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Brighton and Hove Albion v Leeds United : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 5th Sep, 15:00 BST, Amex Stadium, Falmer

Daniel Farke pays counterpart Fabian Hürzeler a visit on Saturday afternoon in the English Premier League, as their Leeds United and Brighton and Hove Albion sides go head to head at the Amex Stadium. Premier League stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) records included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for every betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Brighton and Leeds's latest form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Brighton are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 54% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Brighton
54%
1.80-
Draw
24%
3.50-
Leeds
22%
4.33-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50-
Brighton 1-0
11%
8.50-
Brighton 2-1
10%
9.00-
Brighton 2-0
10%
9.50-
Leeds 1-0
7%
15.00-
Draw 0-0
7%
11.00-
Leeds 2-1
6%
17.00-
Brighton 3-1
6%
15.00-
Brighton 3-0
5%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Leeds 2-0
3%
26.00-
Brighton 3-2
3%
26.00-
Brighton 4-1
2%
34.00-
Brighton 4-0
2%
34.00-
Leeds 3-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
1.80-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
2.00-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1.62-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.50-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00-
BTTS - Yes
52%
1.75-
BTTS - No
48%
2.00-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3.60-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8.00-
Home/draw
78%
1.20-
Away/draw
46%
1.95-
Home/away
76%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
3.20-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1.36-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.05-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.00-
Home DNB
70%
1.33-
Away DNB
39%
3.25-
Brighton win to nil
30%
3.25-
Leeds win to nil
11%
8.00-
Brighton / Brighton
30%
2.88-
Brighton / Leeds
3%
34.00-
Brighton / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Brighton
17%
5.00-
Draw / Leeds
9%
9.50-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Leeds / Brighton
4%
23.00-
Leeds / Leeds
12%
7.50-
Leeds / Draw
5%
17.00-
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Win / draw / win Premier League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Brighton
Leeds
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Brighton110043 
-
-
Mar 13
Sep 5
2
Brentford110033 
Nov 7
Jan 16
Aug 30
Apr 17
3
Arsenal110033 
Sep 19
May 30
May 8
Oct 10
4
Everton110023 
Dec 12
Apr 24
Jan 2
Feb 10
5
Hull110023 
Feb 6
Nov 21
Mar 3
Dec 30
6
Chelsea110013 
Apr 17
Aug 30
Jan 23
Nov 21
7
Ipswich110013 
Dec 19
Feb 27
Dec 5
May 1
8
Man City110013 
Jan 23
Oct 31
Jan 6
Dec 2
9
Leeds110013 
Sep 5
Mar 13
-
-
10
Newcastle101001 
Nov 28
Jan 30
Sep 14
Mar 20
11
Liverpool101001 
May 23
Oct 24
Apr 24
Dec 12
12
Fulham1001-10 
Mar 3
Dec 26
Dec 19
Feb 27
13
Bournemouth1001-10 
Jan 6
Dec 2
Feb 6
Oct 31
14
Sunderland1001-10 
May 8
Oct 10
May 23
Oct 25
15
Nottm Forest1001-10 
May 1
Dec 5
Apr 10
w
 
