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AFC Wimbledon v MK Dons : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Sep, 20:00 BST, Cherry Red Records Stadium, Wimbledon

the Cherry Red Records Stadium plays host on Thursday night, as Johnnie Jackson's AFC Wimbledon are visited by Paul Warne's MK Dons in the League One. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AFC Wim
24%
--
Draw
24%
--
MK Dons
52%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
MK Dons 1-0
11%
--
MK Dons 2-1
10%
--
MK Dons 2-0
9%
--
AFC Wim 1-0
7%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
AFC Wim 2-1
6%
--
MK Dons 3-1
5%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
MK Dons 3-0
5%
--
AFC Wim 2-0
4%
--
MK Dons 3-2
3%
--
MK Dons 4-1
2%
--
AFC Wim 3-1
2%
--
MK Dons 4-0
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
--
Home 1st Goal
43%
--
Away 1st Goal
53%
--
No 1st Goal
4%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
12%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
24%
--
Home/draw
48%
--
Away/draw
76%
--
Home/away
76%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
41%
--
Away DNB
69%
--
AFC Wim win to nil
12%
--
MK Dons win to nil
28%
--
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Win / draw / win League One table
Won
Draw
Lost
AFC Wim
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Huddersfield4310610 
Mar 6
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 13
2
Sheff Wed430169 
Jan 16
Oct 17
Mar 26
Apr 24
3
Blackpool421147 
Nov 14
Feb 27
Jan 19
Oct 20
4
Burton421137 
Feb 9
l
 
4-1F
Nov 14
Feb 27
5
Barnsley421127 
Nov 28
May 1
Apr 27
Oct 3
6
Cambridge421117 
Apr 13
Sep 26
Dec 12
Mar 29
7
Luton421107 
Dec 29
Apr 3
Oct 17
Jan 16
8
L Orient420246 
Mar 20
Nov 21
Dec 26
Apr 10
9
Stockport420236 
Jan 30
Oct 31
Jan 9
Dec 19
10
Notts C413016 
May 8
Dec 1
Nov 28
May 1
11
Bradford420206 
Apr 10
Dec 12
May 8
Dec 1
12
Mansfield4202-26 
Oct 20
Jan 19
Mar 20
Nov 21
13
Leicester412115 
Mar 29
Dec 26
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 6
14
Reading311144 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 13
Oct 10
Jan 1
15
Oxford Utd3111-14 
Dec 19
Jan 9
Mar 6
d
 
2-2A
16
Plymouth4112-24 
Apr 24
Oct 10
Apr 3
Dec 29
17
AFC Wim4112-54 
-
-
Apr 17
Sep 17
18
Peterborough4112-54 
Jan 1
Mar 26
Sep 12
Feb 20
19
Bromley4112-94 
Feb 13
Sep 7
Sep 26
Apr 13
20
Stevenage4031-13 
Oct 3
Apr 27
Jan 23
Oct 24
21
Doncaster4031-13 
Sep 12
Feb 20
Oct 31
Jan 30
22
Wigan4103-23 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 6
Feb 9
l
 
