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Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa : Premier League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 14:00 BST, The City Ground, Nottingham

Unai Emery Etxegoien guides his Aston Villa charges to The City Ground in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon, with Vítor Manuel de Oliveira Lopes Pereira's Nottingham Forest their rivals. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head statistics across every major market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Premier League clash.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Nottm Forest and A Villa have delivered a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nottm Forest are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nottm Forest
37%
29/20
2%
8/5
Draw
27%
12/523/10
A Villa
36%
17/10
3%
17/10
Draw 1-1
13%
6/111/2
Nottm Forest 1-0
10%
9/115/2
A Villa 1-0
10%
10/1
10%
15/2
Nottm Forest 2-1
8%
10/18/1
A Villa 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Draw 0-0
8%
10/117/2
Nottm Forest 2-0
6%
14/111/1
A Villa 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Nottm Forest 3-1
4%
20/116/1
A Villa 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Nottm Forest 3-0
3%
28/120/1
A Villa 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
Nottm Forest 3-2
2%
28/122/1
A Villa 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
10/1117/20
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
10/1117/20
Home 1st Goal
48%
10/111/1
Away 1st Goal
48%
1/11/1
No 1st Goal
5%
10/18/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
7/107/10
BTTS - No
48%
21/2021/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
15/4
5%
18/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
4/119/5
Home/draw
64%
4/910/21
Away/draw
63%
8/15
2%
10/21
Home/away
73%
3/101/3
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/72/7
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/412/5
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
12/521/10
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/31/3
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/15/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/111/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/18/1
Home DNB
56%
4/55/6
Away DNB
55%
10/1117/20
Nottm Forest win to nil
20%
10/3-
A Villa win to nil
20%
4/1-
Nottm Forest / Nottm Forest
20%
3/1
8%
3/1
Nottm Forest / A Villa
3%
28/120/1
Nottm Forest / Draw
6%
14/110/1
Draw / Nottm Forest
13%
11/25/1
Draw / A Villa
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/219/5
A Villa / Nottm Forest
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
A Villa / A Villa
19%
7/23/1
A Villa / Draw
6%
14/110/1
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Win / draw / win Premier League table

Nottm Forest have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Nottm Forest have conceded 38 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nottm Forest have played 15 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 13 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

A Villa lay in 4th place on 54 points in the Premier League league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 6 and losing 7 games. They have scored 35 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A Villa have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 9 matches.

Away league performance

A Villa have played 15 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nottm Forest
A Villa
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal3121733970 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
2
Man City3018753261 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
May 24
3
Man Utd31151061355 
d
 
2-2A
May 17
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
4
A Villa311669554 
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
-
-
5
Liverpool3114710849 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
May 17
l
 
2-0A
6
Chelsea3113991548 
l
 
0-3A
May 4
l
 
1-4F
w
 
1-2A
7
Brentford3113711446 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Everton3113711246 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
9
Fulham3113513-144 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1A
Apr 25
10
Brighton31111010443 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
3-4A
11
Sunderland31111010-443 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 24
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
12
Newcastle3112613-142 
May 9
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
13
Bournemouth319157-242 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
14
C Palace3010911-239 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Leeds3171212-1133 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
16
Nottm Forest318815-1232 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
17
Spurs317915-1030 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 2
w
 
