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Newcastle United v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 15:00 BST, St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Andoni Iraola Sagarna leads his Bournemouth troops to the St. James' Park in the English Premier League on Saturday afternoon, with Eddie Howe's Newcastle United the opponent. Stats for our tip of both teams to score are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Flipping the market using the tabs below changes all statistics and the odds from leading bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Newcastle should have reason to feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Bournemouth. The bookmakers don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear winner in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
42%
1.91
3%
1.91
3%
Draw
22%
3.75
1%
3.90
3%
Bournemouth
35%
3.50
5%
3.70
3%
Draw 1-1
9%
8.507.50
6%
Newcastle 2-1
9%
10.00
5%
8.50
Bournemouth 2-1
8%
15.0012.00
Draw 2-2
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
9%
Newcastle 1-0
6%
13.0011.00
Bournemouth 1-0
5%
19.0015.00
Newcastle 2-0
5%
13.0011.00
Newcastle 3-1
5%
15.0011.00
Bournemouth 2-0
4%
26.0019.00
Bournemouth 3-1
4%
26.00
10%
19.00
Newcastle 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
Bournemouth 3-2
4%
29.0021.00
Draw 0-0
3%
21.00
11%
15.00
12%
Newcastle 3-0
3%
21.00
11%
15.00
Bournemouth 3-0
2%
41.0029.00
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1.501.44
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
2.632.60
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.67
3%
1.62
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.202.38
No 1st Goal
2%
21.00
11%
15.00
BTTS - Yes
67%
1.441.48
BTTS - No
33%
2.632.60
4%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.103.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
3%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
5.505.25
Home/draw
65%
1.291.29
Away/draw
58%
1.83
4%
1.91
Home/away
78%
1.251.25
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1.141.13
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
5.505.25
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
2.10
5%
2.10
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
1.73
4%
1.67
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
3.753.50
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1.291.29
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
6.506.00
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1.111.10
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
21.00
11%
15.00
Home DNB
58%
1.44
3%
1.40
Away DNB
51%
2.63
4%
2.70
Newcastle win to nil
16%
4.33
8%
-
Bournemouth win to nil
13%
9.00-
Newcastle / Newcastle
28%
3.10
3%
2.75
2%
Newcastle / Bournemouth
3%
26.00
10%
21.00
Newcastle / Draw
7%
13.00
13%
11.00
Draw / Newcastle
15%
6.00
9%
5.25
Draw / Bournemouth
9%
9.008.50
Draw / Draw
13%
7.006.00
8%
Bournemouth / Newcastle
4%
21.0017.00
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
15%
5.50
8%
5.50
5%
Bournemouth / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 3 and won 6. Newcastle have conceded 36 goals, scored 28, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Newcastle have played 16 games at home, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 26 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Bournemouth lay in 11th place on 45 points in the Premier League league table having played 32 matches. Bournemouth are unbeaten in 13 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 13 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 0 games. They have scored 20 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bournemouth have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Bournemouth have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3221743870 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 25
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2F
2
Man City3119753564 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 17
l
 
3-1A
3
Man Utd31151061355 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
4-4A
4
A Villa321679555 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
5
Liverpool32157101052 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
4-2A
6
Chelsea32139101248 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
7
Brentford3213811447 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
4-1A
8
Everton3213811247 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
9
Brighton32121010646 
May 2
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
10
Sunderland32121010-346 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2F
11
Bournemouth3210157-145 
Apr 18
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
12
Fulham3213514-344 
w
 
2-1F
May 24
w
 
3-1A
May 9
13
C Palace3111911-142 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 2
d
 
3-3F
14
Newcastle3212614-242 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
15
Leeds3171212-1133 
w
 
4-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 22
d
 
2-2F
16
Nottm Forest328915-1233 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
w
 
