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Stoke City v Birmingham City : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Sep, 15:00 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Mark Robins and Chris Davies pit their wits in the Championship on Saturday afternoon, as Stoke City face Birmingham City at the bet365 Stadium. Championship statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) history included too. It's all on this page, with data visualisations and odds available for the biggest betting markets using the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Stoke and Birmingham no more than 3 goals combined during this Championship match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
35%
7/4-
Draw
26%
23/10-
Birmingham
38%
6/4-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Birmingham 1-0
10%
7/1-
Stoke 1-0
10%
15/2-
Birmingham 2-1
8%
9/1-
Stoke 2-1
8%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
17/2-
Birmingham 2-0
7%
11/1-
Stoke 2-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Birmingham 3-1
4%
20/1-
Stoke 3-1
3%
22/1-
Birmingham 3-0
3%
22/1-
Stoke 3-0
3%
28/1-
Birmingham 3-2
2%
28/1-
Stoke 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
47%
21/20-
Away 1st Goal
48%
10/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
17/2-
BTTS - Yes
53%
4/5-
BTTS - No
47%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
4/1-
Home/draw
62%
1/2-
Away/draw
65%
2/5-
Home/away
74%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
12/5-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
17/2-
Home DNB
54%
10/11-
Away DNB
57%
4/5-
Stoke win to nil
19%
7/2-
Birmingham win to nil
21%
10/3-
Stoke / Stoke
18%
7/2-
Stoke / Birmingham
3%
25/1-
Stoke / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Stoke
13%
11/2-
Draw / Birmingham
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Birmingham / Stoke
3%
28/1-
Birmingham / Birmingham
21%
3/1-
Birmingham / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Championship table
Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
Birmingham
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
M'Boro4400612 
Jan 21
Sep 30
Feb 28
Nov 8
2
West Brom4310310 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 7
Feb 14
Nov 26
3
Stoke430159 
-
-
Jan 24
Sep 13
4
Leicester430139 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
5
Coventry422088 
Nov 8
Feb 28
Jan 4
Sep 27
6
Bristol C422058 
Nov 1
May 2
Apr 25
Oct 25
7
Swansea421127 
Dec 13
Mar 7
Sep 20
Jan 17
8
Portsmouth421117 
Apr 25
Oct 25
Nov 1
May 2
9
Preston421117 
Dec 26
Mar 21
Apr 22
Oct 21
10
Birmingham421107 
Sep 13
Jan 24
-
-
11
Norwich420216 
Sep 27
Jan 4
Nov 22
Feb 21
12
Millwall4202-36 
Apr 21
Oct 21
Nov 4
Feb 25
13
Southampton412105 
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
Dec 29
Dec 6
14
Watford412105 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Dec 1
Jan 1
15
Wrexham411204 
Oct 18
Apr 18
Apr 11
Oct 3
16
Charlton4112-24 
Nov 25
Feb 14
Dec 13
Mar 7
17
Hull4112-44 
Nov 29
Jan 1
Oct 18
Apr 18
18
QPR4112-54 
Jan 17
Sep 20
Mar 10
Dec 9
19
Blackburn4103-13 
Apr 11
Oct 4
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
20
Ipswich4031-13 
Mar 10
Dec 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 6
21
Derby4022-42 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
Dec 26
Mar 21
22
Oxford Utd4013-31 
Feb 24
Nov 4
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
23
Sheff Wed4013-61 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
Sep 30
Jan 20
24
Sheff Utd4004-60 
Dec 29
Dec 6
Mar 14
Dec 20
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Birmingham 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stoke since 1998
Stoke
Birmingham
Goals: Scored
10
18
Games: Scored
6 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
4 / 10
STK
2
D
3
BIR
5
League games at Birmingham since 1997
Birmingham
Stoke
Goals: Scored
11
4
Games: Scored
7 / 10
2 / 10
Clean sheets
8 / 10
3 / 10
STK
1
D
3
BIR
6
Goal Statistics
Stoke 1st Birmingham 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Birmingham will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Stoke have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Birmingham’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
Birmingham
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
STK
BIR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
STK
BIR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Stoke v Birmingham Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3232
V JohanssonS ThomasS ThomasV Johansson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Johansson GLK31
2
-
A Phillips DEF3
-
A Cresswell  DEF3
-
J Tchamadeu DEF3
2
-
B Wilmot DEF3
1
-
S Thomas MID323
-
L Baker MID32
-
T Seko MID31
1
-
J. Bae MID31
-
R Bozenik FWD3
-
D Mubama FWD32
1
1
M Manhoef FWD32
-
E Bocat DEF2
-
J. Donley MID21
-
B Pearson MID1
-
Birmingham Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4212
R AllsopJ StansfieldE LairdB Osayi-Samuel
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Allsop GLK4
-
B Osayi-Samuel DEF4
2
-
P Neumann DEF4
-
E Laird DEF41
-
C Klarer DEF4
1
-
S Paik MID41
1
-
T Iwata MID4
1
-
T Doyle MID4
-
K Furuhashi FWD4
1
-
D Gray FWD41
1
-
L Dykes FWD41
-
K Anderson  FWD4
-
W Willumsson MID3
-
J Stansfield FWD32
-
A Cochrane DEF2
-
E Cashin DEF1
-
T Gardner-Hickman DEF1
-
L. Koumas FWD1
-
M Ducksch FWD1
-