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Lille v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 19:45 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Marseille are away on Sunday evening, as manager Roberto De Zerbi takes his men to visit Lille and Bruno Genesio at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in the Ligue 1. You'll find stats supporting our top of below, but don't forget to explore 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Ligue 1 performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Lille 50%	27/20 1%	-
Draw 24%	11/5	-
Marseille 26%	21/10 3%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	5/1	-
Lille 1-0 10%	8/1	-
Lille 2-1 10%	17/2	-
Lille 2-0 8%	11/1	-
Marseille 1-0 7%	10/1 10%	-
Marseille 2-1 6%	10/1	-
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1 8%	-
Lille 3-1 5%	18/1	-
Lille 3-0 5%	22/1	-
Marseille 2-0 4%	14/1	-
Lille 3-2 3%	25/1	-
Marseille 3-1 2%	22/1	-
Lille 4-1 2%	40/1	-
Marseille 3-2 2%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 54%	10/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 46%	10/11	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	8/11 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 44%	6/5	-
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1	-
BTTS - Yes 55%	4/6 2%	-
BTTS - No 45%	11/10 2%	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	7/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	3/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	9/2	-
Home/draw 74%	4/11	-
Away/draw 50%	4/7 3%	-
Home/away 76%	4/11	-
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	2/7	-
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	11/4	-
Over 3.5 Goals 32%	11/5	-
Under 3.5 Goals 68%	4/11	-
Over 4.5 Goals 16%	5/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 84%	1/8	-
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1	-
Home DNB 67%	4/6	-
Away DNB 42%	11/10	-
Lille win to nil 26%	10/3	-
Marseille win to nil 12%	9/2	-
Lille / Lille 22%	11/4 6%	-
Lille / Marseille 3%	28/1	-
Lille / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Lille 14%	5/1 9%	-
Draw / Marseille 12%	6/1 8%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Marseille / Lille 3%	25/1	-
Marseille / Marseille 18%	15/4	-
Marseille / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lille have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Lille are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Lille have conceded 8 goals, scored 3, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lille have played 15 games at home, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Marseille lay in 2nd place on 58 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored 65 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Marseille have conceded 37 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Marseille have played 15 away games, winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Lille Marseille
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSG	31	24	6	1	53	78	l 1-3A	l 4-1A	l 0-3A	l 3-1A
2	Marseille Away	31	18	4	9	23	58	May 4	d 1-1A	-	-
3	Lille Home	31	16	8	7	17	56	-	-	d 1-1F	May 4
4	Monaco	31	16	7	8	22	55	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0	w 2-1A	l 3-0A
5	Lyon	31	16	6	9	20	54	d 1-1F	l 2-1F	w 3-2A	w 2-3A
6	Nice	31	15	9	7	20	54	w 2-1A	d 2-2F	w 2-0F	l 2-0A
7	Strasbourg	31	15	9	7	13	54	d 3-3F	l 2-1F	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
8	Lens	31	13	6	12	-2	45	w 1-0F	w 0-2F	l 0-1A	w 1-3F
9	Brest	31	13	5	13	-4	44	w 3-1F	May 10	w 4-1F	w 1-5F
10	Auxerre	31	11	8	12	0	41	w 3-1F	d 0-00-0	l 1-3A	l 3-0A
11	Rennes	31	12	2	17	2	38	w 1-0F	w 0-2F	May 17	w 1-2A
12	Toulouse	31	9	8	14	-1	35	w 2-1A	w 1-2F	w 3-2F	w 1-3F
13	Reims	31	8	9	14	-10	33	May 17	w 0-2F	d 2-2F	l 3-1A
14	Nantes	31	7	11	13	-15	32	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
15	Angers	31	8	6	17	-21	30	w 2-0F	w 0-2F	d 1-1F	w 0-2F
16	Le Havre	31	8	4	19	-31	28	l 1-2A	w 0-3F	w 5-1F	May 10
17	St Etienne	31	7	6	18	-37	27	w 4-1A	l 1-0A	w 5-1F	w 0-2F
18	Montpellier	31	4	4	23	-49	16	w 1-0F	d 2-2F	w 5-1F	w 0-5F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Lille have won 4 consecutive home league games

Marseille have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille	3 - 1	Auxerre
Lille	1 - 0	Lens
Lille	1 - 0	Montpellier
Lille	2 - 1	Monaco
Lille	1 - 2	Le Havre
Lille	4 - 1	St Etienne
Lille	2 - 1	Nice
Lille	1 - 1	Nantes
Lille	3 - 1	Brest
Lille	1 - 0	Rennes
Lille	1 - 1	Lyon
Lille	2 - 1	Toulouse
Lille	3 - 3	Strasbourg
Lille	1 - 3	PSG
Lille	2 - 0	Angers
Lille	2 - 2	Nice
Lille	3 - 4	Lyon
Lille	1 - 0	Strasbourg
Lille	3 - 1	Marseille
Lille	2 - 1	Lens

