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Aston Villa v Everton : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Jan, 16:30 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

It's an away trip for David Moyes's Everton side on Sunday afternoon, as they visit the Villa Park for a English Premier League tie with Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. A Villa and Everton have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A Villa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
53%
1.621.65
Draw
26%
3.753.80
Everton
21%
5.755.25
A Villa 1-0
14%
7.506.50
Draw 1-1
12%
8.007.00
A Villa 2-0
11%
8.007.50
A Villa 2-1
9%
9.008.00
Draw 0-0
9%
11.009.50
Everton 1-0
8%
17.0012.00
A Villa 3-0
6%
13.0011.00
Everton 2-1
5%
21.0015.00
A Villa 3-1
5%
15.0012.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.0015.00
Everton 2-0
3%
34.0021.00
A Villa 4-0
2%
26.0019.00
A Villa 3-2
2%
29.0023.00
A Villa 4-1
2%
29.0021.00
Everton 3-1
1%
51.0034.00
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
1.911.85
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1.911.85
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.501.50
Away 1st Goal
40%
2.753.00
No 1st Goal
6%
11.009.00
BTTS - Yes
45%
1.911.91
BTTS - No
55%
1.911.80
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3.603.60
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.005.00
BTTS - Away Win
9%
11.009.00
Home/draw
79%
1.141.15
Away/draw
47%
2.252.20
Home/away
74%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1.291.29
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3.753.40
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3.403.10
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1.331.33
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
6.005.75
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1.131.11
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
13.0011.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.041.03
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1.051.05
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
11.009.50
Home DNB
71%
1.221.22
Away DNB
39%
4.003.75
A Villa win to nil
33%
2.63-
Everton win to nil
12%
10.00-
A Villa / A Villa
33%
2.602.45
A Villa / Everton
2%
41.0034.00
A Villa / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / A Villa
19%
4.504.33
Draw / Everton
7%
12.0010.00
Draw / Draw
15%
6.005.25
Everton / A Villa
4%
23.0019.00
Everton / Everton
9%
9.508.00
Everton / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

A Villa have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. A Villa have outscored their opponents by 33 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

A Villa have played 10 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Everton are in 12th position in the Premier League on 29 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Everton have conceded 16 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Everton
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2015322648 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 14
2
Man City2113442643 
w
 
1-0F
May 24
May 2
l
 
2-0A
3
A Villa211344943 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 18
4
Liverpool201046434 
May 17
l
 
2-0A
Apr 18
l
 
2-1A
5
Brentford211038733 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-4A
Apr 11
6
Newcastle21957532 
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 25
l
 
1-4A
Feb 28
7
Man Utd21885432 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 14
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
8
Chelsea218761031 
Mar 4
w
 
1-2A
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
9
Fulham21948031 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
w
 
2-0F
Feb 7
10
Sunderland21795-130 
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
May 17
d
 
1-1F
11
Brighton21786329 
Feb 11
w
 
3-4A
w
 
2-0F
Jan 31
12
Everton21858-229 
Jan 18
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
13
C Palace21777-128 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
May 9
14
Spurs21768327 
May 2
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
May 24
15
Bournemouth21687-626 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 7
Feb 10
w
 
0-1F
16
Leeds21579-822 
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
Jan 26
l
 
1-0A
17
Nottm Forest216312-1321 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 11
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
West Ham213513-2114 
Mar 21
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
19
Burnley213414-1913 
w
 
