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Brighton and Hove Albion v Arsenal : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amex Stadium, Falmer

Brighton and Hove Albion are in English Premier League action on Wednesday evening, as Fabian Hürzeler aims to beat Mikel Arteta Amatriain and his Arsenal side at the Amex Stadium. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a sound selection is laid out below. Switch between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for it all.

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Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Sunderland at 15:00 on Saturday 14th March
Arsenal's next match is v Leverkusen at 17:45 on Wednesday 11th March
The last English Premier League meeting between Brighton and Arsenal was on Wednesday 4th March 2026
English Premier League
March 4th 2026
Brighton 0
1 Arsenal
 
9' B. Saka
 
BHA
ARS
Shots On
3
2
Shots Off
3
4
Corners
4
3
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
14
12
Yellow/red cards
4/0
1/0
 
BrightonArsenal
 
B. Verbruggen
J. van Hecke
O. Boscagli
J. Hinshelwood (D. Tackie Mensah Welbeck 69')
C. Noom Quomah (Y. Ayari 78')
G. Rutter
K. Mitoma (Y. Minteh 46')
F. Kadıoğlu
D. Gómez Amarilla (H. Howell 77')
M. Wieffer (J. Veltman 77')
P. Groß
D. Raya Martin
(R. Calafiori 64') C. Mosquera
P. Hincapié Reyna
G. dos Santos Magalhães
J. Timber
E. Eze
football iconB. Saka
(L. Trossard 60') G. Martinelli Silva
(K. Havertz 59') V. Gyökeres
(C. Nørgaard 80') M. Zubimendi Ibáñez
D. Rice

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Brighton or Arsenal are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 75% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Arsenal coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
29%
4/1125/1
Draw
25%
14/514/1
Arsenal
46%
4/61/25
Draw 1-1
12%
13/215/2
Arsenal 1-0
10%
13/21/4
Arsenal 2-1
9%
8/133/1
Arsenal 2-0
8%
15/26/1
Brighton 1-0
8%
14/111/1
Brighton 2-1
7%
18/160/1
Draw 0-0
7%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1125/1
Arsenal 3-1
5%
14/1100/1
Brighton 2-0
5%
28/120/1
Arsenal 3-0
4%
14/140/1
Arsenal 3-2
3%
28/1150/1
Brighton 3-1
3%
40/1200/1
Brighton 3-2
2%
40/1200/1
Arsenal 4-1
2%
28/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
10/1140/1
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
10/111/500
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/819/10
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/158/15
No 1st Goal
4%
10/115/2
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/510/1
BTTS - No
45%
19/201/33
BTTS - Home Win
14%
17/250/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/47/1
BTTS - Away Win
22%
13/528/1
Home/draw
54%
23/2011/1
Away/draw
71%
1/61/500
Home/away
75%
1/41/40
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/75/1
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/41/10
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11/5150/1
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
4/111/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/81/50
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/18/1
Home DNB
46%
11/445/1
Away DNB
64%
1/41/300
Brighton win to nil
15%
8/1-
Arsenal win to nil
24%
7/4-
Brighton / Brighton
10%
8/180/1
Brighton / Arsenal
4%
22/1125/1
Brighton / Draw
5%
16/1125/1
Draw / Brighton
8%
10/128/1
Draw / Arsenal
18%
15/422/1
Draw / Draw
15%
5/120/1
Arsenal / Brighton
2%
40/110/1
Arsenal / Arsenal
32%
13/87/20
Arsenal / Draw
6%
14/118/5
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Brighton have conceded 26 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Brighton have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Arsenal lay in 1st place on 64 points in the Premier League league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 58 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Arsenal have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Arsenal have played 15 away games, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Arsenal
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3020733767 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
-
-
2
Man City2918653260 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
3
Man Utd2914961151 
May 24
l
 
4-2A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-1F
4
A Villa291568551 
l
 
3-4F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
5
Chelsea2913971948 
Apr 26
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
6
Liverpool291469948 
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
7
Brentford2913511444 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
8
Everton2912710143 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
9
Bournemouth299137-240 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
Apr 11
w
 
2-3A
10
Fulham2912413-340 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
May 2
w
 
0-1F
11
Sunderland2910109-440 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
12
Newcastle2911612-139 
w
 
2-1F
May 2
Apr 25
w
 
1-2A
13
C Palace2910811-238 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
May 24
14
Brighton2991010237 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
15
Leeds2971012-1131 
w
 
3-0F
May 17
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-4F
16
Spurs297814-729 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
17
Nottm Forest297715-1528 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
West Ham297715-1928 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 9
19
Burnley294718-2619 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
May 17
w
 
0-2F
20
Wolves303720-3016 
May 9
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Arsenal 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Arsenal have not lost to Brighton in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2018
Brighton
Arsenal
Goals: Scored
8
12
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
BHA
2
D
3
ARS
3
League games at Arsenal since 2017
Arsenal
Brighton
Goals: Scored
12
10
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
BHA
3
D
2
ARS
4
Goal Statistics

Arsenal have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive English Premier League outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Brighton and Hove Albion on Wednesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Brighton 14th Arsenal 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Brighton will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Arsenal will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Arsenal have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Arsenal
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
BHA
ARS
30%
better
view stats
Games scored22
26
Failed to score6
3
Scored first11
20
Goals scored38
58
Avg. goals scored1.4
2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1.4
2
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
BHA
ARS
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
16
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first15
7
Goals conceded35
22
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against1.5
0.9
KickOff rating
+30%

Brighton v Arsenal Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291047
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehJ Hecke
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK29
3
-
M Wieffer DEF193
6
-
J Hecke DEF2732
7
-
O Boscagli DEF81
2
-
F Kadioglu DEF28
6
-
C Quomah MID24
5
-
P Groß MID1011
2
-
D Amarilla MID265
7
-
J Hinshelwood MID1812
-
K Mitoma MID1921
3
-
G Rutter FWD2423
2
-
Subs
J Steele GLK
-
M Cuyper DEF232
2
-
J Veltman DEF171
4
-
J Milner  MID1711
2
-
Y Ayari MID2232
1
-
M O'Riley MID31
-
H. Howell MID3
-
Y Minteh FWD2514
-
D Welbeck FWD2810
4
-
Arsenal Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301055
D RayaV GyökeresJ TimberJ Timber
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Raya GLK30
1
-
J Timber DEF2935
5
-
C Mosquera DEF13
2
-
G Magalhães DEF2434
3
-
P Hincapié DEF2011
2
-
M Zubimendi MID3051
4
-
D Rice MID2945
2
-
B Saka MID2664
1
-
E Eze MID2462
1
-
G Martinelli MID2412
2
-
V Gyökeres FWD2810
4
-
Subs
K Arrizabalaga GLK
-
R Calafiori DEF2112
5
-
M. Lewis-Skelly DEF14
3
-
C Nörgaard MID6
-
M. Dowman MID2
-
G Jesus  FWD112
2
-
L Trossard FWD2655
1
-
N Madueke FWD1921
-
K Havertz FWD51
-