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Port Vale v Northampton Town : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 24th Nov, 19:45 BST, Vale Park, Stoke

Saturday afternoon at the Vale Park, and it’s a League Two showdown between Port Vale and Northampton Town. Jon Brady and Chris Hogg will be doing all they can to ensure the win. Analysing both sides' last 20 League Two matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Jon Brady and Chris Hogg to park the bus here, but we're certainly not expecting a deluge of goals as Port Vale and Northampton go head-to-head. The statistics belowsuggest there will be under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.62 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we recommend.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Port Vale 49%	OFF 100%	-
Draw 28%	OFF 100%	-
Northampton 23%	OFF 100%	-
Port Vale 1-0 16%	11/2	-
Draw 1-1 13%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 12%	7/1	-
Port Vale 2-0 10%	17/2	-
Northampton 1-0 10%	15/2	-
Port Vale 2-1 8%	17/2	-
Northampton 2-1 5%	11/1	-
Port Vale 3-0 5%	20/1	-
Northampton 2-0 4%	14/1	-
Port Vale 3-1 4%	18/1	-
Draw 2-2 3%	16/1	-
Port Vale 4-0 2%	40/1	-
Port Vale 3-2 1%	33/1	-
Northampton 3-1 1%	28/1	-
Port Vale 4-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 36%	5/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 64%	8/13	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	13/10	-
No 1st Goal 8%	7/1	-
BTTS - Yes 40%	10/11	-
BTTS - No 60%	4/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 16%	4/1	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	15/4	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	13/2	-
Home/draw 77%	4/11	-
Away/draw 51%	4/6	-
Home/away 72%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 63%	2/5	-
Under 1.5 Goals 37%	7/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 17%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 83%	2/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 6%	8/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 94%	1/14	-
Over 5.5 Goals 2%	18/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 98%	1/50	-
Over 0.5 Goals 88%	1/12	-
Under 0.5 Goals 12%	7/1	-
Home DNB 69%	4/7	-
Away DNB 42%	5/4	-
Port Vale win to nil 33%	5/2	-
Northampton win to nil 15%	9/2	-
Port Vale / Port Vale 0%	13/5	-
Port Vale / Northampton 0%	33/1	-
Port Vale / Draw 0%	14/1	-
Draw / Port Vale 0%	9/2	-
Draw / Northampton 0%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 0%	15/4	-
Northampton / Port Vale 0%	25/1	-
Northampton / Northampton 0%	9/2	-
Northampton / Draw 0%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win League Two table

Port Vale have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 23rd position in the league. Port Vale are unbeaten at home after 5 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Port Vale have conceded 12 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Port Vale have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 1 goal, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Northampton lay in 19th place on 13 points in the League Two league table having played 11 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 3 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Northampton have conceded 2 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Northampton have played 5 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Port Vale Northampton
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Salford	13	9	1	3	9	28	Feb 13	l 1-0A	Feb 27	Nov 14
2	Barnet	12	7	4	1	10	25	Mar 20	Nov 21	Apr 10	Dec 12
3	Cheltenham	13	6	3	4	0	21	Mar 29	Dec 26	Dec 29	Apr 3
4	Crewe	13	5	6	2	0	21	d 0-00-0	Feb 6	Mar 13	l 1-0A
5	York	13	5	5	3	6	20	Jan 23	l 2-0A	Apr 13	d 1-1F
6	Walsall	12	4	7	1	7	19	Apr 17	l 2-0A	May 1	Nov 28
7	Chesterfield	13	5	4	4	6	19	w 1-0F	Jan 16	Mar 29	Dec 26
8	Exeter	13	5	4	4	3	19	w 1-0F	Feb 20	Dec 19	Jan 9
9	Accrington	13	4	6	3	6	18	Nov 14	Feb 27	Jan 30	Oct 31
10	Shrewsbury	13	5	3	5	-4	18	Apr 10	Dec 12	Feb 20	l 2-0A
11	Grimsby	13	4	5	4	3	17	w 1-0F	Apr 13	Jan 16	w 0-2F
12	Gillingham	13	4	5	4	0	17	Jan 19	d 1-1A	Feb 6	d 1-1A
13	Tranmere	13	3	7	3	0	16	d 1-1F	Mar 13	l 0-1A	Jan 19
14	Swindon	13	4	4	5	-3	16	Feb 9	l 3-1F	d 0-00-0	Mar 6
15	Bristol R	13	5	1	7	-4	16	Dec 29	Apr 3	Jan 2	Mar 26
16	Newport	13	3	6	4	0	15	Nov 28	May 1	w 1-0F	Feb 13
17	Rochdale	13	4	3	6	-7	15	Oct 31	Jan 30	Nov 21	Mar 20
18	Fleetwood	13	3	5	5	-2	14	Jan 1	Mar 26	Dec 1	May 8
19	Northampton	11	3	4	4	0	13	Nov 24	Apr 24	-	-
20	Oldham	12	3	3	6	-4	12	Mar 6	l 2-0A	Nov 3	Apr 27
21	Colchester	12	2	6	4	-5	12	Apr 27	Dec 15	w 2-0F	Jan 23
22	Rotherham	13	2	6	5	-6	12	Dec 19	Jan 9	l 0-1A	Apr 17
23	Port Vale	11	3	3	5	-6	12	-	-	Apr 24	Nov 24
24	Crawley	11	1	3	7	-9	6	May 8	Dec 1	d 1-1F	Feb 9

