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Southampton v Stoke City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Aug, 15:00 BST, St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton

Mark Warburton takes his Stoke City troops to the St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, with Edward Still's Southampton their challengers. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 75% chance of Southampton and Stoke 3 goals or less combined during this Championship match according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Southampton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Southampton
56%
7/103/4
Draw
24%
14/513/5
Stoke
20%
15/418/5
Southampton 1-0
13%
11/219/4
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Southampton 2-0
11%
13/26/1
Southampton 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
7%
9/17/1
Stoke 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Southampton 3-0
6%
12/111/1
Southampton 3-1
6%
14/112/1
Stoke 2-1
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
4%
18/114/1
Stoke 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Southampton 4-0
3%
25/120/1
Southampton 3-2
2%
28/120/1
Southampton 4-1
2%
28/122/1
Stoke 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/121/20
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/58/11
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/74/7
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/49/5
No 1st Goal
5%
9/17/1
BTTS - Yes
49%
10/111/1
BTTS - No
51%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/129/10
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/24/1
BTTS - Away Win
9%
17/215/2
Home/draw
80%
2/112/11
Away/draw
44%
11/1021/20
Home/away
76%
1/42/7
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/37/20
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/52/1
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
11/45/2
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/71/4
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/101/12
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/66
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/161/16
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/17/1
Home DNB
73%
2/72/7
Away DNB
36%
5/223/10
Southampton win to nil
33%
13/8-
Stoke win to nil
11%
7/1-
Southampton / Southampton
30%
13/817/10
Southampton / Stoke
2%
40/128/1
Southampton / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Southampton
18%
7/210/3
Draw / Stoke
8%
9/18/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
Stoke / Southampton
4%
22/118/1
Stoke / Stoke
10%
15/26/1
Stoke / Draw
5%
16/112/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Southampton
Stoke
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Stoke220056 
Aug 23
Jan 31
-
-
2
M'Boro220046 
Sep 27
Jan 4
Jan 21
Sep 30
3
West Brom220026 
Dec 9
Mar 11
Aug 30
Feb 7
4
Bristol C211034 
Apr 21
Oct 21
Nov 1
May 2
5
Coventry211024 
Dec 20
Mar 14
Nov 8
Feb 28
6
Preston211014 
Nov 1
May 2
Dec 26
Mar 21
7
Birmingham211014 
Dec 6
Dec 29
Sep 13
Jan 24
8
Hull211014 
Jan 17
Sep 20
Nov 29
Jan 1
9
Southampton211014 
-
-
Jan 31
Aug 23
10
Charlton211014 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Nov 25
Feb 14
11
Leicester210103 
Nov 25
Feb 14
Feb 21
Nov 22
12
Norwich210103 
Mar 7
Dec 13
Sep 27
Jan 4
13
Watford210103 
Feb 7
Aug 30
Mar 14
Dec 20
14
Portsmouth210103 
Sep 14
Jan 25
Apr 25
Oct 25
15
Swansea210103 
Oct 18
Apr 18
Dec 13
Mar 7
16
Millwall2101-23 
Jan 1
Nov 29
Apr 21
Oct 21
17
Ipswich202002 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1A
Mar 10
Dec 10
18
QPR2011-11 
Feb 24
Nov 5
Jan 17
Sep 20
19
Wrexham2002-20 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Oct 18
Apr 18
20
Oxford Utd2002-20 
Mar 21
Dec 26
Feb 24
Nov 4
21
Blackburn2002-20 
Apr 25
Oct 25
Apr 11
Oct 4
22
Derby2002-40 
Apr 11
Oct 4
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
23
Sheff Wed2002-40 
Nov 8
Feb 28
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
24
Sheff Utd2002-40 
Jan 21
Sep 30
Dec 29
Dec 6
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Southampton 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
48
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Southampton2 - 1Wrexham
Southampton1 - 2Arsenal
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Southampton1 - 2Fulham
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Southampton1 - 1C Palace
Southampton1 - 2Wolves
Southampton0 - 4Brighton
Southampton1 - 3Bournemouth
Southampton1 - 3Newcastle
Southampton0 - 5Brentford
Southampton0 - 1West Ham
Southampton0 - 5Spurs
Southampton1 - 5Chelsea
Southampton2 - 3Liverpool
Southampton1 - 0Everton
Southampton2 - 3Leicester
