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Burton Albion v Stevenage : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Mar, 15:00 BST, Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent

Gary Bowyer welcomes Alex Revell to the Pirelli Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as their Burton Albion and Stevenage charges clash in the League One. We've got bespoke statistics for the biggest betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Burton 45%	-	-
Draw 26%	-	-
Stevenage 29%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	-	-
Burton 1-0 11%	-	-
Burton 2-1 9%	-	-
Stevenage 1-0 9%	-	-
Burton 2-0 8%	-	-
Draw 0-0 8%	-	-
Stevenage 2-1 7%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Stevenage 2-0 5%	-	-
Burton 3-1 4%	-	-
Burton 3-0 4%	-	-
Stevenage 3-1 3%	-	-
Burton 3-2 2%	-	-
Stevenage 3-2 2%	-	-
Stevenage 3-0 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 51%	-	-
BTTS - No 49%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 20%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	-	-
Home/draw 71%	-	-
Away/draw 55%	-	-
Home/away 74%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Home DNB 63%	-	-
Away DNB 48%	-	-
Burton win to nil 25%	-	-
Stevenage win to nil 16%	-	-

Win / draw / win League One table

Burton have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 6 and won 7. Burton have conceded 38 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Burton have played 16 games at home, winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Stevenage lay in 8th place on 48 points in the League One league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Stevenage have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Stevenage have played 17 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 9 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Burton Stevenage
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	28	69	d 2-2F	w 0-1F	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	28	68	l 0-1A	l 2-1A	Apr 18	l 1-0A
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	12	58	w 3-0F	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	Mar 28
4	Stockport	32	16	8	8	8	56	Feb 24	l 2-1F	Feb 28	w 1-3F
5	Bradford	32	16	7	9	5	55	Mar 21	w 1-2F	d 1-1A	Apr 11
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	10	52	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0	w 1-0F	l 1-0A
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	5	48	Mar 17	l 2-0A	Mar 21	l 1-0A
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	1	48	Mar 7	d 2-2F	-	-
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	10	47	d 0-00-0	Feb 28	w 1-0F	l 3-1A
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	2	46	l 0-3A	d 1-1A	w 2-0F	l 2-1F
11	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	0	46	l 0-4A	l 3-0A	d 1-1F	Mar 17
12	Peterborough	34	14	3	17	1	45	l 0-1A	Apr 18	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
13	AFC Wim	32	12	6	14	-7	42	Apr 11	w 0-1F	Mar 14	d 0-00-0
14	Exeter	32	11	8	13	3	41	Apr 25	Mar 3	w 2-1F	l 3-0A
15	Barnsley	30	11	8	11	-2	41	Apr 3	l 3-2F	-	l 3-1A
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	2	39	w 2-1F	Apr 6	d 1-1A	d 1-1F
17	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	-15	39	l 1-2A	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	Apr 25
18	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	-10	37	w 1-0F	Mar 28	Apr 6	w 2-3A
19	L Orient	32	10	6	16	-10	36	l 0-4A	May 2	-	w 2-3A
20	Burton	32	9	9	14	-11	36	-	-	d 2-2A	Mar 7
21	Wigan	32	8	10	14	-12	34	l 0-2A	l 1-0A	May 2	d 0-00-0
22	Northampton	33	9	7	17	-15	34	w 5-1F	Mar 14	w 2-0F	l 3-1A
23	Rotherham	31	8	7	16	-14	31	w 1-0F	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	Apr 3
24	Port Vale	30	5	8	17	-19	23	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A	w 2-1A	w 1-2A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Burton	1 - 0	Rotherham
Burton	1 - 2	Doncaster
Burton	2 - 2	Cardiff
Burton	3 - 1	Huddersfield
Burton	0 - 2	Wigan
Burton	5 - 1	Northampton
Burton	0 - 0	Wycombe
Burton	0 - 4	L Orient
Burton	1 - 0	Blackpool
Burton	0 - 1	Peterborough
Burton	3 - 0	Bolton
Burton	0 - 4	Plymouth
Burton	0 - 1	Lincoln
Burton	0 - 3	Luton
Burton	0 - 0	Port Vale
Burton	2 - 1	Mansfield
Burton	1 - 1	Wigan
Burton	2 - 1	Cambridge
Burton	1 - 2	Birmingham
Burton	3 - 0	Huddersfield

