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Stoke City v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 21st Jan, 20:00 BST, bet365 Stadium, Stoke

Wednesday night at the bet365 Stadium, and it’s a Championship showdown between Stoke City and Middlesbrough. Mark Robins and Rob Edwards going all-out to claim the win. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stoke
45%
--
Draw
28%
--
M'Boro
27%
--
Stoke 1-0
14%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
M'Boro 1-0
10%
--
Stoke 2-0
9%
--
Stoke 2-1
9%
--
M'Boro 2-1
6%
--
M'Boro 2-0
5%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Stoke 3-0
4%
--
Stoke 3-1
4%
--
M'Boro 3-1
2%
--
Stoke 3-2
2%
--
M'Boro 3-0
1%
--
Stoke 4-0
1%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
--
Away 1st Goal
42%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
45%
--
BTTS - No
55%
--
BTTS - Home Win
17%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
73%
--
Away/draw
55%
--
Home/away
72%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
65%
--
Away DNB
46%
--
Stoke win to nil
29%
--
M'Boro win to nil
16%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Stoke have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Stoke have conceded 7 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stoke have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 2nd place on 46 points in the Championship league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 13 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stoke
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry2615742852 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 28
l
 
2-4A
Feb 16
2
M'Boro2613761146 
Jan 21
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
3
Ipswich2512851844 
Mar 10
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
4
Preston26111051143 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
Jan 24
d
 
2-2A
5
Millwall261277-443 
Apr 21
l
 
2-0A
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
6
Watford251186841 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
7
Hull251258241 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-4F
8
Stoke2612410940 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 21
9
Wrexham2610106640 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
d
 
1-1A
May 2
10
Bristol C261169939 
w
 
5-1F
May 2
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
11
QPR2611510-138 
Jan 17
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
Mar 7
12
Leicester261079-137 
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
Feb 24
d
 
1-1A
13
Derby26989035 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 6
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
14
Birmingham269710-134 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
15
Southampton26899033 
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
16
Sheff Utd2510213-232 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 9
17
Swansea269512-632 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 7
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
18
West Brom269413-631 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 7
w
 
2-1F
Jan 16
19
Charlton257810-729 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 14
Mar 11
w
 
1-2F
20
Blackburn257711-628 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
21
Portsmouth246711-1425 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
22
Norwich266614-1124 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
Jan 31
w
 