1-2A
18
West Ham317816-2129 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3A
19
Burnley314819-2820 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 9
20
Wolves313820-3017 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
7
Nottm Forest have not won in 7 consecutive home league games
3
Nottm Forest have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games
Nottm Forest 16TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
Nottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
Nottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
Nottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
Nottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
Nottm Forest0 - 2Everton
Nottm Forest1 - 2Man City
Nottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
Nottm Forest3 - 1Leeds
Nottm Forest2 - 2Man Utd
Nottm Forest0 - 3Chelsea
Nottm Forest0 - 1Sunderland
Nottm Forest0 - 3West Ham
Nottm Forest3 - 1Brentford
Nottm Forest0 - 1Chelsea
Nottm Forest2 - 2Leicester
Nottm Forest0 - 2Brentford
Nottm Forest0 - 1Everton
Nottm Forest1 - 0Man Utd
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
HNottm Forest0 - 0Fulham
ANottm Forest2 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest1 - 2Brighton
HNottm Forest0 - 1Liverpool
HNottm Forest0 - 0Wolves
ANottm Forest1 - 3Leeds
HNottm Forest1 - 1C Palace
ANottm Forest2 - 0Brentford
HNottm Forest0 - 0Arsenal
ANottm Forest2 - 1West Ham
ANottm Forest1 - 3A Villa
HNottm Forest0 - 2Everton
HNottm Forest1 - 2Man City
ANottm Forest0 - 1Fulham
HNottm Forest3 - 0Spurs
ANottm Forest0 - 3Everton
ANottm Forest1 - 0Wolves
HNottm Forest0 - 2Brighton
ANottm Forest3 - 0Liverpool
A Villa 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Man Utd3 - 1A Villa
Wolves2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth1 - 1A Villa
Newcastle0 - 2A Villa
C Palace0 - 0A Villa
Arsenal4 - 1A Villa
Chelsea1 - 2A Villa
West Ham2 - 3A Villa
Brighton3 - 4A Villa
Leeds1 - 2A Villa
Liverpool2 - 0A Villa
Spurs1 - 2A Villa
Sunderland1 - 1A Villa
Everton0 - 0A Villa
Brentford1 - 0A Villa
Man Utd2 - 0A Villa
Bournemouth0 - 1A Villa
Man City2 - 1A Villa
Southampton0 - 3A Villa
Brighton0 - 3A Villa
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA Villa2 - 0West Ham
AA Villa1 - 3Man Utd
HA Villa1 - 4Chelsea
AA Villa0 - 2Wolves
HA Villa1 - 1Leeds
HA Villa1 - 0Brighton
AA Villa1 - 1Bournemouth
HA Villa0 - 1Brentford
AA Villa2 - 0Newcastle
HA Villa0 - 1Everton
AA Villa0 - 0C Palace
HA Villa3 - 1Nottm Forest
AA Villa1 - 4Arsenal
AA Villa2 - 1Chelsea
HA Villa2 - 1Man Utd
AA Villa3 - 2West Ham
HA Villa2 - 1Arsenal
AA Villa4 - 3Brighton
HA Villa1 - 0Wolves
AA Villa2 - 1Leeds
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nottm Forest since 1993
Nottm Forest
A Villa
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
8 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
3 / 11
NFO
3
D
4
AVL
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest2 - 1
Nottm Forest2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
Nottm Forest2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2A Villa
0 - 1A Villa
League games at A Villa since 1992
A Villa
Nottm Forest
Goals: Scored
27
16
Games: Scored
11 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
1 / 12
NFO
1
D
3
AVL
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A Villa
A Villa3 - 1
A Villa2 - 1
A Villa4 - 2
A Villa2 - 0
Draw5 - 5Draw
A Villa2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
A Villa2 - 0
A Villa2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Nottm Forest
A Villa2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Nottm Forest 16th A Villa 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Nottm Forest will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that A Villa will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-45
Nottm Forest have scored 45% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
A Villa’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier League - 2025/2026 season
Nottm Forest
PG (predicted goals)
A Villa
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
NFO
AVL
23%
better
view stats
Games scored17
22
Failed to score14
9
Scored first8
12
Goals scored31
42
Avg. goals scored1
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for12
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
NFO
AVL
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
22
Clean sheets8
9
Conceded first20
16
Goals conceded43
37
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+11%

Nottm Forest v A Villa Premier League lLine ups will show here when available.

Nottm Forest Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31936
N MilenkovićM Gibbs-WhiteN WilliamsN Milenković
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Milenković DEF31
6
-
E Anderson MID3122
6
-
M Gibbs-White MID3192
1
-
N Williams DEF3013
5
1
I Jesus FWD3033
-
C Hudson-Odoi FWD2933
-
M Sels GLK24
2
-
O Hutchinson MID2413
-
Murillo DEF231
4
-
I Sangaré MID2322
5
-
D Ndoye FWD2311
1
-
N Domínguez MID201
2
-
R Yates MID161
1
-
O Aina  DEF151
3
-
Morato DEF15
4
-
N. Savona DEF142
2
-
T Awoniyi FWD122
1
-
J McAtee MID10
1
-
D Bakwa FWD101
1
-
C Wood FWD82
-
John GLK5
1
-
S Ortega GLK3
-
J Paula DEF3
-
L Lucca FWD31
-
L Netz DEF2
-
Z Abbott DEF2
-
A Gunn GLK1
-
A Villa Premier League squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31957
M RogersO WatkinsM RogersM Cash
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Rogers MID3185
6
-
E Konsa DEF30
1
O Watkins FWD3091
3
-
E Buendía MID2952
6
-
M Cash DEF2832
7
-
E Martínez GLK27
2
-
L Digne DEF265
3
-
I Maatsen DEF24
2
-
J McGinn MID2442
3
-
L Bogarde MID24
5
-
A Onana MID222
2
-
J Sancho FWD192
-
Y Tielemans MID184
-
B Kamara MID1813
5
-
P Torres DEF17
-
R Barkley MID142
-
T Mings DEF13
-
V Lindelöf DEF121
-
L Bailey FWD91
1
-
D Luiz MID81
-
T Abraham FWD81
-
M Bizot GLK5
2
-
A García DEF4
-
H Elliot MID4
-
A. da Rocha dos Santos FWD3
-