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Port Vale v Burton Albion : League One match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 7th Feb, 12:31 BST, Vale Park, Stoke

Darren Moore's Port Vale side enjoy home advantage in the League One on Saturday lunch time, as Gary Bowyer's Burton Albion travel to the Vale Park. We have custom-designed statistics for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Port Vale 39%	-	-
Draw 28%	-	-
Burton 33%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
Port Vale 1-0 12%	-	-
Burton 1-0 11%	-	-
Draw 0-0 9%	-	-
Port Vale 2-1 8%	-	-
Burton 2-1 7%	-	-
Port Vale 2-0 7%	-	-
Burton 2-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
Port Vale 3-1 3%	-	-
Port Vale 3-0 3%	-	-
Burton 3-1 3%	-	-
Burton 3-0 2%	-	-
Port Vale 3-2 2%	-	-
Burton 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 42%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 58%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 48%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 48%	-	-
BTTS - No 52%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 14%	-	-
Home/draw 67%	-	-
Away/draw 61%	-	-
Home/away 72%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 68%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 32%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 21%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 79%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	-	-
Home DNB 59%	-	-
Away DNB 53%	-	-
Port Vale win to nil 23%	-	-
Burton win to nil 19%	-	-

Win / draw / win League One table

Port Vale have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 24th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Port Vale have conceded 37 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Port Vale have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Burton lay in 20th place on 30 points in the League One league table having played 26 matches. Burton are unbeaten in 4 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 4 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 8 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Burton have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Burton have played 13 away games, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Port Vale Burton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Cardiff	27	17	5	5	19	56	d 0-00-0	Apr 3	Jan 31	w 0-1F
2	Lincoln	27	15	7	5	15	52	May 2	l 1-0A	l 0-1A	l 2-1A
3	Bolton	28	12	10	6	9	46	Mar 21	l 4-0A	w 3-0F	Jan 27
4	Bradford	26	13	7	6	7	46	Mar 10	l 1-0A	Mar 21	w 1-2F
5	Stockport	27	13	7	7	5	46	l 0-3A	Apr 11	Feb 24	l 2-1F
6	Huddersfield	28	12	6	10	9	42	Mar 14	l 5-0A	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0
7	Luton	27	11	6	10	4	39	Feb 28	d 2-2A	l 0-3A	Feb 21
8	Stevenage	26	10	9	7	4	39	l 1-2F	Feb 17	Mar 7	d 2-2F
9	Peterborough	27	12	2	13	0	38	l 0-1A	Mar 7	l 0-1A	Apr 18
10	Exeter	26	11	3	12	7	36	l 1-3A	w 0-2F	Apr 25	-
11	Mansfield	25	10	6	9	6	36	w 2-1F	l 3-0A	w 2-1F	Apr 6
12	Wycombe	27	9	9	9	3	36	d 0-00-0	Mar 28	d 0-00-0	Feb 28
13	Reading	26	9	9	8	2	36	Feb 21	l 1-0A	Mar 17	l 2-0A
14	Plymouth	27	11	3	13	-5	36	l 0-1A	Apr 25	l 0-4A	l 3-0A
15	Barnsley	23	9	6	8	1	33	-	w 0-2F	Apr 3	l 3-2F
16	L Orient	27	9	5	13	-5	32	l 2-3F	Jan 31	l 0-4A	May 2
17	Blackpool	27	9	5	13	-5	32	w 5-1A	Mar 17	w 1-0F	Mar 28
18	AFC Wim	26	9	5	12	-7	32	Jan 27	d 1-1A	Apr 11	w 0-1F
19	Wigan	26	7	10	9	-2	31	Apr 18	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	l 1-0A
20	Burton	26	8	6	12	-10	30	Feb 7	d 0-00-0	-	-
21	Northampton	26	8	5	13	-9	29	d 0-00-0	Feb 24	w 5-1F	Mar 14
22	Doncaster	26	7	6	13	-16	27	l 0-1A	Feb 14	-	d 1-1A
23	Rotherham	26	6	7	13	-14	25	Apr 6	l 2-1A	Feb 17	d 2-2F
24	Port Vale	25	4	6	15	-18	18	-	-	d 0-00-0	Feb 7

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale	1 - 3	Exeter
Port Vale	5 - 1	Blackpool
Port Vale	0 - 1	Peterborough
Port Vale	0 - 1	Plymouth
Port Vale	0 - 0	Wycombe
Port Vale	0 - 3	Stockport
Port Vale	0 - 0	Northampton
Port Vale	2 - 1	Mansfield
Port Vale	2 - 3	L Orient
Port Vale	0 - 1	Doncaster
Port Vale	1 - 2	Stevenage
Port Vale	0 - 0	Cardiff
Port Vale	0 - 1	Gillingham
Port Vale	2 - 2	Grimsby
Port Vale	5 - 0	Bromley
Port Vale	2 - 0	Bradford
Port Vale	0 - 1	Barrow
Port Vale	1 - 0	Morecambe
Port Vale	3 - 0	MK Dons
Port Vale	0 - 0	Harrogate

