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Brentford v Manchester City : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 16:30 BST, Brentford Community Stadium, Brendtford

the Brentford Community Stadium masses welcome Manchester City's travelling contingent on Sunday afternoon, as Keith Andrews's Brentford go head to head with Pep Guardiola's charges in the English Premier League. We have custom-designed statistics for the biggest betting markets, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

In alignment, our prediction and the odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Premier League showdown will be on for the neutrals, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to over 2.5 goals being the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brentford
20%
5.00-
Draw
21%
4.00-
Man City
59%
1.62-
Man City 2-1
10%
9.00-
Draw 1-1
10%
8.50-
Man City 2-0
9%
10.00-
Man City 1-0
8%
11.00-
Man City 3-1
7%
13.00-
Man City 3-0
6%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
15.00-
Brentford 2-1
5%
17.00-
Brentford 1-0
5%
21.00-
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00-
Man City 3-2
4%
21.00-
Man City 4-1
3%
23.00-
Man City 4-0
3%
26.00-
Brentford 2-0
3%
34.00-
Brentford 3-2
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.57-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.38-
Home 1st Goal
42%
2.50-
Away 1st Goal
55%
1.53-
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.57-
BTTS - No
41%
2.25-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
8.00-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.75-
BTTS - Away Win
31%
3.00-
Home/draw
41%
2.25-
Away/draw
80%
1.17-
Home/away
79%
1.22-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.38-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.57-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.33-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.22-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.08-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.00-
Home DNB
35%
3.75-
Away DNB
73%
1.25-
Brentford win to nil
9%
11.00-
Man City win to nil
28%
3.25-
Brentford / Brentford
10%
8.50-
Brentford / Man City
4%
21.00-
Brentford / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / Brentford
8%
11.00-
Draw / Man City
17%
5.00-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00-
Man City / Brentford
3%
34.00-
Man City / Man City
35%
2.50-
Man City / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Brentford
Man City
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool5500615 
Oct 25
May 24
Nov 9
Feb 7
2
Arsenal5311810 
Feb 11
Dec 3
Apr 18
d
 
1-1F
3
Spurs5311710 
Dec 30
Dec 6
l
 
0-2A
Jan 31
4
Bournemouth5311110 
Dec 27
Mar 4
Nov 2
May 17
5
C Palace523049 
May 17
Nov 1
Mar 21
Dec 13
6
Chelsea522158 
d
 
2-2F
Jan 17
Jan 3
Apr 11
7
Sunderland522128 
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
Dec 6
Dec 30
8
Fulham522118 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1F
Feb 11
Dec 3
9
Man City521247 
Oct 5
May 9
-
-
10
Everton521217 
Apr 11
Jan 3
Oct 18
May 2
11
Man Utd5212-27 
Sep 27
Apr 25
w
 
3-0F
Jan 17
12
Leeds5212-37 
Dec 13
Mar 21
Nov 29
Feb 28
13
Newcastle513106 
Nov 9
Feb 7
Feb 21
Nov 22
14
Brighton5122-25 
Feb 21
Nov 22
Jan 7
l
 
