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Lens v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 20:05 BST, Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Home advantage makes a difference in the Ligue 1, and Pierre Sage’s Lens will have the luxury of it on Saturday night. Roberto De Zerbi’s Marseille are their visitors to the Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (at home, away or overall) with extra weighting given to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Lens or Marseille are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 80% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Marseille coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lens
34%
2.88-
Draw
24%
3.60-
Marseille
42%
2.35-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00-
Marseille 2-1
9%
9.50-
Marseille 1-0
8%
10.00-
Lens 2-1
8%
11.00-
Lens 1-0
7%
11.00-
Marseille 2-0
6%
13.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
12.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00-
Lens 2-0
5%
15.00-
Marseille 3-1
5%
17.00-
Lens 3-1
4%
21.00-
Marseille 3-0
3%
23.00-
Marseille 3-2
3%
23.00-
Lens 3-2
3%
26.00-
Lens 3-0
2%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.73-
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
2.10-
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.00-
Away 1st Goal
50%
1.83-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00-
BTTS - Yes
60%
1.62-
BTTS - No
40%
2.20-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5.00-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.33-
Home/draw
58%
1.57-
Away/draw
66%
1.40-
Home/away
76%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.22-
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
4.33-
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
2.75-
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.44-
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.17-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.06-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00-
Home DNB
51%
2.00-
Away DNB
59%
1.73-
Lens win to nil
15%
5.50-
Marseille win to nil
20%
4.50-
Lens / Lens
19%
4.50-
Lens / Marseille
4%
23.00-
Lens / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Lens
12%
7.00-
Draw / Marseille
14%
6.00-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Marseille / Lens
3%
26.00-
Marseille / Marseille
22%
3.75-
Marseille / Draw
6%
13.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lens
Marseille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG7511816 
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
2
Marseille75021015 
Oct 25
Jan 25
-
-
3
Strasbourg7502715 
Nov 22
Feb 28
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
4
Lyon7502415 
l
 
0-1A
May 16
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
5
Monaco7412413 
Feb 22
Nov 8
Dec 14
Apr 5
6
Lens7412413 
-
-
Jan 25
Oct 25
7
Lille7322411 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
Mar 22
Dec 5
8
Paris FC7313-110 
Oct 19
Feb 15
w
 
5-2F
Feb 1
9
Toulouse7313-110 
Apr 19
Jan 4
Nov 29
Mar 8
10
Rennes7241-110 
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
May 16
l
 
1-0A
11
Brest722308 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
Nov 8
Feb 22
12
Nice7223-38 
Dec 14
May 3
Apr 26
Nov 21
13
Lorient7214-77 
Nov 2
Mar 15
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
14
Auxerre7205-56 
Jan 18
w
 
1-2F
Mar 15
Nov 1
15
Le Havre7133-26 
Feb 1
w
 
1-2F
Oct 18
May 9
16
Nantes7133-26 
May 9
Dec 6
Jan 4
May 3
17
Angers7124-85 
Mar 22
Nov 30
Oct 29
Jan 18
18
Metz7025-112 
Mar 8
Oct 29
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Lens 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lens3 - 0Lille
Lens3 - 1Brest
Lens0 - 1Lyon
Lens4 - 0Monaco
Lens0 - 4Auxerre
Lens0 - 2Reims
Lens1 - 0St Etienne
Lens1 - 0Rennes
Lens3 - 4Le Havre
Lens0 - 2Strasbourg
Lens1 - 0Angers
Lens1 - 2PSG
Lens0 - 1Toulouse
Lens2 - 0Montpellier
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Lens3 - 2Nantes
Lens0 - 2Lille
Lens0 - 0Nice
Lens0 - 0Lyon
Lens2 - 0Brest
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALens2 - 1Auxerre
ALens0 - 0Rennes
HLens3 - 0Lille
ALens0 - 2PSG
HLens3 - 1Brest
ALens2 - 1Le Havre
HLens0 - 1Lyon
HLens4 - 0Monaco
ALens1 - 1Toulouse
ALens2 - 1Lyon
HLens0 - 4Auxerre
ALens3 - 1Brest
HLens0 - 2Reims
HLens1 - 0St Etienne
ALens0 - 1Lille
HLens1 - 0Rennes
ALens1 - 0Marseille
HLens3 - 4Le Havre
ALens1 - 3Nantes
HLens0 - 2Strasbourg
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
1
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz0 - 3Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 2Marseille
Lyon1 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 0Marseille
Le Havre1 - 3Marseille
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Reims3 - 1Marseille
PSG3 - 1Marseille
Auxerre3 - 0Marseille
Angers0 - 2Marseille
Nice2 - 0Marseille
Rennes1 - 2Marseille
St Etienne0 - 2Marseille
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Montpellier0 - 5Marseille
Strasbourg1 - 0Marseille
Lyon2 - 3Marseille
Toulouse1 - 3Marseille
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Marseille
Goals: Scored
6
12
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
LEN
2
D
1
MAR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lens
1 - 3Marseille
Lens1 - 0
Lens2 - 1
0 - 2Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 4Marseille
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Lens
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
3 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
3 / 6
LEN
4
MAR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 1
0 - 1Lens
2 - 3Lens
0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Marseille's defensive record is to be admired, Roberto De Zerbi's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Lens makes sense in this context.

Lens 6th Marseille 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Lens will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Lens have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Marseille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lens
PG (predicted goals)
Marseille
1.4
1.6
Attack rating
LEN
MAR
14%
better
view stats
Games scored3
3
Failed to score2
2
Scored first2
3
Goals scored8
10
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game9
6
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
22
Avg. XG for2.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
LEN
MAR
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
3
Clean sheets1
2
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded5
4
Avg. goals conceded0.7
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
10
Conversion rate against11%
10%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+21%

Lens v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7233
R RisserR. FofanaA ThomassonA Thomasson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Risser GLK7
1
-
M Udol DEF7
1
-
R Aguilar DEF7
1
-
M Sarr DEF7
2
-
A Thomasson MID713
3
-
R. Fofana FWD72
-
F Thauvin FWD72
2
-
M Guilavogui FWD71
1
-
W Saïd  FWD722
-
S Baidoo DEF6
2
-
M Sangaré MID6
-
J Gradit DEF5
1
S Abdulhamid DEF51
-
O Edouard FWD41
1
-
F Sotoca FWD4
-
D Machado DEF3
-
A. Bermont FWD3
-
F. Sylla MID2
-
A Sima FWD21
-
P Ganiou DEF1
1
1
A. Bulatović MID1
-
Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6333
P HöjbjergP AubameyangM Greenwood M Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Murillo DEF71
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID71
1
-
T Weah FWD7
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD723
-
G Rulli GLK6
-
L Balerdi DEF6
2
-
A Gomes MID61
2
-
R. Vaz FWD611
1
-
A Gouiri FWD611
-
B Nadir MID52
-
P Aubameyang FWD53
-
N Aguerd DEF41
1
-
B Pavard DEF41
2
-
Emerson DEF4
-
M O'Riley MID411
1
-
I Paixão FWD41
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF3
1
U Garcia DEF3
1
-
D. Bakola MID3
-
F Medina DEF2
-
A Vermeeren MID21
-
G Kondogbia MID2
-
J Lange GLK1
-
P Lirola DEF1
-
H Traorè FWD1
-