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Newcastle United v Bournemouth : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne

Andoni Iraola guides his Bournemouth team to the St. James' Park in the English Premier League on Saturday lunch time, with Eddie Howe's Newcastle United the opponent. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

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Newcastle United's next match is v Southampton at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
Bournemouth's next match is v Nottm Forest at 15:00 on Saturday 25th January
The last English Premier League meeting between Newcastle and Bournemouth was on Saturday 18th January 2025
English Premier League
January 18th 2025
Newcastle 1
4 Bournemouth
 
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura 25'6' J. Kluivert
44' J. Kluivert
90' J. Kluivert
90' K. Milos
 
NEW
BOU
Shots On
5
10
Shots Off
3
6
Corners
7
6
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
7
18
Yellow/red cards
1/0
6/0
 
NewcastleBournemouth
 
M. Dúbravka
D. Burn
V. Livramento
L. Hall (K. Trippier 66')
S. Botman (F. Schär 46')
S. Tonali
J. Apolinário de Lira
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Mourafootball icon (W. Osula 90')
A. Isak
A. Gordon
J. Murphy (J. Willock 66')
K. Arrizabalaga Revuelta
D. Huijsen
football iconK. Milos
I. Zabarnyi
L. Cook
(D. Jebbison 82') D. Brooks
R. Christie
T. Adams
A. Semenyo
(B. Winterburn 90') football iconfootball iconfootball iconJ. Kluivert
(R. Rees-Dottin 90') Dango Ouattara

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Premier League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Newcastle may feel positive ahead of this match and, funnily enough, so might Bournemouth. The bookmakers can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear victor in this fixture. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookmakers odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Newcastle are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Newcastle
51%
1.65
7%
1.62
10%
Draw
23%
4.20
12%
4.20
11%
Bournemouth
26%
5.00
19%
5.00
19%
Draw 1-1
10%
9.00
13%
7.50
7%
Newcastle 2-1
10%
9.50
6%
7.50
Newcastle 1-0
8%
12.00
33%
9.00
29%
Newcastle 2-0
7%
11.00
10%
9.00
13%
Bournemouth 2-1
7%
17.00
13%
13.00
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00
13%
11.00
8%
Newcastle 3-1
6%
13.00
13%
10.00
17%
Bournemouth 1-0
5%
21.00
40%
15.00
36%
Newcastle 3-0
5%
15.00
12%
11.00
8%
Draw 0-0
4%
17.00
42%
13.00
30%
Newcastle 3-2
4%
21.00
19%
15.00
12%
Bournemouth 2-0
4%
34.00
31%
23.00
35%
Bournemouth 3-1
3%
41.0026.00
13%
Newcastle 4-1
3%
23.00
21%
15.00
29%
Bournemouth 3-2
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
1.50
15%
1.48
15%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
2.62
34%
2.50
28%
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.44
2%
1.53
Away 1st Goal
45%
2.752.70
No 1st Goal
3%
17.00
42%
12.00
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.53
8%
1.55
11%
BTTS - No
39%
2.38
16%
2.30
15%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
2.88
18%
2.70
21%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.754.80
4%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
7.507.00
Home/draw
74%
1.17
2%
1.17
4%
Away/draw
49%
2.20
15%
2.30
15%
Home/away
77%
1.221.22
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.14
7%
1.15
8%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.50
38%
5.00
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
2.20
27%
2.15
25%
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1.67
22%
1.65
21%
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
4.00
27%
3.50
33%
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1.25
13%
1.25
10%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7.00
36%
6.50
35%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.10
7%
1.10
6%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.021.02
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
17.00
42%
13.00
30%
Home DNB
67%
1.25
4%
1.25
6%
Away DNB
42%
3.75
15%
3.70
19%
Newcastle win to nil
23%
3.40
5%
-
Bournemouth win to nil
11%
11.00
38%
-
Newcastle / Newcastle
33%
2.60
9%
2.40
11%
Newcastle / Bournemouth
3%
34.0026.00
Newcastle / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Newcastle
18%
5.004.40
4%
Draw / Bournemouth
8%
11.00
16%
10.00
18%
Draw / Draw
12%
7.50
25%
6.00
9%
Bournemouth / Newcastle
5%
19.00
17%
15.00
12%
Bournemouth / Bournemouth
11%
8.00
7%
7.50
15%
Bournemouth / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
Win / draw / win Premier League table

Newcastle have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 4 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Newcastle have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Newcastle have played 10 games at home winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 18 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 8 goals at home.

