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AJ Auxerre v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 11th Apr, 18:00 BST, Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, Auxerre

Christophe Pélissier welcomes Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro to the Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps on Saturday evening, as their AJ Auxerre and Nantes charges meet in the Ligue 1. All the odds are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this game will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics align with our predictive algorithm on this one. Auxerre and Nantes haven't typically treated their fans to thrillers of late, whether that be in Ligue 1 individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Auxerre are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Auxerre
44%
21/20
7%
-
Draw
27%
21/10
3%
-
Nantes
29%
27/10
10%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
-
Auxerre 1-0
13%
11/2
8%
-
Nantes 1-0
10%
8/1
5%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
13/2-
Auxerre 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
-
Auxerre 2-0
8%
8/1
13%
-
Nantes 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
-
Nantes 2-0
5%
16/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
11%
-
Auxerre 3-1
4%
18/1-
Auxerre 3-0
4%
18/1
12%
-
Nantes 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Auxerre 3-2
2%
33/1-
Nantes 3-0
2%
40/1-
Nantes 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
13/10
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
8/13
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
7/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/1
2%
-
BTTS - No
52%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
15/2
11%
-
Home/draw
71%
2/7
6%
-
Away/draw
56%
8/11
5%
-
Home/away
73%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/3
4%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
8/1
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
13/2-
Home DNB
63%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
48%
13/8
4%
-
Auxerre win to nil
26%
9/4
8%
-
Nantes win to nil
17%
5/1
8%
-
Auxerre / Auxerre
24%
12/5
6%
-
Auxerre / Nantes
2%
33/1
17%
-
Auxerre / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Auxerre
16%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Nantes
11%
13/2
12%
-
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
-
Nantes / Auxerre
3%
28/1
12%
-
Nantes / Nantes
14%
5/1
14%
-
Nantes / Draw
5%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Auxerre have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 24 goals to 22 goals.

Home League Performance

Auxerre have played 14 games at home winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 7 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Nantes are in 17th position in the Ligue 1 on 17 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 19 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 16 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Nantes have conceded 43 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Auxerre
Nantes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2619343660 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
-
2
Lens2719263059 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
May 9
3
Marseille2715481949 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-2F
4
Lyon2714581247 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
5
Lille271458847 
l
 
3-4A
May 16
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
6
Monaco271449946 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 19
l
 
3-5A
l
 
3-1A
7
Rennes271287644 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
8
Strasbourg2711791040 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
1-0A
9
Toulouse2710710637 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 16
d
 
2-2F
10
Lorient279108-437 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
11
Brest2710611-536 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
12
Angers279513-1332 
May 3
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
13
Paris FC2771010-1131 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
14
Le Havre276912-1327 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 5
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Nice277614-2027 
May 9
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
16
Auxerre275715-1422 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 11
17
Nantes264517-2117 
Apr 11
l
 
