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Exeter City v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 3rd Mar, 19:45 BST, St James Park, Exeter

Exeter City and Burton Albion go head to head at the St James Park on Tuesday evening, with both Gary Caldwell and Gary Bowyer seeking a win in the League One. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all laid out below. It's our job to give you all the information you need to place a smart, well-informed bet. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League One Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 76% chance of Exeter and Burton a maximum of 3 goals combined during this League One match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's a great tip here. Calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Exeter are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Exeter 49%	OFF 100%	5/4
Draw 26%	OFF 100%	12/5 3%
Burton 25%	OFF 100%	11/5 3%
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	5/1 8%
Exeter 1-0 12%	7/1	6/1
Exeter 2-1 9%	8/1 5%	7/1
Exeter 2-0 9%	10/1	17/2
Burton 1-0 8%	17/2 6%	15/2
Draw 0-0 8%	9/1 5%	15/2 6%
Burton 2-1 6%	10/1	9/1
Exeter 3-1 5%	18/1 10%	14/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	11/1
Exeter 3-0 5%	20/1 9%	16/1
Burton 2-0 4%	14/1	12/1
Exeter 3-2 2%	28/1	20/1
Burton 3-1 2%	25/1 13%	18/1
Exeter 4-0 2%	40/1 20%	28/1
Exeter 4-1 2%	40/1	28/1
Over 2.5 Goals 46%	1/1 2%	19/20
Under 2.5 Goals 54%	4/5 3%	4/5
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/5 6%	5/6
Away 1st Goal 43%	6/5 5%	5/4 2%
No 1st Goal 5%	9/1 5%	15/2
BTTS - Yes 49%	4/5	4/5
BTTS - No 51%	19/20	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 20%	7/2 10%	10/3 2%
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	17/5 2%
BTTS - Away Win 11%	5/1	19/4
Home/draw 75%	4/11 3%	7/20 1%
Away/draw 51%	4/6 9%	13/20
Home/away 74%	3/10 2%	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	3/10 2%	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	12/5 5%	11/5
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	5/2	23/10 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	2/7	2/7
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	6/1 13%	11/2
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/10 2%	1/10
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	14/1 12%	12/1
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/16	1/18 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	9/1 5%	15/2 6%
Home DNB 67%	8/13 6%	4/7 2%
Away DNB 43%	6/5 10%	5/4 2%
Exeter win to nil 29%	11/4 6%	-
Burton win to nil 14%	9/2 10%	-
Exeter / Exeter 23%	13/5 10%	12/5
Exeter / Burton 3%	28/1	22/1
Exeter / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Exeter 15%	9/2 8%	17/4
Draw / Burton 12%	6/1 8%	11/2
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1	19/5
Burton / Exeter 4%	25/1	18/1 10%
Burton / Burton 16%	4/1 5%	4/1 4%
Burton / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win League One table

Exeter have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the League One league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 7 fixtures. Exeter have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 35 goals.