Bournemouth are in 8th position in the Premier League on 34 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Bournemouth have conceded 10 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Liverpool2115513050 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 26
Feb 1
l
 
3-0A
2
Arsenal2212822244 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
w
 
2-0F
May 3
3
Nottm Forest2213541144 
Feb 23
w
 
1-3A
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
4
Chelsea2211741740 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
5
Man City2211561538 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 15
w
 
2-1F
May 18
6
Newcastle Home2211561238 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-4F
7
Bournemouth A2210751037 
l
 
1-4A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
8
A Villa221066-136 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
May 10
d
 
1-1A
9
Brighton228104534 
l
 
0-1A
May 3
l
 
1-2A
Feb 25
10
Fulham22895433 
Feb 1
l
 
3-1A
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
11
Brentford228410128 
Apr 2
l
 
4-2A
Mar 15
l
 
3-2F
12
C Palace22697-327 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
13
Man Utd227510-526 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
Apr 26
w
 
0-3F
14
West Ham227510-1626 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
15
Spurs2273121024 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
16
Everton21489-1020 
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3A
17
Wolves224414-1916 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
Feb 22
w
 
2-4F
18
Ipswich223712-2316 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
Apr 1
w
 
1-2A
19
Leicester223514-2514 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
May 25
l
 
1-0A
20
Southampton221318-356 
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
Newcastle 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Bournemouth 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Bournemouth have not lost to Newcastle in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Newcastle since 2016
Newcastle
Bournemouth
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
5 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
1 / 6
NEW
2
D
2
BOU
2
League games at Bournemouth since 2015
Bournemouth
Newcastle
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
NEW
2
D
4
BOU
1
Goal Statistics

Newcastle United have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 9 consecutive English Premier League games. Their PG of 1.9 against Bournemouth on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Newcastle United's defensive record is to be admired, Eddie Howe's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive English Premier League outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Bournemouth makes sense in this context.

Newcastle 6th Bournemouth 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Newcastle will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 72% probability that Bournemouth will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Newcastle have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+4
Bournemouth’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278012/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Newcastle
PG (predicted goals)
Bournemouth
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
13%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games scored18
17
Failed to score3
4
Scored first10
9
Goals scored37
32
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.8
2
KickOff rating
+13%
Defence rating
15%
better
NEW
BOU
view stats
Games conceded13
16
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first10
11
Goals conceded22
25
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+15%

Newcastle v Bournemouth Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Newcastle Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221568
B GuimarãesA IsakB GuimarãesJoelinton
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dúbravka GLK7
-
T Livramento  DEF21
-
S Botman DEF3
1
-
D Burn DEF21
6
-
L Hall DEF223
3
-
B Guimarães MID2226
3
-
S Tonali MID201
4
-
Joelinton MID2141
8
-
J Murphy FWD1936
2
-
A Isak FWD20155
1
-
A Gordon FWD2164
1
-
Subs
O Vlachodimos GLK
-
K Trippier DEF13
2
-
F Schär DEF182
5
1
L Kelly DEF91
2
-
S Longstaff MID17
2
-
L Miley MID3
-
M Almirón MID8
-
J Willock MID191
2
-
W Osula FWD8
-
Bournemouth Premier League squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
221048
I Zabarnyi J KluivertD OuattaraR Christie
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Arrizabalaga GLK15
2
-
L Cook DEF2113
4
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF22
2
-
D. Huijsen DEF162
4
-
M Kerkez DEF2223
3
-
R Christie MID2112
8
-
T Adams MID121
4
-
D Brooks  MID152
3
-
J Kluivert MID21103
7
-
A Semenyo MID2163
5
-
D Ouattara FWD1934
1
-
Subs
M Travers GLK5
-
C McKenna GLK
-
M Akinmboni DEF
-
M Kinsey-Wellings DEF
-
B. Winterburn MID2
-
D Jebbison FWD4
2
-
Z. Silcott-Duberry FWD
-
D Adu-Adjei FWD
-
R. Rees-Dottin FWD1
-