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lille	2 - 0	Angers
H	Lille	3 - 1	Auxerre
A	Lille	2 - 1	Toulouse
A	Lille	1 - 2	Lyon
H	Lille	1 - 0	Lens
A	Lille	0 - 1	Nantes
H	Lille	1 - 0	Montpellier
A	Lille	1 - 4	PSG
H	Lille	2 - 1	Monaco
A	Lille	2 - 0	Rennes
H	Lille	1 - 2	Le Havre
H	Lille	4 - 1	St Etienne
A	Lille	1 - 2	Strasbourg
H	Lille	2 - 1	Nice
A	Lille	0 - 0	Auxerre
H	Lille	1 - 1	Nantes
A	Lille	1 - 1	Marseille
H	Lille	3 - 1	Brest
A	Lille	2 - 2	Montpellier
H	Lille	1 - 0	Rennes

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco	3 - 0	Marseille
Reims	3 - 1	Marseille
PSG	3 - 1	Marseille
Auxerre	3 - 0	Marseille
Angers	0 - 2	Marseille
Nice	2 - 0	Marseille
Rennes	1 - 2	Marseille
St Etienne	0 - 2	Marseille
Lens	1 - 3	Marseille
Nantes	1 - 2	Marseille
Montpellier	0 - 5	Marseille
Strasbourg	1 - 0	Marseille
Lyon	2 - 3	Marseille
Toulouse	1 - 3	Marseille
Brest	1 - 5	Marseille
Le Havre	1 - 2	Marseille
Reims	1 - 0	Marseille
Toulouse	2 - 2	Marseille
Lille	3 - 1	Marseille
Rennes	2 - 0	Marseille

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Marseille	4 - 1	Brest
H	Marseille	5 - 1	Montpellier
A	Marseille	0 - 3	Monaco
H	Marseille	3 - 2	Toulouse
A	Marseille	1 - 3	Reims
A	Marseille	1 - 3	PSG
H	Marseille	0 - 1	Lens
H	Marseille	2 - 0	Nantes
A	Marseille	0 - 3	Auxerre
H	Marseille	5 - 1	St Etienne
A	Marseille	2 - 0	Angers
H	Marseille	3 - 2	Lyon
A	Marseille	0 - 2	Nice
H	Marseille	1 - 1	Strasbourg
A	Marseille	2 - 1	Rennes
H	Marseille	5 - 1	Le Havre
H	Marseille	1 - 1	Lille
A	Marseille	2 - 0	St Etienne
H	Marseille	2 - 1	Monaco
A	Marseille	3 - 1	Lens

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Lille have beaten Marseille in 4 consecutive home league meetings

Lille

Marseille

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 11

6 / 11

Clean sheets

5 / 11

3 / 11

LIL

MAR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Lille	3 - 1
Lille	2 - 1
Lille	2 - 0
Lille	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Marseille
Lille	3 - 0
	0 - 1	Marseille
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 2	Marseille
	0 - 4	Marseille
Lille	1 - 0

Marseille

Lille

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

9 / 12

Clean sheets

3 / 12

2 / 12

LIL

MAR

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Marseille	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Marseille	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Lille
Marseille	5 - 1
Marseille	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Marseille	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Lille have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Marseille on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Lille 3rd	Marseille 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals	0 32% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 68% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+8 Lille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+3 Marseille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	2.0 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season

LIL

MAR

better

view stats

Games scored	27		25
Failed to score	4		6
Scored first	20		17
Goals scored	49		66
Avg. goals scored	1.6		2.1
Avg. shots per game	9		11
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	17		20
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+3%

26%

better

LIL

MAR

view stats

Games conceded	20		26
Clean sheets	11		5
Conceded first	9		14
Goals conceded	32		43
Avg. goals conceded	1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	13%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.2
KickOff rating		+26%

Lille v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	16	5	10
L Chevalier	J David	J David	B André

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Chevalier GLK	31			-
B Diakité DEF	30	4	1	7 1
J David FWD	29	16	5	5 -
B André MID	28		3	10 -
Alexsandro DEF	27	1	2	9 -
G Gudmundsson DEF	27	2		3 -
T Meunier DEF	27	2		4 -
O Sahraoui FWD	27	3	3	1 -
M Bakker DEF	22	3	2	3 1
A Mandi DEF	22			3 -
A. Bouaddi MID	22		1	2 -
H Haraldsson MID	22	5	3	3 -
R Cabella MID	21		2	1 -
A Gomes MID	20			3 -
N Mukau MID	19		1	4 -
M Fernandez FWD	19	3	2	4 -
Ismaily DEF	14		1	3 -
A Gomes MID	14	1	1	1 -
E Zhegrova FWD	12	4	1	1 -
C Akpom FWD	11	2	1	-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	10		1	3 -
N Bentaleb MID	8	1		-
T Santos DEF	7			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
16	34	5	16
J David	J David	J David	O Sahraoui

