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West Bromwich Albion v Derby County : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

The Hawthorns, West Bromwich

The Hawthorns is the setting on Monday afternoon, as Tony Mowbray's West Bromwich Albion are visited by John Coleman's Derby County in the Championship. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Championship matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.

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West Bromwich Albion's next match is v Luton at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
Derby County's next match is v Stoke at 12:30 on Saturday 3rd May
The last English Championship meeting between West Brom and Derby was on Monday 21st April 2025
English Championship
April 21st 2025
West Brom 1
3 Derby
 
A. Armstrong 70'7' E. Adams
30' J. Yates
87' N. Mendez-Laing
 
WBA
DER
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
7
1
Corners
4
3
Possession
72%
28%
Fouls
10
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
West BromDerby
 
J. Griffiths
D. Furlong (A. Armstrong 63')
K. Bartley
T. Heggem
M. Holgate (J. Wallace 63')
G. Diangana
T. Fellows
O. Diakite (A. Mowatt 79')
I. Price
W. Lankshear (K. Ahearne-Grant 64')
M. Johnston (D. Dike 63')
J. Vickers
K. Wilson
S. Langås
N. Phillips
M. Clarke
C. Forsyth
football iconE. Adams
H. Armstrong
(K. Jackson 81') M. Harness
L. Thompson
(N. Mendez-Laing 86') football iconJ. Yates

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Championship Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but good reason to think West Brom and Derby will score at least a couple of goals between them. That has been the case when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Tony Mowbray or John Coleman has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.36 equating to approximately a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think West Brom are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
West Brom
56%
19/20
20%
-
Draw
24%
9/4
19%
-
Derby
20%
16/5
16%
-
West Brom 1-0
12%
5/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2
13%
-
West Brom 2-0
10%
7/1
14%
-
West Brom 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
6/1
26%
-
Derby 1-0
7%
17/2
14%
-
West Brom 3-0
6%
16/1
42%
-
West Brom 3-1
6%
18/1
27%
-
Derby 2-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
10%
-
Derby 2-0
3%
20/1
19%
-
West Brom 4-0
3%
40/1
78%
-
West Brom 3-2
3%
33/1-
West Brom 4-1
2%
40/1
41%
-
Derby 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
6/4
19%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
8/15
12%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/13
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
15/8
11%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
6/1
26%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
11/10-
BTTS - No
50%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
4/1
25%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
17%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9/1
9%
-
Home/draw
80%
2/9
4%
-
Away/draw
44%
4/5
20%
-
Home/away
76%
1/3
9%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/2
10%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
13/8
18%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
7/2
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/5
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
10/1
38%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/20
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
22/1
35%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/80
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/10
4%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
6/1
26%
-
Home DNB
73%
4/11
9%
-
Away DNB
37%
2/1
20%
-
West Brom win to nil
32%
7/4
10%
-
Derby win to nil
11%
11/2
19%
-
West Brom / West Brom
26%
11/5
23%
-
West Brom / Derby
2%
40/1-
West Brom / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / West Brom
17%
15/4
10%
-
Draw / Derby
10%
7/1
20%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
18%
-
Derby / West Brom
3%
28/1
26%
-
Derby / Derby
12%
6/1
26%
-
Derby / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
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Win / draw / win Championship table

West Brom have played 43 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 11 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. West Brom have outscored their opponents by 51 goals to 44 goals.

Home League Performance

West Brom have played 21 games at home winning 10, drawing 8 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 10 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Derby are in 21st position in the Championship on 43 points having played 43 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 37 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 19 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

37 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 9 and won 9. Derby have conceded 47 goals, scored 37, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 9 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
West Brom
Derby
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leeds45281346497 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
2
Burnley45271625197 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
3
Sheff Utd45287102789 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
Sunderland452113111576 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
5
Bristol C45171612467 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
6
Coventry4519917466 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
7
Millwall45181215066 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
8
Blackburn4519818565 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2A
9
M'Boro451810171064 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
West Brom Home45141912861 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
11
Swansea4517919-560 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Sheff Wed45151218-957 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-2A
13
Watford4516821-856 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
14
Norwich45131517154 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
15
QPR45131418-1153 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
16
Portsmouth45141120-1353 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
17
Oxford Utd45131319-1652 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
18
Stoke45121419-1750 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
May 3
l
 