2-1F
15
Nottm Forest5122-45 
Jan 24
l
 
3-1A
Mar 4
Dec 27
16
Burnley5113-34 
Nov 29
Feb 28
Sep 27
Apr 25
17
Brentford5113-44 
-
-
May 9
Oct 5
18
West Ham5104-83 
May 2
Oct 20
Dec 20
Mar 14
19
A Villa5032-43 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
May 24
Oct 26
20
Wolves5005-90 
Mar 14
Dec 20
Jan 24
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Brentford 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brentford2 - 2Chelsea
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Brentford2 - 3Fulham
Brentford4 - 3Man Utd
Brentford4 - 2Brighton
Brentford0 - 0Chelsea
Brentford0 - 1A Villa
Brentford1 - 1Everton
Brentford0 - 2Spurs
Brentford0 - 2Liverpool
Brentford2 - 2Man City
Brentford1 - 3Arsenal
Brentford0 - 2Nottm Forest
Brentford4 - 2Newcastle
Brentford4 - 1Leicester
Brentford3 - 2Bournemouth
Brentford4 - 3Ipswich
Brentford5 - 3Wolves
Brentford1 - 1West Ham
Brentford3 - 1Southampton
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABrentford1 - 3Fulham
HBrentford2 - 2Chelsea
ABrentford1 - 2Sunderland
HBrentford1 - 0A Villa
ABrentford1 - 3Nottm Forest
ABrentford1 - 1Wolves
HBrentford2 - 3Fulham
ABrentford1 - 0Ipswich
HBrentford4 - 3Man Utd
ABrentford2 - 0Nottm Forest
HBrentford4 - 2Brighton
ABrentford1 - 1Arsenal
HBrentford0 - 0Chelsea
ABrentford1 - 2Newcastle
ABrentford2 - 1Bournemouth
HBrentford0 - 1A Villa
HBrentford1 - 1Everton
ABrentford4 - 0Leicester
ABrentford1 - 0West Ham
HBrentford0 - 2Spurs
Man City 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal1 - 1Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Wolves0 - 4Man City
Fulham0 - 2Man City
Southampton0 - 0Man City
Everton0 - 2Man City
Man Utd0 - 0Man City
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man City
Spurs0 - 1Man City
Arsenal5 - 1Man City
Ipswich0 - 6Man City
Brentford2 - 2Man City
Leicester0 - 2Man City
A Villa2 - 1Man City
C Palace2 - 2Man City
Liverpool2 - 0Man City
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Bournemouth2 - 1Man City
Wolves1 - 2Man City
Newcastle1 - 1Man City
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMan City1 - 1Arsenal
HMan City3 - 0Man Utd
AMan City1 - 2Brighton
HMan City0 - 2Spurs
AMan City4 - 0Wolves
AMan City2 - 0Fulham
HMan City3 - 1Bournemouth
AMan City0 - 0Southampton
HMan City1 - 0Wolves
HMan City2 - 1A Villa
AMan City2 - 0Everton
HMan City5 - 2C Palace
AMan City0 - 0Man Utd
HMan City2 - 0Leicester
HMan City2 - 2Brighton
AMan City0 - 1Nottm Forest
AMan City1 - 0Spurs
HMan City0 - 2Liverpool
HMan City4 - 0Newcastle
AMan City1 - 5Arsenal
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Brentford since 2021
Brentford
Man City
Goals: Scored
4
6
Games: Scored
3 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
1 / 4
BRE
1
D
1
MCI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brentford
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3Man City
Brentford1 - 0
0 - 1Man City
League games at Man City since 2022
Man City
Brentford
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
BRE
1
MCI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Man City
Man City2 - 1
Man City1 - 0
1 - 2Brentford
Man City2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Brentford have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive English Premier League games. This run could continue, with Manchester City's PG an impressive 2.1.

Brentford 17th Man City 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Brentford will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Man City will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Brentford have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-13
Man City have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brentford
PG (predicted goals)
Man City
1.1
2.1
Attack rating
17%
better
BRE
MCI
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score0
1
Scored first4
3
Goals scored6
8
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.6
Avg. shots per game6
8
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
19
Avg. XG for1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
BRE
MCI
41%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded10
4
Avg. goals conceded2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
9
Conversion rate against23%
11%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.4
KickOff rating
+41%

Brentford v Man City Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brentford Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5212
C KelleherI ThiagoJ HendersonN Collins
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Kelleher GLK5
1
-
M Kayode DEF5
-
S Berg DEF5
-
R Henry DEF5
1
-
N Collins DEF5
2
-
J Henderson MID51
-
Y Yarmoliuk MID5
1
-
K Lewis-Potter FWD5
-
K Schade FWD51
-
I Thiago FWD52
2
-
F Carvalho MID41
-
D Ouattara FWD41
-
K Ajer DEF31
-
A Hickey DEF3
1
-
F Onyeka MID31
-
M Jensen MID3
-
M Damsgaard MID31
-
E Pinnock DEF2
1
-
A Milambo MID1
-
V Janelt MID1
-
Man City Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5621
T ReijndersE HaalandT ReijndersT Reijnders
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Dias DEF5
-
T Reijnders MID512
1
-
B Silva MID51
1
-
J Doku FWD52
-
E Haaland FWD56
-
J Stones DEF4
-
A. Khusanov DEF4
1
-
N. O'Reilly MID4
1
-
N González  MID4
1
-
Rodri MID4
-
O Bobb FWD41
-
J Trafford GLK3
-
R Lewis DEF31
-
R Nouri DEF3
1
-
N Aké  DEF3
-
M Nunes MID3
-
O Marmoush FWD31
-
P Foden FWD31
-
G Donnarumma GLK2
1
-
J Gvardiol DEF2
-
S Sávio FWD2
-
R Cherki FWD21
-