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Lille v Metz : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Oct, 14:00 BST, Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille

Lille are in Ligue 1 action on Sunday afternoon, as Bruno Genesio aims to beat Stéphane Le Mignan and his Metz side at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. For each and every Ligue 1 fixture, KickOff delves into the statistics for multiple markets. Key stats, including head-to-head results, are then published alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Lille to win

Studying the bookmakers' odds and collated stats regarding both teams ahead of this Ligue 1 match, a bet on win / draw / win for Lille to win in front of their own fans is our recommendation. We predict they'll overpower Metz, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Lille to win is the bet come Sunday afternoon.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 68% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.42.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lille
68%
1.42
3%
-
Draw
19%
4.50
5%
-
Metz
13%
7.00
7%
-
Lille 2-0
11%
7.00-
Lille 1-0
11%
7.50-
Lille 2-1
10%
8.50-
Draw 1-1
9%
9.00-
Lille 3-0
8%
9.50
6%
-
Lille 3-1
7%
11.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
13%
-
Lille 4-0
5%
17.00
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00-
Metz 1-0
4%
19.00-
Lille 4-1
4%
21.00
11%
-
Metz 2-1
4%
21.00-
Lille 3-2
3%
26.00-
Lille 5-0
2%
34.00
17%
-
Metz 2-0
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
1.67-
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
2.20-
Home 1st Goal
59%
1.40
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3.10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
1.91
2%
-
BTTS - No
49%
1.91
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.10-
BTTS - Draw
14%
6.00-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12.00
8%
-
Home/draw
87%
1.10-
Away/draw
32%
2.75
8%
-
Home/away
81%
1.18-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.22-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.33-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.75
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.44
4%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
5.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.17-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.06-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
13%
-
Home DNB
81%
1.14
1%
-
Away DNB
27%
5.50
8%
-
Lille win to nil
38%
2.38
6%
-
Metz win to nil
6%
13.00-
Lille / Lille
40%
2.10
5%
-
Lille / Metz
2%
41.00-
Lille / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / Lille
20%
4.33
8%
-
Draw / Metz
6%
15.00-
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00-
Metz / Lille
4%
21.00-
Metz / Metz
7%
13.00-
Metz / Draw
4%
19.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Lille
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG7511816 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Dec 13
Feb 22
2
Marseille75021015 
Dec 5
Mar 22
l
 
0-3A
Apr 12
3
Strasbourg7502715 
Jan 25
Nov 9
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
4
Lyon7502415 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
5
Monaco7412413 
w
 
1-0F
May 9
May 3
l
 
5-2F
6
Lens7412413 
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
Oct 29
Mar 8
7
Lille7322411 
-
-
Feb 8
Oct 26
8
Paris FC7313-110 
Nov 23
Apr 26
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
9
Toulouse7313-110 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
Mar 15
Oct 19
10
Rennes7241-110 
Jan 4
Mar 15
Nov 28
Mar 22
11
Brest722308 
Feb 15
d
 
3-3F
Mar 1
Nov 23
12
Nice7223-38 
Apr 19
Oct 29
Nov 9
May 16
13
Lorient7214-77 
Mar 8
w
 
