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Marseille v Le Havre : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Oct, 20:05 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

It's an away trip for Didier Digard's Le Havre side on Saturday night, as they visit the Stade Vélodrome for a Ligue 1 meeting with Roberto De Zerbi's Marseille. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Marseille to win

As the stadium fills and the Marseille players ready themselves for this game, the bookmakers have predicted success for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below suggest the same, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) record we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Stade Vélodrome has rarely been a happy hunting ground for for Le Havre in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Saturday night. A win / draw / win home win is the bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
73%
1.30
1%
1.30
Draw
17%
5.25
5%
5.50
5%
Le Havre
10%
9.50
5%
9.00
5%
Marseille 2-0
12%
6.50
7%
6.00
8%
Marseille 1-0
11%
7.50
17%
6.50
7%
Marseille 3-0
10%
8.507.50
Marseille 2-1
9%
9.007.50
Draw 1-1
8%
9.50
14%
9.00
Marseille 3-1
7%
11.009.50
Marseille 4-0
6%
13.0011.00
Draw 0-0
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
8%
Marseille 4-1
4%
19.00
12%
15.00
15%
Draw 2-2
4%
21.0017.00
Le Havre 1-0
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
Le Havre 2-1
3%
26.0019.00
Marseille 3-2
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
Marseille 5-0
3%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Marseille 5-1
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.62
8%
1.60
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.30
13%
2.25
Home 1st Goal
61%
1.33
2%
1.30
Away 1st Goal
36%
3.403.80
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
15.00
12%
13.00
8%
BTTS - Yes
48%
2.00
5%
2.00
3%
BTTS - No
52%
1.75
8%
1.73
1%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
3.10
13%
2.90
1%
BTTS - Draw
12%
6.506.50
BTTS - Away Win
5%
17.0013.00
Home/draw
90%
1.07
1%
1.06
Away/draw
27%
3.40
3%
3.40
Home/away
83%
1.17
3%
1.14
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.20
5%
1.18
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.50
18%
4.33
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.63
14%
2.45
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.50
7%
1.50
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.50
13%
4.20
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.20
4%
1.20
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9.00
29%
8.00
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.07
3%
1.06
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
8%
Home DNB
84%
1.081.09
2%
Away DNB
22%
8.006.50
7%
Marseille win to nil
42%
2.10
5%
-
Le Havre win to nil
5%
15.00
12%
-
Marseille / Marseille
43%
1.91
6%
1.85
Marseille / Le Havre
2%
41.0041.00
Marseille / Draw
5%
17.00
11%
17.00
Draw / Marseille
20%
4.004.00
3%
Draw / Le Havre
5%
19.00
10%
15.00
Draw / Draw
10%
8.00
6%
7.50
7%
Le Havre / Marseille
5%
19.0017.00
Le Havre / Le Havre
6%
17.0012.00
8%
Le Havre / Draw
4%
21.0017.00
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Le Havre
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG7511816 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
Feb 28
Nov 22
2
Marseille75021015 
-
-
May 9
Oct 18
3
Strasbourg7502715 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
4
Lyon7502415 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Mar 15
Dec 14
5
Monaco7412413 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Jan 25
l
 
3-1A
6
Lens7412413 
Jan 25
Oct 25
l
 
1-2A
Feb 1
7
Lille7322411 
Mar 22
Dec 5
Nov 30
May 3
8
Paris FC7313-110 
w
 
5-2F
Feb 1
Dec 7
Mar 22
9
Toulouse7313-110 
Nov 29
Mar 8
Feb 15
Nov 2
10
Rennes7241-110 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
11
Brest722308 
Nov 8
Feb 22
Oct 29
Mar 8
12
Nice7223-38 
Apr 26
Nov 21
w
 
