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Monaco v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th Oct, 19:45 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

We’ve Ligue 1 action to enjoy on Saturday evening, as Filipe Luis Kasmirski and his Monaco side host Jens Berthel Askou’s Toulouse at the Stade Louis II. Stats power the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

While supporters of Toulouse ready themselves for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After analysing the relevant stats and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthwhile bet, as both teams know how to find the back of the net and either could ultimately get the win. The prediction and odds are aligned: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
57%
4/6
5%
-
Draw
22%
14/5
1%
-
Toulouse
21%
7/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
13/2-
Monaco 2-1
10%
15/2-
Monaco 1-0
9%
8/1-
Monaco 2-0
9%
8/1
5%
-
Monaco 3-1
7%
11/1
8%
-
Monaco 3-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Toulouse 2-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
Toulouse 1-0
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1-
Monaco 3-2
4%
20/1-
Monaco 4-1
3%
22/1
12%
-
Monaco 4-0
3%
25/1
10%
-
Toulouse 2-0
3%
25/1
13%
-
Toulouse 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
55%
8/15
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
6/4
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/13-
BTTS - No
42%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
29%
11/5
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
13/2-
Home/draw
79%
2/11
3%
-
Away/draw
43%
23/20
8%
-
Home/away
78%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1
13%
-
Home DNB
72%
2/7
3%
-
Away DNB
36%
5/2
8%
-
Monaco win to nil
28%
9/4
4%
-
Toulouse win to nil
9%
9/1
11%
-
Monaco / Monaco
32%
8/5
5%
-
Monaco / Toulouse
2%
33/1
17%
-
Monaco / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Monaco
17%
15/4
5%
-
Draw / Toulouse
8%
9/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Toulouse / Monaco
4%
18/1
10%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
11%
13/2
7%
-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Monaco5410513 
-
-
Feb 13
Oct 10
2
Lyon5320811 
Mar 6
Nov 29
l
 
0-2A
Feb 27
3
Paris FC5320511 
May 16
Nov 1
Apr 17
Jan 16
4
Lille5311410 
Oct 25
Apr 24
l
 
0-1A
Apr 10
5
Rennes5311-110 
Apr 10
Dec 12
Nov 29
Feb 20
6
PSG522118 
Jan 30
w
 
1-2A
Dec 5
May 29
7
Angers521217 
Dec 5
Apr 3
Jan 2
May 8
8
Strasbourg521207 
Apr 17
d
 
1-1A
Nov 6
Apr 3
9
Le Mans513106 
Feb 20
Nov 8
Mar 6
Oct 16
10
Auxerre5203-56 
Nov 21
Feb 6
May 22
Dec 12
11
Brest5122-15 
Jan 16
Feb 27
Mar 20
d
 
2-2F
12
Lorient5122-15 
May 1
Oct 18
May 16
d
 
2-2A
13
Toulouse5122-25 
Oct 10
Feb 13
-
-
14
Nice5122-35 
Jan 2
May 22
Jan 23
Mar 13
15
Lens511304 
w
 