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J David FWD	16	34	5	15
H Haraldsson MID	5	12	3	15
B Diakité DEF	4	7	1	1
E Zhegrova FWD	4	9	1	11
M Fernandez FWD	3	11	2	9
O Sahraoui FWD	3	9	3	16
M Bakker DEF	3	10	2	13
G Gudmundsson DEF	2	5		9
T Meunier DEF	2	9		5
C Akpom FWD	2	10	1	2
N Bentaleb MID	1	1
Alexsandro DEF	1	4	2	2
A Gomes MID	1	3	1	8
E. Mbappé Lottin MID		4	1	6
Ismaily DEF		4	1	1
L Chevalier GLK				2
N Mukau MID		2	1	5
A Gomes MID		3		8
R Cabella MID		6	2	15
A. Bouaddi MID		1	1	4
A Mandi DEF		2		3
B André MID		4	3	10
T Santos DEF		4		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2135	94	234
B Diakité	B André	B André

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
B Diakité DEF	2135	32	119
Alexsandro DEF	2122	33	125
B André MID	1767	94	234
T Meunier DEF	1066	51	90
A Mandi DEF	1019	27	53
A Gomes MID	950	26	58
L Chevalier GLK	861	3	15
H Haraldsson MID	791	34	84
G Gudmundsson DEF	775	32	103
J David FWD	608	20	88
R Cabella MID	601	34	72
N Mukau MID	586	32	68
O Sahraoui FWD	553	11	58
M Bakker DEF	522	23	45
A. Bouaddi MID	493	48	77
Ismaily DEF	448	30	52
A Gomes MID	351	10	31
E Zhegrova FWD	343	5	42
M Fernandez FWD	212	10	46
T Santos DEF	187	12	40
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	125	7	12
N Bentaleb MID	116	4	6
C Akpom FWD	75	7	37

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	19	6	8
G Rulli	M Greenwood	L Henrique	L Balerdi

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Rulli GLK	31			1 -
M Greenwood FWD	31	19	4	2 -
L Henrique FWD	31	7	6	-
M Murillo DEF	27	1	3	2 -
P Höjbjerg MID	27	2	3	5 -
A Rabiot MID	26	7	4	4 -
J Rowe FWD	25	3	2	1 -
Q Merlin DEF	24	1	3	1 -
L Balerdi DEF	24			7 1
G Kondogbia MID	24			1 -
V Rongier MID	23	3	1	5 -
N Maupay FWD	21	4	4	2 1
D Cornelius DEF	20			6 2
P Lirola DEF	18	1	2	1 1
U Garcia DEF	18	2	2	1 -
B Nadir MID	14	1		2 -
A Harit MID	12	2	3	1 1
A Gouiri FWD	11	7	3	-
I Bennacer MID	10		2	1 -
A Dedic DEF	9		1	-
L Felipe DEF	2			-
D. Bakola MID	2			1 -
R. Vaz FWD	2			1 -
E. Koum Mbondo DEF	1			-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD	1			-
F Moumbagna FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	51	6	22
M Greenwood	M Greenwood	L Henrique	M Greenwood

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Greenwood FWD	19	51	4	22
L Henrique FWD	7	14	6	22
A Rabiot MID	7	18	4	9
A Gouiri FWD	7	20	3	6
N Maupay FWD	4	10	4	11
J Rowe FWD	3	14	2	10
V Rongier MID	3	7	1	9
U Garcia DEF	2	2	2	5
P Höjbjerg MID	2	6	3	19
A Harit MID	2	5	3	7
P Lirola DEF	1	1	2	5
M Murillo DEF	1	3	3	17
Q Merlin DEF	1	10	3	9
B Nadir MID	1	3		4
G Rulli GLK				1
A Dedic DEF		2	1	1
I Bennacer MID			2	3
D Cornelius DEF		1		3
G Kondogbia MID		1		2
L Balerdi DEF		2		4

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2614	59	126
P Höjbjerg	G Kondogbia	M Greenwood

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
P Höjbjerg MID	2614	54	120
L Balerdi DEF	2296	51	123
G Kondogbia MID	1705	59	109
M Murillo DEF	1565	41	118
A Rabiot MID	1363	45	126
D Cornelius DEF	1296	24	69
V Rongier MID	1275	44	79
L Henrique FWD	1209	16	70
M Greenwood FWD	1173	33	126
G Rulli GLK	967	4	21
Q Merlin DEF	891	19	47
I Bennacer MID	681	20	38
U Garcia DEF	450	14	43
P Lirola DEF	320	13	26
N Maupay FWD	283	9	35
A Harit MID	232	8	32
A Gouiri FWD	232	6	17
B Nadir MID	222	10	28
J Rowe FWD	217	12	54
A Dedic DEF	178	6	22
L Felipe DEF	30	2	2
D. Bakola MID	13	1	1
R. Vaz FWD	7	1	7
E. Koum Mbondo DEF	7
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD	2	1	1

French Ligue 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds

Lille v Marseille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Lille have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Lille are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Marseille lay in 2nd place on 58 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Lille v Marseille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

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