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

8 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

12 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Port Vale	1 - 3	Exeter
A	Port Vale	0 - 3	Mansfield
H	Port Vale	5 - 1	Blackpool
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Bradford
A	Port Vale	0 - 5	Huddersfield
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Peterborough
A	Port Vale	2 - 2	Luton
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Lincoln
H	Port Vale	0 - 1	Plymouth
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Port Vale	0 - 4	Bolton
H	Port Vale	0 - 3	Stockport
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Wigan
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	AFC Wim
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Northampton
A	Port Vale	2 - 0	Barnsley
H	Port Vale	2 - 1	Mansfield
A	Port Vale	2 - 0	Exeter
H	Port Vale	2 - 3	L Orient
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Reading

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lincoln	2 - 1	Burton
Plymouth	3 - 0	Burton
Reading	2 - 0	Burton
Stevenage	2 - 2	Burton
Wigan	1 - 0	Burton
Bradford	1 - 2	Burton
Rotherham	2 - 2	Burton
AFC Wim	0 - 1	Burton
Doncaster	1 - 1	Burton
Cardiff	0 - 1	Burton
Huddersfield	0 - 0	Burton
Stockport	2 - 1	Burton
Barnsley	3 - 2	Burton
Charlton	3 - 1	Burton
Exeter	0 - 0	Burton
Wrexham	3 - 0	Burton
Stockport	2 - 1	Burton
Shrewsbury	0 - 2	Burton
Wycombe	2 - 0	Burton
Lincoln	0 - 1	Burton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Burton	1 - 2	Lincoln
H	Burton	3 - 1	Huddersfield
A	Burton	0 - 3	Plymouth
A	Burton	0 - 2	Reading
H	Burton	0 - 2	Wigan
H	Burton	5 - 1	Northampton
A	Burton	2 - 2	Stevenage
H	Burton	0 - 0	Wycombe
A	Burton	0 - 1	Wigan
H	Burton	0 - 4	L Orient
H	Burton	1 - 0	Blackpool
A	Burton	2 - 1	Bradford
A	Burton	2 - 2	Rotherham
A	Burton	1 - 0	AFC Wim
H	Burton	0 - 1	Peterborough
H	Burton	3 - 0	Bolton
A	Burton	1 - 1	Doncaster
A	Burton	1 - 0	Cardiff
H	Burton	0 - 4	Plymouth
A	Burton	0 - 0	Huddersfield

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Burton have beaten Port Vale in 3 consecutive away league meetings

Port Vale

Burton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

PTV

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
	2 - 3	Burton
	2 - 3	Burton
	0 - 4	Burton
Port Vale	7 - 1
Port Vale	3 - 0
Port Vale	2 - 1
Port Vale	3 - 1

Burton

Port Vale

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

PTV

BAL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Burton
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Port Vale
	0 - 2	Port Vale
Burton	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Burton	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

	Port Vale 24th	Burton 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Port Vale will score no more than 1 goal	0 33% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 70% probability that Burton will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Port Vale have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-6 Burton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.2 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League One - 2025/2026 season

PTV

BAL

30%

better

view stats

Games scored	9		14
Failed to score	15		12
Scored first	5		12
Goals scored	18		27
Avg. goals scored	0.7		1
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	12		8
Conversion rate for	9		13
Avg. XG for	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+30%

PTV

BAL

better

view stats

Games conceded	18		19
Clean sheets	6		7
Conceded first	15		11
Goals conceded	34		37
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		9
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	18%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+7%

Port Vale v Burton League One lLine ups will show here when available.

Port Vale League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	6	3	5
C Hall	D Cole	R Paton	B Heneghan

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Humphreys DEF	20	1		4 -
C Hall DEF	20	1		1 -
B Heneghan DEF	20		1	5 -
R Croasdale MID	20	2		3 -
D Cole FWD	19	6	2	2 -
R Curtis FWD	19	2	2	1 -
G Byers MID	18	1	1	4 1
J Debrah DEF	17			1 -
G Hall MID	17		1	-
J. Headley DEF	16			2 1
K John DEF	15			4 -
F Ojo MID	14			5 -
J Gauci GLK	13			-
J Shipley MID	13		2	2 -
B Garrity MID	13			-
D Brown FWD	13		1	-
R Paton FWD	13	1	3	2 -
M Faal FWD	13			1 -
J Stockley FWD	13	1		1 -
M Clark DEF	12		1	2 -
R. Walters MID	11			-
B Waine FWD	10	1		1 -
L Gordon DEF	9			2 -
B Amos GLK	7			-
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	7	1		3 -
M Marosi GLK	5			-
M Johnson MID	5			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	16	3	6
D Cole	D Cole	R Paton	D Cole

