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Brighton and Hove Albion v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 19th Jan, 20:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Fabian Hürzeler welcomes Andoni Iraola Sagarna to the Amex Stadium on Monday night, as their Brighton and Hove Albion and Bournemouth sides clash in the English Premier League. For every Premier League match, KickOff delves into the stats for seventeen major betting markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Premier League clash, with Brighton and Bournemouth going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used over market, with a total of 3+ goals being scored seeming highly probable. Attackers on both sides will look to take advantage of an open match and, having analysed the relevant statistics and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals is the best option.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
56%
1.851.95
Draw
20%
3.803.80
Bournemouth
24%
3.803.60
Brighton 2-1
9%
9.508.50
Draw 1-1
8%
8.507.00
Brighton 3-1
7%
15.0012.00
Brighton 2-0
7%
12.0010.00
Draw 2-2
6%
13.0011.00
Brighton 1-0
6%
11.009.00
Bournemouth 2-1
6%
15.0011.00
Brighton 3-0
5%
19.0015.00
Brighton 3-2
5%
21.0017.00
Bournemouth 1-0
4%
17.0013.00
Brighton 4-1
4%
29.0021.00
Bournemouth 3-2
3%
34.0021.00
Draw 0-0
3%
17.0013.00
Bournemouth 3-1
3%
29.0021.00
Brighton 4-0
3%
34.0023.00
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
1.571.57
Under 2.5 Goals
30%
2.382.25
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.621.65
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.302.38
No 1st Goal
1%
17.0012.00
BTTS - Yes
67%
1.531.55
BTTS - No
33%
2.382.30
BTTS - Home Win
34%
3.253.25
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.33
BTTS - Away Win
15%
6.005.50
Home/draw
76%
1.251.29
Away/draw
44%
1.911.85
Home/away
80%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1.171.18
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
5.004.50
Over 3.5 Goals
48%
2.382.40
Under 3.5 Goals
52%
1.571.53
Over 4.5 Goals
29%
4.334.20
Under 4.5 Goals
71%
1.221.20
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
8.007.50
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1.081.07
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
15.0012.00
Home DNB
70%
1.401.44
Away DNB
38%
2.752.62
Brighton win to nil
22%
3.75-
Bournemouth win to nil
8%
8.00-
Brighton / Brighton
29%
2.882.88
Brighton / Bournemouth
3%
29.0023.00
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Draw / Brighton
15%
5.505.25
Draw / Bournemouth
9%
9.508.00
Draw / Draw
13%
7.005.75
Bournemouth / Brighton
4%
21.0017.00
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
14%
6.505.50
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Brighton have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 34 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Brighton have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Bournemouth are in 15th position in the Premier League on 26 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 29 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Bournemouth have conceded 35 goals, scored 26, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Bournemouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal2015322648 
Mar 4
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3F
Apr 11
2
Man City2113442643 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
l
 
3-1A
3
A Villa211344943 
l
 
3-4F
Feb 11
Feb 7
l
 
4-0A
4
Liverpool201046434 
Mar 21
l
 
2-0A
Jan 24
l
 
4-2A
5
Brentford211038733 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 21
Mar 4
l
 
4-1A
6
Newcastle21957532 
w
 
2-1F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
7
Man Utd21885432 
May 24
l
 
4-2A
Mar 21
d
 
4-4A
8
Chelsea218761031 
Apr 25
w
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
9
Fulham21948031 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 24
w
 
3-1A
May 9
10
Sunderland21795-130 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 14
Feb 28
l
 
3-2F
11
Brighton21786329 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Jan 19
12
Everton21858-229 
Jan 31
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 10
13
C Palace21777-128 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
d
 
3-3F
14
Spurs21768327 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
15
Bournemouth21687-626 
Jan 19
l
 
2-1A
-
-
16
Leeds21579-822 
w
 
3-0F
May 17
Apr 25
d
 
2-2F
17
Nottm Forest216312-1321 
Feb 28
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 24
18
West Ham213513-2114 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
Feb 21
19
Burnley213414-1913 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
20
Wolves211416-267 
May 9
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
Jan 31
Win / draw / win form
8
Bournemouth have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
Brighton 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Bournemouth 15TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
W
4
Draw
9
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Brighton have beaten Bournemouth in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Brighton since 2006
Brighton
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
17
17
Games: Scored
9 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
2 / 11
BHA
5
D
4
BOU
2
League games at Bournemouth since 2007
Bournemouth
Brighton
Goals: Scored
19
12
Games: Scored
10 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
2 / 12
BHA
3
D
1
BOU
8
Goal Statistics

Bournemouth have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive English Premier League matches. This run could continue, with Brighton and Hove Albion's PG an impressive 2.2.

Brighton 14th Bournemouth 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that Brighton will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Bournemouth will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+26
Bournemouth have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Bournemouth
2.2
1.4
Attack rating
BHA
BOU
5%
better
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score4
4
Scored first7
10
Goals scored30
31
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
9%
better
BHA
BOU
view stats
Games conceded15
15
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first11
8
Goals conceded27
38
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
22%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+9%

Brighton v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20847
B VerbruggenD WelbeckY MintehL Dunk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK20
3
-
J Hecke DEF1931
4
-
F Kadioglu DEF19
4
-
L Dunk DEF19
7
-
Y Minteh FWD1914
-
D Welbeck FWD198
3
-
D Amarilla MID183
5
-
Y Ayari MID182
-
G Rutter FWD1823
2
-
M Cuyper DEF172
1
-
C Quomah MID16
4
-
M Wieffer MID163
4
-
B Gruda FWD1611
2
-
J Veltman DEF111
3
-
J Milner  MID1111
2
-
J Hinshelwood MID1111
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1111
1
-
K Mitoma FWD1011
1
-
S Tzimas FWD911
-
D Coppola DEF5
2
-
T Watson FWD5
-
O Boscagli DEF3
1
-
Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20936
Đorđe PetrovićA SemenyoM SenesiM Senesi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK20
1
-
A Truffert DEF201
3
-
A Scott MID201
1
-
M Tavernier MID2042
3
-
M Senesi DEF193
6
-
A Semenyo FWD1993
5
-
J Kluivert MID182
4
-
D Brooks  FWD1811
6
-
Evanilson  FWD183
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF161
4
-
A Adli FWD161
1
-
B Diakité DEF15
1
-
T Adams MID1521
5
-
E Kroupi FWD156
2
-
J Hill DEF11
1
-
R Christie MID111
1
-
A Smith DEF101
1
-
L Cook MID101
2
E Ünal  FWD81
1
-
V. Milosavljević DEF5
-
B Doak FWD41
-
J Soler DEF3
-