Home League Performance

Exeter have played 15 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Burton are in 20th position in the League One on 36 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 24 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 6 and won 7. Burton have conceded 38 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Exeter Burton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Cardiff	33	21	6	6	28	69	Mar 14	l 1-0A	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
2	Lincoln	33	20	8	5	28	68	-	w 0-1F	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
3	Bolton	34	15	13	6	12	58	Feb 28	l 2-1F	w 3-0F	l 2-1A
4	Stockport	32	16	8	8	8	56	Apr 18	l 1-0A	Feb 24	l 2-1F
5	Bradford	32	16	7	9	5	55	May 2	l 1-0A	Mar 21	w 1-2F
6	Huddersfield	34	15	7	12	10	52	l 0-1A	d 2-2A	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
7	Reading	33	12	12	9	5	48	d 1-1A	d 2-2F	Mar 17	l 2-0A
8	Stevenage	32	13	9	10	1	48	w 3-0F	l 2-1A	Mar 7	d 2-2F
9	Wycombe	33	12	11	10	10	47	d 1-1A	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	Feb 28
10	Luton	33	13	7	13	2	46	w 1-0F	Mar 17	l 0-3A	d 1-1A
11	Plymouth	33	14	4	15	0	46	w 2-0F	Apr 11	l 0-4A	l 3-0A
12	Peterborough	34	14	3	17	1	45	w 3-0F	d 3-3A	l 0-1A	Apr 18
13	AFC Wim	32	12	6	14	-7	42	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	Apr 11	w 0-1F
14	Exeter	32	11	8	13	3	41	-	-	Apr 25	Mar 3
15	Barnsley	30	11	8	11	-2	41	w 3-0F	Mar 7	Apr 3	l 3-2F
16	Mansfield	31	10	9	12	2	39	l 1-2A	d 0-00-0	w 2-1F	Apr 6
17	Doncaster	32	11	6	15	-15	39	Apr 6	l 1-0A	l 1-2A	d 1-1A
18	Blackpool	33	10	7	16	-10	37	w 4-1F	Apr 3	w 1-0F	Mar 28
19	L Orient	32	10	6	16	-10	36	Mar 28	l 2-1F	l 0-4A	May 2
20	Burton	32	9	9	14	-11	36	Mar 3	Apr 25	-	-
21	Wigan	32	8	10	14	-12	34	d 1-1A	Mar 21	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
22	Northampton	33	9	7	17	-15	34	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	w 5-1F	Mar 14
23	Rotherham	31	8	7	16	-14	31	l 0-4A	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	d 2-2F
24	Port Vale	30	5	8	17	-19	23	l 0-2A	w 1-3F	d 0-00-0	d 2-2A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Exeter	1 - 1	Wycombe
Exeter	0 - 0	Northampton
Exeter	0 - 4	Rotherham
Exeter	3 - 0	Stevenage
Exeter	1 - 0	Luton
Exeter	3 - 0	Barnsley
Exeter	1 - 0	AFC Wim
Exeter	1 - 1	Wigan
Exeter	2 - 0	Plymouth
Exeter	1 - 1	Reading
Exeter	0 - 1	Huddersfield
Exeter	0 - 2	Port Vale
Exeter	3 - 0	Peterborough
Exeter	1 - 2	Mansfield
Exeter	4 - 1	Blackpool
Exeter	3 - 1	Huddersfield
Exeter	0 - 0	Burton
Exeter	1 - 1	Wigan
Exeter	0 - 2	Stockport
Exeter	0 - 2	Wrexham

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Exeter	3 - 3	Peterborough
H	Exeter	1 - 1	Wycombe
H	Exeter	0 - 0	Northampton
A	Exeter	0 - 0	Mansfield
H	Exeter	0 - 4	Rotherham
A	Exeter	2 - 2	Reading
A	Exeter	3 - 1	Port Vale
H	Exeter	3 - 0	Stevenage
A	Exeter	2 - 2	Huddersfield
H	Exeter	1 - 0	Luton
A	Exeter	1 - 0	AFC Wim
A	Exeter	0 - 1	Cardiff
H	Exeter	3 - 0	Barnsley
A	Exeter	1 - 2	Bolton
H	Exeter	1 - 0	AFC Wim
A	Exeter	0 - 1	Bradford
A	Exeter	1 - 2	L Orient
H	Exeter	1 - 1	Wigan
H	Exeter	2 - 0	Plymouth
A	Exeter	0 - 1	Stockport