2-1F
May 9
Mar 4
d
 
0-00-0
20
Wolves211416-267 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 27
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
8
A Villa have won 8 consecutive home league games
8
A Villa have not lost in 8 consecutive home league games
A Villa 3RD
20 league games
Home
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
A Villa2 - 0Spurs
A Villa1 - 0Fulham
A Villa4 - 1Newcastle
A Villa2 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Chelsea
A Villa2 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 1Ipswich
A Villa1 - 1West Ham
A Villa2 - 1Leicester
A Villa2 - 2Brighton
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa1 - 4Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 1Man Utd
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
HA Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
AA Villa0 - 2Liverpool
HA Villa1 - 0Man City
AA Villa2 - 1Spurs
HA Villa2 - 1Burnley
HA Villa3 - 1Fulham
AA Villa1 - 1Sunderland
AA Villa0 - 0Everton
HA Villa0 - 3C Palace
AA Villa0 - 1Brentford
HA Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Everton 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest0 - 2Everton
Burnley0 - 0Everton
Chelsea2 - 0Everton
Bournemouth0 - 1Everton
Man Utd0 - 1Everton
Sunderland1 - 1Everton
Man City2 - 0Everton
Liverpool2 - 1Everton
Wolves2 - 3Everton
Leeds1 - 0Everton
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Fulham1 - 3Everton
Chelsea1 - 0Everton
Nottm Forest0 - 1Everton
Liverpool1 - 0Everton
Wolves1 - 1Everton
Brentford1 - 1Everton
C Palace1 - 2Everton
Brighton0 - 1Everton
Bournemouth1 - 0Everton
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEverton2 - 4Brentford
AEverton2 - 0Nottm Forest
AEverton0 - 0Burnley
HEverton0 - 1Arsenal
AEverton0 - 2Chelsea
HEverton3 - 0Nottm Forest
AEverton1 - 0Bournemouth
HEverton1 - 4Newcastle
AEverton1 - 0Man Utd
HEverton2 - 0Fulham
AEverton1 - 1Sunderland
HEverton0 - 3Spurs
AEverton0 - 2Man City
HEverton2 - 1C Palace
HEverton1 - 1West Ham
AEverton1 - 2Liverpool
HEverton0 - 0A Villa
AEverton3 - 2Wolves
HEverton2 - 0Brighton
AEverton0 - 1Leeds
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
A Villa have beaten Everton in 4 consecutive home league meetings
13
A Villa have not lost to Everton in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1993
A Villa
Everton
Goals: Scored
53
29
Games: Scored
24 / 30
16 / 30
Clean sheets
14 / 30
6 / 30
AVL
17
D
9
EVE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa3 - 2
A Villa4 - 0
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 0
1 - 3Everton
A Villa3 - 2
0 - 2Everton
1 - 3Everton
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
A Villa2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
A Villa4 - 0
1 - 3Everton
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa3 - 2
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa3 - 0
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa3 - 1
A Villa1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
A Villa2 - 1
League games at Everton since 1992
Everton
A Villa
Goals: Scored
40
36
Games: Scored
20 / 31
22 / 31
Clean sheets
9 / 31
11 / 31
AVL
10
D
12
EVE
9
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Everton
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
1 - 2A Villa
Draw1 - 1Draw
Everton4 - 0
Everton3 - 0
Everton2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3A Villa
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1A Villa
Everton4 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Everton2 - 0
Everton2 - 1
Everton3 - 2
0 - 1A Villa
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Everton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1A Villa
Everton1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 11 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Everton on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A Villa 3rd Everton 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Everton scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
A Villa have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-5
Everton’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Everton
1.5
0.9
Attack rating
18%
better
AVL
EVE
view stats
Games scored15
13
Failed to score5
7
Scored first7
9
Goals scored33
22
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
AVL
EVE
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
12
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first11
9
Goals conceded24
24
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%

A Villa v Everton Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20745
M RogersM RogersM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rogers MID2074
4
-
J McGinn MID2032
3
-
O Watkins FWD2071
1
-
D Malen FWD2041
-
M Cash DEF1932
5
-
L Digne DEF193
2
-
E Konsa DEF19
1
E Buendía MID1842
2
-
B Kamara MID1713
5
-
E Martínez GLK16
1
-
L Bogarde MID15
4
-
I Maatsen DEF14
1
-
A Onana MID142
2
-
Y Tielemans MID144
-
P Torres DEF12
-
E Guessand FWD121
-
J Sancho FWD10
-
V Lindelöf DEF91
-
T Mings DEF7
-
R Barkley MID71
-
M Bizot GLK4
2
-
H Elliot MID3
-
A García DEF2
-
Everton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20466
J PickfordI NdiayeJ GrealishT Iroegbunam
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Pickford GLK20
-
J O'Brien DEF201
1
-
J Tarkowski DEF201
4
-
J Garner MID2023
4
-
T Barry FWD203
2
-
Beto FWD202
1
-
M Keane DEF182
-
J Grealish FWD1826
3
-
V Mykolenko DEF171
4
-
T Iroegbunam MID161
6
-
I Ndiaye FWD1642
2
-
K Dewsbury-Hall MID1542
5
-
C Alcaraz MID151
3
-
I Gueye MID132
1
T Obling FWD11
2
-
D McNeil FWD111
-
M Röhl MID8
-
S Coleman DEF3
-
N Patterson DEF2
-