0-1F
16
C Palace1001-20 
Oct 18
May 15
Sep 19
May 30
17
Man Utd1001-20 
Jan 2
Feb 10
Oct 18
May 15
18
Spurs1001-30 
Feb 20
Dec 30
Nov 7
Jan 16
19
Coventry1001-30 
Mar 20
Sep 13
Nov 28
Jan 30
20
A Villa1001-40 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 10
Feb 20
Dec 26
Win / draw / win form
Brighton 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brighton4 - 0A Villa
Brighton0 - 3Man Utd
Brighton3 - 0Wolves
Brighton3 - 0Chelsea
Brighton2 - 1Liverpool
Brighton0 - 1Arsenal
Brighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
Brighton0 - 1C Palace
Brighton1 - 1Everton
Brighton1 - 1Bournemouth
Brighton2 - 0Burnley
Brighton0 - 0Sunderland
Brighton1 - 1West Ham
Brighton3 - 4A Villa
Brighton2 - 1Brentford
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Brighton2 - 1Newcastle
Brighton2 - 2Spurs
Brighton2 - 1Man City
Brighton1 - 1Fulham
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrighton4 - 0A Villa
HBrighton0 - 3Man Utd
ABrighton0 - 1Leeds
HBrighton3 - 0Wolves
ABrighton1 - 3Newcastle
HBrighton3 - 0Chelsea
ABrighton2 - 2Spurs
ABrighton2 - 0Burnley
HBrighton2 - 1Liverpool
ABrighton1 - 0Sunderland
HBrighton0 - 1Arsenal
HBrighton2 - 1Nottm Forest
ABrighton2 - 0Brentford
ABrighton0 - 1A Villa
HBrighton0 - 1C Palace
HBrighton1 - 1Everton
ABrighton1 - 2Fulham
HBrighton1 - 1Bournemouth
ABrighton1 - 1Man City
HBrighton2 - 0Burnley
Leeds 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest0 - 1Leeds
West Ham3 - 0Leeds
Spurs1 - 1Leeds
Bournemouth2 - 2Leeds
Man Utd1 - 2Leeds
C Palace0 - 0Leeds
A Villa1 - 1Leeds
Chelsea2 - 2Leeds
Everton1 - 1Leeds
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Liverpool0 - 0Leeds
Sunderland1 - 1Leeds
Brentford1 - 1Leeds
Man City3 - 2Leeds
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Brighton3 - 0Leeds
Burnley2 - 0Leeds
Wolves1 - 3Leeds
Fulham1 - 0Leeds
Arsenal5 - 0Leeds
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeeds1 - 0Nottm Forest
ALeeds0 - 3West Ham
HLeeds1 - 0Brighton
ALeeds1 - 1Spurs
HLeeds3 - 1Burnley
ALeeds2 - 2Bournemouth
HLeeds3 - 0Wolves
ALeeds2 - 1Man Utd
HLeeds0 - 0Brentford
ALeeds0 - 0C Palace
HLeeds0 - 1Sunderland
HLeeds0 - 1Man City
ALeeds1 - 1A Villa
ALeeds2 - 2Chelsea
HLeeds3 - 1Nottm Forest
HLeeds0 - 4Arsenal
ALeeds1 - 1Everton
HLeeds1 - 0Fulham
ALeeds3 - 4Newcastle
HLeeds1 - 1Man Utd
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Brighton have kept a clean sheet in 8 consecutive home league meetings with Leeds
League games at Brighton since 2004
Brighton
Leeds
Goals: Scored
23
12
Games: Scored
11 / 15
6 / 15
Clean sheets
9 / 15
4 / 15
BHA
9
D
3
LEE
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brighton
Brighton3 - 0
Brighton1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton4 - 0
Brighton2 - 0
Brighton1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 3Leeds
0 - 2Leeds
0 - 1Leeds
Brighton2 - 1
Brighton1 - 0
League games at Leeds since 2005
Leeds
Brighton
Goals: Scored
19
19
Games: Scored
12 / 15
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
3 / 15
BHA
5
D
6
LEE
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leeds
Leeds1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Brighton
Leeds2 - 0
1 - 2Brighton
0 - 2Brighton
Leeds2 - 1
1 - 2Brighton
1 - 2Brighton
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leeds3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics
Brighton 1st Leeds 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Brighton will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Leeds will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
Brighton’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-5
Leeds’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2026/2027 season
Brighton
PG (predicted goals)
Leeds
1.7
1
Attack rating
22%
better
BHA
LEE
view stats
Games scored1
1
Failed to score0
0
Scored first1
1
Goals scored4
1
Avg. goals scored4
1
Avg. shots per game18
5
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for22
20
Avg. XG for0
0.8
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
6%
better
BHA
LEE
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0.9
KickOff rating
+6%

Brighton v Leeds Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Brighton Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1211
B VerbruggenJ HinshelwoodD AmarillaP Groß
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Verbruggen GLK1
-
M Wieffer DEF1
-
L Dunk DEF1
-
M Cuyper DEF11
-
O Boscagli DEF1
-
L. Vušković DEF1
-
Costinha DEF1
-
D Amarilla MID11
-
P Groß MID1
1
-
J Hinshelwood MID12
-
Y Ayari MID11
1
-
M. Junior Yalcouyé MID1
-
Zadok Yohanna FWD1
-
G Rutter FWD11
-
C. Kostoulas FWD1
-
I Osman FWD1
-
Leeds Premier League squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1101
J TraffordA StachD Calvert-Lewin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Trafford GLK1
-
T Muharemović DEF1
-
J Bijol DEF1
-
J Rodon DEF1
-
J Bogle  DEF1
-
J Justin  DEF1
-
S Longstaff MID1
-
A Stach MID11
-
B Aaronson MID1
-
E Ampadu MID1
-
H Wilson FWD1
-
N Okafor FWD1
-
D Calvert-Lewin FWD1
1
-