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burton	1 - 1	Luton
H	Burton	1 - 0	Rotherham
A	Burton	2 - 2	Port Vale
H	Burton	1 - 2	Doncaster
H	Burton	2 - 2	Cardiff
A	Burton	1 - 2	Bolton
A	Burton	1 - 2	Lincoln
H	Burton	3 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Burton	0 - 3	Plymouth
A	Burton	0 - 2	Reading
H	Burton	0 - 2	Wigan
H	Burton	5 - 1	Northampton
A	Burton	2 - 2	Stevenage
H	Burton	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Burton	0 - 1	Wigan
H	Burton	0 - 4	L Orient
H	Burton	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Burton	2 - 1	Bradford
A	Burton	2 - 2	Rotherham
A	Burton	1 - 0	AFC Wim

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wycombe	3 - 1	Stevenage
Northampton	3 - 1	Stevenage
Barnsley	3 - 1	Stevenage
Exeter	3 - 0	Stevenage
Luton	2 - 1	Stevenage
Cardiff	2 - 1	Stevenage
AFC Wim	0 - 0	Stevenage
Stockport	1 - 3	Stevenage
Wigan	0 - 0	Stevenage
Peterborough	0 - 1	Stevenage
Reading	1 - 0	Stevenage
Lincoln	1 - 0	Stevenage
L Orient	2 - 3	Stevenage
Mansfield	1 - 1	Stevenage
Huddersfield	1 - 0	Stevenage
Port Vale	1 - 2	Stevenage
Blackpool	2 - 3	Stevenage
Bolton	1 - 1	Stevenage
Bristol R	0 - 1	Stevenage
Wycombe	1 - 0	Stevenage

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Stevenage	1 - 3	Wycombe
H	Stevenage	2 - 1	Port Vale
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	Huddersfield
A	Stevenage	1 - 3	Northampton
A	Stevenage	1 - 3	Barnsley
H	Stevenage	1 - 0	Peterborough
H	Stevenage	1 - 1	Mansfield
H	Stevenage	0 - 0	Bolton
A	Stevenage	0 - 3	Exeter
A	Stevenage	1 - 2	Luton
H	Stevenage	1 - 1	Plymouth
A	Stevenage	1 - 2	Cardiff
A	Stevenage	0 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Stevenage	2 - 2	Burton
A	Stevenage	3 - 1	Stockport
H	Stevenage	0 - 1	Cardiff
A	Stevenage	0 - 0	Wigan
A	Stevenage	1 - 0	Peterborough
H	Stevenage	0 - 0	Doncaster
A	Stevenage	0 - 1	Reading

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burton

Stevenage

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 4

3 / 4

Clean sheets

1 / 4

2 / 4

STV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Stevenage
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Stevenage

Stevenage

Burton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

BAL

STV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Stevenage
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Burton
	1 - 2	Burton
Stevenage	1 - 0
Stevenage	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Burton 20th	Stevenage 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Burton will score 1 or more goals	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Stevenage will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-1 Burton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-6 Stevenage’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.3 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

BAL

STV

better

view stats

Games scored	20		23
Failed to score	12		9
Scored first	14		13
Goals scored	35		35
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	14		15
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.1
KickOff rating		+4%

BAL

STV

13%

better

view stats

Games conceded	24		21
Clean sheets	8		11
Conceded first	15		15
Goals conceded	46		34
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.2
KickOff rating		+13%

Burton v Stevenage League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Burton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	12	6	7
K Lofthouse	J Beesley	K Lofthouse	U Godwin-Malife

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Lofthouse DEF	31	3	6	5 -
J Beesley FWD	31	12	4	3 -
J Armer DEF	29	2	1	3 -
K Chauke MID	27			2 -
B Collins GLK	26			3 -
T Shade FWD	26	6		1 -
A Hartridge DEF	25	1		2 -
T Sibbick DEF	24			1 -
U Godwin-Malife DEF	24	1	1	7 -
G Evans MID	23		2	5 -
F Tavares FWD	21	3	1	1 -
D Willis DEF	20		1	3 -
J McKiernan MID	18	1	1	4 -
J. Larsson FWD	17		2	-
C Webster MID	16	4	3	1 -
S Revan DEF	15		1	1 -
T Vancooten DEF	14	1	1	4 -
J Moon DEF	9			2 -
N. Akoto DEF	7			1 -
F Delap DEF	7			2 -
J. Newall FWD	7			-
J. Taroni DEF	6			-
J Amissah GLK	5			-
J Sraha DEF	3			-
K. Dudek GLK	1			-
J Hazlehurst MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	28	6	7
J Beesley	T Shade	K Lofthouse	K Lofthouse

