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MK Dons v Notts County : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 29th Dec, 19:45 BST, Stadium mk, Milton Keynes

MK Dons are in League Two action on Monday evening, as Paul Warne looks to get one over on Martin Paterson and his Notts County side at the Stadium mk. We've analysed both teams' last 20 League Two matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Predictions	Bet365	Coral
MK Dons 40%	-	-
Draw 27%	-	-
Notts C 33%	-	-
Draw 1-1 13%	-	-
MK Dons 1-0 11%	-	-
Notts C 1-0 9%	-	-
MK Dons 2-1 9%	-	-
Draw 0-0 8%	-	-
Notts C 2-1 8%	-	-
MK Dons 2-0 7%	-	-
Notts C 2-0 6%	-	-
Draw 2-2 5%	-	-
MK Dons 3-1 4%	-	-
MK Dons 3-0 3%	-	-
Notts C 3-1 3%	-	-
MK Dons 3-2 2%	-	-
Notts C 3-0 2%	-	-
Notts C 3-2 2%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 49%	-	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	-	-
No 1st Goal 5%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 52%	-	-
BTTS - No 48%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	-	-
Home/draw 67%	-	-
Away/draw 60%	-	-
Home/away 73%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	-	-
Home DNB 59%	-	-
Away DNB 52%	-	-
MK Dons win to nil 22%	-	-
Notts C win to nil 18%	-	-

Win / draw / win League Two table

MK Dons have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. MK Dons have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 3 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn zero and won zero. MK Dons have conceded 6 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

MK Dons have played 10 games at home, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Notts C lay in 2nd place on 37 points in the League Two league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Notts C have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Notts C have played 10 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	MK Dons Notts C
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Walsall	20	12	3	5	11	39	l 0-1A	Feb 23	Dec 20	Mar 7
2	Notts C	20	11	4	5	13	37	Dec 29	l 3-2F	-	-
3	Swindon	20	11	4	5	9	37	Dec 26	Mar 14	Jan 27	d 2-2F
4	Bromley	20	10	6	4	9	36	Apr 11	l 2-1F	d 2-2F	Feb 14
5	MK Dons	20	9	6	5	14	33	-	-	w 3-2A	Dec 29
6	Salford	20	10	3	7	0	33	w 2-0F	Mar 28	l 1-2A	Apr 3
7	Chesterfield	20	8	8	4	5	32	Jan 4	d 1-1F	Mar 14	Dec 26
8	Crewe	20	9	4	7	6	31	w 3-1F	Apr 18	Jan 24	l 2-1A
9	Cambridge	20	8	7	5	4	31	d 1-1F	Feb 28	w 2-0F	Apr 11
10	Gillingham	20	7	9	4	6	30	w 3-2F	Jan 10	Jan 4	l 1-0A
11	Fleetwood	20	8	6	6	3	30	w 2-1F	May 2	w 1-0F	Jan 31
12	Colchester	20	7	7	6	6	28	Mar 17	Jan 1	l 1-3F	Apr 25
13	Barnet	20	7	7	6	5	28	Mar 21	d 2-2A	Apr 18	w 0-1F
14	Grimsby	20	7	6	7	5	27	l 2-3A	Jan 31	Feb 28	w 0-2F
15	Tranmere	20	6	8	6	3	26	Apr 25	d 2-2A	Feb 21	w 1-2A
16	Oldham	20	5	9	6	2	24	d 0-00-0	Apr 6	w 3-1F	Jan 10
17	Accrington	20	6	6	8	0	24	l 1-2A	Jan 17	Jan 1	Mar 17
18	Barrow	20	5	6	9	-8	21	Apr 3	w 0-2F	Feb 7	l 2-1A
19	Cheltenham	20	6	3	11	-17	21	w 5-0F	Feb 7	Mar 21	w 1-2F
20	Shrewsbury	20	4	7	9	-13	19	Jan 24	w 1-2F	w 4-1F	Feb 17
21	Crawley	20	4	6	10	-10	18	Feb 17	d 1-1A	w 4-0F	Jan 17
22	Harrogate	20	4	5	11	-13	17	Mar 7	Dec 20	d 1-1A	Mar 28
23	Bristol R	20	5	2	13	-23	17	Jan 27	w 0-4F	May 2	w 0-1F
24	Newport	20	3	4	13	-17	13	Feb 14	w 1-2A	Apr 6	d 1-1A

	Promotion
	Promotion Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
MK Dons	1 - 1	Cambridge
MK Dons	2 - 1	Fleetwood
MK Dons	2 - 0	Salford
MK Dons	3 - 1	Crewe
MK Dons	3 - 2	Gillingham
MK Dons	1 - 2	Accrington
MK Dons	2 - 3	Grimsby
MK Dons	0 - 1	Walsall
MK Dons	5 - 0	Cheltenham
MK Dons	0 - 0	Oldham
MK Dons	0 - 0	Grimsby
MK Dons	0 - 0	Newport
MK Dons	0 - 3	Barrow
MK Dons	2 - 4	Fleetwood
MK Dons	2 - 1	Morecambe
MK Dons	0 - 1	Colchester
MK Dons	0 - 1	Bromley
MK Dons	2 - 1	Harrogate
MK Dons	0 - 0	AFC Wim
MK Dons	0 - 1	Salford

