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Brighton and Hove Albion v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Amex Stadium, Falmer

Fabian Hürzeler welcomes Daniel Farke to the Amex Stadium on Saturday afternoon, as their Brighton and Hove Albion and Leeds United sides go head to head in the English Premier League. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Premier League match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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Brighton and Hove Albion's next match is v Coventry at 14:00 on Sunday 13th September
Leeds United's next match is v Chelsea at 20:00 on Wednesday 9th September
The last English Premier League meeting between Brighton and Leeds was on Saturday 5th September 2026
English Premier League
September 5th 2026
Brighton 1
1 Leeds
 
L. Vušković 71'15' J. Bogle
 
BHA
LEE
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
8
4
Corners
7
6
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
12
15
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
BrightonLeeds
 
B. Verbruggen
L. Dunk
P. Groß
C. Kostoulas
O. Boscagli (P. Struijk 90')
F. Kadıoğlu (J. da Costa 78')
M. De Cuyper (P. Akinpelu 77')
L. Vuškovićfootball icon
D. Gómez Amarilla
Y. Ayari
M. Junior Yalcouyé
J. Trafford
(J. Bijol 61') football iconJ. Bogle
G. Gudmundsson
T. Muharemovic
E. Ampadu
(L. Nmecha 73') D. Calvert-Lewin
J. Justin
A. Stach
(H. Wilson 73') A. Tanaka
(B. Aaronson 62') N. Okafor
N. Elvedi

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Brighton and Leeds's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
51%
10/11-
Draw
24%
27/10-
Leeds
25%
11/4-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2-
Brighton 2-1
10%
17/2-
Brighton 1-0
9%
8/1-
Brighton 2-0
8%
10/1-
Leeds 2-1
6%
14/1-
Leeds 1-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Brighton 3-1
6%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
Brighton 3-0
5%
18/1-
Leeds 2-0
4%
22/1-
Brighton 3-2
3%
25/1-
Leeds 3-1
3%
33/1-
Brighton 4-1
2%
33/1-
Leeds 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
57%
4/6-
BTTS - No
43%
11/10-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/1-
Home/draw
75%
1/4-
Away/draw
49%
5/6-
Home/away
76%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1-
Home DNB
67%
2/5-
Away DNB
42%
7/4-
Brighton win to nil
26%
5/2-
Leeds win to nil
12%
6/1-
Brighton / Brighton
28%
21/10-
Brighton / Leeds
3%
33/1-
Brighton / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Brighton
16%
9/2-
Draw / Leeds
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
5/1-
Leeds / Brighton
4%
22/1-
Leeds / Leeds
13%
11/2-
Leeds / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Man City330059 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Jan 6
Dec 2
2
Hull321037 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Mar 3
Dec 30
3
Arsenal220046 
Sep 19
May 30
May 8
Oct 10
4
Chelsea220026 
Apr 17
l
 
4-3A
Jan 23
Nov 21
5
Brentford312035 
Nov 7
Jan 16
d
 
1-1A
Apr 17
6
Newcastle312025 
Nov 28
Jan 30
Sep 14
Mar 20
7
Liverpool312025 
May 23
Oct 25
Apr 24
Dec 12
8
Everton312025 
Dec 12
Apr 24
Jan 2
Feb 10
9
Leeds312015 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 13
-
-
10
Brighton311134 
-
-
Mar 13
d
 
1-1F
11
Man Utd311114 
Jan 2
Feb 10
Oct 18
May 15
12
Sunderland311104 
May 8
Oct 10
May 23
Oct 25
13
Ipswich3102-43 
Dec 19
Feb 27
Dec 5
May 1
14
C Palace3102-43 
Oct 18
May 15
Sep 20
May 30
15
Bournemouth3021-12 
Jan 6
Dec 2
Feb 6
Oct 31
16
Nottm Forest3021-12 
May 1
Dec 5
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
17
Spurs3012-51 
Feb 20
Dec 30
Nov 7
Jan 16
18
A Villa3012-51 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 10
Feb 20
Dec 26
19
Fulham3003-30 
Mar 3
Dec 26
Dec 19
Feb 27
20
Coventry3003-50 
Mar 20
Sep 13
Nov 28
Jan 30
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Leeds 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Brighton have kept a clean sheet in 8 consecutive home league meetings with Leeds
League games at Brighton since 2004
Brighton
Leeds
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
11 / 15
6 / 15
Clean sheets
9 / 15
4 / 15
BHA
9
D
3
LEE
3
League games at Leeds since 2005
Leeds
Brighton
Goals: Scored
19
19
Games: Scored
12 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
3 / 15
BHA
5
D
6
LEE
4
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Leeds United of late. It has been 5 English Premier League games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Brighton and Hove Albion.

Brighton 10th Leeds 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
24%
better
BHA
LEE
view stats
Games scored2
2
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored7
2
Avg. goals scored3.5
1
Avg. shots per game16
6
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for22
18
Avg. XG for2.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
BHA
LEE
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
1
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded4
1
Avg. goals conceded2
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
21
Conversion rate against24%
5%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+31%

Brighton v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
B VerbruggenL. VuškovićY AyariP Groß
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK3
-
F Kadioglu DEF2
-
L. Vušković DEF31
-
L Dunk DEF3
1
-
O Boscagli DEF3
1
-
P Groß MID31
2
-
Y Ayari MID21
1
-
D Amarilla MID31
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID31
-
M Cuyper MID311
1
-
C. Kostoulas FWD3
-
Subs
J Steele GLK
-
J Hadjam DEF
-
P Struijk DEF1
-
Costinha DEF3
1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID
-
M O'Riley MID
-
P David FWD2
1
-
I Osman FWD2
-
N. Oriola FWD
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
J TraffordJ Bogle A TanakaD Calvert-Lewin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK3
-
J Justin  DEF3
-
N Elvedi DEF2
-
T Muharemović DEF3
-
J Bogle  MID31
1
-
E Ampadu MID3
-
A Tanaka MID21
-
G Gudmundsson  MID1
-
A Stach FWD31
-
N Okafor FWD3
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD31
2
-
Subs
M Zetterer GLK
-
J Bijol DEF3
-
M Bard DEF
-
S Longstaff MID1
-
B Aaronson MID3
-
D James FWD1
-
H Wilson FWD3
1
-
L Nmecha  FWD21
-
J Bahoya FWD
-