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Swindon Town v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 15:00 BST, County Ground, Swindon

MK Dons are away from home on Saturday afternoon, as manager Scott Parker takes his men to visit Swindon Town and Ian Evatt at the County Ground in the League Two. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for the two sides. You can access it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top League Two Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Swindon and MK Dons's recent form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Swindon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swindon
56%
3/4
13%
-
Draw
22%
29/10
5%
-
MK Dons
22%
16/5
24%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2
7%
-
Swindon 2-1
10%
15/2-
Swindon 1-0
9%
17/2
12%
-
Swindon 2-0
9%
9/1-
Swindon 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
-
MK Dons 2-1
6%
14/1
25%
-
Swindon 3-0
6%
14/1
21%
-
MK Dons 1-0
6%
14/1
25%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Swindon 3-2
3%
20/1
9%
-
MK Dons 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Swindon 4-1
3%
22/1
32%
-
Swindon 4-0
3%
25/1
24%
-
MK Dons 3-1
2%
28/1
12%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
3/5
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
13/10
12%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/8
9%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/7
6%
-
BTTS - No
43%
5/4
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
28%
11/5
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1
17%
-
Home/draw
78%
2/9
6%
-
Away/draw
44%
1/1
11%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
2/11
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
7/2
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
6/4
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/2
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
10/3
21%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/5
5%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/14
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
-
Home DNB
71%
1/3
11%
-
Away DNB
38%
9/4
30%
-
Swindon win to nil
28%
5/2
7%
-
MK Dons win to nil
10%
8/1
38%
-
Swindon / Swindon
31%
13/8
18%
-
Swindon / MK Dons
3%
28/1-
Swindon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Swindon
16%
4/1
9%
-
Draw / MK Dons
9%
17/2
19%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
-
MK Dons / Swindon
4%
18/1
10%
-
MK Dons / MK Dons
12%
6/1
27%
-
MK Dons / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Swindon have played 45 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the League Two league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 8 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Swindon have outscored their opponents by 71 goals to 52 goals.

Home League Performance

Swindon have played 22 games at home winning 9, drawing 7 and losing 6 games. They have scored 39 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 33 goals at home.

MK Dons are in 18th position in the League Two on 51 points having played 45 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

13 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 41 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 27 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

33 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 20 games, drawn 5 and won 8. MK Dons have conceded 49 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 16 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swindon
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Doncaster452312102281 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
2
Port Vale45221492080 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Bradford452112121875 
w
 
5-4A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
4
Walsall452014112074 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2F
5
Notts C452012132072 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
6
AFC Wim451913132070 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
7
Salford451814131068 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Grimsby4520817-568 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
9
Chesterfield451813141867 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
10
Colchester45161811566 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
11
Bromley45161514263 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
12
Crewe45151713262 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
13
Swindon Home45151614861 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
May 3
14
Fleetwood45151515160 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
2-4F
l
 
2-1A
15
Cheltenham45161217-760 
d
 
3-3A
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
16
Barrow45151317258 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1F
17
Gillingham45131616-655 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
18
MK Dons Away4514922-1451 
May 3
l
 
