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Marseille v Paris Saint-Germain : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Sep, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Bruno Génésio welcomes Luis Enrique Martínez García to the Stade Vélodrome on Sunday evening, as their Marseille and Paris Saint-Germain sides clash in the Ligue 1. Ligue 1 stats are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. You can view it all, with graphics and odds available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Ligue 1 showdown should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to a tip of over 2.5 goals.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
21%
7/2-
Draw
20%
31/10-
PSG
58%
4/6-
PSG 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2-
PSG 2-0
8%
9/1-
PSG 1-0
7%
10/1-
PSG 3-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Marseille 2-1
6%
14/1-
PSG 3-0
6%
14/1-
PSG 3-2
4%
18/1-
Marseille 1-0
4%
18/1-
PSG 4-1
4%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1-
PSG 4-0
3%
25/1-
Marseille 2-0
3%
28/1-
Marseille 3-2
3%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1/2-
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
13/8-
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/5-
Away 1st Goal
54%
8/15-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1-
BTTS - Yes
63%
1/2-
BTTS - No
37%
6/4-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/1-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
33%
15/8-
Home/draw
42%
23/20-
Away/draw
79%
2/11-
Home/away
80%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
6/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
4/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
11/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
2/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
11/2-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/9-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/50-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1-
Home DNB
36%
5/2-
Away DNB
72%
2/7-
Marseille win to nil
8%
9/1-
PSG win to nil
25%
5/2-
Marseille / Marseille
12%
6/1-
Marseille / PSG
4%
18/1-
Marseille / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Marseille
8%
9/1-
Draw / PSG
16%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1-
PSG / Marseille
3%
28/1-
PSG / PSG
33%
6/4-
PSG / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
PSG
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Monaco330049 
Mar 13
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
Jan 30
2
Lyon321047 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Oct 25
May 9
3
Lille321037 
Jan 16
Mar 6
Apr 17
d
 
2-2A
4
Brest312015 
Apr 10
Jan 2
Feb 20
Sep 13
5
Paris FC211034 
Sep 6
May 22
Dec 12
Apr 3
6
Rennes211014 
Feb 27
Sep 11
Mar 6
d
 
2-2A
7
Troyes211014 
Jan 30
Oct 11
Nov 7
May 22
8
Lorient311104 
May 29
Jan 23
Nov 28
Apr 24
9
Marseille210123 
-
-
Feb 7
Sep 20
10
Lens310213 
May 16
Nov 8
Feb 28
Jan 3
11
Angers210103 
Feb 13
Oct 18
May 1
Jan 16
12
Strasbourg2101-33 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 20
Mar 20
Oct 17
13
Le Mans3021-12 
Nov 22
Apr 3
Oct 10
Feb 13
14
PSG3021-12 
Sep 20
Feb 7
-
-
15
Nice3021-32 
Dec 5
May 8
May 16
Nov 21
16
Le Havre3012-21 
Oct 25
Apr 17
Apr 10
Oct 30
17
Toulouse3012-31 
Nov 1
May 1
May 29
Dec 5
18
Auxerre3003-70 
Apr 24
Nov 29
Jan 23
Mar 13
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille4 - 0Strasbourg
Marseille3 - 1Rennes
Marseille1 - 1Nice
Marseille3 - 1Metz
Marseille1 - 2Lille
Marseille1 - 0Auxerre
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille2 - 2Strasbourg
Marseille3 - 1Lens
Marseille0 - 2Nantes
Marseille1 - 0Monaco
Marseille2 - 2Toulouse
Marseille3 - 0Brest
Marseille2 - 2Angers
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille0 - 2Monaco
