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Lille v Le Havre : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

the Stade Pierre-Mauroy is the setting on Saturday afternoon, as Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's Lille are visited by Luka Elsner's Le Havre in the Ligue 1. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've searched our extensive database and pulled out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.

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Lille's next match is v Rennes at 16:00 on Sunday 10th March
Le Havre's next match is v Toulouse at 14:00 on Sunday 10th March
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Lille and Le Havre was on Saturday 17th February 2024
French Ligue 1
February 17th 2024
Lille 3
0 Le Havre
 
J. David 14'
J. David 44'
J. David 49'
 
LIL
HAV
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
6
1
Corners
1
3
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
8
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
LilleLe Havre
 
L. Chevalier
A. Souza Ribeiro
I. Gonçalves dos Santos
T. Santos Carvalho
L. Yoro
R. Cabella (T. Fontoura Fonseca Morais 75')
B. André
A. Gomes (A. Bouaddi 82')
N. Bentaleb (H. Haraldsson 65')
A. Ounas (E. Zhegrova 66')
J. Davidfootball iconfootball iconfootball icon (Y. Yazıcı 75')
A. Desmas
G. Lloris
A. Sangante
C. Operi
É. Kinkoue
(R. N'Diaye 62') Y. Kechta
(Simon Brown 82') A. Touré
(L. Nego 46') A. Joujou
(E. Sabbi 46') J. Casimir
(S. Ngoura 69') A. Ayew Pelé
S. Grandsir
Best Tip: Lille to win

There looks like a strong favourite for this fixture, and it's Lille. Their latest form statistics show they're capable in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Le Havre too. The odds point towards Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 61% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Lille
61%
1/2
4%
1/2
4%
4/94/9
1%
Draw
24%
10/3
4%
29/10
10%
16/5
7%
33/10
2%
Le Havre
15%
6/1
8%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Lille 1-0
15%
9/2
15%
9/2
15%
9/2
8%
23/5
17%
Lille 2-0
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
5/1
8%
21/4
7%
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
6%
13/2
6%
15/27/1
Draw 0-0
9%
8/1
18%
8/1
25%
9/1
17%
19/2
16%
Lille 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
15/215/2
6%
7/1
Lille 3-0
7%
17/29/1
5%
9/19/1
5%
Le Havre 1-0
7%
12/1
13%
14/1
21%
16/114/1
12%
Lille 3-1
5%
12/1
8%
14/1
25%
12/1
8%
13/1
12%
Le Havre 2-1
4%
20/122/120/119/1
5%
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1
10%
22/1
10%
20/1
11%
20/1
17%
Lille 4-0
3%
18/1
12%
20/1
11%
18/118/1
6%
Le Havre 2-0
2%
33/145/140/130/1
Lille 4-1
2%
25/1
13%
28/1
26%
25/1
13%
25/1
13%
Lille 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
33/1
17%
33/1
31%
29/1
20%
Lille 5-0
1%
40/1
21%
50/1
24%
40/140/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
43/40
12%
11/10
17%
Evs
9%
21/20
13%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
8/11
11%
7/10
11%
8/11
5%
3/4
11%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/3
2%
4/9
3%
4/11-
Away 1st Goal
36%
11/411/4
1%
13/5
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
8/1
18%
8/1
25%
17/2
14%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
6/5
7%
6/5
10%
6/5
5%
59/50
10%
BTTS - No
59%
8/13
5%
3/5
8%
8/13
3%
13/20
7%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
3/1
14%
29/10
15%
11/4
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
11/219/45/1-
BTTS - Away Win
6%
14/1
15%
14/114/1
15%
-
Home/draw
85%
1/10
1%
1/121/101/10
Away/draw
39%
6/4
5%
31/20
9%
13/8
4%
33/20
2%
Home/away
76%
1/5
2%
1/4
2%
2/9
2%
2/9
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
4/11
5%
4/11
9%
1/3
3%
33/100
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
11/5
15%
2/1
17%
9/4
7%
23/10
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3/1
25%
27/10
23%
11/4
15%
11/4
19%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/4
8%
1/4
6%
1/4
6%
1/4
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/1
33%
7/1
38%
6/1
17%
7/1
28%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/12
4%
1/12
4%
1/12
3%
1/14
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
16/1
31%
18/1
46%
-17/1
38%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/40
2%
1/40
2%
-1.00
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/16
1%
1/14
2%
1/20
1%
1/20
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
9/1
9%
8/1
18%
8/1
10%
9/1
17%
Home DNB
77%
1/62/13
3%
1/81/7
Away DNB
32%
4/115/4
14%
9/222/5
Lille win to nil
40%
6/56/5
2%
11/10
5%
-
Le Havre win to nil
9%
9/1
9%
11/1
8%
10/1
8%
-
Lille / Lille
38%
13/10
5%
11/8
6%
6/5
2%
6/5
2%
Lille / Le Havre
1%
40/180/166/175/1
7%
Lille / Draw
5%
16/120/116/118/1
12%
Draw / Lille
22%
3/114/5
3%
11/4
6%
13/4
3%
Draw / Le Havre
6%
12/114/114/113/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
15%
17/4
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
6%
Le Havre / Lille
3%
22/1
10%
28/1
12%
22/125/1
13%
Le Havre / Le Havre
6%
11/114/111/1
9%
11/1
Le Havre / Draw
4%
18/120/118/1
12%
18/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lille have played 21 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Lille have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Lille have played 10 games at home winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 18 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Le Havre are in 12th position in the Ligue 1 on 24 points having played 21 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Le Havre have conceded 18 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Lille
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Le Havre
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1F
 PSG2416713555 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 28
w
 