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Port Vale	1 - 0	Chesterfield
Port Vale	1 - 0	Grimsby
Port Vale	1 - 0	Exeter
Port Vale	0 - 0	Crewe
Port Vale	1 - 1	Tranmere
Port Vale	0 - 2	Lincoln
Port Vale	0 - 0	Wigan
Port Vale	0 - 0	Barnsley
Port Vale	1 - 0	Rotherham
Port Vale	1 - 0	Bolton
Port Vale	0 - 0	Huddersfield
Port Vale	0 - 2	Bradford
Port Vale	1 - 1	Luton
Port Vale	1 - 1	Reading
Port Vale	2 - 2	Burton
Port Vale	0 - 1	AFC Wim
Port Vale	1 - 3	Exeter
Port Vale	5 - 1	Blackpool
Port Vale	0 - 1	Peterborough
Port Vale	0 - 1	Plymouth

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Port Vale	0 - 2	York
A	Port Vale	1 - 1	Gillingham
H	Port Vale	1 - 0	Chesterfield
H	Port Vale	1 - 0	Grimsby
A	Port Vale	0 - 2	Walsall
H	Port Vale	1 - 0	Exeter
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Salford
A	Port Vale	1 - 3	Swindon
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Crewe
H	Port Vale	1 - 1	Tranmere
A	Port Vale	0 - 2	Oldham
H	Port Vale	0 - 2	Lincoln
A	Port Vale	2 - 1	Stockport
A	Port Vale	1 - 2	Plymouth
A	Port Vale	0 - 1	Cardiff
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Wigan
A	Port Vale	3 - 1	Peterborough
H	Port Vale	0 - 0	Barnsley
H	Port Vale	1 - 0	Rotherham
A	Port Vale	0 - 4	Wycombe

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grimsby	0 - 2	Northampton
York	1 - 1	Northampton
Shrewsbury	2 - 0	Northampton
Gillingham	1 - 1	Northampton
Crewe	1 - 0	Northampton
Cardiff	5 - 1	Northampton
Luton	2 - 1	Northampton
Bradford	1 - 0	Northampton
Mansfield	4 - 1	Northampton
Stockport	2 - 1	Northampton
AFC Wim	1 - 0	Northampton
Lincoln	4 - 0	Northampton
Exeter	0 - 0	Northampton
Barnsley	2 - 2	Northampton
Rotherham	2 - 1	Northampton
Blackpool	2 - 0	Northampton
Bolton	0 - 0	Northampton
Huddersfield	2 - 0	Northampton
Burton	5 - 1	Northampton
Peterborough	2 - 1	Northampton

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Northampton	2 - 0	Colchester
H	Northampton	0 - 1	Tranmere
A	Northampton	2 - 0	Grimsby
A	Northampton	1 - 1	York
H	Northampton	0 - 1	Rotherham
A	Northampton	0 - 2	Shrewsbury
H	Northampton	1 - 0	Newport
H	Northampton	1 - 1	Crawley
A	Northampton	1 - 1	Gillingham
A	Northampton	0 - 1	Crewe
H	Northampton	0 - 0	Swindon
H	Northampton	2 - 3	Plymouth
H	Northampton	0 - 1	Barnsley
A	Northampton	1 - 5	Cardiff
H	Northampton	1 - 3	Doncaster
A	Northampton	1 - 2	Luton
H	Northampton	1 - 3	Wigan
A	Northampton	0 - 1	Bradford
A	Northampton	1 - 4	Mansfield
A	Northampton	1 - 2	Stockport

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Port Vale have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Northampton

Port Vale

Northampton

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

6 / 12

Clean sheets

6 / 12

2 / 12

PTV

NHT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Port Vale
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Port Vale	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Port Vale	2 - 0
	2 - 3	Northampton
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Port Vale	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Northampton
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Port Vale	1 - 0

Northampton

Port Vale

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

PTV

NHT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Northampton
	0 - 1	Port Vale
Northampton	2 - 0
Northampton	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Port Vale
	1 - 2	Port Vale
Northampton	2 - 1
Northampton	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Port Vale
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Northampton	2 - 1
	0 - 2	Port Vale

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Port Vale of late. It has been 6 League Two games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Northampton Town.