3-1F
Apr 12
13
Lorient7214-77 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
May 16
14
Auxerre7205-56 
Mar 15
Nov 1
Apr 5
Oct 26
15
Le Havre7133-26 
Oct 18
May 9
-
-
16
Nantes7133-26 
Jan 4
May 3
Nov 8
Feb 22
17
Angers7124-85 
Oct 29
Jan 18
Jan 4
Apr 19
18
Metz7025-112 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
7
Marseille have won 7 consecutive home league games
3
Le Havre have drawn 3 consecutive league games
7
Marseille have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
Le Havre 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Metz0 - 0Le Havre
Strasbourg1 - 0Le Havre
Monaco3 - 1Le Havre
Strasbourg2 - 3Le Havre
Auxerre1 - 2Le Havre
PSG2 - 1Le Havre
Montpellier0 - 2Le Havre
Lyon4 - 2Le Havre
Lens3 - 4Le Havre
Lille1 - 2Le Havre
Angers1 - 1Le Havre
Reims1 - 1Le Havre
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Nice2 - 1Le Havre
Nantes0 - 2Le Havre
Rennes1 - 0Le Havre
Brest2 - 0Le Havre
Monaco3 - 1Le Havre
Toulouse2 - 0Le Havre
St Etienne0 - 2Le Havre
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLe Havre2 - 2Rennes
ALe Havre0 - 0Metz
HLe Havre1 - 1Lorient
ALe Havre0 - 1Strasbourg
HLe Havre3 - 1Nice
HLe Havre1 - 2Lens
ALe Havre1 - 3Monaco
ALe Havre3 - 2Strasbourg
HLe Havre1 - 3Marseille
ALe Havre2 - 1Auxerre
HLe Havre1 - 1Monaco
ALe Havre1 - 2PSG
HLe Havre1 - 5Rennes
ALe Havre2 - 0Montpellier
HLe Havre3 - 2Nantes
ALe Havre2 - 4Lyon
HLe Havre1 - 1St Etienne
ALe Havre4 - 3Lens
HLe Havre1 - 4Toulouse
HLe Havre1 - 3Nice
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Marseille in their meeting with Le Havre, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 65 consecutive Ligue 1 matches.

Marseille 2nd Le Havre 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
47%
1
36%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Le Havre scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Marseille have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
+22
Le Havre have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Le Havre
2.3
0.8
Attack rating
14%
better
MAR
HAV
view stats
Games scored3
4
Failed to score2
1
Scored first3
1
Goals scored10
6
Avg. goals scored1.4
0.9
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for22
12
Avg. XG for1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
49%
better
MAR
HAV
view stats
Games conceded3
5
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded4
8
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded6
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
4
Conversion rate against10%
24%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+49%

Marseille v Le Havre Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6333
P HöjbjergP AubameyangM Greenwood M Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Murillo DEF71
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID71
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD723
-
T Weah FWD7
1
-
G Rulli GLK6
-
L Balerdi DEF6
2
-
A Gomes MID61
2
-
A Gouiri FWD611
-
R. Vaz FWD611
1
-
B Nadir MID52
-
P Aubameyang FWD53
-
N Aguerd DEF41
1
-
B Pavard DEF41
2
-
Emerson DEF4
-
M O'Riley MID411
1
-
I Paixão FWD41
1
-
U Garcia DEF3
1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF3
1
D. Bakola MID3
-
F Medina DEF2
-
A Vermeeren MID21
-
G Kondogbia MID2
-
J Lange GLK1
-
P Lirola DEF1
-
H Traorè FWD1
-
Le Havre Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7313
M DiawR NdiayeM DiawY. Zouaoui
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Diaw GLK71
-
G Lloris DEF71
1
-
A Seko DEF7
1
-
F Doucouré DEF72
-
R Ndiaye MID73
-
F Mambimbi FWD7
-
I Soumaré FWD731
1
-
Y. Zouaoui DEF6
3
-
L Négo DEF6
-
A Sangante DEF6
2
-
S Ebonog MID6
1
-
Y Kechta MID61
1
-
Y Namli  FWD6
-
A Samatta  FWD6
2
-
A Touré MID5
-
Étienne Youte Kinkoue DEF3
1
-
T Delaine DEF3
-
G Kyeremeh FWD31
-
R Khadra MID2
-
D Pizarro FWD2
-
D. Mosengo MID1
-