Southampton1 - 1Ipswich
Southampton0 - 3Man Utd
Southampton0 - 1Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASouthampton1 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton2 - 1Wrexham
HSouthampton1 - 2Arsenal
ASouthampton0 - 2Everton
HSouthampton0 - 0Man City
ASouthampton0 - 2Leicester
HSouthampton1 - 2Fulham
ASouthampton1 - 1West Ham
HSouthampton0 - 3A Villa
ASouthampton1 - 3Spurs
HSouthampton1 - 1C Palace
HSouthampton1 - 2Wolves
ASouthampton1 - 3Liverpool
ASouthampton0 - 4Chelsea
HSouthampton0 - 4Brighton
HSouthampton1 - 3Bournemouth
ASouthampton2 - 1Ipswich
HSouthampton1 - 3Newcastle
ASouthampton2 - 3Nottm Forest
ASouthampton1 - 3Man Utd
Stoke 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sheff Wed0 - 3Stoke
Derby0 - 0Stoke
Leeds6 - 0Stoke
Cardiff0 - 1Stoke
Preston1 - 1Stoke
Millwall1 - 0Stoke
Coventry3 - 2Stoke
Norwich4 - 2Stoke
Bristol C2 - 0Stoke
Hull1 - 2Stoke
Portsmouth3 - 1Stoke
West Brom1 - 1Stoke
Burnley0 - 0Stoke
Sheff Wed2 - 0Stoke
Luton2 - 1Stoke
Sunderland2 - 1Stoke
QPR1 - 1Stoke
Blackburn0 - 2Stoke
Sheff Utd2 - 0Stoke
Swansea0 - 0Stoke
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke3 - 0Sheff Wed
HStoke3 - 1Derby
AStoke0 - 0Derby
HStoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
AStoke0 - 6Leeds
HStoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
AStoke1 - 0Cardiff
HStoke1 - 1Luton
AStoke1 - 1Preston
HStoke3 - 1QPR
AStoke0 - 1Millwall
HStoke1 - 0Blackburn
AStoke2 - 3Coventry
HStoke0 - 0Watford
HStoke1 - 3M'Boro
AStoke2 - 4Norwich
HStoke3 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 2Bristol C
AStoke2 - 1Hull
HStoke0 - 0Oxford Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Stoke have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive away league meetings with Southampton
League games at Southampton since 2005
Southampton
Stoke
Goals: Scored
10
8
Games: Scored
6 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
4 / 10
SOU
4
D
3
STK
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Southampton
0 - 1Stoke
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Stoke
0 - 1Stoke
Southampton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Southampton3 - 2
Southampton1 - 0
Southampton2 - 0
League games at Stoke since 2006
Stoke
Southampton
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
8 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
2 / 10
SOU
3
D
3
STK
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
0 - 1Southampton
Stoke2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Southampton
Stoke2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Stoke3 - 2
Stoke2 - 1
1 - 2Southampton
Goal Statistics
Southampton 9th Stoke 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Southampton will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Stoke scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-36
Southampton have scored 36% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Stoke’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
2.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Southampton
PG (predicted goals)
Stoke
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
SOU
STK
17%
better
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored2
3
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
6
Avg. shots per goal10
4
Conversion rate for10
27
Avg. XG for4
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
9%
better
SOU
STK
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded1
1
Avg. goals conceded0.5
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded4
2
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
3
Conversion rate against14%
33%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.5
KickOff rating
+9%

Southampton v Stoke Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Southampton Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2111
G BazunuR ManningR FraserWelington 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Bazunu GLK2
-
J Quarshie DEF2
-
Welington  DEF2
1
-
Y Sugawara DEF2
-
R Manning DEF21
-
J Stephens DEF21
-
M Fernandes MID2
-
F Downes MID2
1
-
S Charles MID2
1
-
J. Robinson FWD21
-
A Armstrong FWD2
-
C Archer FWD2
1
-
R Fraser FWD21
-
R Edwards DEF1
-
T Harwood-Bellis DEF1
-
K Matsuki MID1
-
D Downs FWD11
-
R Stewart FWD1
-
T Obling FWD1
-
Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2231
V JohanssonD MubamaS ThomasV Johansson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK2
1
-
A Phillips DEF2
-
A Cresswell  DEF2
-
J Tchamadeu DEF2
1
-
B Wilmot DEF2
1
-
J. Donley MID21
-
S Thomas MID213
-
L Baker MID21
-
T Seko MID21
-
J. Bae MID21
-
R Bozenik FWD2
-
D Mubama FWD22
-
M Manhoef FWD22
-
E Bocat DEF1
-
B Pearson MID1
-