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Swansea City v Middlesbrough : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 6th Apr, 17:30 BST, Liberty Stadium, Swansea

Monday evening sees Vitor Matos’s Swansea City and Kim Hellberg’s Middlesbrough go up against one another in a Championship clash at the Liberty Stadium. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Championship clash.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swansea
39%
--
Draw
26%
--
M'Boro
34%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Swansea 1-0
10%
--
M'Boro 1-0
9%
--
Swansea 2-1
8%
--
M'Boro 2-1
8%
--
Draw 0-0
7%
--
Swansea 2-0
7%
--
M'Boro 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Swansea 3-1
4%
--
M'Boro 3-1
3%
--
Swansea 3-0
3%
--
M'Boro 3-0
2%
--
Swansea 3-2
2%
--
M'Boro 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Home 1st Goal
49%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
5%
--
BTTS - Yes
53%
--
BTTS - No
47%
--
BTTS - Home Win
18%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
--
Home/draw
66%
--
Away/draw
61%
--
Home/away
74%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
--
Home DNB
58%
--
Away DNB
53%
--
Swansea win to nil
21%
--
M'Boro win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Swansea have played 39 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Swansea have conceded 34 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Swansea have played 20 games at home, winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

M'Boro lay in 2nd place on 71 points in the Championship league table having played 39 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 37 games against teams below them in the table, winning 20, drawing 11 and losing 6 games. They have scored 56 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. M'Boro have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 10 matches.

Away league performance

M'Boro have played 20 away games, winning 10, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swansea
M'Boro
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Coventry3924874180 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-4A
l
 
3-1A
2
M'Boro39201182271 
Apr 6
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
Ipswich38191272869 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
4
Millwall3920910969 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Apr 3
w
 
0-3F
5
Hull3920613566 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-4F
6
Southampton391712101563 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
7
Wrexham39171210963 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 2
8
Derby3917913860 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
9
Watford39141411456 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
Apr 25
l
 
3-0A
10
Norwich3916617654 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
11
Birmingham39141114-153 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
12
QPR3915816-653 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
13
Preston39131313-452 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
14
Swansea3915717-552 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 6
15
Stoke3914916351 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
16
Bristol C3914916-151 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
17
Sheff Utd3915519050 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 3
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
18
Charlton39121215-1048 
May 2
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2F
19
Blackburn39111018-1343 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
20
West Brom39111018-1443 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3F
21
Portsmouth38101018-1740 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
22
Leicester39111216-939 
l
 
1-3A
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
23
Oxford Utd3991218-1539 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
24
Sheff Wed391929-55-6 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
Apr 22
w
 
