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Aston Villa v Nottingham Forest : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Sep, 15:00 BST, Villa Park, Birmingham

Unai Emery Etxegoien's Aston Villa side enjoy home advantage in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, as Oliver Glasner's Nottingham Forest visit the Villa Park. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of A Villa and Nottm Forest serving up at least a couple of goals in this Premier League tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A Villa
50%
10/11-
Draw
25%
5/2-
Nottm Forest
26%
14/5-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2-
A Villa 1-0
11%
15/2-
A Villa 2-1
10%
17/2-
A Villa 2-0
9%
9/1-
Nottm Forest 1-0
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1-
Nottm Forest 2-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
A Villa 3-1
5%
16/1-
A Villa 3-0
5%
18/1-
Nottm Forest 2-0
4%
20/1-
A Villa 3-2
3%
28/1-
Nottm Forest 3-1
2%
33/1-
A Villa 4-1
2%
33/1-
A Villa 4-0
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/8-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
3/4-
BTTS - No
47%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
6/1-
Home/draw
74%
1/4-
Away/draw
50%
5/6-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Home DNB
67%
2/5-
Away DNB
43%
7/4-
A Villa win to nil
27%
12/5-
Nottm Forest win to nil
13%
6/1-
A Villa / A Villa
28%
21/10-
A Villa / Nottm Forest
3%
33/1-
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A Villa
17%
4/1-
Draw / Nottm Forest
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Nottm Forest / A Villa
4%
22/1-
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
13%
11/2-
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
A Villa
Nottm Forest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City330059 
Oct 24
May 23
Nov 7
Jan 16
2
Hull321037 
Mar 13
d
 
0-00-0
Jan 6
Dec 2
3
Arsenal220046 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 17
Oct 18
May 15
4
Chelsea220026 
Feb 27
Dec 19
Nov 28
Jan 30
5
Brentford312035 
Oct 10
May 8
Feb 6
Oct 31
6
Newcastle312025 
May 15
Oct 17
Mar 3
Dec 30
7
Liverpool312025 
Dec 30
Mar 3
Apr 17
d
 
2-2F
8
Leeds312015 
Dec 26
Feb 20
l
 
0-1A
Apr 10
9
Brighton311134 
Apr 10
l
 
4-0A
Dec 5
May 1
10
Everton211024 
Dec 2
Jan 6
Dec 19
Feb 27
11
Sunderland311104 
Nov 21
Feb 6
Apr 24
Dec 12
12
Man Utd210113 
Jan 16
Nov 7
Feb 20
Dec 26
13
Ipswich3102-43 
Jan 30
Nov 28
May 23
Oct 23
14
C Palace3102-43 
Dec 5
May 1
May 8
Oct 11
15
Bournemouth3021-12 
Feb 10
Jan 2
Jan 23
Nov 21
16
Nottm Forest3021-12 
Sep 12
Mar 20
-
-
17
Spurs3012-51 
May 30
Sep 19
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 13
18
A Villa3012-51 
-
-
Mar 20
Sep 12
19
Fulham3003-30 
Oct 31
Jan 23
Jan 2
Feb 10
20
Coventry3003-50 
Apr 24
Dec 12
Sep 19
May 30
Win / draw / win form
A Villa 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
2
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A Villa0 - 1Arsenal
A Villa4 - 2Liverpool
A Villa1 - 2Spurs
A Villa4 - 3Sunderland
A Villa2 - 0West Ham
A Villa1 - 4Chelsea
A Villa1 - 1Leeds
A Villa1 - 0Brighton
A Villa0 - 1Brentford
A Villa0 - 1Everton
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1Man Utd
A Villa2 - 1Arsenal
A Villa1 - 0Wolves
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
A Villa1 - 0Man City
A Villa2 - 1Burnley
A Villa3 - 1Fulham
A Villa0 - 3C Palace
A Villa0 - 0Newcastle
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA Villa0 - 0Hull
HA Villa0 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa0 - 4Brighton
AA Villa2 - 1Man City
HA Villa4 - 2Liverpool
AA Villa2 - 2Burnley
HA Villa1 - 2Spurs
AA Villa0 - 1Fulham
HA Villa4 - 3Sunderland
AA Villa1 - 1Nottm Forest
HA Villa2 - 0West Ham
AA Villa1 - 3Man Utd
HA Villa1 - 4Chelsea
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1Leeds
HA Villa1 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
HA Villa0 - 1Brentford
AA Villa2 - 0Newcastle
HA Villa0 - 1Everton
Nottm Forest 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Liverpool2 - 2Nottm Forest
Man Utd3 - 2Nottm Forest
Chelsea1 - 3Nottm Forest
Sunderland0 - 5Nottm Forest
Spurs0 - 3Nottm Forest
Man City2 - 2Nottm Forest
Brighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
Leeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
Brentford0 - 2Nottm Forest
West Ham1 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
Fulham1 - 0Nottm Forest
Everton3 - 0Nottm Forest
Wolves0 - 1Nottm Forest
Liverpool0 - 3Nottm Forest
Bournemouth2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Burnley1 - 1Nottm Forest
Arsenal3 - 0Nottm Forest
C Palace1 - 1Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNottm Forest0 - 0Spurs
ANottm Forest2 - 2Liverpool
HNottm Forest0 - 1Leeds
HNottm Forest1 - 1Bournemouth
ANottm Forest2 - 3Man Utd
HNottm Forest1 - 1Newcastle
ANottm Forest3 - 1Chelsea
ANottm Forest5 - 0Sunderland
HNottm Forest4 - 1Burnley
HNottm Forest1 - 1A Villa
ANottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
HNottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
ANottm Forest2 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest1 - 2Brighton
HNottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
HNottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
ANottm Forest1 - 3Leeds
HNottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
ANottm Forest2 - 0Brentford
HNottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
A Villa have beaten Nottm Forest in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
27
16
Games: Scored
11 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
1 / 12
AVL
8
D
3
NFO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa3 - 1
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa4 - 2
A Villa2 - 0
Draw5 - 5Draw
A Villa2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1
League games at Nottm Forest since 1993
Nottm Forest
A Villa
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
9 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
3 / 12
AVL
4
D
5
NFO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nottm Forest2 - 1
Nottm Forest2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Goal Statistics

