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Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 21st Sep, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Roberto De Zerbi and Luis Enrique Martínez García clash in the Ligue 1 on Sunday evening, as Marseille face Paris Saint-Germain at the Stade Vélodrome. The odds you see on the page are delivered directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Ligue 1 match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Analysing the KickOff match predictions, bookies' odds and relevant statistics, there's one market which jumps out ahead of the rest for this tie: both teams to score. In Marseille and PSG we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to maintain that reputation on Sunday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.57.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There’s absolutely nothing to pick between these sides, and our predictive algorithm gives Marseille and PSG an equal chance of claiming victory. The home win and the away win are both at 50% probability.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
27%
3/1-
Draw
23%
12/5-
PSG
50%
9/10-
Draw 1-1
10%
6/1
8%
-
PSG 2-1
10%
15/2-
PSG 1-0
8%
9/1
11%
-
PSG 2-0
7%
10/1
10%
-
Marseille 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
PSG 3-1
6%
12/1
13%
-
Marseille 1-0
6%
14/1-
PSG 3-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
15%
-
PSG 3-2
4%
20/1-
Marseille 2-0
4%
22/1
10%
-
Marseille 3-1
3%
28/1-
PSG 4-1
3%
25/1
10%
-
Marseille 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
8/13
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
13/10
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
45%
13/10-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/6-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7
3%
-
BTTS - No
39%
5/4
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
27%
12/5
3%
-
Home/draw
50%
10/11-
Away/draw
73%
2/9-
Home/away
77%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/5
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
7/2
4%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
6/4
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/15
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
7/2
10%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/5
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/1
20%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1-
Home DNB
43%
7/4-
Away DNB
66%
2/5-
Marseille win to nil
11%
7/1-
PSG win to nil
23%
11/4-
Marseille / Marseille
14%
5/1-
Marseille / PSG
4%
20/1-
Marseille / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Marseille
10%
15/2-
Draw / PSG
16%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
PSG / Marseille
3%
28/1-
PSG / PSG
27%
2/1-
PSG / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG330059 
Sep 21
Feb 8
-
-
2
Lyon330059 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
Nov 9
3
Lille321077 
Mar 22
Dec 7
Jan 18
Oct 5
4
Monaco320126 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Mar 8
Nov 30
5
Lens320126 
Jan 25
Oct 26
Sep 14
Apr 12
6
Strasbourg320116 
Feb 15
Sep 26
Oct 19
Feb 1
7
Toulouse320106 
Nov 30
Mar 8
Apr 5
w
 
3-6F
8
Angers311104 
Oct 29
Jan 18
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
9
Rennes3111-34 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
Dec 7
Feb 15
10
Marseille310213 
-
-
Feb 8
Sep 21
11
Le Havre3102-13 
Oct 19
May 9
Nov 23
Mar 1
12
Nice3102-13 
Apr 26
Nov 23
Nov 2
Mar 22
13
Nantes3102-13 
Jan 4
May 3
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
14
Auxerre3102-23 
Mar 15
Nov 2
Sep 27
Jan 25
15
Paris FC3102-33 
w
 
5-2F
Feb 1
Jan 4
May 16
16
Lorient3102-33 
Sep 12
Apr 19
May 3
Oct 29
17
Brest3012-41 
Nov 9
Feb 22
May 9
Oct 26
18
Metz3003-50 
Apr 12
Oct 5
Feb 22
Dec 14
Win / draw / win form
3
PSG have won 3 consecutive away league games
Marseille 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
2
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Nantes0 - 1PSG
Montpellier1 - 4PSG
Strasbourg2 - 1PSG
Nantes1 - 1PSG
St Etienne1 - 6PSG
Rennes1 - 4PSG
Lyon2 - 3PSG
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Brest2 - 5PSG
Lens1 - 2PSG
Monaco2 - 4PSG
Auxerre0 - 0PSG
Angers2 - 4PSG
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Nice1 - 1PSG
Reims1 - 1PSG
Lille1 - 3PSG
Le Havre1 - 4PSG
Metz0 - 2PSG
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APSG6 - 3Toulouse
HPSG1 - 0Angers
APSG1 - 0Nantes
HPSG3 - 1Auxerre
APSG4 - 1Montpellier
APSG1 - 2Strasbourg
HPSG1 - 3Nice
APSG1 - 1Nantes
HPSG2 - 1Le Havre
HPSG1 - 0Angers
APSG6 - 1St Etienne
HPSG3 - 1Marseille
APSG4 - 1Rennes
HPSG4 - 1Lille
APSG3 - 2Lyon
APSG1 - 0Toulouse
HPSG4 - 1Monaco
APSG5 - 2Brest
HPSG1 - 1Reims
APSG2 - 1Lens
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
PSG have beaten Marseille in 7 consecutive league meetings
10
PSG have not lost to Marseille in 10 consecutive away league meetings
6
PSG have kept a clean sheet in 6 consecutive away league meetings with Marseille
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
PSG
Goals: Scored
6
21
Games: Scored
4 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
6 / 10
D
2
PSG
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
0 - 3PSG
0 - 2PSG
0 - 3PSG
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2PSG
0 - 2PSG
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2PSG
2 - 3PSG
1 - 2PSG
League games at PSG since 2014
PSG
Marseille
Goals: Scored
26
5
Games: Scored
10 / 12
5 / 12
Clean sheets
7 / 12
2 / 12
MAR
1
D
1
PSG
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG3 - 1
PSG4 - 0
PSG1 - 0
PSG2 - 1
0 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 0
PSG3 - 1
PSG3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG2 - 1
PSG2 - 0
PSG2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Marseille of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Paris Saint-Germain.

Paris Saint-Germain have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 23 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.8 against Marseille on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Marseille 10th PSG 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that PSG will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+33
Marseille have scored 33% more goals at home than predicted
+31
PSG have scored 31% more goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
2.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
MAR
PSG
2%
better
view stats
Games scored1
2
Failed to score1
0
Scored first1
2
Goals scored5
2
Avg. goals scored1.7
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal5
14
Conversion rate for19
7
Avg. XG for2.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
MAR
PSG
63%
better
view stats
Games conceded2
0
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded3
0
Avg. goals conceded1
0
Avg. shots/game conceded5
3
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
0
Conversion rate against20%
0%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.2
KickOff rating
+63%

Marseille v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3221
G RulliP AubameyangM Greenwood C Egan-Riley
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK3
-
C Egan-Riley DEF3
1
M Murillo DEF3
1
-
L Balerdi DEF3
1
-
U Garcia DEF3
1
-
A Gomes MID3
1
-
P Höjbjerg MID31
-
D. Bakola MID3
-
T Weah FWD3
-
P Aubameyang FWD32
-
M Greenwood  FWD312
-
R. Vaz FWD31
1
-
B Nadir MID22
-
A Gouiri FWD2
-
P Lirola DEF1
-
G Kondogbia MID1
-
H Traorè FWD1
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
L ChevalierJ NevesN Mendes A Hakimi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Chevalier GLK3
-
A Hakimi DEF3
1
-
N Mendes  DEF31
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID3
-
F Ruiz MID311
-
Vitinha MID31
-
D Doué FWD3
-
O Dembélé FWD321
-
I. Mbaye FWD3
-
B Barcola FWD31
-
G Ramos FWD3
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF2
-
L Beraldo DEF2
-
W Pacho DEF2
-
J Neves MID23
-
K Lee FWD2
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD2
-
Marquinhos DEF1
-
L Hernández  DEF1
-