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	MK Dons	1 - 1	Cambridge
A	MK Dons	2 - 3	Notts C
H	MK Dons	2 - 1	Fleetwood
A	MK Dons	2 - 2	Tranmere
H	MK Dons	2 - 0	Salford
A	MK Dons	2 - 2	Barnet
A	MK Dons	1 - 2	Bromley
H	MK Dons	3 - 1	Crewe
A	MK Dons	4 - 0	Bristol R
H	MK Dons	3 - 2	Gillingham
A	MK Dons	2 - 1	Shrewsbury
H	MK Dons	1 - 2	Accrington
A	MK Dons	1 - 1	Chesterfield
H	MK Dons	2 - 3	Grimsby
H	MK Dons	0 - 1	Walsall
A	MK Dons	2 - 1	Newport
A	MK Dons	1 - 1	Crawley
H	MK Dons	5 - 0	Cheltenham
A	MK Dons	2 - 0	Barrow
H	MK Dons	0 - 0	Oldham

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Grimsby	0 - 2	Notts C
Bristol R	0 - 1	Notts C
Cheltenham	1 - 2	Notts C
Swindon	2 - 2	Notts C
Barnet	0 - 1	Notts C
Crewe	2 - 1	Notts C
Gillingham	1 - 0	Notts C
Tranmere	1 - 2	Notts C
Barrow	2 - 1	Notts C
Newport	1 - 1	Notts C
AFC Wim	1 - 0	Notts C
Harrogate	1 - 3	Notts C
Bradford	1 - 1	Notts C
Colchester	1 - 0	Notts C
Newport	0 - 2	Notts C
Grimsby	0 - 2	Notts C
AFC Wim	2 - 0	Notts C
Fleetwood	2 - 2	Notts C
Port Vale	1 - 0	Notts C
Gillingham	1 - 2	Notts C

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Notts C	2 - 0	Grimsby
H	Notts C	3 - 2	MK Dons
A	Notts C	1 - 0	Bristol R
H	Notts C	1 - 3	Colchester
H	Notts C	1 - 1	Harrogate
A	Notts C	2 - 1	Cheltenham
H	Notts C	2 - 0	Cambridge
A	Notts C	2 - 2	Swindon
A	Notts C	1 - 0	Barnet
H	Notts C	3 - 1	Oldham
A	Notts C	1 - 2	Crewe
H	Notts C	4 - 0	Crawley
A	Notts C	0 - 1	Gillingham
H	Notts C	1 - 0	Fleetwood
A	Notts C	2 - 1	Tranmere
H	Notts C	2 - 2	Bromley
H	Notts C	4 - 1	Shrewsbury
A	Notts C	1 - 2	Barrow
H	Notts C	1 - 2	Salford
A	Notts C	1 - 1	Newport

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Notts C have beaten MK Dons in 3 consecutive league meetings

Notts C have not lost to MK Dons in 5 consecutive league meetings

MK Dons

Notts C

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

8 / 10

Clean sheets

2 / 10

1 / 10

MKD

NOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
	0 - 2	Notts C
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
MK Dons	2 - 1
MK Dons	4 - 1
MK Dons	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
MK Dons	3 - 0
MK Dons	2 - 1
MK Dons	3 - 0
MK Dons	3 - 2

Notts C

MK Dons

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 11

9 / 11

Clean sheets

2 / 11

1 / 11

MKD

NOT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Notts C
Notts C	3 - 2
Notts C	3 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
	1 - 2	MK Dons
	0 - 1	MK Dons
	1 - 3	MK Dons
	1 - 2	MK Dons
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Notts C	2 - 0
	1 - 2	MK Dons
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

	MK Dons 5th	Notts C 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.2 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 26% 1 35% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 61% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Notts C will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 MK Dons have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-3 Notts C’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.3 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season

MKD

NOT

better

view stats

Games scored	18		19
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	12		12
Goals scored	38		35
Avg. goals scored	1.9		1.8
Avg. shots per game	9		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		4
Conversion rate for	22		23
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.4
KickOff rating		+9%

MKD

NOT

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		14
Clean sheets	5		6
Conceded first	7		8
Goals conceded	24		22
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded	7		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.1
KickOff rating		+5%

MK Dons v Notts C League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	7	5	6
A Gilbey	N Mendez-Laing	C Paterson	L Offord