3-1F
-
-
19
Accrington45121419-1550 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
20
Harrogate45131121-1950 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-5F
21
Newport45131022-2149 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-3A
22
Tranmere45111519-2348 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
23
Carlisle45101124-2741 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-5F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
24
Morecambe4510629-3136 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Swindon 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swindon0 - 1Bromley
Swindon5 - 4Bradford
Swindon2 - 1AFC Wim
Swindon0 - 0Accrington
Swindon3 - 3Cheltenham
Swindon2 - 2Salford
Swindon1 - 0Chesterfield
Swindon3 - 3Port Vale
Swindon3 - 1Tranmere
Swindon2 - 0Barrow
Swindon0 - 0Crewe
Swindon3 - 2Colchester
Swindon3 - 1Grimsby
Swindon3 - 1Fleetwood
Swindon2 - 3Morecambe
Swindon1 - 1Gillingham
Swindon1 - 2Doncaster
Swindon0 - 0Harrogate
Swindon0 - 2Carlisle
Swindon4 - 0Newport
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASwindon1 - 1Gillingham
HSwindon0 - 1Bromley
ASwindon4 - 0Grimsby
HSwindon5 - 4Bradford
ASwindon4 - 0Fleetwood
HSwindon2 - 1AFC Wim
ASwindon0 - 1Morecambe
HSwindon0 - 0Accrington
HSwindon3 - 3Cheltenham
ASwindon2 - 2Doncaster
HSwindon2 - 2Salford
ASwindon1 - 0Walsall
HSwindon1 - 0Chesterfield
ASwindon0 - 1Harrogate
HSwindon3 - 3Port Vale
ASwindon5 - 1Carlisle
HSwindon3 - 1Tranmere
ASwindon2 - 1Newport
HSwindon2 - 0Barrow
HSwindon0 - 0Crewe
MK Dons 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Crewe0 - 1MK Dons
Gillingham1 - 0MK Dons
Notts C3 - 0MK Dons
Carlisle2 - 2MK Dons
Cheltenham0 - 1MK Dons
Port Vale3 - 0MK Dons
Accrington2 - 0MK Dons
Bradford2 - 0MK Dons
Tranmere1 - 1MK Dons
Barrow2 - 1MK Dons
Doncaster2 - 1MK Dons
Fleetwood2 - 1MK Dons
Walsall4 - 2MK Dons
Chesterfield1 - 2MK Dons
Newport6 - 3MK Dons
Grimsby1 - 3MK Dons
Morecambe1 - 3MK Dons
Harrogate1 - 5MK Dons
Bromley1 - 1MK Dons
AFC Wim3 - 0MK Dons
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMK Dons0 - 0Grimsby
AMK Dons1 - 0Crewe
HMK Dons0 - 0Newport
AMK Dons0 - 1Gillingham
HMK Dons0 - 3Barrow
AMK Dons0 - 3Notts C
HMK Dons2 - 4Fleetwood
AMK Dons2 - 2Carlisle
AMK Dons1 - 0Cheltenham
AMK Dons0 - 3Port Vale
HMK Dons2 - 1Morecambe
AMK Dons0 - 2Accrington
HMK Dons0 - 1Colchester
AMK Dons0 - 2Bradford
AMK Dons1 - 1Tranmere
AMK Dons1 - 2Barrow
HMK Dons0 - 1Bromley
AMK Dons1 - 2Doncaster
HMK Dons2 - 1Harrogate
HMK Dons0 - 0AFC Wim
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
MK Dons have beaten Swindon in 5 consecutive league meetings
6
MK Dons have not lost to Swindon in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Swindon since 1994
Swindon
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
13
22
Games: Scored
10 / 14
12 / 14
Clean sheets
2 / 14
4 / 14
SWI
3
D
4
MKD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swindon
1 - 2MK Dons
1 - 4MK Dons
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3MK Dons
1 - 2MK Dons
Swindon1 - 0
0 - 1MK Dons
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swindon2 - 1
0 - 1MK Dons
Swindon2 - 1
2 - 4MK Dons
League games at MK Dons since 1993
MK Dons
Swindon
Goals: Scored
33
17
Games: Scored
14 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
1 / 15
SWI
3
D
2
MKD
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
MK Dons3 - 1
MK Dons3 - 2
MK Dons5 - 0
2 - 3Swindon
MK Dons3 - 2
MK Dons2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
MK Dons2 - 0
MK Dons2 - 1
MK Dons2 - 1
1 - 2Swindon
0 - 1Swindon
MK Dons3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
MK Dons3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for MK Dons of late. It has been 5 League Two games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Swindon Town.

Swindon 13th MK Dons 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Swindon will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that MK Dons will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Swindon have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
=0
MK Dons’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/281744/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Swindon
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.9
1.1
Attack rating
16%
better
SWI
MKD
view stats
Games scored33
27
Failed to score12
18
Scored first17
19
Goals scored71
52
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
4%
better
SWI
MKD
view stats
Games conceded35
37
Clean sheets10
8
Conceded first24
23
Goals conceded63
66
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%

Swindon v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Swindon League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4415513
W WrightH SmithP GlatzelO Clarke
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Wright DEF4573
7
-
G Kilkenny MID4111
5
-
J Cotterill MID4032
4
-
K Tshimanga  FWD38113
3
-
H Smith FWD38153
10
1
P Glatzel FWD3835
2
-
T Sobowale DEF372
4
-
N Ofoborh MID3721
4
-
D Butterworth FWD3352
3
-
O Clarke MID2943
13
-
A Drinan FWD2831
-
M Freckleton DEF2711
4
-
G Cox DEF2624
6
-
J Bycroft GLK21
-
R Delaney DEF2111
5
-
T Nichols FWD2022
2
-
J. McGregor MID1911
4
-
J Cain MID19
2
-
J. Westley FWD163
-
C Ripley GLK13
1
-
B Kirkman DEF13
-
G Hall DEF13
1
1
B. Ameen FWD1312
-
D Barden GLK12
3
-
H Minturn DEF81
-
O. Foye DEF1
-
MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4211911
A GilbeyA GilbeyA NemaneL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gilbey MID42111
10
-
L Offord DEF413
11
-
A Nemane MID399
9
-
J Tomlinson MID3952
3
-
L Kelly MID3613
1
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID332
7
-
J White MID3362
8
-
S Hogan FWD3381
2
-
L Maguire  DEF2912
5
-
C Hendry FWD2832
6
1
N Lawrence DEF22
2
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID222
4
-
D Crowley MID183
2
-
D Orsi FWD173
1
-
T O'Reilly MID151
4
-
C Trueman GLK13
1
-
J Sanders DEF121
2
-
S Sherring DEF10
4
-
J Williams MID101
4
-
C. Waller DEF8
1
-
J Leko FWD8
1
-
C MacGillivray GLK7
-
T Patterson DEF6
3
-
D Lewington DEF5
1
-
N Thompson DEF2
1
-