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Marseille v Metz : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 10th Apr, 20:05 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

the Stade Vélodrome masses welcome Metz's supporters on Friday night, as Habib Beye's Marseille take on Stéphane Le Mignan's charges in the Ligue 1. Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and a whole lot more besides. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Marseille to win

A Ligue 1 home win for Habib Beye's Marseille team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers suggest the same, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Marseille win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.27.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
66%
27/100
2%
-
Draw
19%
9/2-
Metz
15%
9/1
9%
-
Marseille 2-0
10%
13/2-
Marseille 2-1
10%
8/1-
Marseille 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
10/1-
Marseille 3-0
7%
15/2-
Marseille 3-1
7%
9/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
20/1-
Metz 2-1
4%
28/1-
Marseille 4-0
4%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1-
Marseille 4-1
4%
14/1-
Metz 1-0
4%
28/1-
Marseille 3-2
4%
22/1-
Marseille 4-2
2%
33/1-
Metz 2-0
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1/2
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
13/8
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
57%
3/10-
Away 1st Goal
40%
5/2
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
16/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
10/11-
BTTS - No
44%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
13/8-
BTTS - Draw
15%
11/2
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
9%
16/1-
Home/draw
85%
1/16
1%
-
Away/draw
34%
11/4-
Home/away
81%
1/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
4/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
2/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6/1
8%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/10
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
16/1
11%
-
Home DNB
79%
1/14-
Away DNB
29%
8/1-
Marseille win to nil
34%
6/5-
Metz win to nil
7%
18/1-
Marseille / Marseille
47%
8/11-
Marseille / Metz
2%
40/1
20%
-
Marseille / Draw
4%
18/1-
Draw / Marseille
20%
3/1-
Draw / Metz
4%
20/1-
Draw / Draw
9%
8/1-
Metz / Marseille
5%
16/1-
Metz / Metz
4%
18/1-
Metz / Draw
4%
20/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 4 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 25 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 14 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 34 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Metz are in 18th position in the Ligue 1 on 14 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

11 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 37 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Metz have conceded 60 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 5 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Metz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2619343660 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-0A
2
Lens2719263059 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
3
Marseille2715481949 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Apr 10
4
Lyon2714581247 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-0A
5
Lille271458847 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
6-1A
6
Monaco271449946 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
May 3
l
 
5-2F
7
Rennes271287644 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Strasbourg2711791040 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
9
Toulouse2710710637 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
3-4A
l
 
4-0A
10
Lorient279108-437 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 18
May 9
d
 
1-1F
11
Brest2710611-536 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2A
12
Angers279513-1332 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-5F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
13
Paris FC2771010-1131 
w
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
l
 
3-2F
14
Le Havre276912-1327 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 26
15
Nice277614-2027 
Apr 26
w
 
1-5F
w
 
2-1A
May 16
16
Auxerre275715-1422 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
17
Nantes264517-2117 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
18
Metz273519-3514 
Apr 10
w
 