1-0A
-
-
18
Metz273519-3514 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
Win / draw / win form
Auxerre 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre3 - 0Brest
Auxerre0 - 0Strasbourg
Auxerre0 - 3Rennes
Auxerre0 - 0Paris FC
Auxerre0 - 1PSG
Auxerre3 - 4Lille
Auxerre3 - 1Metz
Auxerre0 - 0Lyon
Auxerre0 - 1Marseille
Auxerre0 - 1Le Havre
Auxerre1 - 2Lens
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 2Monaco
Auxerre1 - 0Lorient
Auxerre1 - 1Nantes
Auxerre1 - 2Le Havre
Auxerre1 - 3Lyon
Auxerre1 - 0Montpellier
Auxerre0 - 1Strasbourg
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAuxerre3 - 0Brest
AAuxerre0 - 1Marseille
HAuxerre0 - 0Strasbourg
AAuxerre2 - 2Lorient
HAuxerre0 - 3Rennes
AAuxerre3 - 1Metz
HAuxerre0 - 0Paris FC
AAuxerre0 - 0Toulouse
HAuxerre0 - 1PSG
AAuxerre0 - 1Lens
AAuxerre0 - 2Brest
HAuxerre3 - 4Lille
HAuxerre3 - 1Metz
AAuxerre1 - 1Paris FC
HAuxerre0 - 0Lyon
AAuxerre0 - 2Angers
HAuxerre0 - 1Marseille
AAuxerre0 - 3Strasbourg
HAuxerre0 - 1Le Havre
AAuxerre2 - 2Rennes
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille1 - 0Nantes
Monaco3 - 1Nantes
Lorient2 - 1Nantes
Marseille0 - 2Nantes
Angers4 - 1Nantes
Lyon3 - 0Nantes
Le Havre1 - 1Nantes
Paris FC1 - 2Nantes
Brest0 - 0Nantes
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Nice1 - 0Nantes
Strasbourg1 - 0Nantes
Auxerre1 - 1Nantes
Rennes2 - 1Nantes
Nice1 - 2Nantes
Le Havre3 - 2Nantes
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Monaco7 - 1Nantes
Reims1 - 2Nantes
St Etienne1 - 1Nantes
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNantes2 - 3Strasbourg
HNantes0 - 1Angers
ANantes0 - 1Lille
HNantes2 - 0Le Havre
ANantes1 - 3Monaco
HNantes0 - 1Lyon
ANantes1 - 2Lorient
HNantes1 - 4Nice
HNantes1 - 2Paris FC
ANantes2 - 0Marseille
ANantes1 - 4Angers
HNantes1 - 2Lens
ANantes0 - 3Lyon
HNantes1 - 1Lorient
ANantes1 - 1Le Havre
HNantes0 - 2Metz
HNantes3 - 5Monaco
ANantes2 - 1Paris FC
HNantes0 - 2Lille
ANantes0 - 0Brest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Auxerre since 2023
Auxerre
Nantes
Goals: Scored
3
2
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
AUX
1
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Auxerre
Draw1 - 1Draw
Auxerre2 - 1
League games at Nantes since 2023
Nantes
Auxerre
Goals: Scored
4
0
Games: Scored
3 / 3
0 / 3
Clean sheets
3 / 3
0 / 3
NAN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
Nantes1 - 0
Nantes2 - 0
Nantes1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Auxerre 16th Nantes 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Auxerre will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
Auxerre have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Nantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Auxerre
PG (predicted goals)
Nantes
1.3
1
Attack rating
AUX
NAN
12%
better
view stats
Games scored12
16
Failed to score15
10
Scored first7
7
Goals scored22
24
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.9
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
12
Avg. XG for1.1
1
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
17%
better
AUX
NAN
view stats
Games conceded20
22
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first16
18
Goals conceded36
45
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+17%

Auxerre v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Auxerre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25636
K DanoisL SinayokoL SinayokoL Sinayoko
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Danois MID2621
3
-
D Léon GLK25
2
J Casimir FWD251
4
1
L Sinayoko FWD2563
6
-
C Akpa DEF23
3
1
G Mensah DEF231
6
-
D Namaso FWD2332
6
-
E Owusu MID22
6
-
S Mara FWD211
-
M Senaya DEF201
5
-
F Oppegård DEF19
1
1
L Sy DEF18
-
S Diomandé DEF1711
3
1
R. Matondo MID16
3
-
A. Dioussé El Hadji MID14
3
-
I Osman FWD142
-
L Coulibaly FWD14
1
-
O Azzouzi MID111
1
1
F Carvallo DEF101
2
-
T Percin GLK4
-
T. Siwe DEF3
-
R. Rodin FWD3
-
T. Devernois MID2
-
Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25537
A LopesM AblineM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK25
3
-
M Abline FWD2553
5
-
N Cozza DEF22
1
-
K Amian DEF221
3
-
C Awaziem DEF2212
7
-
D. Assoumani MID221
3
-
Y Arabi FWD223
-
J Lepenant MID201
3
-
M Mohamed FWD193
1
-
L. Leroux MID1811
1
-
B. Guirassy FWD1821
2
-
J Mwanga MID1511
2
1
F Centonze DEF133
3
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID12
2
-
F Coquelin MID12
1
-
B. Deuff MID10
-
A. Camara FWD10
-
Y Benhattab FWD101
-
M. Lahdo FWD811
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
U Radakovic DEF4
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-