1-2F
23
Oxford Utd255713-1022 
Feb 25
w
 
0-3F
Feb 21
d
 
1-1A
24
Sheff Wed251816-33-7 
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
Apr 21
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Stoke 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Stoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke0 - 0Preston
Stoke2 - 1Swansea
Stoke1 - 2Hull
Stoke3 - 0Charlton
Stoke0 - 1Coventry
Stoke5 - 1Bristol C
Stoke1 - 0Wrexham
Stoke1 - 1Norwich
Stoke1 - 0Birmingham
Stoke0 - 1West Brom
Stoke3 - 1Derby
Stoke0 - 2Sheff Utd
Stoke2 - 0Sheff Wed
Stoke1 - 1Luton
Stoke3 - 1QPR
Stoke1 - 0Blackburn
Stoke0 - 0Watford
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Stoke3 - 1Swansea
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AStoke2 - 0Norwich
AStoke1 - 0Hull
HStoke1 - 2Sheff Utd
HStoke0 - 0Preston
AStoke0 - 1Watford
HStoke2 - 1Swansea
AStoke0 - 1Ipswich
AStoke0 - 4Sheff Utd
HStoke1 - 2Hull
HStoke3 - 0Charlton
AStoke1 - 2Leicester
HStoke0 - 1Coventry
AStoke3 - 0Oxford Utd
HStoke5 - 1Bristol C
AStoke1 - 0Portsmouth
AStoke0 - 2Millwall
HStoke1 - 0Wrexham
AStoke1 - 1Blackburn
AStoke0 - 0M'Boro
HStoke1 - 1Norwich
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 0M'Boro
Charlton1 - 2M'Boro
Hull1 - 4M'Boro
Oxford Utd1 - 1M'Boro
Leicester1 - 1M'Boro
Watford3 - 0M'Boro
Sheff Wed0 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth1 - 0M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Preston2 - 2M'Boro
Norwich1 - 2M'Boro
Millwall0 - 3M'Boro
Coventry2 - 0M'Boro
Sheff Wed2 - 1M'Boro
Millwall1 - 0M'Boro
Blackburn0 - 2M'Boro
Luton0 - 0M'Boro
Swansea1 - 0M'Boro
Stoke1 - 3M'Boro
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HM'Boro4 - 0Southampton
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro0 - 1Hull
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro3 - 1QPR
AM'Boro2 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 1Hull
HM'Boro2 - 1Derby
HM'Boro2 - 4Coventry
AM'Boro1 - 1Oxford Utd
HM'Boro2 - 1Birmingham
AM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
AM'Boro0 - 3Watford
HM'Boro1 - 1Wrexham
AM'Boro1 - 0Sheff Wed
HM'Boro2 - 1Ipswich
AM'Boro0 - 1Portsmouth
HM'Boro0 - 0Stoke
AM'Boro1 - 1Southampton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Stoke since 1993
Stoke
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
14
11
Games: Scored
9 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
3 / 12
STK
5
D
4
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stoke
1 - 3M'Boro
Stoke2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke1 - 0
0 - 2M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
Stoke2 - 0
Stoke1 - 0
1 - 2M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Stoke3 - 1
League games at M'Boro since 1993
M'Boro
Stoke
Goals: Scored
18
11
Games: Scored
10 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
3 / 13
STK
3
D
3
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro2 - 0
0 - 2Stoke
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro3 - 1
M'Boro3 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 1Stoke
M'Boro2 - 1
1 - 2Stoke
Goal Statistics
Stoke 10th M'Boro 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Stoke will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of M'Boro scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Stoke’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-15
M'Boro have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Stoke
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
STK
MID
6%
better
view stats
Games scored17
19
Failed to score9
7
Scored first13
12
Goals scored32
37
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
15%
better
STK
MID
view stats
Games conceded16
19
Clean sheets10
7
Conceded first11
12
Goals conceded23
26
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
15%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+15%

Stoke v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Stoke Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26969
S ThomasS ThomasS ThomasJ Tchamadeu
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Thomas FWD2696
6
-
M Manhoef FWD2652
-
B Wilmot DEF251
3
-
T Seko MID251
2
-
V Johansson GLK241
2
-
J. Bae MID2413
1
-
D Mubama FWD2451
2
1
J Tchamadeu DEF2011
9
-
A Phillips DEF191
5
-
R Bozenik FWD191
2
-
A Cresswell  DEF182
2
-
T Rigo MID18
1
-
B Pearson MID171
5
1
L Cissé FWD161
1
-
S Nzonzi MID151
1
-
L Baker MID1241
1
-
E Bocat DEF101
-
S Gallagher FWD101
-
M Taloverov DEF5
4
-
J. Donley MID41
-
B Gibson DEF3
1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261055
S BrynnM WhittakerH HackneyL Ayling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK261
-
H Hackney MID2635
4
-
T Conway FWD2632
3
-
M Whittaker FWD25103
3
-
C Brittain DEF244
3
-
L Ayling DEF2413
5
-
M Targett DEF2322
3
-
A Jones DEF2211
3
1
D Burgzorg FWD2212
1
-
K Sène FWD212
2
-
A Morris MID202
-
A Browne MID201
1
-
S Nypan MID19
2
-
S Silvera FWD161
3
-
D Strelec FWD153
1
-
D Fry DEF122
-
S Hansen FWD121
1
-
R McGree MID1021
1
-
A Bangura DEF81
-
A Gilbert MID811
3
-
G Edmundson DEF6
1
-
A. Raslan Kanté MID4
-
M. Hamilton FWD4
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-