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Marseille v Paris FC : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 6th Sep, 19:45 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Liam Rosenior leads his Paris FC troops to the Stade Vélodrome in the Ligue 1 on Sunday evening, with Bruno Génésio's Marseille the opponent. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across the board.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
57%
--
Draw
22%
--
Paris FC
21%
--
Draw 1-1
10%
--
Marseille 2-1
10%
--
Marseille 1-0
9%
--
Marseille 2-0
9%
--
Marseille 3-1
6%
--
Marseille 3-0
6%
--
Paris FC 2-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Paris FC 1-0
5%
--
Draw 0-0
5%
--
Marseille 3-2
4%
--
Marseille 4-1
3%
--
Paris FC 2-0
3%
--
Marseille 4-0
3%
--
Paris FC 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
--
Home 1st Goal
55%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
57%
--
BTTS - No
43%
--
BTTS - Home Win
29%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
12%
--
Home/draw
79%
--
Away/draw
43%
--
Home/away
78%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
--
Home DNB
72%
--
Away DNB
36%
--
Marseille win to nil
29%
--
Paris FC win to nil
9%
--
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Paris FC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Marseille110043 
-
-
May 22
Sep 6
2
Lens110033 
May 16
Nov 7
Apr 24
Oct 24
3
Lille110023 
Jan 16
Mar 6
May 8
Jan 23
4
Lyon110023 
Mar 21
Dec 13
Sep 12
May 29
5
Monaco110013 
Mar 13
Aug 30
Oct 31
May 16
6
Brest101001 
Apr 10
Jan 2
Mar 6
Nov 28
7
Le Mans101001 
Nov 21
Apr 3
Dec 5
Feb 27
8
Rennes101001 
Feb 27
Sep 11
Oct 17
Mar 20
9
PSG101001 
Sep 20
Feb 7
Apr 3
Dec 12
10
Lorient101001 
May 29
Jan 23
Mar 13
Oct 10
11
Nice101001 
Dec 5
May 8
Aug 30
Apr 10
12
Paris FC101001 
Sep 6
May 22
-
-
13
Troyes101001 
Jan 30
Oct 10
Feb 13
d
 
0-00-0
14
Le Havre1001-10 
Oct 24
Apr 17
Jan 2
May 1
15
Toulouse1001-20 
Oct 31
May 1
Jan 16
Apr 17
16
Angers1001-20 
Feb 13
Oct 17
Nov 21
Feb 20
17
Auxerre1001-30 
Apr 24
Nov 28
Jan 30
Nov 7
18
Strasbourg1001-40 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 20
Sep 19
Feb 6
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Paris FC 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
10
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Marseille in their clash with Paris FC, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 93 consecutive Ligue 1 games.

Marseille 1st Paris FC 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Marseille will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Paris FC will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Marseille have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-14
Paris FC have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2026/2027 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Paris FC
2
1.1
Attack rating
63%
better
MAR
PAR
view stats
Games scored1
0
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
0
Goals scored4
0
Avg. goals scored4
0
Avg. shots per game12
7
Avg. shots per goal3
0
Conversion rate for33
0
Avg. XG for2.3
0
KickOff rating
+63%
Defence rating
4%
better
MAR
PAR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded5
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0.3
0
KickOff rating
+4%

Marseille v Paris FC Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1211
J LangeA GouiriA GomesN Aguerd
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Lange GLK1
-
N Aguerd DEF1
1
-
D Cornelius DEF1
-
Emerson DEF1
-
C Egan-Riley DEF1
-
A Gomes MID11
-
T Weah MID1
-
P Höjbjerg MID11
-
G Kondogbia MID1
-
T Nadi MID1
-
H Abdelli MID1
-
K. Hikram Abdallah FWD11
-
N Maupay FWD1
-
A Harit  FWD1
-
A Gouiri FWD12
-
I Paixão FWD1
-
Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1001
K TrappO Silva
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Trapp GLK1
-
D Coppola DEF1
-
M Mbow DEF1
-
O Silva DEF1
1
-
E. Zabi Gueu MID1
-
A. Camara MID1
-
M López  MID1
-
R. Matondo MID1
-
P Lees-Melou MID1
-
P Pagis FWD1
-
L Sinayoko FWD1
-
O. Sissoko FWD1
-
L Koleosho FWD1
-
M Simon FWD1
-
I Kebbal FWD1
-