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Paris Saint-Germain v Monaco : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Parc des Princes, Paris

Luis Enrique Martínez García's Paris Saint-Germain side are on home soil in the Ligue 1 on Friday evening, as Sébastien Pocognoli's Monaco arrive at the Parc des Princes. All of the key stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.

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Paris Saint-Germain's next match is v Chelsea at 20:00 on Wednesday 11th March
Monaco's next match is v Brest at 20:05 on Saturday 14th March
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between PSG and Monaco was on Friday 6th March 2026
French Ligue 1
March 6th 2026
PSG 1
3 Monaco
 
B. Barcola 71'27' M. Akliouche
55' A. Golovin
73' F. Balogun
 
PSG
MCO
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
10
3
Corners
7
3
Possession
72%
28%
Fouls
12
6
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
PSGMonaco
 
A. Hakimi Mouh
I. Zabarnyi
V. Machado Ferreira
K. Kvaratskhelia (O. Dembélé 60')
D. Doue (S. Mayulu 60')
M. Safonov
N. Mendes
W. Pacho Tenorio
P. Fernández Sarmiento (K. Lee 60')
W. Zaire Emery (G. Ramos 74')
B. Barcolafootball icon
(J. Teze 15') V. de Oliveira Campos
P. Köhn
T. Kehrer
D. Zakaria Lako Lado
(M. Bieveth 81') football iconF. Balogun
(C. Mawissa Elebi 54') C. Oliveira Silva
L. Camara
W. Faes
(A. Golovin 54') A. Bamba
M. Coulibaly
(S. Adingra 81') football iconM. Akliouche

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: PSG to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's PSG. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they've got a track record against Monaco too. The odds point towards Luis Enrique Martínez García's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's what we're predicting for Friday evening too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 70% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
70%
2/5125/1
Draw
17%
17/428/1
Monaco
13%
11/21/1000
PSG 2-0
10%
17/26/1
PSG 2-1
10%
8/14/1
PSG 1-0
9%
11/111/2
PSG 3-0
8%
10/19/1
Draw 1-1
8%
9/116/5
PSG 3-1
8%
9/18/1
PSG 4-0
5%
16/116/1
PSG 4-1
5%
14/118/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/19/2
Monaco 2-1
4%
20/15/2
Draw 0-0
4%
22/19/1
PSG 3-2
4%
18/111/1
Monaco 1-0
3%
25/117/4
PSG 5-0
2%
28/128/1
PSG 5-1
2%
28/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
4/112/7
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
11/512/5
Home 1st Goal
59%
2/510/21
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/42/1
No 1st Goal
2%
22/19/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/71/2
BTTS - No
45%
5/429/20
BTTS - Home Win
34%
7/540/1
BTTS - Draw
14%
9/214/1
BTTS - Away Win
7%
9/11/66
Home/draw
87%
1/925/1
Away/draw
30%
7/41/200
Home/away
83%
1/61/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/92/15
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
11/29/2
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
10/115/4
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
10/114/7
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
11/513/5
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
4/111/4
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
9/218/1
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/71/500
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/801/25
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
22/19/1
Home DNB
82%
1/740/1
Away DNB
25%
9/21/1000
PSG win to nil
36%
2/1-
Monaco win to nil
6%
14/1-
PSG / PSG
43%
1/120/1
PSG / Monaco
2%
40/1100/1
PSG / Draw
5%
14/160/1
Draw / PSG
18%
7/26/1
Draw / Monaco
5%
14/120/1
Draw / Draw
9%
8/114/1
Monaco / PSG
5%
14/111/5
Monaco / Monaco
8%
10/17/4
Monaco / Draw
5%
16/13/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 9 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. PSG have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 40 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 11 games at home winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 30 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Monaco are in 7th position in the Ligue 1 on 37 points having played 24 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 0 and won 3. Monaco have conceded 15 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Monaco
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2518343257 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
2
Lens2518252756 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
l
 
1-4A
w
 
2-3A
3
Marseille2514471946 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
4
Lyon2514471346 
Apr 19
w
 
2-3F
l
 
1-3A
Mar 22
5
Rennes251276743 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
4-1A
6
Lille251258641 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
May 9
l
 
1-0A
7
Monaco251249640 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
Strasbourg251069936 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-2F
May 16
9
Brest251069036 
May 9
w
 
0-3F
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
10
Lorient258107-434 
May 3
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-1A
11
Angers259511-732 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
12
Toulouse258710431 
Apr 3
w
 
3-6F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
13
Paris FC256910-1227 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
14
Le Havre256811-1226 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Nice256613-1824 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
16
Auxerre254714-1619 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
17
Nantes254516-2017 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
3-5F
18
Metz253418-3413 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
5-2A
May 3
Win / draw / win form
PSG 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Monaco 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Monaco
Goals: Scored
28
16
Games: Scored
10 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
2 / 12
PSG
5
D
5
MCO
2
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
PSG
Goals: Scored
18
22
Games: Scored
9 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
4 / 13
PSG
5
D
3
MCO
5
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is fairly strong for Paris Saint-Germain in their clash with Monaco, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 44 consecutive Ligue 1 outings.

PSG 1st Monaco 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Monaco scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Monaco have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Monaco
2.4
0.9
Attack rating
24%
better
PSG
MCO
view stats
Games scored22
18
Failed to score2
6
Scored first21
10
Goals scored53
40
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game14
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for2.1
1.7
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
42%
better
PSG
MCO
view stats
Games conceded11
18
Clean sheets13
6
Conceded first3
12
Goals conceded19
36
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1.4
KickOff rating
+42%

PSG v Monaco Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231074
W Zaïre-EmeryB BarcolaVitinhaA Hakimi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Safonov GLK8
-
A Hakimi DEF1421
3
1
I Zabarnyi  DEF201
3
-
W Pacho DEF18
-
N Mendes  DEF1733
1
-
W Zaïre-Emery MID2514
2
-
Vitinha MID2417
2
-
P. Fernández Sarmiento MID5
-
D Doué FWD1642
-
B Barcola FWD22101
2
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD2143
1
-
Subs
L Chevalier GLK17
-
L Beraldo DEF111
1
-
Marquinhos DEF11
-
L Hernández  DEF172
2
-
K Lee MID2023
2
-
S. Mayulu MID1834
1
-
G Ramos FWD2351
2
-
O Dembélé FWD1584
-
I. Mbaye FWD1812
-
Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20858
M AklioucheA FatiA GolovinJ Teze
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Köhn GLK19
1
-
T Kehrer DEF19
5
2
D Zakaria DEF1521
3
1
W Faes DEF6
2
-
Vanderson MID142
4
-
L Camara MID163
4
-
A. Bamba MID10
1
-
C Henrique MID211
2
-
M. Coulibaly FWD1732
5
1
M Akliouche FWD2253
2
-
F Balogun FWD2174
4
1
Subs
Y Lienard GLK
-
J Teze DEF24
8
-
C Mawissa DEF9
1
-
A Golovin MID1835
2
1
S. Nibombé MID1
-
M Biereth  FWD2322
-
S Adingra FWD53
-
P. Brunner FWD6
1
-
A Fati FWD168
1
-