2-1A
19
Derby Away45131022-849 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
20
Preston45101916-1149 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
21
Luton45131022-2249 
May 3
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
22
Hull45121221-1048 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
23
Plymouth45111321-3646 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
24
Cardiff4591719-2344 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
West Brom 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
West Brom2 - 1Watford
West Brom0 - 1Sunderland
West Brom1 - 1Hull
West Brom1 - 0QPR
West Brom2 - 0Oxford Utd
West Brom0 - 2Blackburn
West Brom2 - 1Sheff Wed
West Brom5 - 1Portsmouth
West Brom1 - 1Stoke
West Brom3 - 1Preston
West Brom2 - 0Bristol C
West Brom2 - 0Coventry
West Brom2 - 2Sheff Utd
West Brom2 - 2Norwich
West Brom0 - 0Burnley
West Brom0 - 0Cardiff
West Brom0 - 0Millwall
West Brom0 - 1M'Boro
West Brom1 - 0Plymouth
West Brom1 - 0Swansea
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWest Brom0 - 2Coventry
HWest Brom2 - 1Watford
AWest Brom1 - 2Bristol C
HWest Brom0 - 1Sunderland
AWest Brom0 - 1Norwich
HWest Brom1 - 1Hull
AWest Brom1 - 1Burnley
HWest Brom1 - 0QPR
AWest Brom1 - 1Leeds
HWest Brom2 - 0Oxford Utd
AWest Brom1 - 1Millwall
HWest Brom0 - 2Blackburn
HWest Brom2 - 1Sheff Wed
AWest Brom1 - 2Plymouth
HWest Brom5 - 1Portsmouth
AWest Brom0 - 2M'Boro
HWest Brom1 - 1Stoke
AWest Brom1 - 1Swansea
HWest Brom3 - 1Preston
AWest Brom1 - 1Sheff Utd
Derby 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
2
Draw
6
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Swansea1 - 0Derby
Plymouth2 - 3Derby
M'Boro1 - 0Derby
QPR4 - 0Derby
Norwich1 - 1Derby
Cardiff2 - 1Derby
Bristol C1 - 0Derby
Sheff Wed4 - 2Derby
Luton2 - 1Derby
Burnley0 - 0Derby
Leeds2 - 0Derby
Preston1 - 1Derby
Coventry1 - 2Derby
Stoke2 - 1Derby
Oxford Utd1 - 1Derby
Millwall1 - 1Derby
Sunderland2 - 0Derby
Sheff Utd1 - 0Derby
Watford2 - 1Derby
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerby0 - 1Luton
ADerby2 - 2Portsmouth
HDerby0 - 0Burnley
ADerby0 - 1Swansea
HDerby2 - 0Preston
ADerby3 - 2Plymouth
HDerby2 - 0Coventry
HDerby2 - 1Blackburn
ADerby0 - 1M'Boro
HDerby0 - 1Millwall
ADerby0 - 4QPR
HDerby0 - 0Oxford Utd
ADerby1 - 1Norwich
HDerby0 - 1Sheff Utd
ADerby1 - 2Cardiff
HDerby0 - 1Sunderland
HDerby0 - 2Watford
ADerby0 - 1Bristol C
ADerby2 - 4Sheff Wed
HDerby0 - 1Leeds
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at West Brom since 1994
West Brom
Derby
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
7 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
2 / 9
WBA
4
D
3
DER
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT West Brom
Draw0 - 0Draw
West Brom2 - 0
1 - 4Derby
West Brom3 - 1
West Brom1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
West Brom3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2Derby
League games at Derby since 1993
Derby
West Brom
Goals: Scored
21
11
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
WBA
1
D
3
DER
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derby
Derby2 - 1
Derby1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Derby1 - 0
Derby2 - 1
0 - 1West Brom
Derby3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derby5 - 3
Goal Statistics
West Brom 10th Derby 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that West Brom will score 1 or more goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Derby scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
West Brom’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-11
Derby have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/280616/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
West Brom
PG (predicted goals)
Derby
1.7
0.9
Attack rating
13%
better
WBA
DER
view stats
Games scored31
27
Failed to score12
16
Scored first22
17
Goals scored51
44
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
21%
better
WBA
DER
view stats
Games conceded30
33
Clean sheets13
10
Conceded first15
23
Goals conceded41
55
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
17%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%

West Brom v Derby Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

West Brom Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
447128
T HeggemA MowattT FellowsD Furlong
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Griffiths GLK5
-
D Furlong DEF4112
7
1
K Bartley DEF30
7
1
M Holgate DEF2611
2
-
T Heggem DEF4412
3
-
I Price MID1411
2
-
O Diakité MID19
1
-
T Fellows MID44212
5
-
G Diangana MID3143
1
-
M Johnston MID4035
3
-
W. Lankshear FWD11
2
-
Subs
J Wildsmith GLK10
1
-
G Frabotta DEF6
-
J Wallace MID2711
2
-
J Swift MID3631
3
-
A Mowatt MID4272
5
-
D Dike FWD10
1
-
K Grant FWD4272
2
-
A Armstrong FWD153
-
D Cole FWD14
-
Derby Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4110412
E AdamsJ YatesC ForsythE Adams
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Vickers GLK4
-
S Langas DEF13
3
-
N Phillips DEF3113
5
-
M Clarke DEF1511
2
-
K Wilson MID3121
-
E Adams MID4261
12
-
H. Armstrong MID141
3
-
L Thompson MID261
5
-
C Forsyth MID3734
4
-
M Harness FWD4043
12
-
J Yates FWD41104
1
-
Subs
R Luthra GLK
-
J Rooney DEF
-
E Pieters  DEF
-
K Goudmijn MID4022
5
-
L. Wheeldon MID1
-
B Osborn MID241
2
-
T Barkhuizen FWD18
2
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD3934
4
-
K Jackson FWD4432
6
-