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Manchester United v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Old Trafford, Manchester

Home advantage can be vital in the English Premier League, and Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim’s Manchester United will have the joy of it on Saturday lunch time. Josep Guardiola i Sala’s Manchester City are their visitors to the Old Trafford. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams, across seventeen major markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.

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Manchester United's next match is v Arsenal at 16:30 on Sunday 25th January
Manchester City's next match is v Galatasaray at 20:00 on Wednesday 28th January
The last English Premier League meeting between Man Utd and Man City was on Saturday 17th January 2026
English Premier League
January 17th 2026
Man Utd 2
0 Man City
 
B. Mbeumo 65'
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu 76'
 
MNU
MCI
Shots On
7
1
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
1
6
Possession
32%
68%
Fouls
13
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
Man UtdMan City
 
H. Maguire
L. Martínez
B. Fernandes (M. Mount 90')
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgufootball icon
S. Lammens
J. Dalot Teixeira
L. Shaw (A. Heaven 90')
C. Casimiro (M. Ugarte Ribeiro 81')
B. Mbeumofootball icon (M. Carneiro Da Cunha 71')
K. Mainoo
A. Traoré
N. Aké
Rodri
(T. Reijnders 80') B. Silva
(D. Mukasa 80') E. Haaland
(R. Aït Nouri 80') J. Doku
G. Donnarumma
A. Khusanov
(N. O'Reilly 46') M. Alleyne
R. Lewis
(M. Cherki 46') P. Foden
A. Semenyo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Studying our match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant stats, there's one market which catches the eye for this fixture: both teams to score. In Man Utd and Man City we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to prove that on Saturday lunch time. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.57.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Man City coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Man Utd
34%
19/101/500
Draw
24%
13/5750/1
Man City
42%
13/101/50
Draw 1-1
11%
7/116/5
Man City 2-1
9%
10/112/1
Man Utd 2-1
8%
11/119/4
Man City 1-0
7%
14/14/1
Man Utd 1-0
7%
16/16/4
Draw 2-2
6%
10/128/1
Man City 2-0
6%
16/111/1
Man Utd 2-0
5%
20/12/5
Man City 3-1
5%
16/145/1
Draw 0-0
5%
18/121/10
Man Utd 3-1
4%
20/120/1
Man City 3-2
4%
20/1100/1
Man City 3-0
3%
25/128/1
Man Utd 3-2
3%
25/180/1
Man Utd 3-0
2%
33/111/2
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
8/157/4
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/42/5
Home 1st Goal
48%
1/113/8
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/529/20
No 1st Goal
3%
18/12/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
4/98/1
BTTS - No
38%
13/81/20
BTTS - Home Win
19%
7/219/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/125/1
BTTS - Away Win
23%
11/480/1
Home/draw
58%
4/71/50
Away/draw
66%
2/525/1
Home/away
76%
2/71/500
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/61/2
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4/16/4
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
13/1017/4
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
8/131/7
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
3/133/1
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/41/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6/1100/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/101/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/407/20
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/12/1
Home DNB
51%
11/101/1000
Away DNB
58%
4/680/1
Man Utd win to nil
15%
11/2-
Man City win to nil
19%
9/2-
Man Utd / Man Utd
18%
7/212/1
Man Utd / Man City
4%
22/133/1
Man Utd / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Draw / Man Utd
11%
13/25/2
Draw / Man City
13%
11/22/1
Draw / Draw
13%
6/115/8
Man City / Man Utd
4%
22/133/1
Man City / Man City
24%
11/411/1
Man City / Draw
7%
12/122/1
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Man Utd have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 2. Man Utd have conceded 10 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Man Utd have played 10 games at home, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Man City lay in 2nd place on 43 points in the Premier League league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 44 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Man City have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Man City have played 10 away games, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Man Utd
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2215522650 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
2
Man City2314452646 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
-
-
3
A Villa221345843 
Mar 14
l
 
2-1F
May 24
l
 
1-0A
4
Liverpool231067336 
May 2
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
Feb 8
5
Man Utd22985635 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
6
Chelsea229761234 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
7
Fulham231049034 
Feb 1
d
 
1-1F
Feb 11
w
 
4-5F
8
Brentford221039533 
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
May 9
w
 
0-1F
9
Newcastle22967533 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 4
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
10
Sunderland23896-233 
w
 
2-0F
May 9
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Everton22958-132 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 23
w
 
2-0F
May 2
12
Brighton23797230 
w
 
4-2F
May 24
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
13
Bournemouth23797-530 
d
 
4-4F
Mar 20
w
 
3-1F
May 17
14
Spurs23779228 
Feb 7
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
15
C Palace22778-228 
Mar 1
w
 
1-2A
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
16
Leeds22679-725 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-2F
Feb 28
17
Nottm Forest226412-1322 
May 17
d
 
2-2F
Mar 4
w
 
1-2F
18
West Ham235513-1820 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 10
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
19
Burnley233614-1915 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
Apr 25
20
Wolves231517-288 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Man Utd 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Man City 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Man Utd since 1992
Man Utd
Man City
Goals: Scored
40
37
Games: Scored
20 / 28
19 / 28
Clean sheets
9 / 28
8 / 28
MNU
12
D
7
MCI
9
League games at Man City since 1993
Man City
Man Utd
Goals: Scored
47
39
Games: Scored
19 / 29
23 / 29
Clean sheets
6 / 29
10 / 29
MNU
14
D
3
MCI
12
Goal Statistics

Manchester United have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 14 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Manchester City on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Man Utd 6th Man City 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Man Utd will score 1 or more goals
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Man City will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Man Utd have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Man City’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Man Utd
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.5
1.6
Attack rating
MNU
MCI
12%
better
view stats
Games scored18
18
Failed to score3
3
Scored first14
17
Goals scored36
45
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.1
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
21
Avg. XG for2
1.9
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
MNU
MCI
40%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
12
Clean sheets2
9
Conceded first7
3
Goals conceded32
19
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against19%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+40%

Man Utd v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Man Utd Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22797
L ShawB MbeumoB FernandesCasemiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Lammens GLK16
-
D Dalot DEF2012
3
-
H Maguire DEF911
-
L Martínez  DEF10
-
L Shaw DEF221
4
-
Casemiro MID2041
6
1
K Mainoo MID13
-
A Diallo MID1622
1
-
B Fernandes MID1959
2
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu MID2123
5
-
B Mbeumo FWD1771
3
-
Subs
A Bayındır GLK6
-
T Malacia DEF1
-
L Yoro DEF21
-
A. Heaven DEF111
1
-
M Mount  MID173
-
M Ugarte MID16
1
-
J. Fletcher MID3
-
B Sesko FWD1741
1
-
M Cunha FWD1942
1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
222076
E HaalandE HaalandR CherkiA Semenyo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Donnarumma GLK19
5
-
R Lewis DEF101
1
-
A. Khusanov DEF8
1
-
M. Alleyne DEF2
-
N Aké  DEF12
1
-
Rodri MID10
1
-
A Semenyo MID1
-
B Silva MID222
5
-
P Foden MID2072
3
-
J Doku MID1914
-
E Haaland FWD22204
-
Subs
J Trafford GLK3
-
M Bettinelli GLK
-
S. Mfuni DEF
-
R Nouri DEF6
1
-
T Reijnders MID2152
2
-
R Cherki MID1727
1
-
N. O'Reilly MID2113
4
-
D. Mukasa MID2
-
R. McAidoo FWD
-