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Swindon Town v MK Dons : League Two match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:00 BST, County Ground, Swindon

Saturday afternoon sees Ian Holloway’s Swindon Town and Paul Warne’s MK Dons go head to head in a League Two battle at the County Ground. We provide predictions based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

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Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Swindon
37%
--
Draw
25%
--
MK Dons
38%
--
Draw 1-1
12%
--
MK Dons 2-1
8%
--
Swindon 2-1
8%
--
MK Dons 1-0
8%
--
Swindon 1-0
8%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
--
MK Dons 2-0
6%
--
Swindon 2-0
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
MK Dons 3-1
4%
--
Swindon 3-1
4%
--
MK Dons 3-2
3%
--
MK Dons 3-0
3%
--
Swindon 3-2
3%
--
Swindon 3-0
3%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
--
Home 1st Goal
48%
--
Away 1st Goal
49%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
--
BTTS - No
42%
--
BTTS - Home Win
19%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
--
BTTS - Away Win
20%
--
Home/draw
62%
--
Away/draw
63%
--
Home/away
75%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
56%
--
Swindon win to nil
18%
--
MK Dons win to nil
18%
--
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Win / draw / win League Two table

Swindon have played 35 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 2. Swindon have conceded 5 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Swindon have played 18 games at home, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 31 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

MK Dons lay in 3rd place on 62 points in the League Two league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 9 and losing 5 games. They have scored 60 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. MK Dons have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

MK Dons have played 17 away games, winning 8, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Swindon
MK Dons
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bromley34191142368 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
Apr 11
l
 
2-1F
2
Cambridge34181062264 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 3
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
3
MK Dons34171162962 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
-
-
4
Swindon35195111662 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Mar 14
5
Notts C3418791961 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
6
Crewe35168111156 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 18
7
Salford3317412355 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 28
8
Chesterfield3413147853 
May 2
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
9
Barnet35141110753 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
10
Walsall3315810653 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
11
Grimsby3314109952 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
l
 
2-3A
d
 
2-2F
12
Colchester331310101349 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 10
Mar 18
l
 
1-0A
13
Accrington3413714146 
Apr 18
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
14
Oldham3211129645 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 6
15
Fleetwood3312912145 
Mar 28
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 2
16
Gillingham33111111044 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 17
w
 
3-2F
Mar 10
17
Shrewsbury3510817-2038 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2F
18
Cheltenham3310617-2136 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
19
Tranmere349817-1335 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 21
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
20
Bristol R349421-2431 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
21
Crawley3561019-2328 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
22
Barrow337620-1827 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
1-3F
Apr 3
w
 
0-2F
23
Harrogate356920-2727 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
Mar 7
w
 