1-0F
Mar 17
 Brest2413741746 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 14
 Monaco2412661042 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
-
-
 Lille Home2411851441 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
May 18
d
 
1-1A
 Nice241176640 
w
 
3-1F
May 11
Mar 31
d
 
1-1F
 Lens241167939 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 7
Apr 7
d
 
0-00-0
 Marseille249961236 
May 18
l
 
3-0A
Mar 10
d
 
2-2F
 Rennes24987735 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Reims2410410-234 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1F
 Toulouse24789-529 
Mar 10
w
 
1-2A
May 3
w
 
0-2F
 Lyon248412-1328 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 21
l
 
2-1F
 Strasbourg246810-1226 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-1A
 Lorient246711-1225 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 11
 Nantes247413-1325 
Apr 14
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Le Havre Away245910-724 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Montpellier245910-623 
Mar 31
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 28
 Metz245514-1620 
Apr 21
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Clermont243813-2417 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 17
Win / draw / win form
Lille 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Le Havre 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
11
L
4
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goal Statistics

Lille's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Le Havre have conceded in each of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 1.7 for P. Rodrigues Fonseca's side suggests that run should continue.

Lille 4th Le Havre 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Le Havre scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Lille have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-11
Le Havre have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Statistics Ligue 1 - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/262901/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lille
PG (predicted goals)
Le Havre
1.7
0.7
Attack rating
37%
better
LIL
HAV
view stats
Games scored21
12
Failed to score3
12
Scored first17
6
Goals scored34
24
Avg. goals scored1.4
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate15%
12%
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
35%
better
LIL
HAV
view stats
Games conceded10
18
Clean sheets14
6
Conceded first4
13
Goals conceded20
31
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate12%
13%
KickOff rating
+35%

Lille v Le Havre Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241256
L ChevalierJ DavidA GomesB André
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK24
1
-
T Santos DEF2011
4
-
L Yoro DEF232
3
-
Alexsandro DEF22
4
1
Ismaily DEF201
1
-
N Bentaleb MID171
3
-
B André MID223
6
-
A Ounas MID151
-
A Gomes MID235
3
-
R Cabella MID2111
-
J David FWD24122
2
-
Subs
V Mannone GLK
-
G Gudmundsson  DEF16
2
-
R Tavares DEF
-
O. Touré DEF
-
E Zhegrova MID2335
1
-
Y Yazici MID2241
5
-
A. Bouaddi MID4
1
-
H Haraldsson MID161
3
-
T Morais FWD2
-
Le Havre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23445
A DesmasE SabbiC OperiA Sangante
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Desmas GLK23
1
-
A Sangante DEF21
5
-
Étienne Youte Kinkoue DEF14
1
-
G Lloris DEF232
1
-
C Operi DEF2014
4
-
A Touré MID211
3
-
Y Kechta MID231
1
-
J Casimir MID213
5
-
S Grandsir MID161
2
1
A Joujou MID172
1
-
A Ayew MID102
1
1
Subs
M Gorgelin GLK1
1
-
L Négo DEF202
1
-
O Hajjam DEF8
1
-
Y Salmier DEF1411
2
-
R Ndiaye MID16
3
1
A Confais MID
-
S Ebonog MID2
-
E Sabbi FWD204
3
-
S Ngoura FWD71
-