2-0F
May 24
17
West Ham328816-1732 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
18
Spurs327916-1130 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-1F
19
Burnley324820-3020 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
20
Wolves323821-3417 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle1 - 2Sunderland
Newcastle2 - 1Man Utd
Newcastle2 - 3Everton
Newcastle2 - 3Brentford
Newcastle0 - 2A Villa
Newcastle4 - 3Leeds
Newcastle2 - 0C Palace
Newcastle2 - 2Chelsea
Newcastle2 - 1Burnley
Newcastle2 - 2Spurs
Newcastle2 - 1Man City
Newcastle2 - 1Fulham
Newcastle2 - 0Nottm Forest
Newcastle1 - 2Arsenal
Newcastle1 - 0Wolves
Newcastle2 - 3Liverpool
Newcastle0 - 1Everton
Newcastle2 - 0Chelsea
Newcastle3 - 0Ipswich
Newcastle5 - 0C Palace
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANewcastle1 - 2C Palace
HNewcastle1 - 2Sunderland
ANewcastle1 - 0Chelsea
HNewcastle2 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 3Everton
ANewcastle1 - 2Man City
ANewcastle2 - 1Spurs
HNewcastle2 - 3Brentford
ANewcastle1 - 4Liverpool
HNewcastle0 - 2A Villa
ANewcastle0 - 0Wolves
HNewcastle4 - 3Leeds
HNewcastle2 - 0C Palace
ANewcastle3 - 1Burnley
ANewcastle0 - 1Man Utd
HNewcastle2 - 2Chelsea
ANewcastle0 - 1Sunderland
HNewcastle2 - 1Burnley
HNewcastle2 - 2Spurs
ANewcastle4 - 1Everton
Bournemouth 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
Burnley0 - 0Bournemouth
West Ham0 - 0Bournemouth
Everton1 - 2Bournemouth
Wolves0 - 2Bournemouth
Brighton1 - 1Bournemouth
Chelsea2 - 2Bournemouth
Brentford4 - 1Bournemouth
Man Utd4 - 4Bournemouth
Sunderland3 - 2Bournemouth
A Villa4 - 0Bournemouth
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
C Palace3 - 3Bournemouth
Leeds2 - 2Bournemouth
Spurs0 - 1Bournemouth
Liverpool4 - 2Bournemouth
Man City3 - 1Bournemouth
Arsenal1 - 2Bournemouth
C Palace0 - 0Bournemouth
West Ham2 - 2Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABournemouth2 - 1Arsenal
HBournemouth2 - 2Man Utd
ABournemouth0 - 0Burnley
HBournemouth0 - 0Brentford
HBournemouth1 - 1Sunderland
ABournemouth0 - 0West Ham
ABournemouth2 - 1Everton
HBournemouth1 - 1A Villa
ABournemouth2 - 0Wolves
HBournemouth3 - 2Liverpool
ABournemouth1 - 1Brighton
HBournemouth3 - 2Spurs
HBournemouth2 - 3Arsenal
ABournemouth2 - 2Chelsea
ABournemouth1 - 4Brentford
HBournemouth1 - 1Burnley
ABournemouth4 - 4Man Utd
HBournemouth0 - 0Chelsea
HBournemouth0 - 1Everton
ABournemouth2 - 3Sunderland
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Bournemouth have not lost to Newcastle in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 2016
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
NEW
2
D
2
BOU
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Newcastle
1 - 4Bournemouth
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Newcastle2 - 1
Newcastle2 - 1
0 - 1Bournemouth
1 - 3Bournemouth
League games at Bournemouth since 2015
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
NEW
2
D
4
BOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Bournemouth
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Bournemouth2 - 0
Bournemouth1 - 0
1 - 4Newcastle
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1Newcastle
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.8 against Bournemouth on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Newcastle 14th Bournemouth 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Newcastle’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+6
Bournemouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Bournemouth
1.8
1.6
Attack rating
0%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games scored24
25
Failed to score7
7
Scored first18
14
Goals scored44
48
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.5
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
6%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games conceded23
23
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first9
13
Goals conceded45
49
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
18%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+6%

Newcastle v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27949
M ThiawB GuimarãesB GuimarãesJoelinton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Barnes FWD315
1
-
S Tonali MID302
3
-
M Thiaw DEF294
4
-
N Woltemade FWD2873
-
A Elanga FWD281
-
J Murphy FWD2731
1
-
A Gordon FWD2662
3
1
L Hall DEF2511
4
-
Joelinton MID2521
9
-
D Burn DEF232
8
1
B Guimarães MID2394
5
-
N Pope  GLK22
1
-
J Ramsey MID2221
4
1
J Willock MID201
3
-
L Miley MID2014
-
S Botman DEF1911
1
-
K Trippier DEF181
3
-
W Osula FWD183
-
F Schär DEF16
1
-
T Livramento  DEF161
1
-
Y Wissa FWD1411
1
-
A Ramsdale GLK11
2
-
E Krafth DEF1
-
A. Murphy DEF1
-
Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321049
Đorđe PetrovićE KroupiA TruffertA. Jiménez Sánchez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Đorđe Petrović GLK32
2
-
A Truffert DEF324
4
-
A Scott MID3231
2
-
M Senesi DEF314
8
-
Evanilson  FWD3061
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF2811
9
-
M Tavernier MID2854
4
-
E Kroupi FWD2710
4
-
A Adli FWD2731
2
-
D Brooks  FWD2612
7
-
J Hill DEF233
3
-
R Christie MID222
2
-
A Smith DEF191
3
-
T Adams MID1921
7
-
B Diakité DEF18
1
-
J Kluivert MID182
4
-
E Ünal  FWD181
1
-
L Cook MID161
1
2
R Rocha FWD921
1
-
V. Milosavljević DEF7
-
A Toth MID5
1
-
B Doak FWD51
-
J Soler DEF3
-