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Beesley FWD	12	21	4	6
T Shade FWD	6	28
C Webster MID	4	11	3	6
K Lofthouse DEF	3	9	6	7
F Tavares FWD	3	7	1
J Armer DEF	2	5	1	2
A Hartridge DEF	1	4		4
U Godwin-Malife DEF	1	3	1	2
J McKiernan MID	1	4	1	1
T Vancooten DEF	1	5	1
K Chauke MID		1
T Sibbick DEF		4		1
G Evans MID		2	2	2
D Willis DEF		2	1	4
J. Larsson FWD		3	2	3
S Revan DEF		1	1	7
J Moon DEF				2
N. Akoto DEF		1
F Delap DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
943	57	304
A Hartridge	K Lofthouse	J Beesley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Hartridge DEF	943	43	132
B Collins GLK	867	1	15
U Godwin-Malife DEF	757	28	105
G Evans MID	724	27	89
J Armer DEF	717	42	117
K Chauke MID	702	48	117
T Sibbick DEF	670	39	86
J Beesley FWD	632	31	304
K Lofthouse DEF	591	57	222
C Webster MID	505	20	77
T Vancooten DEF	483	18	79
D Willis DEF	413	22	51
T Shade FWD	358	14	72
J McKiernan MID	252	26	78
S Revan DEF	232	30	77
J Moon DEF	206	7	27
F Delap DEF	194	4	31
J Amissah GLK	166	1	3
J. Larsson FWD	132	16	42
F Tavares FWD	99	4	18
N. Akoto DEF	45	9	12
K. Dudek GLK	37
J. Newall FWD	24	3	7
J. Taroni DEF	15	2	2
J Sraha DEF	15		4
J Hazlehurst MID	4

Stevenage League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	10	6	8
F Marschall	J Reid	H White	C Piergianni

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Marschall GLK	31			1 -
H White MID	30	3	6	6 -
J Reid FWD	30	10	2	3 -
D Kemp MID	29	3	3	3 -
C Piergianni DEF	28	2		8 -
C Goode DEF	27	1		7 -
C Campbell MID	27	4		1 -
J Houghton MID	26		1	5 -
L Freestone DEF	25	2		7 -
L James-Wildin DEF	25	1	2	1 -
J Roberts MID	25	2	1	5 -
D Phillips MID	25	1		7 -
P Patterson FWD	24	1	2	1 -
B Lubala FWD	21		1	3 -
D Sweeney DEF	20	1		5 -
J Pattenden DEF	17			-
L Thompson MID	17	1		2 -
D Butler DEF	13		1	2 -
G Ahadme FWD	13	1		-
S Earley DEF	10			3 -
J Malcolm FWD	8			-
J Young FWD	6			-
T Ashby-Hammond GLK	1			-
L. Orford MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	30	6	10
J Reid	J Reid	H White	H White

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Reid FWD	10	30	2	3
C Campbell MID	4	8		1
H White MID	3	7	6	10
D Kemp MID	3	9	3	2
C Piergianni DEF	2	7		5
L Freestone DEF	2	4
J Roberts MID	2	8	1	3
C Goode DEF	1	3		1
L James-Wildin DEF	1	2	2	1
D Phillips MID	1	2
P Patterson FWD	1	6	2	5
D Sweeney DEF	1	3		3
L Thompson MID	1	3		1
G Ahadme FWD	1	3
J Houghton MID			1	1
B Lubala FWD		10	1
J Pattenden DEF		1
D Butler DEF			1
S Earley DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1091	62	228
H White	L James-Wildin	C Piergianni

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
H White MID	1091	33	105
F Marschall GLK	1045		28
C Piergianni DEF	1003	22	228
C Goode DEF	800	30	215
L James-Wildin DEF	753	62	113
L Freestone DEF	734	54	178
J Houghton MID	519	52	110
D Sweeney DEF	484	18	102
D Phillips MID	483	42	90
D Kemp MID	452	22	77
J Roberts MID	341	28	118
J Reid FWD	294	8	95
D Butler DEF	292	16	52
C Campbell MID	261	16	79
S Earley DEF	232	22	56
P Patterson FWD	211	11	32
J Pattenden DEF	205	14	48
L Thompson MID	196	17	53
B Lubala FWD	168	13	64
G Ahadme FWD	117	3	53
J Malcolm FWD	43	4	13
T Ashby-Hammond GLK	34
J Young FWD	14	2	5
L. Orford MID	3