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Kelly MID	20		4	2 -
A Gilbey MID	20	6	2	4 -
W Collar MID	20	2	1	2 -
C MacGillivray GLK	19			-
L Offord DEF	19	1	1	5 1
A Nemane MID	19	2	1	2 -
C Paterson FWD	19	6	5	3 -
M Ekpiteta DEF	18		1	2 -
N Mendez-Laing FWD	18	7	2	4 -
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD	15	4	1	1 -
K Thompson-Sommers MID	14	1		2 -
J Sanders DEF	13	2		3 -
D Crowley MID	13		1	1 -
J Leko FWD	13		1	3 1
J Mellish DEF	12	1		1 1
J Tomlinson MID	10			-
G Jones DEF	9		1	1 -
L Maguire DEF	7	1		2 -
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	6	1		1 -
A Collins FWD	6			-
S Hogan FWD	6	1		-
N Thompson DEF	5			2 -
C Trueman GLK	2			-
K Wilson DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	17	5	8
N Mendez-Laing	N Mendez-Laing	C Paterson	C Paterson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
N Mendez-Laing FWD	7	17	2	4
A Gilbey MID	6	13	2	4
C Paterson FWD	6	10	5	8
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD	4	9	1	1
W Collar MID	2	5	1	1
A Nemane MID	2	5	1	3
J Sanders DEF	2	4		1
L Offord DEF	1	3	1	2
K Thompson-Sommers MID	1	2
J Mellish DEF	1	3		3
L Maguire DEF	1	2
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	1	1
S Hogan FWD	1	2
L Kelly MID		2	4	5
M Ekpiteta DEF		2	1
D Crowley MID			1
J Leko FWD		1	1	1
J Tomlinson MID		1
G Jones DEF		1	1	1
A Collins FWD		2		1
K Wilson DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
811	38	144
L Kelly	L Offord	J Sanders

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Kelly MID	811	33	64
L Offord DEF	735	38	134
M Ekpiteta DEF	586	24	141
J Sanders DEF	584	20	144
A Gilbey MID	536	31	112
C MacGillivray GLK	533		19
N Mendez-Laing FWD	421	17	50
A Nemane MID	359	24	78
C Paterson FWD	316	13	143
J Mellish DEF	286	11	49
W Collar MID	257	19	53
J Tomlinson MID	250	7	41
D Crowley MID	200	17	25
G Jones DEF	196	9	29
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD	175	16	77
K Thompson-Sommers MID	146	13	31
L Maguire DEF	140	1	47
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID	96	8	19
C Trueman GLK	53
A Collins FWD	47	2	13
J Leko FWD	40	1	5
N Thompson DEF	24	6	11
S Hogan FWD	15		9
K Wilson DEF	7	1	1

Notts C League Two squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
20	10	4	5
K Roos	M Dennis	T. Iorpenda	J Bedeau

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
K Roos GLK	20		1	4 -
J Bedeau DEF	20		1	5 -
T. Iorpenda MID	20	1	4	2 -
C Grant MID	19	2	1	1 -
M Dennis FWD	19	10	1	3 -
N Tsaroulla MID	18	2	2	1 -
M Palmer MID	16		2	1 -
K Bennetts MID	15			1 -
J Jones FWD	15	1	2	2 -
A Jatta FWD	15	8	1	3 -
T. Hall MID	14	5	1	2 1
O Norburn MID	13			3 -
M Kouhyar FWD	13			-
L Macarai DEF	12		1	1 -
R McDonald DEF	12			2 -
S Robertson MID	12	1		3 -
K Gordon MID	10	1	2	3 -
B Cotter DEF	9			1 -
S Aljofree DEF	9	1		-
L Ness DEF	8			-
M Platt DEF	6			2 -
J Luker MID	5	1	3	-
W Jarvis FWD	2			-
M Traore FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	18	4	4
M Dennis	A Jatta	T. Iorpenda	A Jatta

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Dennis FWD	10	15	1	3
A Jatta FWD	8	18	1	4
T. Hall MID	5	8	1	1
C Grant MID	2	8	1	1
N Tsaroulla MID	2	5	2	3
T. Iorpenda MID	1	12	4	3
J Jones FWD	1	5	2	2
S Robertson MID	1	5
K Gordon MID	1	3	2	1
S Aljofree DEF	1	1
J Luker MID	1	1	3	1
K Roos GLK			1
J Bedeau DEF			1
M Palmer MID		2	2	2
K Bennetts MID		1		2
M Kouhyar FWD		1		1
L Macarai DEF		1	1	2
R McDonald DEF		2
B Cotter DEF		2		1
W Jarvis FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1073	40	115
J Bedeau	T. Iorpenda	T. Iorpenda

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bedeau DEF	1073	29	112
M Palmer MID	1056	37	72
K Roos GLK	698		11
R McDonald DEF	619	17	70
L Macarai DEF	586	16	61
N Tsaroulla MID	520	30	67
S Robertson MID	520	23	72
T. Iorpenda MID	405	40	115
S Aljofree DEF	357	11	38
O Norburn MID	309	27	55
J Jones FWD	305	10	57
C Grant MID	301	21	52
L Ness DEF	293	4	29
T. Hall MID	282	22	49
M Platt DEF	280	9	39
K Bennetts MID	256	20	53
A Jatta FWD	171	17	65
M Dennis FWD	158	7	51
B Cotter DEF	124	13	41
K Gordon MID	89	6	12
M Kouhyar FWD	82	4	12
J Luker MID	41	2	15
W Jarvis FWD	31	2	4
M Traore FWD	4		1