0-1F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Swansea 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swansea0 - 3Coventry
Swansea2 - 0Stoke
Swansea1 - 1Preston
Swansea1 - 0Bristol C
Swansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
Swansea3 - 1Blackburn
Swansea1 - 1Birmingham
Swansea1 - 0West Brom
Swansea2 - 1Wrexham
Swansea1 - 0Portsmouth
Swansea2 - 0Oxford Utd
Swansea1 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 4Ipswich
Swansea2 - 1Norwich
Swansea0 - 1QPR
Swansea1 - 3Leicester
Swansea1 - 1Millwall
Swansea2 - 2Hull
Swansea1 - 1Watford
Swansea1 - 0Sheff Utd
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwansea0 - 3Coventry
ASwansea0 - 2Wrexham
ASwansea2 - 1Portsmouth
HSwansea2 - 0Stoke
ASwansea0 - 3Ipswich
HSwansea1 - 1Preston
HSwansea1 - 0Bristol C
ASwansea0 - 2Derby
HSwansea4 - 0Sheff Wed
ASwansea2 - 0Watford
ASwansea1 - 2Hull
HSwansea3 - 1Blackburn
HSwansea1 - 1Birmingham
ASwansea1 - 2Millwall
HSwansea1 - 0West Brom
ASwansea1 - 0Oxford Utd
ASwansea0 - 1Coventry
HSwansea2 - 1Wrexham
ASwansea1 - 2Stoke
HSwansea1 - 0Portsmouth
M'Boro 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Blackburn0 - 0M'Boro
QPR0 - 4M'Boro
Birmingham1 - 3M'Boro
Coventry3 - 1M'Boro
Sheff Utd1 - 2M'Boro
Stoke1 - 2M'Boro
West Brom2 - 3M'Boro
Derby1 - 0M'Boro
Bristol C2 - 0M'Boro
Charlton1 - 2M'Boro
Hull1 - 4M'Boro
Oxford Utd1 - 1M'Boro
Leicester1 - 1M'Boro
Watford3 - 0M'Boro
Sheff Wed0 - 1M'Boro
Portsmouth1 - 0M'Boro
Southampton1 - 1M'Boro
Preston2 - 2M'Boro
Norwich1 - 2M'Boro
Millwall0 - 3M'Boro
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
HM'Boro1 - 1Bristol C
HM'Boro0 - 1Charlton
AM'Boro4 - 0QPR
AM'Boro3 - 1Birmingham
HM'Boro1 - 1Leicester
HM'Boro0 - 0Oxford Utd
AM'Boro1 - 3Coventry
AM'Boro2 - 1Sheff Utd
HM'Boro1 - 0Norwich
HM'Boro4 - 0Preston
AM'Boro2 - 1Stoke
AM'Boro3 - 2West Brom
HM'Boro4 - 0Southampton
AM'Boro0 - 1Derby
HM'Boro0 - 1Hull
HM'Boro0 - 0Blackburn
AM'Boro0 - 2Bristol C
HM'Boro3 - 1QPR
AM'Boro2 - 1Charlton
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Swansea since 2009
Swansea
M'Boro
Goals: Scored
13
12
Games: Scored
8 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
2 / 10
SWA
5
D
2
MID
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swansea
Swansea1 - 0
1 - 2M'Boro
1 - 3M'Boro
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swansea2 - 1
Swansea3 - 1
Swansea3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Swansea1 - 0
0 - 3M'Boro
League games at M'Boro since 2010
M'Boro
Swansea
Goals: Scored
16
10
Games: Scored
9 / 11
5 / 11
Clean sheets
6 / 11
2 / 11
SWA
2
D
2
MID
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT M'Boro
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro2 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
M'Boro1 - 0
M'Boro2 - 1
0 - 3Swansea
Draw0 - 0Draw
M'Boro3 - 0
3 - 4Swansea
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Middlesbrough's defensive record is very strong, K. Hellberg's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Championship games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Swansea City makes sense in this context.

Swansea 14th M'Boro 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Swansea will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that M'Boro will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Swansea’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
M'Boro have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
Swansea
PG (predicted goals)
M'Boro
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
SWA
MID
9%
better
view stats
Games scored29
29
Failed to score10
10
Scored first17
19
Goals scored44
59
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
SWA
MID
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
27
Clean sheets11
12
Conceded first21
16
Goals conceded49
37
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1
KickOff rating
+11%

Swansea v M'Boro Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Swansea Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3917911
L VigourouxZ VipotnikJ TymonM Stamenić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Vigouroux GLK39
-
C Burgess DEF39
7
-
E Galbraith MID3931
6
-
Ronald FWD3935
3
-
J Tymon DEF3819
9
-
B Cabango DEF381
8
-
G Franco MID3834
6
-
J Eom  FWD3811
1
-
Z Vipotnik FWD37172
2
-
L Cullen MID335
5
-
M. Widell MID311
3
-
M Stamenić MID3022
11
-
J Key DEF282
3
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID2812
1
1
J Fulton MID261
5
-
Z Inoussa FWD252
4
-
A Idah FWD1831
1
-
G. Nunes Fernandes Gomes FWD91
-
J Ward DEF8
1
-
I Samuels-Smith DEF61
2
-
L Walta MID6
-
R Santos DEF1
-
O Cooper MID1
-
M'Boro Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
391179
S BrynnM WhittakerH HackneyL Ayling
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Brynn GLK391
1
-
T Conway FWD3984
5
-
H Hackney MID3857
4
-
M Targett DEF3643
4
-
L Ayling DEF3615
9
-
M Whittaker FWD36116
3
-
C Brittain DEF344
5
-
A Morris MID333
3
-
A Browne MID3241
1
-
D Strelec FWD255
1
-
K Sène FWD242
2
-
D Fry DEF222
-
A Jones DEF2211
3
1
R McGree MID2153
1
-
S Silvera FWD1921
3
-
A Gilbert MID1711
5
-
A Malanda DEF14
2
-
S Hansen FWD141
1
-
J Sarmiento  FWD10
-
A Bangura DEF91
-
G Edmundson DEF7
1
-
L. Castledine MID71
-
M. Hamilton FWD4
-
D Lenihan DEF2
1
-
F. Munroe DEF2
-