-
C Wright MID341
1
J Houghton MID30
2
-
M Obafemi FWD292
-
R Hajj MID283
1
-
C Hazard GLK24
4
-
V Pálsson DEF241
2
-
J Pleguezuelo DEF241
8
-
M Sorinola DEF241
9
1
D Grimshaw GLK211
2
-
F Issaka FWD191
1
N Ogbeta DEF1711
1
-
J Edwards DEF1611
4
1
T Puchacz DEF151
1
-
N Katic DEF141
2
-
B Galloway DEF13
-
M Tijani FWD1221
1
-
M Taloverov DEF1011
3
-
M Baidoo MID10
-
M Boateng MID6
-
C Roberts MID4
2
-
Leeds Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
45191211
J RodonJ PiroeM SolomonJ Bogle 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rodon DEF451
5
-
J Piroe FWD45197
1
-
B Aaronson MID4492
2
-
J Bogle  DEF4364
11
-
A Tanaka MID4252
9
-
W Gnonto FWD4285
5
-
I Meslier GLK39
-
M Joseph FWD3833
-
M Solomon FWD38912
2
-
D James MID36129
4
-
P Struijk DEF355
2
-
S Byram DEF3511
4
-
J Rothwell MID354
2
-
J Firpo DEF32410
7
-
E Ampadu MID28
8
-
L Ramazani FWD2862
2
-
I Gruev MID222
3
-
A Cil MID16
-
P Bamford FWD15
-
I Schmidt DEF12
-
M Wöber DEF71
1
-
K Darlow GLK6
1
-