HMarseille4 - 0Strasbourg
HMarseille3 - 1Rennes
AMarseille1 - 0Le Havre
AMarseille0 - 3Nantes
HMarseille1 - 1Nice
AMarseille0 - 2Lorient
HMarseille3 - 1Metz
AMarseille1 - 2Monaco
HMarseille1 - 2Lille
HMarseille1 - 0Auxerre
AMarseille1 - 0Toulouse
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Brest
HMarseille2 - 2Strasbourg
AMarseille0 - 5PSG
AMarseille2 - 2Paris FC
HMarseille3 - 1Lens
AMarseille5 - 2Angers
HMarseille0 - 2Nantes
PSG 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lille2 - 2PSG
Rennes2 - 2PSG
Paris FC2 - 1PSG
Lens0 - 2PSG
Angers0 - 3PSG
Nice0 - 4PSG
Le Havre0 - 1PSG
Rennes3 - 1PSG
Strasbourg1 - 2PSG
Auxerre0 - 1PSG
Metz2 - 3PSG
Monaco1 - 0PSG
Lyon2 - 3PSG
Lorient1 - 1PSG
Brest0 - 3PSG
Lille1 - 1PSG
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Nantes0 - 1PSG
Montpellier1 - 4PSG
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPSG1 - 2Monaco
APSG2 - 2Lille
APSG2 - 2Rennes
APSG1 - 2Paris FC
APSG2 - 0Lens
HPSG1 - 0Brest
HPSG2 - 2Lorient
APSG3 - 0Angers
HPSG3 - 0Nantes
HPSG1 - 2Lyon
HPSG3 - 1Toulouse
APSG4 - 0Nice
HPSG1 - 3Monaco
APSG1 - 0Le Havre
HPSG3 - 0Metz
APSG1 - 3Rennes
HPSG5 - 0Marseille
APSG2 - 1Strasbourg
APSG1 - 0Auxerre
HPSG3 - 0Lille
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2013
Marseille
PSG
Goals: Scored
7
21
Games: Scored
5 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
6 / 11
MAR
1
D
2
PSG
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille1 - 0
0 - 3PSG
0 - 2PSG
0 - 3PSG
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2PSG
0 - 2PSG
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2PSG
2 - 3PSG
1 - 2PSG
League games at PSG since 2014
PSG
Marseille
Goals: Scored
31
5
Games: Scored
11 / 13
5 / 13
Clean sheets
8 / 13
2 / 13
MAR
1
D
1
PSG
11
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG5 - 0
PSG3 - 1
PSG4 - 0
PSG1 - 0
PSG2 - 1
0 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 0
PSG3 - 1
PSG3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG2 - 1
PSG2 - 0
PSG2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 23 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Marseille on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Marseille 9th PSG 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
2.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Marseille will score no more than 1 goal
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
18%
There is a 64% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Marseille have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
+3
PSG’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
PSG
1.3
2.2
Attack rating
%
better
MAR
PSG
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MAR
PSG
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Marseille v PSG Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2211
J LangeA GouiriA GomesN Aguerd
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Lange GLK2
-
T Weah DEF2
-
N Aguerd DEF2
1
-
Emerson DEF2
-
C Egan-Riley DEF2
-
A Gomes MID21
-
P Höjbjerg MID21
-
G Kondogbia MID2
-
T Nadi MID2
-
H Abdelli MID2
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD21
-
N Maupay FWD2
-
A Harit  FWD2
-
A Gouiri FWD22
-
D Cornelius DEF1
-
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
I Paixão FWD1
-
PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3221
M SafonovMarquinhosF RuizA Hakimi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Safonov GLK3
-
A Hakimi DEF3
1
-
Marquinhos DEF32
1
-
W Pacho DEF3
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID3
-
F Ruiz MID32
1
-
Vitinha MID311
-
M Godts FWD31
-
F Torres FWD32
-
M Akliouche FWD3
-
D Doué FWD3
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD31
-
L Beraldo DEF2
-
L Hernández  DEF2
1
-
P. Fernández Sarmiento MID2
-
J Neves MID2
-
O Dembélé FWD2
-
L Digne DEF1
-
S. Mayulu MID1
-