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Lens v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 17th Apr, 19:45 BST, Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

Pierre Sage's Lens side enjoy home advantage in the Ligue 1 on Friday evening, as Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse visit the Stade Felix Bollaert-Delelis. Analysing both sides' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner here, but good reason to think Lens and Toulouse will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Pierre Sage or Carles Martínez Novell has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to about a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lens are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lens
59%
1.55
3%
1.60
1%
Draw
22%
3.90
3%
4.20
5%
Toulouse
19%
5.75
10%
5.25
5%
Lens 1-0
11%
7.507.00
Draw 1-1
10%
7.507.00
Lens 2-0
10%
8.007.50
Lens 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Lens 3-0
6%
12.0010.00
Lens 3-1
6%
12.00
8%
11.00
Draw 0-0
6%
13.0011.00
Toulouse 1-0
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
8%
Toulouse 2-1
5%
17.0013.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0013.00
Lens 3-2
3%
23.0019.00
Lens 4-0
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
Lens 4-1
3%
23.0017.00
11%
Toulouse 2-0
3%
29.0021.00
11%
Toulouse 3-1
2%
41.0029.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1.731.70
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
2.102.05
3%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1.501.48
1%
Away 1st Goal
41%
2.752.90
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0011.00
10%
BTTS - Yes
53%
1.80
3%
1.80
BTTS - No
47%
1.95
3%
1.95
2%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.253.20
2%
BTTS - Draw
16%
5.005.00
BTTS - Away Win
10%
10.00
5%
8.50
6%
Home/draw
81%
1.14
3%
1.15
2%
Away/draw
41%
2.38
3%
2.30
2%
Home/away
78%
1.251.22
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.221.22
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
4.333.90
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2.752.70
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.441.40
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.004.80
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.171.15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10.00
9%
9.50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.06
1%
1.05
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
13.0011.00
Home DNB
74%
1.20
2%
1.22
2%
Away DNB
34%
4.33
8%
3.80
3%
Lens win to nil
32%
2.75-
Toulouse win to nil
9%
11.00
10%
-
Lens / Lens
34%
2.40
4%
2.30
3%
Lens / Toulouse
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
Lens / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Lens
18%
4.504.50
Draw / Toulouse
8%
11.0010.00
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
4%
Toulouse / Lens
4%
21.0017.00
Toulouse / Toulouse
10%
9.007.50
Toulouse / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lens have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 2 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Lens have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Lens have played 14 games at home winning 12, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Toulouse are in 10th position in the Ligue 1 on 37 points having played 29 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Toulouse have conceded 27 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lens
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2720343863 
May 13
l
 
2-0A
l
 
3-6A
l
 
3-1A
2
Lens2819272759 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Apr 17
3
Lille2916581553 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1F
4
Marseille2916492052 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
5
Lyon2915681451 
l
 
0-1A
May 16
May 9
w
 
1-2A
6
Rennes291487850 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
7
Monaco2915410749 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-4F
Apr 25
l
 
1-0A
8
Strasbourg2812791243 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 3
9
Lorient299119-638 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
10
Toulouse2910712037 
Apr 17
w
 
0-3F
-
-
11
Brest2810612-636 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 24
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
12
Paris FC2981110-835 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-5F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
13
Angers299614-1433 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
14
Le Havre2961112-1329 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
15
Nice297715-2228 
w
 
