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Monaco v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

Toulouse are away from home on Saturday evening, as manager Jens Berthel Askou takes his side to visit Monaco and Filipe Luis Kasmirski at the Stade Louis II in the Ligue 1. All of the important statistics for the encounter, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make the most well-informed bet possible.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Ligue 1 Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Monaco's next match is v Lorient at 16:15 on Sunday 18th October
Toulouse's next match is v Troyes at 16:15 on Saturday 24th October
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Monaco and Toulouse was on Saturday 10th October 2026
French Ligue 1
October 10th 2026
Monaco 2
2 Toulouse
 
E. Diop 29'48' C. Tengstedt
M. Abline 38'59' S. Oppong
 
MCO
TOU
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
4
4
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
10
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
MonacoToulouse
 
L. Hradecký
V. de Oliveira Campos (J. Teze 75')
D. Zakaria Lako Lado (S. Benzahra 51')
L. Camara
A. Golovin
M. Detourbet (F. Balogun 58')
M. Ablinefootball icon (A. Fati 75')
E. Dier
F. Jacinto Nazinho
S. Sané
E. Diopfootball icon (S. Idumbo Muzambo 58')
G. Restes
M. McKenzie
S. Koumbassa
(A. Dønnum 84') A. Vossah
T. Jørgensen
C. Tapé
(I. Diallo 77') R. Messali
C. Cásseres Yepes
(S. Oppong 46') J. Russell-Rowe
(S. Hidalgo Massa 84') football iconC. Tengstedt
(N. Sigur 71') I. Azizi

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Ligue 1 tie should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the game. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their recent form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
60%
8/13
6%
-
Draw
20%
31/10
9%
-
Toulouse
20%
17/4
19%
-
Monaco 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
7/1
7%
-
Monaco 2-0
8%
17/2
5%
-
Monaco 1-0
8%
9/1
11%
-
Monaco 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
-
Monaco 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Toulouse 2-1
5%
16/1
13%
-
Toulouse 1-0
4%
18/1
27%
-
Monaco 3-2
4%
18/1
10%
-
Monaco 4-1
4%
20/1
19%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
16/1
13%
-
Monaco 4-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Toulouse 2-0
3%
28/1
26%
-
Toulouse 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
8/15
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
6/4
14%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - No
39%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
15/8
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
7/1-
Home/draw
80%
1/6
4%
-
Away/draw
40%
5/4
10%
-
Home/away
80%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/6
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
4/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
13/10
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
8/13
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/4
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1
30%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
13%
-
Home DNB
74%
1/4
6%
-
Away DNB
34%
11/4
15%
-
Monaco win to nil
27%
9/4-
Toulouse win to nil
8%
10/1
22%
-
Monaco / Monaco
34%
7/5
9%
-
Monaco / Toulouse
2%
33/1
17%
-
Monaco / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Monaco
17%
15/4
5%
-
Draw / Toulouse
8%
10/1
16%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
-
Toulouse / Monaco
4%
18/1
10%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
10%
7/1
14%
-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Monaco6420514 
-
-
Feb 13
d
 
2-2A
2
Lille6411513 
Oct 25
Apr 24
l
 
0-1A
Apr 10
3
Rennes6411213 
Apr 10
Dec 12
Nov 29
Feb 20
4
Lyon6321711 
Mar 6
Nov 29
l
 
0-2A
Feb 27
5
Paris FC6321411 
May 16
Nov 1
Apr 17
Jan 16
6
PSG6321311 
Jan 30
w
 
1-2A
Dec 5
May 29
7
Toulouse723219 
d
 
2-2F
Feb 13
-
-
8
Brest622238 
Jan 16
Feb 27
Mar 20
d
 
2-2F
9
Lorient622208 
May 1
Oct 18
May 16
d
 
2-2A
10
Nice6222-28 
Jan 2
May 22
Jan 23
Mar 13
11
Lens621317 
w
 
2-1F
May 8
Jan 30
Nov 21
12
Strasbourg6213-17 
Apr 17
d
 
1-1A
Nov 6
Apr 3
13
Angers6213-37 
Dec 5
Apr 3
Jan 2
May 8
14
Marseille620416 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 13
May 1
Nov 1
15
Le Mans7133-56 
Feb 20
Nov 8
Mar 6
w
 
0-3F
16
Auxerre6204-86 
Nov 21
Feb 6
May 22
Dec 12
17
Troyes6114-94 
May 29
Jan 23
Oct 24
Apr 24
18
Le Havre6024-42 
Mar 20
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
Feb 6
Win / draw / win form
Monaco 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Toulouse 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monaco since 2013
Monaco
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
21
9
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
MCO
7
D
1
TOU
2
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Monaco
Goals: Scored
13
19
Games: Scored
8 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
3 / 11
MCO
5
D
5
TOU
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Monaco in their clash with Toulouse, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive Ligue 1 games.

Monaco's defensive record is to be admired, F. Kasmirski's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Toulouse makes sense in this context.

Monaco 1st Toulouse 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that Monaco will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Monaco’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+16
Toulouse have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
33%
better
MCO
TOU
view stats
Games scored5
3
Failed to score0
2
Scored first3
2
Goals scored8
7
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for20
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
54%
better
MCO
TOU
view stats
Games conceded3
5
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded3
9
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded17
6
Conversion rate against6%
16%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.9
KickOff rating
+54%

Monaco v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6133
L HradeckyE DierA GolovinA Golovin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hradecky GLK6
1
-
Vanderson DEF6
1
-
S. Sané DEF6
-
E Dier DEF611
-
F Nazinho DEF611
2
-
L Camara MID61
2
-
D Zakaria MID6
1
-
E Diop MID211
-
A Golovin MID63
3
-
M. Detourbet MID4
-
M Abline FWD511
-
Subs
P Köhn GLK
-
J Teze DEF21
1
-
C Mawissa DEF1
-
M Salisu DEF1
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID51
-
A. Soubeir MID4
-
S. Benzahra MID2
-
F Balogun FWD2
-
A Fati FWD1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7552
M McKenzieC TengstedtC YepesC Yepes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK6
-
R. Messali DEF7
-
S. Koumbassa DEF5
1
-
M McKenzie DEF7
-
C. Tapé DEF71
1
-
C Yepes MID75
2
-
A. Vossah MID6
-
C Tengstedt MID551
-
T Jørgensen MID721
-
I. Azizi MID5
-
J Russell-Rowe FWD72
1
-
Subs
M. Niflore GLK2
-
D Odogu DEF
-
I. Diallo DEF5
-
A Dönnum MID211
-
M. Amougou MID
-
N Schmidt MID4
2
-
N. Sigur MID4
1
-
S Hidalgo FWD6
1
-
S. Oppong FWD51
1
-