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Luton	1 - 1	Burton
Port Vale	2 - 2	Burton
Bolton	2 - 1	Burton
Lincoln	2 - 1	Burton
Plymouth	3 - 0	Burton
Reading	2 - 0	Burton
Stevenage	2 - 2	Burton
Wigan	1 - 0	Burton
Bradford	1 - 2	Burton
Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Burton
Doncaster	1 - 1	Burton
Cardiff	0 - 1	Burton
Huddersfield	0 - 0	Burton
Stockport	2 - 1	Burton
Barnsley	3 - 2	Burton
Charlton	3 - 1	Burton
Exeter	0 - 0	Burton
Wrexham	3 - 0	Burton
Stockport	2 - 1	Burton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burton	1 - 1	Luton
H	Burton	1 - 0	Rotherham
A	Burton	2 - 2	Port Vale
H	Burton	1 - 2	Doncaster
H	Burton	2 - 2	Cardiff
A	Burton	1 - 2	Bolton
A	Burton	1 - 2	Lincoln
H	Burton	3 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Burton	0 - 3	Plymouth
A	Burton	0 - 2	Reading
H	Burton	0 - 2	Wigan
H	Burton	5 - 1	Northampton
A	Burton	2 - 2	Stevenage
H	Burton	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Burton	0 - 1	Wigan
H	Burton	0 - 4	L Orient
H	Burton	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Burton	2 - 1	Bradford
A	Burton	2 - 2	Rotherham
A	Burton	1 - 0	AFC Wim

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Exeter

Burton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 6

Clean sheets

3 / 6

EXE

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Exeter
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Exeter	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Burton
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Burton
Exeter	3 - 0

Burton

Exeter

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 6

4 / 6

Clean sheets

2 / 6

1 / 6

EXE

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
	1 - 2	Exeter
	0 - 1	Exeter
Burton	1 - 0
Burton	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Burton	4 - 2

Goal Statistics

	Exeter 14th	Burton 20th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	1.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 22% 1 33% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Exeter will score 1 or more goals	0 37% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 74% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-10 Exeter’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-3 Burton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

better

EXE

BAL

view stats

Games scored	21		20
Failed to score	11		12
Scored first	14		14
Goals scored	37		35
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	7		7
Conversion rate for	15		14
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.3
KickOff rating		+4%

16%

better

EXE

BAL

view stats

Games conceded	21		24
Clean sheets	11		8
Conceded first	16		15
Goals conceded	34		46
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		6
Conversion rate against	13%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.5
KickOff rating		+16%

Exeter v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Exeter League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	14	10	7
J Whitworth	J Wareham	I Niskanen	P Sweeney

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Whitworth GLK	32			4 -
E Brierley MID	32	1	3	4 -
I Niskanen MID	32	1	10	4 -
J Wareham FWD	32	14	1	6 -
J Aitchison MID	30	1	4	4 -
J Fitzwater DEF	28	1	1	5 -
J McMillan DEF	27	1		3 -
P Sweeney DEF	26	2		7 -
J Magennis FWD	24	4		4 -
E Turns DEF	23			2 -
J Doyle-Hayes MID	23		1	7 -
R Cole MID	23	4	3	2 -
S Cox FWD	21	1		4 -
L Woodhouse DEF	19	1	1	1 -
A. Higgins FWD	19	1	1	-
L. Oakes MID	12			2 -
K McDonald MID	11	1		-
D Andrew DEF	10			1 -
J Yfeko DEF	10			1 -
E Francis MID	9			-
C Mendes FWD	9	1		-
R Rydel DEF	7		1	-
S Swinkels DEF	7			2 -
T. Dean MID	5			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	29	10	11
J Wareham	J Wareham	I Niskanen	I Niskanen

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Wareham FWD	14	29	1	2
J Magennis FWD	4	8
R Cole MID	4	13	3	3
P Sweeney DEF	2	6		1
E Brierley MID	1	6	3	6
I Niskanen MID	1	6	10	11
J Aitchison MID	1	6	4	5
J Fitzwater DEF	1	2	1	1
J McMillan DEF	1	5		3
S Cox FWD	1	6		1
L Woodhouse DEF	1	3	1	2
A. Higgins FWD	1	6	1	3
K McDonald MID	1	1
C Mendes FWD	1	1		2
E Turns DEF		2
J Doyle-Hayes MID		3	1	1
D Andrew DEF		3		1
E Francis MID		2
R Rydel DEF		1	1	2
S Swinkels DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1488	63	165
E Brierley	I Niskanen	J Wareham