2-1F
May 8
Jan 30
Nov 21
16
Troyes5113-74 
May 29
Jan 23
Oct 24
Apr 24
17
Marseille5104-13 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 13
May 1
Nov 1
18
Le Havre5023-32 
Mar 20
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
Feb 6
Win / draw / win form
Monaco 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco2 - 1Lens
Monaco2 - 0Marseille
Monaco0 - 1Lille
Monaco2 - 2Auxerre
Monaco2 - 1Marseille
Monaco2 - 0Brest
Monaco2 - 0Angers
Monaco3 - 1Nantes
Monaco4 - 0Rennes
Monaco1 - 3Lorient
Monaco1 - 3Lyon
Monaco1 - 0PSG
Monaco1 - 4Lens
Monaco0 - 1Paris FC
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Monaco2 - 2Nice
Monaco5 - 2Metz
Monaco3 - 2Strasbourg
Monaco3 - 1Le Havre
Monaco2 - 0Lyon
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonaco2 - 1Lens
AMonaco1 - 1Strasbourg
AMonaco2 - 1PSG
HMonaco2 - 0Marseille
AMonaco1 - 0Le Havre
AMonaco4 - 5Strasbourg
HMonaco0 - 1Lille
AMonaco2 - 1Metz
AMonaco2 - 2Toulouse
HMonaco2 - 2Auxerre
AMonaco1 - 4Paris FC
HMonaco2 - 1Marseille
AMonaco2 - 1Lyon
HMonaco2 - 0Brest
AMonaco3 - 1PSG
HMonaco2 - 0Angers
AMonaco3 - 2Lens
HMonaco3 - 1Nantes
AMonaco0 - 0Nice
HMonaco4 - 0Rennes
Toulouse 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient2 - 2Toulouse
Brest2 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg1 - 2Toulouse
Lens3 - 2Toulouse
PSG3 - 1Toulouse
Metz3 - 4Toulouse
Rennes1 - 0Toulouse
Le Havre2 - 1Toulouse
Angers1 - 0Toulouse
Brest0 - 2Toulouse
Paris FC0 - 3Toulouse
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
St Etienne2 - 3Toulouse
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse3 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse2 - 2Lorient
HToulouse0 - 1Lille
AToulouse2 - 2Brest
HToulouse0 - 2Lyon
HToulouse2 - 1Lyon
AToulouse2 - 1Strasbourg
HToulouse2 - 2Monaco
AToulouse2 - 3Lens
HToulouse0 - 4Lille
AToulouse1 - 3PSG
HToulouse1 - 0Lorient
AToulouse4 - 3Metz
HToulouse0 - 1Marseille
AToulouse0 - 1Rennes
HToulouse1 - 1Paris FC
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monaco since 2013
Monaco
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
21
9
Games: Scored
9 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
1 / 10
MCO
7
D
1
TOU
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monaco
Monaco1 - 0
Monaco2 - 0
1 - 2Toulouse
1 - 2Toulouse
Monaco2 - 1
Monaco3 - 2
Monaco3 - 1
Monaco4 - 0
Monaco4 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Monaco
Goals: Scored
13
19
Games: Scored
8 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
3 / 11
MCO
5
D
5
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Monaco
0 - 2Monaco
1 - 2Monaco
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw3 - 3Draw
Toulouse3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Monaco
0 - 2Monaco
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Monaco in their clash with Toulouse, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 18 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Monaco's defensive record is to be admired, F. Kasmirski's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Toulouse makes sense in this context.

Monaco 1st Toulouse 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Monaco’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+16
Toulouse have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
2
1.1
Attack rating
%
better
MCO
TOU
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MCO
TOU
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Monaco v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5422
L HradeckyP. BrunnerA GolovinA Golovin
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hradecky GLK5
1
-
F Nazinho DEF511
1
-
S. Sané DEF5
-
E Dier DEF511
-
Vanderson DEF5
1
-
A Golovin MID52
2
-
L Camara MID51
2
-
D Zakaria MID5
1
-
P. Brunner FWD54
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID41
-
A. Soubeir MID4
-
M Abline FWD41
-
M. Coulibaly MID3
-
M. Detourbet FWD3
-
M Biereth  FWD2
-
J Teze DEF11
1
-
C Mawissa DEF1
-
M Salisu DEF1
-
P. Cabral MID1
-
E Diop MID1
-
F Balogun FWD1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5342
C. TapéC TengstedtC YepesN Schmidt
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C. Tapé DEF51
1
-
M McKenzie DEF5
-
R. Messali DEF5
-
T Jørgensen MID521
-
C Yepes MID54
1
-
S Hidalgo FWD5
1
-
J Russell-Rowe FWD51
-
G. Restes GLK4
-
I. Diallo DEF4
-
N Schmidt MID4
2
-
A. Vossah MID4
-
I. Azizi FWD4
-
S. Oppong FWD4
-
R Nicolaisen DEF3
1
-
S. Koumbassa DEF3
1
-
C Tengstedt FWD33
-
J. Vignolo FWD3
-
M. Niflore GLK2
-
N. Sigur MID2
1
-