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Colchester United v Port Vale : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 11th Mar, 19:45 BST, JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester

Colchester United and Port Vale go head to head at the JobServe Community Stadium on Tuesday evening, with both Danny Cowley and Darren Moore aiming for victory in the League Two. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on League Two match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Colchester and Port Vale go head-to-head, with little to choose between the sides in terms of who might win. The statistics do not provide any conclusive evidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.67 with the bookies, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Colchester are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Colchester
40%
27/20
8%
7/5
1%
Draw
31%
2/1
6%
9/4
Port Vale
30%
11/5
11%
2/1
3%
Colchester 1-0
15%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
Draw 0-0
14%
6/1
18%
6/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Port Vale 1-0
12%
7/16/1
7%
Colchester 2-0
8%
9/1
17%
17/2
Colchester 2-1
7%
9/18/1
6%
Port Vale 2-1
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
Port Vale 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw 2-2
3%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Colchester 3-0
3%
22/116/1
Colchester 3-1
3%
20/116/1
Port Vale 3-1
2%
28/1
26%
20/1
Port Vale 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Colchester 3-2
1%
33/125/1
Port Vale 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
32%
27/20
9%
13/10
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
68%
4/7
6%
11/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/5
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/8
8%
-
No 1st Goal
9%
6/1
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
1/1
9%
21/20
5%
BTTS - No
61%
8/11
5%
7/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/217/4
5%
BTTS - Draw
17%
7/218/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
10%
13/2
25%
11/2
8%
Home/draw
70%
4/11
3%
4/11
Away/draw
60%
4/7
5%
11/20
1%
Home/away
69%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
59%
4/9
6%
4/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
41%
13/8
13%
8/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
7/2
13%
17/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
86%
2/11
3%
2/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
10/1
22%
8/1
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/20
2%
1/20
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/1
21%
18/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80
1%
1/200
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
86%
1/12
1%
1/12
Under 0.5 Goals
14%
7/1
6%
6/1
Home DNB
61%
8/13
6%
4/6
1%
Away DNB
51%
6/5
10%
21/20
5%
Colchester win to nil
27%
11/4
6%
-
Port Vale win to nil
20%
4/1
11%
-
Colchester / Colchester
21%
3/1
8%
11/4
1%
Colchester / Port Vale
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Colchester / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Colchester
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
Draw / Port Vale
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
10/3
Port Vale / Colchester
3%
28/122/1
Port Vale / Port Vale
16%
9/2
16%
18/5
4%
Port Vale / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Win / draw / win League Two table

Colchester have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Colchester have conceded 15 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Colchester have played 15 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Port Vale lay in 6th place on 49 points in the League Two league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 10 and losing 3 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Port Vale have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Port Vale have played 16 away games, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Colchester
Port Vale
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Walsall3018662360 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
2
Notts C2915861953 
Apr 5
Feb 18
Feb 13
w
 
0-1F
3
Bradford3015871253 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 22
Apr 1
l
 
2-1A
4
AFC Wim2915772252 
Feb 22
l
 
4-2F
w
 
3-2F
Apr 26
5
Doncaster301578752 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 21
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
6
Port Vale Away2913106649 
Mar 11
d
 
1-1A
-
-
7
Salford301398948 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 26
Feb 22
w
 
0-2F
8
Crewe3112127548 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
Mar 29
9
Grimsby3014313-445 
Mar 28
w
 
0-1F
Apr 21
l
 
3-0A
10
Chesterfield2911991442 
Mar 4
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
11
Colchester Home299137540 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
Mar 11
12
Fleetwood2910109440 
Mar 15
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1F
Mar 8
13
Bromley309129039 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
14
Newport3011613-639 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-4F
15
MK Dons3011514038 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
16
Swindon3191111-138 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
17
Cheltenham2910811-438 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
18
Barrow3010713-137 
May 3
d
 
1-1A
Mar 25
l
 
4-0A
19
Gillingham299614-733 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 1
May 3
l
 
1-0A
20
Accrington297913-1230 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
21
Harrogate318617-1730 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 4
w
 
0-1F
22
Tranmere306915-2727 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 1
23
Morecambe306519-2123 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3A
Mar 22
w
 
0-1F
24
Carlisle305619-2621 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Colchester 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Port Vale 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Colchester since 2004
Colchester
Port Vale
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
9 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
1 / 10
COU
6
D
2
PTV
2
League games at Port Vale since 2005
Port Vale
Colchester
Goals: Scored
15
10
Games: Scored
8 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
3 / 11
COU
3
D
4
PTV
4
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, Port Vale look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Colchester United haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive League Two games, and it could be a long evening for Darren Moore's men.

Colchester 11th Port Vale 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Colchester will score no more than 1 goal
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Port Vale scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Colchester have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-27
Port Vale have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281533/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Colchester
PG (predicted goals)
Port Vale
1.1
0.9
Attack rating
COU
PTV
4%
better
view stats
Games scored19
18
Failed to score7
8
Scored first8
13
Goals scored30
32
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
0%
better
COU
PTV
view stats
Games conceded15
16
Clean sheets11
10
Conceded first13
9
Goals conceded28
27
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
0%

Colchester v Port Vale League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Colchester League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
299712
M MaceyL TaylorJ PayneE Iandolo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Macey GLK29
2
-
J Payne MID2957
3
-
E Iandolo DEF282
10
2
M Egbo DEF281
6
-
J Gordon FWD272
2
-
L Taylor FWD2591
7
-
T Flanagan DEF24
8
-
A Read MID2312
2
-
O Edwards FWD2352
3
-
H Anderson FWD221
-
J. McDonnell MID211
10
-
T Bishop MID2011
2
-
S Tovide FWD1855
4
-
O. Thorn FWD153
3
-
R Hunt DEF14
2
-
F Kelleher DEF12
1
-
A Scully FWD6
-
T Simpson FWD4
-
J Tucker DEF2
-
K Vincent-Young DEF1
-
F Terry DEF1
-
Port Vale League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27759
C HallJ StockleyJ StockleyR Croasdale
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Croasdale MID2833
9
-
C Hall DEF27
4
-
J Stockley FWD2575
5
-
R Curtis FWD2522
3
-
B Heneghan DEF23
4
-
T Sang DEF232
1
3
L Tolaj FWD2165
2
-
B Garrity MID2032
3
-
E Chislett MID2041
4
-
K John DEF191
3
-
J Debrah DEF191
5
-
R Richards MID1722
1
-
A Hackford FWD1731
1
-
S Hart DEF12
1
-
G Byers MID111
2
-
J Lowe MID11
1
-
N Smith DEF81
2
-
R Harper MID8
3
1
J Shorrock MID811
1
-
B Amos GLK6
1
-
J. Headley DEF511
-
M Clark DEF5
1
J. Umolu FWD2
-