0-3F
-
-
Win / draw / win form
8
Metz have not won in 8 consecutive away league games
4
Metz have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille1 - 2Lille
Marseille1 - 0Auxerre
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille2 - 2Strasbourg
Marseille3 - 1Lens
Marseille0 - 2Nantes
Marseille1 - 0Monaco
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Marseille3 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 2Angers
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille1 - 2Lille
HMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
AMarseille1 - 0Toulouse
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Brest
HMarseille2 - 2Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 5PSG
AMarseille2 - 2Paris FC
HMarseille3 - 1Lens
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
HMarseille0 - 2Nantes
HMarseille1 - 0Monaco
AMarseille0 - 1Lille
HMarseille2 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille5 - 1Nice
HMarseille3 - 0Brest
AMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
HMarseille2 - 2Angers
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
Metz 18TH
20 league games
Away
8
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
47
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rennes0 - 0Metz
Lens3 - 0Metz
PSG3 - 0Metz
Angers1 - 0Metz
Strasbourg2 - 1Metz
Lorient1 - 1Metz
Auxerre3 - 1Metz
Brest3 - 2Metz
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Lille6 - 1Metz
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Monaco5 - 2Metz
Paris FC3 - 2Metz
Lyon3 - 0Metz
Lavallois2 - 3Metz
Pau2 - 1Metz
Martigues1 - 4Metz
Caen2 - 2Metz
Dunkerque2 - 3Metz
Amiens1 - 2Metz
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMetz0 - 0Rennes
HMetz3 - 4Toulouse
AMetz0 - 3Lens
HMetz0 - 1Brest
AMetz0 - 3PSG
HMetz1 - 3Auxerre
HMetz0 - 0Lille
AMetz0 - 1Angers
HMetz2 - 5Lyon
AMetz1 - 2Strasbourg
AMetz1 - 1Lorient
HMetz2 - 3PSG
AMetz1 - 3Auxerre
HMetz0 - 1Rennes
AMetz2 - 3Brest
HMetz2 - 1Nice
AMetz2 - 0Nantes
HMetz2 - 0Lens
AMetz1 - 6Lille
AMetz0 - 4Toulouse
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2014
Marseille
Metz
Goals: Scored
12
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
MAR
3
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Marseille6 - 3
Marseille1 - 0
Marseille3 - 1
League games at Metz since 2015
Metz
Marseille
Goals: Scored
6
14
Games: Scored
5 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
3 / 8
MAR
4
D
3
MET
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Metz
0 - 3Marseille
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Marseille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 3Marseille
Metz1 - 0
0 - 2Marseille
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for Marseille in their meeting with Metz, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 85 consecutive Ligue 1 outings.

Marseille 3rd Metz 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Metz scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Marseille have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+19
Metz have scored 19% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Metz
2.2
1
Attack rating
%
better
MAR
MET
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MAR
MET
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Marseille v Metz Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241555
M Greenwood M Greenwood I PaixãoB Nadir
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Greenwood  FWD26154
3
-
P Höjbjerg MID2524
3
-
T Weah MID2422
3
-
I Paixão FWD2455
3
-
P Aubameyang FWD2485
1
-
G Rulli GLK23
2
-
Emerson DEF223
2
-
B Pavard DEF2112
4
-
L Balerdi DEF191
4
-
B Nadir MID194
4
1
M Murillo DEF1621
4
-
N Aguerd DEF161
4
-
A Gouiri FWD1662
-
M O'Riley MID1512
2
-
A Vermeeren MID141
1
1
A Gomes MID143
4
-
R. Vaz FWD1442
2
-
F Medina DEF11
3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF10
1
1
G Kondogbia MID10
3
-
H Traorè FWD911
1
-
D. Bakola MID8
-
J Lange GLK4
-
U Garcia DEF4
1
1
P Lirola DEF3
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
Metz Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25647
J. FischerG HeinG HeinK Kouao
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A. Touré MID271
4
-
G Tsitaishvili FWD2722
2
-
J. Fischer GLK26
-
J Deminguet MID251
4
-
J Gbamin DEF2411
2
1
K Kouao DEF2321
7
-
G Hein FWD2264
2
1
H Diallo FWD2041
-
M Colin DEF19
-
T Yegbe DEF191
3
-
B Traoré MID191
3
-
G Abuashvili FWD182
1
-
S. Sané DEF162
4
2
I. Sane FWD1611
2
-
B Stambouli MID14
-
C Sabaly FWD142
2
-
F Ballo-Touré  DEF12
2
-
U. Mboula DEF10
1
-
M. Bokele Mputu FWD10
-
J Asoro FWD8
-
B. Djomeni Madjo FWD5
-
M Mbaye FWD5
1
-
I. Guerti MID3
-
P Sy GLK2
-
C. Mélières DEF2
1
-