3-1A
23
MK Dons4031-23 
Sep 17
Apr 17
-
-
24
Wycombe4022-52 
Oct 24
Jan 23
Feb 13
Sep 5
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
AFC Wim 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFC Wim1 - 0Wigan
AFC Wim0 - 0Reading
AFC Wim0 - 4Huddersfield
AFC Wim1 - 3Plymouth
AFC Wim0 - 2Stockport
AFC Wim0 - 3Luton
AFC Wim1 - 1Peterborough
AFC Wim2 - 4L Orient
AFC Wim4 - 1Blackpool
AFC Wim1 - 0Northampton
AFC Wim3 - 1Bradford
AFC Wim3 - 2Reading
AFC Wim0 - 1Bolton
AFC Wim0 - 1Doncaster
AFC Wim0 - 1Exeter
AFC Wim0 - 0Stevenage
AFC Wim0 - 0Mansfield
AFC Wim1 - 2Wigan
AFC Wim0 - 1Burton
AFC Wim1 - 1Port Vale
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAFC Wim1 - 4Burton
HAFC Wim1 - 0Wigan
HAFC Wim0 - 0Reading
AAFC Wim0 - 3Huddersfield
HAFC Wim0 - 4Huddersfield
AAFC Wim1 - 0Wigan
HAFC Wim1 - 3Plymouth
HAFC Wim0 - 2Stockport
AAFC Wim0 - 1Burton
HAFC Wim0 - 3Luton
AAFC Wim0 - 1Lincoln
AAFC Wim0 - 3Stockport
HAFC Wim1 - 1Peterborough
HAFC Wim2 - 4L Orient
AAFC Wim0 - 1Stevenage
HAFC Wim4 - 1Blackpool
HAFC Wim1 - 0Northampton
AAFC Wim2 - 2Mansfield
HAFC Wim3 - 1Bradford
AAFC Wim1 - 4Cardiff
MK Dons 23RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wigan3 - 1MK Dons
Oxford Utd2 - 2MK Dons
Fleetwood1 - 1MK Dons
Crewe1 - 3MK Dons
Oldham1 - 1MK Dons
Salford0 - 0MK Dons
Swindon1 - 2MK Dons
Gillingham1 - 5MK Dons
Cambridge1 - 1MK Dons
Walsall0 - 2MK Dons
Cheltenham2 - 3MK Dons
Grimsby2 - 2MK Dons
Accrington0 - 2MK Dons
Colchester1 - 0MK Dons
Harrogate0 - 4MK Dons
Notts C3 - 2MK Dons
Tranmere2 - 2MK Dons
Barnet2 - 2MK Dons
Bromley2 - 1MK Dons
Bristol R0 - 4MK Dons
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMK Dons1 - 3Wigan
HMK Dons0 - 0Leicester
HMK Dons1 - 1Huddersfield
AMK Dons2 - 2Oxford Utd
AMK Dons1 - 1Fleetwood
HMK Dons3 - 0Tranmere
AMK Dons3 - 1Crewe
HMK Dons2 - 1Bromley
AMK Dons1 - 1Oldham
HMK Dons0 - 0Barrow
AMK Dons0 - 0Salford
HMK Dons1 - 3Barnet
HMK Dons1 - 0Colchester
AMK Dons2 - 1Swindon
AMK Dons5 - 1Gillingham
HMK Dons4 - 1Harrogate
AMK Dons1 - 1Cambridge
AMK Dons2 - 0Walsall
HMK Dons0 - 0Crawley
HMK Dons1 - 0Newport
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at AFC Wim since 2017
AFC Wim
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
7
5
Games: Scored
4 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
2 / 6
AFW
3
D
1
MKD
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT AFC Wim
AFC Wim3 - 0
AFC Wim1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2MK Dons
0 - 2MK Dons
AFC Wim2 - 0
League games at MK Dons since 2016
MK Dons
AFC Wim
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
5 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
2 / 7
D
3
MKD
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
Draw0 - 0Draw
MK Dons3 - 1
MK Dons1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
MK Dons2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
MK Dons1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for AFC Wimbledon of late. It has been 13 League One games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Thursday night against MK Dons.

AFC Wim 17th MK Dons 23rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that AFC Wim will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that MK Dons will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-29
AFC Wim have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted
+33
MK Dons have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League One - 2026/2027 season
AFC Wim
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
%
better
AFW
MKD
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
AFW
MKD
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

AFC Wim v MK Dons League One lLine ups will show here when available.

AFC Wim League One squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
S SeddonM HippolyteJ TilleyM Hippolyte
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Seddon DEF4
1
-
D Sweeney DEF4
-
S Sessegnon DEF4
1
-
R Johnson DEF4
1
-
Z Nelson MID4
-
A Smith MID4
1
-
M Hippolyte MID41
2
-
J Stockley FWD41
-
J Tilley FWD41
1
-
A Sasu FWD4
-
J McDonnell GLK3
-
I Ogundere DEF3
-
C Maycock MID3
-
A Yiadom DEF2
1
-
O. Harrison MID2
1
-
M Browne FWD2
1
-
D. McNeilly FWD21
-
N Bishop GLK1
-
MK Dons League One squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4311
C MacGillivrayA CollinsR WintleC Goode
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C MacGillivray GLK4
-
C Bramall DEF4
-
C Goode DEF41
1
-
M Ekpiteta DEF4
1
-
C Nelson DEF4
-
R Wintle MID41
-
D Barlaser MID41
-
B Wiles MID41
-
S Nombe FWD4
-
A Collins FWD43
1
-
C Paterson FWD4
-
R Barnett DEF3
-
G Jones DEF3
-
J Sanders DEF3
1
-
D Crowley MID2
-
A Gilbey MID2
1
-
S Silvera FWD2
-
J Matete MID1
1
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1
-