0-4F
24
Newport346721-2825 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Swindon 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Swindon1 - 1Bristol R
Swindon1 - 2Crewe
Swindon2 - 0Newport
Swindon3 - 0Oldham
Swindon3 - 1Barrow
Swindon2 - 3Salford
Swindon2 - 0Gillingham
Swindon1 - 0Crawley
Swindon0 - 1Cheltenham
Swindon2 - 2Grimsby
Swindon2 - 1Tranmere
Swindon0 - 0Colchester
Swindon2 - 2Notts C
Swindon2 - 0Bromley
Swindon3 - 1Harrogate
Swindon2 - 1Shrewsbury
Swindon0 - 2Barnet
Swindon3 - 2Cambridge
Swindon0 - 0MK Dons
Swindon0 - 1Bromley
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSwindon1 - 1Bristol R
HSwindon1 - 2Crewe
ASwindon2 - 1Barnet
ASwindon1 - 3Shrewsbury
HSwindon2 - 0Newport
HSwindon3 - 0Oldham
ASwindon1 - 0Harrogate
HSwindon3 - 1Barrow
ASwindon1 - 2Notts C
ASwindon1 - 2Bromley
HSwindon2 - 3Salford
HSwindon2 - 0Gillingham
ASwindon2 - 0Cheltenham
ASwindon0 - 1MK Dons
HSwindon1 - 0Crawley
ASwindon3 - 0Bristol R
HSwindon0 - 1Cheltenham
ASwindon2 - 1Chesterfield
HSwindon2 - 2Grimsby
ASwindon1 - 1Fleetwood
MK Dons 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cambridge1 - 1MK Dons
Walsall0 - 2MK Dons
Cheltenham2 - 3MK Dons
Grimsby2 - 2MK Dons
Accrington0 - 2MK Dons
Colchester1 - 0MK Dons
Harrogate0 - 4MK Dons
Notts C3 - 2MK Dons
Tranmere2 - 2MK Dons
Barnet2 - 2MK Dons
Bromley2 - 1MK Dons
Bristol R0 - 4MK Dons
Shrewsbury1 - 2MK Dons
Chesterfield1 - 1MK Dons
Newport1 - 2MK Dons
Crawley1 - 1MK Dons
Barrow0 - 2MK Dons
Swindon0 - 0MK Dons
Crewe0 - 1MK Dons
Gillingham1 - 0MK Dons
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMK Dons1 - 1Cambridge
AMK Dons2 - 0Walsall
HMK Dons0 - 0Crawley
HMK Dons1 - 0Newport
AMK Dons3 - 2Cheltenham
AMK Dons2 - 2Grimsby
HMK Dons1 - 0Bristol R
HMK Dons5 - 1Shrewsbury
AMK Dons2 - 0Accrington
HMK Dons2 - 2Chesterfield
AMK Dons0 - 1Colchester
HMK Dons1 - 1Notts C
HMK Dons1 - 0Swindon
AMK Dons4 - 0Harrogate
HMK Dons1 - 1Cambridge
AMK Dons2 - 3Notts C
HMK Dons2 - 1Fleetwood
AMK Dons2 - 2Tranmere
HMK Dons2 - 0Salford
AMK Dons2 - 2Barnet
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
MK Dons have not lost to Swindon in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Swindon since 1994
Swindon
MK Dons
Goals: Scored
13
22
Games: Scored
10 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
5 / 15
SWI
3
D
5
MKD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Swindon
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 2MK Dons
1 - 4MK Dons
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3MK Dons
1 - 2MK Dons
Swindon1 - 0
0 - 1MK Dons
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Swindon2 - 1
0 - 1MK Dons
Swindon2 - 1
2 - 4MK Dons
League games at MK Dons since 1993
MK Dons
Swindon
Goals: Scored
34
17
Games: Scored
15 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
1 / 16
SWI
3
D
2
MKD
11
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MK Dons
MK Dons1 - 0
MK Dons3 - 1
MK Dons3 - 2
MK Dons5 - 0
2 - 3Swindon
MK Dons3 - 2
MK Dons2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
MK Dons2 - 0
MK Dons2 - 1
MK Dons2 - 1
1 - 2Swindon
0 - 1Swindon
MK Dons3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
MK Dons3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Swindon 4th MK Dons 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Swindon will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that MK Dons will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Swindon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+19
MK Dons have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
League Two - 2025/2026 season
Swindon
PG (predicted goals)
MK Dons
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
SWI
MKD
11%
better
view stats
Games scored29
29
Failed to score5
4
Scored first19
22
Goals scored56
62
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for18
21
Avg. XG for1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
SWI
MKD
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
21
Clean sheets11
12
Conceded first14
9
Goals conceded40
33
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.1
KickOff rating
+13%

Swindon v MK Dons League Two lLine ups will show here when available.

Swindon League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
351768
C RipleyA DrinanF. MunroeT Nichols
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Ripley GLK35
4
-
G Kilkenny MID3311
4
-
T Nichols MID321
8
-
J Snowdon MID3035
5
-
O Palmer FWD3072
2
-
D Oldaker MID2914
2
-
A Drinan FWD29173
4
1
W Wright DEF2614
3
-
J. McGregor DEF262
2
-
F. Munroe DEF2326
7
1
O Clarke MID2351
3
1
F. Mabete DEF211
3
-
P Glatzel MID2122
2
-
J. Knight-Lebel DEF191
3
-
T. Wilson-Brown DEF19
2
-
J Ball MID181
2
-
B Bodin FWD172
1
-
R Tafazolli DEF152
1
-
P. Ehibhatioman FWD141
-
D Butterworth MID10
2
-
B Kirkman DEF811
-
H Smith FWD41
2
-
A Murphy MID3
1
-
R Delaney DEF1
-
D. Gonzalez-Birchall MID1
-
MK Dons League Two squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3314811
C MacGillivrayC PatersonC PatersonL Offord
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C MacGillivray GLK33
-
L Offord DEF3321
10
1
L Kelly MID335
6
-
A Gilbey MID3284
6
-
C Paterson FWD30148
4
-
M Ekpiteta DEF2922
3
-
A Nemane MID2932
4
-
J Mellish DEF2623
5
1
R Hepburn-Murphy FWD2661
2
-
G Jones DEF231
1
-
J Sanders DEF232
5
-
W Collar MID2221
3
-
D Crowley MID2211
2
-
K Thompson-Sommers MID191
3
-
C Lemonheigh-Evans MID181
1
-
A Collins FWD1851
-
N Mendez-Laing FWD1872
4
-
J Leko FWD151
4
1
S Hogan FWD141
1
-
J Tomlinson MID13
-
L Maguire  DEF71
2
-
N Thompson DEF5
2
-
C Trueman GLK2
-
K Wilson DEF1
-