1-7F
May 9
Jan 4
14
Auxerre7205-56 
May 16
Dec 14
Feb 15
Dec 7
15
Le Havre7133-26 
May 3
Nov 30
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
16
Nantes7133-26 
Mar 1
Oct 19
Apr 5
Nov 2
17
Angers7124-85 
Nov 2
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
18
Metz7025-112 
Oct 26
Feb 8
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Lille 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille1 - 1PSG
Lille0 - 1Lyon
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Lille1 - 0Monaco
Lille2 - 1Reims
Lille1 - 1Marseille
Lille3 - 1Auxerre
Lille1 - 0Lens
Lille1 - 0Montpellier
Lille2 - 1Monaco
Lille1 - 2Le Havre
Lille4 - 1St Etienne
Lille2 - 1Nice
Lille1 - 1Nantes
Lille3 - 1Brest
Lille1 - 0Rennes
Lille1 - 1Lyon
Lille2 - 1Toulouse
Lille3 - 3Strasbourg
Lille1 - 3PSG
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLille1 - 1PSG
HLille0 - 1Lyon
ALille0 - 3Lens
HLille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille7 - 1Lorient
HLille1 - 0Monaco
ALille3 - 3Brest
HLille2 - 1Reims
ALille0 - 2Brest
HLille1 - 1Marseille
ALille2 - 0Angers
HLille3 - 1Auxerre
ALille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille1 - 2Lyon
HLille1 - 0Lens
ALille0 - 1Nantes
HLille1 - 0Montpellier
ALille1 - 4PSG
HLille2 - 1Monaco
ALille2 - 0Rennes
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco5 - 2Metz
Paris FC3 - 2Metz
Lyon3 - 0Metz
Lavallois2 - 3Metz
Pau2 - 1Metz
Martigues1 - 4Metz
Caen2 - 2Metz
Dunkerque2 - 3Metz
Amiens1 - 2Metz
Guingamp0 - 3Metz
Bastia1 - 1Metz
Lorient0 - 0Metz
Annecy0 - 0Metz
Clermont1 - 1Metz
Ajaccio0 - 1Metz
Red Star1 - 0Metz
Grenoble2 - 0Metz
Troyes2 - 1Metz
Paris FC1 - 2Metz
Rodez1 - 3Metz
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMetz0 - 3Marseille
HMetz0 - 0Le Havre
AMetz2 - 5Monaco
HMetz1 - 1Angers
AMetz2 - 3Paris FC
AMetz0 - 3Lyon
HMetz0 - 1Strasbourg
HMetz1 - 0Dunkerque
AMetz3 - 2Lavallois
HMetz3 - 3Rodez
AMetz1 - 2Pau
HMetz2 - 2Red Star
AMetz4 - 1Martigues
AMetz2 - 2Caen
HMetz2 - 1Troyes
AMetz3 - 2Dunkerque
HMetz5 - 1Annecy
AMetz2 - 1Amiens
HMetz0 - 1Ajaccio
AMetz3 - 0Guingamp
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Lille have not lost to Metz in 9 consecutive league meetings
4
Lille have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Metz
League games at Lille since 2014
Lille
Metz
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
3 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
4 / 7
LIL
3
D
3
MET
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Lille2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Lille1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Lille3 - 1
0 - 2Metz
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Lille
Goals: Scored
8
16
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
LIL
4
D
1
MET
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
1 - 2Lille
Draw3 - 3Draw
0 - 2Lille
0 - 3Lille
Metz3 - 2
1 - 4Lille
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Lille in their meeting with Metz, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 24 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Lille 7th Metz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that Lille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-6
Lille’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+26
Metz have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lille
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
2.2
0.8
Attack rating
33%
better
LIL
MET
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score1
2
Scored first3
3
Goals scored13
5
Avg. goals scored1.9
0.7
Avg. shots per game8
4
Avg. shots per goal4
5
Conversion rate for24
19
Avg. XG for2.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+33%
Defence rating
29%
better
LIL
MET
view stats
Games conceded4
5
Clean sheets1
0
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded8
13
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
5
Conversion rate against19%
21%
Avg. XG against1.7
2.2
KickOff rating
+29%

Lille v Metz Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7232
N Ngoy M FernandezF CorreiaM Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Ngoy  DEF71
1
-
N Bentaleb MID71
1
-
M Fernandez FWD721
2
-
F Correia FWD73
-
B Özer GLK61
-
R Perraud DEF611
1
-
H Haraldsson MID62
-
O Giroud FWD62
1
-
A Mandi DEF5
2
-
B André MID51
2
-
N Mukau MID51
-
O Sahraoui FWD511
-
I. Hamza FWD521
1
-
Alexsandro DEF4
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID42
-
T Meunier DEF3
-
C Mbemba DEF2
1
-
C Verdonk DEF2
1
-
T Santos DEF2
-
M Broholm FWD2
-
A Bodart GLK1
-
O. Touré DEF1
-
U Raghouber MID1
-
Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7122
J. FischerJ GbaminG HeinK Kouao
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Fischer GLK7
-
K Kouao DEF7
2
-
J Gbamin MID71
-
A. Touré MID7
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD71
-
B Traore MID61
2
-
J Deminguet MID6
2
-
G Hein FWD612
-
T Yegbe DEF5
-
B Stambouli MID5
-
I. Sane FWD5
-
C Sabaly FWD51
-
S. Sané DEF41
1
1
H Diallo FWD41
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD4
-
G Abuashvili FWD4
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD4
-
U. Mboula DEF3
-
M Colin DEF3
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF2
-
I. Guerti MID1
-