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Northampton Town fans, as should a 5 League Two matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

	Port Vale 23rd	Northampton 19th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Port Vale will score no more than 1 goal	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Northampton scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-37 Port Vale have scored 37% fewer goals at home than predicted	-32 Northampton have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.8 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	0.8 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2026/2027 season

PTV

NHT

13%

better

view stats

Games scored	6		6
Failed to score	5		5
Scored first	5		5
Goals scored	6		8
Avg. goals scored	0.5		0.7
Avg. shots per game	8		8
Avg. shots per goal	16		11
Conversion rate for	6		9
Avg. XG for	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+13%

PTV

NHT

16%

better

view stats

Games conceded	7		7
Clean sheets	4		4
Conceded first	5		5
Goals conceded	12		8
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		10
Conversion rate against	16%		10%
Avg. XG against	1		1.1
KickOff rating		+16%

Port Vale v Northampton League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Port Vale League Two squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	2	1	4
J Lawrence-Gabriel	G Byers	J Lawrence-Gabriel	K Dempsey

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	11		1	3 -
K Dempsey MID	11	1		4 -
O. Lynch FWD	11	1		-
O Hernández FWD	11	1		-
C Hall DEF	10			-
J. Headley MID	10		1	1 -
G Hall MID	10			2 -
C Humphreys DEF	9			2 -
R. Walters MID	9			-
B Garrity MID	9			3 -
G Byers MID	8	2		2 -
B Waine FWD	7			-
J Smith GLK	6			-
L Montsma DEF	6			1 -
K John DEF	6			-
M Marosi GLK	5			-
J Moon DEF	5			2 -
L Gordon DEF	5			1 -
M Watters FWD	5			-
K. Figuora FWD	4	1		-
M Craig MID	2			-
M. Asamoah FWD	2			-
M Faal FWD	2			-
R Croasdale MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	1	3
G Byers	O. Lynch	J Lawrence-Gabriel	K Dempsey

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Byers MID	2	2
K Dempsey MID	1	5		3
O. Lynch FWD	1	6
O Hernández FWD	1	5		1
K. Figuora FWD	1	3
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF		1	1	2
C Hall DEF		1
J. Headley MID		1	1
G Hall MID		2		1
C Humphreys DEF		1
B Garrity MID		1
B Waine FWD		3
L Montsma DEF		3
K John DEF		1
J Moon DEF		1
M Watters FWD		4
M Faal FWD		1
R Croasdale MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
404	19	74
C Hall	J Lawrence-Gabriel	J Lawrence-Gabriel

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Hall DEF	404	3	39
C Humphreys DEF	388	9	37
K Dempsey MID	376	16	47
J Lawrence-Gabriel DEF	309	19	74
G Byers MID	288	8	22
J. Headley MID	243	12	34
J Smith GLK	224		7
B Garrity MID	211	7	49
L Montsma DEF	177	9	34
J Moon DEF	177	8	32
M Marosi GLK	166		1
K John DEF	150	10	25
L Gordon DEF	132	2	17
O Hernández FWD	123	13	37
R. Walters MID	120	13	35
O. Lynch FWD	105	3	33
G Hall MID	100	8	29
M Watters FWD	41	1	12
B Waine FWD	37	2	10
K. Figuora FWD	33	1	9
M Craig MID	32		2
M. Asamoah FWD	19	2	5
M Faal FWD	17		11
R Croasdale MID	6	2	2

Northampton League Two squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	2	2	3
Z Jeacock	J Whitmarsh	L Evans	L Evans

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Z Jeacock GLK	11			-
E Moore DEF	11		1	-
J Guthrie DEF	11	1		1 -
J Maxwell DEF	10			1 -
J Wormleighton DEF	10			1 -
J Whitmarsh MID	10	2	1	-
M. Warhurst FWD	10	2		1 -
S Hoskins FWD	10	1		1 -
T Fornah MID	9			2 -
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	9			-
L Evans MID	8		2	2 1
J Donacien DEF	7			-
L. Briggs MID	7	1		2 -
O Dale FWD	7		1	-
N Opoku FWD	7	1		-
H Saunders FWD	6			-
J. Powell DEF	5			2 -
M Dyche DEF	5			2 -
E List FWD	5			1 -
S. Chambers MID	3			1 -
K Simon-Swyer MID	2			-
J. Perkins MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	6	2	3
J Whitmarsh	O Dale	L Evans	J Whitmarsh

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Whitmarsh MID	2	3	1	3
M. Warhurst FWD	2	5
J Guthrie DEF	1	5
S Hoskins FWD	1	3		1
L. Briggs MID	1	3
N Opoku FWD	1	3
E Moore DEF		2	1	1
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID		3		1
L Evans MID			2	2
J Donacien DEF				1
O Dale FWD		6	1	1
H Saunders FWD		4
M Dyche DEF		1
E List FWD		3
K Simon-Swyer MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
465	34	80
L Evans	J Wormleighton	J Wormleighton

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Evans MID	465	7	36
E Moore DEF	441	7	54
J Guthrie DEF	413	11	64
Z Jeacock GLK	343		6
T Fornah MID	294	10	37
J Wormleighton DEF	278	34	80
J Donacien DEF	273	18	34
J Maxwell DEF	236	9	33
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	205	18	47
J Whitmarsh MID	178	9	27
O Dale FWD	102	5	28
L. Briggs MID	88	7	20
S Hoskins FWD	85	1	9
M. Warhurst FWD	75	7	24
J. Powell DEF	66	9	16
M Dyche DEF	65		13
N Opoku FWD	63	9	31
H Saunders FWD	41		14
E List FWD	32	2	7
S. Chambers MID	30	5	12
J. Perkins MID	9		2
K Simon-Swyer MID	4