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Cole FWD	6	16	2	6
R Croasdale MID	2	5		1
R Curtis FWD	2	6	2	5
C Humphreys DEF	1	1		1
C Hall DEF	1	3		3
G Byers MID	1	3	1	1
R Paton FWD	1	7	3	5
J Stockley FWD	1	4
B Waine FWD	1	4		1
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	1	2
B Heneghan DEF		1	1	1
J Debrah DEF		1		1
G Hall MID		1	1	5
J. Headley DEF		4		2
K John DEF				2
F Ojo MID		1		2
J Gauci GLK				1
J Shipley MID			2	3
B Garrity MID		5		1
D Brown FWD		2	1	2
M Faal FWD		4
M Clark DEF			1	2
R. Walters MID		4
L Gordon DEF				2
M Johnson MID				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
817	40	124
C Humphreys	G Byers	C Hall

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Humphreys DEF	817	11	76
C Hall DEF	814	20	124
G Byers MID	739	40	85
B Heneghan DEF	546	11	102
J Debrah DEF	454	11	77
R Croasdale MID	410	25	63
J Gauci GLK	394		9
B Garrity MID	385	25	105
F Ojo MID	384	11	41
J. Headley DEF	366	30	77
M Clark DEF	336	18	49
D Cole FWD	306	19	108
R Curtis FWD	293	19	84
J Shipley MID	279	9	16
K John DEF	234	22	72
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	203	5	33
R. Walters MID	178	16	55
M Marosi GLK	177		3
B Amos GLK	175	1	4
G Hall MID	173	24	70
R Paton FWD	167	5	19
L Gordon DEF	166	9	24
J Stockley FWD	139	6	88
M Johnson MID	114	7	15
M Faal FWD	90	4	37
D Brown FWD	78	5	23
B Waine FWD	54	6	18

Burton League One squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	9	4	5
K Lofthouse	J Beesley	K Lofthouse	U Godwin-Malife

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Lofthouse DEF	25	1	4	4 -
J Armer DEF	25	1	1	3 -
J Beesley FWD	25	9	4	2 -
K Chauke MID	22			2 -
B Collins GLK	20			3 -
T Shade FWD	20	5		1 -
A Hartridge DEF	19	1		2 -
F Tavares FWD	19	2	1	1 -
T Sibbick DEF	18			1 -
D Willis DEF	18		1	2 -
U Godwin-Malife DEF	18	1		5 -
G Evans MID	18		1	4 -
C Webster MID	16	4	3	1 -
J. Larsson FWD	14		2	-
J McKiernan MID	13	1	1	3 -
S Revan DEF	11			1 -
T Vancooten DEF	10	1	1	2 -
N. Akoto DEF	7			1 -
F Delap DEF	7			2 -
J Moon DEF	7			2 -
J. Newall FWD	7			-
J. Taroni DEF	6			-
J Amissah GLK	5			-
J Sraha DEF	3			-
K. Dudek GLK	1			-
J Hazlehurst MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	23	4	6
J Beesley	T Shade	K Lofthouse	C Webster

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Beesley FWD	9	18	4	5
T Shade FWD	5	23
C Webster MID	4	11	3	6
F Tavares FWD	2	6	1
K Lofthouse DEF	1	4	4	4
J Armer DEF	1	4	1	2
A Hartridge DEF	1	3		3
U Godwin-Malife DEF	1	3		1
J McKiernan MID	1	2	1	1
T Vancooten DEF	1	5	1
K Chauke MID		1
T Sibbick DEF		4		1
D Willis DEF		2	1	4
G Evans MID		2	1	1
J. Larsson FWD		3	2	3
S Revan DEF		1		6
N. Akoto DEF		1
F Delap DEF		1		1
J Moon DEF				2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
717	49	242
A Hartridge	K Lofthouse	J Beesley

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Hartridge DEF	717	33	98
J Armer DEF	651	36	105
B Collins GLK	629	1	14
G Evans MID	591	18	65
K Chauke MID	580	38	96
U Godwin-Malife DEF	544	21	83
T Sibbick DEF	507	25	65
C Webster MID	505	20	77
J Beesley FWD	492	27	242
K Lofthouse DEF	476	49	183
D Willis DEF	368	21	48
T Vancooten DEF	350	18	62
T Shade FWD	280	13	58
F Delap DEF	194	4	31
J Moon DEF	194	7	26
S Revan DEF	191	28	63
J Amissah GLK	166	1	3
J McKiernan MID	156	20	49
J. Larsson FWD	115	16	40
F Tavares FWD	96	4	18
N. Akoto DEF	45	9	12
K. Dudek GLK	37
J. Newall FWD	24	3	7
J. Taroni DEF	15	2	2
J Sraha DEF	15		4
J Hazlehurst MID	4