Aston Villa's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Nottingham Forest have conceded in each of their last 6 English Premier League games. A PG of 1.6 for U. Emery Etxegoien's side suggests that run should continue.

Aston Villa's defensive record is to be admired, U. Emery Etxegoien's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive English Premier League games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Nottingham Forest makes sense in this context.

A Villa 18th Nottm Forest 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that A Villa will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
A Villa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+33
Nottm Forest have scored 33% more goals when away than predicted
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
A Villa
PG (predicted goals)
Nottm Forest
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
AVL
NFO
53%
better
view stats
Games scored0
1
Failed to score2
1
Scored first0
1
Goals scored0
2
Avg. goals scored0
0.7
Avg. shots per game4
5
Avg. shots per goal0
8
Conversion rate for0
13
Avg. XG for0.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
AVL
NFO
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
2
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded5
3
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against21%
21%
Avg. XG against2.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+18%

A Villa v Nottm Forest Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3002
I MaatsenJ McGinn
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Maatsen DEF3
1
-
M Cash DEF3
1
-
V Lindelöf DEF3
-
R Barkley MID3
-
E Buendía MID3
-
B Kamara MID3
-
J McGinn MID3
2
-
G. Hemmings FWD3
-
A Garnacho FWD3
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD3
1
-
Z Suzuki GLK2
-
A Wan-Bissaka DEF2
-
M Ruggeri DEF2
-
T Mings DEF2
-
P Torres DEF2
-
N Jackson FWD2
-
T Abraham FWD2
-
M Bizot GLK1
-
J Gomes MID1
1
1
L Bogarde MID1
-
Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
M SelsM Gibbs-WhiteM Gibbs-WhiteO Aina 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Sels GLK3
-
N Milenković DEF3
1
-
O Aina  DEF3
2
-
N Williams DEF3
-
J Paula DEF3
1
-
Murillo DEF3
-
J McAtee MID3
1
-
M Gibbs-White MID311
-
X Schlager MID3
-
I Jesus FWD3
1
-
D Ndoye FWD31
-
L Netz DEF2
-
L Delap FWD2
-
C Wood FWD2
-
D Muñoz DEF1
-
O Diomande DEF1
-
I Sangaré MID1
-
N Domínguez MID1
-
A Kalimuendo FWD1
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD1
-