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Brierley MID	1488	38	72
J Whitworth GLK	1477	2	16
J Fitzwater DEF	1458	32	139
P Sweeney DEF	1273	27	97
J Doyle-Hayes MID	1015	33	88
E Turns DEF	932	26	114
J McMillan DEF	862	55	72
I Niskanen MID	751	63	128
L Woodhouse DEF	741	28	102
J Aitchison MID	568	28	103
R Cole MID	463	26	59
J Wareham FWD	437	29	165
D Andrew DEF	386	14	54
J Yfeko DEF	294	5	16
S Swinkels DEF	249	5	27
J Magennis FWD	217	1	77
A. Higgins FWD	170	18	49
L. Oakes MID	160	15	26
E Francis MID	132	2	14
S Cox FWD	107	9	34
K McDonald MID	107	6	14
R Rydel DEF	79	8	13
C Mendes FWD	75	8	26
T. Dean MID	19	2	6

Burton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	12	6	7
K Lofthouse	J Beesley	K Lofthouse	U Godwin-Malife

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Lofthouse DEF	31	3	6	5 -
J Beesley FWD	31	12	4	3 -
J Armer DEF	29	2	1	3 -
K Chauke MID	27			2 -
B Collins GLK	26			3 -
T Shade FWD	26	6		1 -
A Hartridge DEF	25	1		2 -
T Sibbick DEF	24			1 -
U Godwin-Malife DEF	24	1	1	7 -
G Evans MID	23		2	5 -
F Tavares FWD	21	3	1	1 -
D Willis DEF	20		1	3 -
J McKiernan MID	18	1	1	4 -
J. Larsson FWD	17		2	-
C Webster MID	16	4	3	1 -
S Revan DEF	15		1	1 -
T Vancooten DEF	14	1	1	4 -
J Moon DEF	9			2 -
N. Akoto DEF	7			1 -
F Delap DEF	7			2 -
J. Newall FWD	7			-
J. Taroni DEF	6			-
J Amissah GLK	5			-
J Sraha DEF	3			-
K. Dudek GLK	1			-
J Hazlehurst MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
12	28	6	7
J Beesley	T Shade	K Lofthouse	K Lofthouse

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Beesley FWD	12	21	4	6
T Shade FWD	6	28
C Webster MID	4	11	3	6
K Lofthouse DEF	3	9	6	7
F Tavares FWD	3	7	1
J Armer DEF	2	5	1	2
A Hartridge DEF	1	4		4
U Godwin-Malife DEF	1	3	1	2
J McKiernan MID	1	4	1	1
T Vancooten DEF	1	5	1
K Chauke MID		1
T Sibbick DEF		4		1
G Evans MID		2	2	2
D Willis DEF		2	1	4
J. Larsson FWD		3	2	3
S Revan DEF		1	1	7
J Moon DEF				2
N. Akoto DEF		1
F Delap DEF		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
943	57	304
A Hartridge	K Lofthouse	J Beesley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Hartridge DEF	943	43	132
B Collins GLK	867	1	15
U Godwin-Malife DEF	757	28	105
G Evans MID	724	27	89
J Armer DEF	717	42	117
K Chauke MID	702	48	117
T Sibbick DEF	670	39	86
J Beesley FWD	632	31	304
K Lofthouse DEF	591	57	222
C Webster MID	505	20	77
T Vancooten DEF	483	18	79
D Willis DEF	413	22	51
T Shade FWD	358	14	72
J McKiernan MID	252	26	78
S Revan DEF	232	30	77
J Moon DEF	206	7	27
F Delap DEF	194	4	31
J Amissah GLK	166	1	3
J. Larsson FWD	132	16	42
F Tavares FWD	99	4	18
N. Akoto DEF	45	9	12
K. Dudek GLK	37
J. Newall FWD	24	3	7
J. Taroni DEF	15	2	2
J Sraha DEF	15		4
J Hazlehurst MID	4