2-0F
May 2
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
Auxerre295915-1424 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes284717-2119 
May 9
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
May 16
18
Metz293620-3715 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4F
Win / draw / win form
Lens 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lens5 - 1Angers
Lens3 - 0Metz
Lens2 - 3Monaco
Lens3 - 1Rennes
Lens1 - 0Le Havre
Lens1 - 0Auxerre
Lens2 - 0Nice
Lens1 - 0Strasbourg
Lens3 - 0Lorient
Lens2 - 1Marseille
Lens2 - 1Paris FC
Lens3 - 0Lille
Lens3 - 1Brest
Lens0 - 1Lyon
Lens4 - 0Monaco
Lens0 - 4Auxerre
Lens0 - 2Reims
Lens1 - 0St Etienne
Lens1 - 0Rennes
Lens3 - 4Le Havre
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
1
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALens0 - 3Lille
HLens5 - 1Angers
ALens1 - 2Lorient
HLens3 - 0Metz
ALens1 - 1Strasbourg
HLens2 - 3Monaco
ALens5 - 0Paris FC
HLens3 - 1Rennes
HLens1 - 0Le Havre
ALens1 - 3Marseille
HLens1 - 0Auxerre
ALens3 - 0Toulouse
HLens2 - 0Nice
ALens2 - 1Nantes
ALens2 - 1Angers
HLens1 - 0Strasbourg
ALens4 - 1Monaco
HLens3 - 0Lorient
ALens0 - 2Metz
HLens2 - 1Marseille
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG3 - 1Toulouse
Metz3 - 4Toulouse
Rennes1 - 0Toulouse
Le Havre2 - 1Toulouse
Angers1 - 0Toulouse
Brest0 - 2Toulouse
Paris FC0 - 3Toulouse
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Lorient1 - 1Toulouse
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Lyon1 - 2Toulouse
Auxerre1 - 0Toulouse
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Nice0 - 1Toulouse
St Etienne2 - 3Toulouse
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Reims1 - 0Toulouse
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Strasbourg2 - 1Toulouse
Angers0 - 4Toulouse
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse0 - 4Lille
AToulouse1 - 3PSG
HToulouse1 - 0Lorient
AToulouse4 - 3Metz
HToulouse0 - 1Marseille
AToulouse0 - 1Rennes
HToulouse1 - 1Paris FC
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
LEN
3
TOU
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lens
0 - 1Toulouse
Lens2 - 1
Lens3 - 0
Lens1 - 0
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Lens
Goals: Scored
1
9
Games: Scored
1 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
4 / 5
LEN
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
0 - 3Lens
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Lens
0 - 1Lens
0 - 2Lens
Goal Statistics
Lens 2nd Toulouse 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Lens will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Toulouse scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Lens’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lens
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
1.9
1
Attack rating
25%
better
LEN
TOU
view stats
Games scored23
19
Failed to score5
9
Scored first17
11
Goals scored54
39
Avg. goals scored1.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for2
1.4
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
17%
better
LEN
TOU
view stats
Games conceded18
19
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first10
15
Goals conceded27
35
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%

Lens v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281299
R RisserO EdouardA ThomassonA Thomasson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Risser GLK281
2
-
M Udol DEF2817
2
-
F Thauvin FWD2895
5
-
M Sarr DEF271
2
-
A Thomasson MID2729
9
-
M Sangaré MID2533
3
-
O Edouard FWD24123
1
-
W Saïd  FWD24102
2
-
R. Fofana FWD235
-
R Aguilar DEF2122
4
1
S Abdulhamid DEF2113
3
-
F Sotoca FWD21
1
-
S Baidoo DEF1821
2
-
P Ganiou DEF172
3
1
A Sima FWD1612
2
-
M Guilavogui FWD161
3
1
A. Bulatović MID151
1
-
J Gradit DEF10
2
1
A. Bermont FWD9
-
N. Čelik DEF7
1
-
D Machado DEF5
1
-
F. Sylla MID3
-
K. Antonio DEF2
1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29857
G. RestesY GbohoA DönnumM McKenzie
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK29
3
-
D Sidibé DEF2934
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF281
1
-
Y Gboho FWD2884
1
-
M McKenzie DEF262
6
1
C Yepes MID2611
6
-
C Cresswell DEF2532
6
-
A Dönnum MID2445
7
-
S Hidalgo FWD2444
4
-
D. Methalie DEF23
7
-
Emersonn FWD2342
5
1
M Sauer MID221
2
-
W Kamanzi DEF201
1
-
A. Vossah MID1911
3
1
F Magri FWD1751
3
-
R. Messali MID12
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD122
-
N. Edjouma FWD12
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
S. Koumbassa DEF7
-
K Haug GLK1
-