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Toulouse v Lyon : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca is aiming for a precious away win in the Ligue 1 on Sunday night, as he takes his Lyon side to the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse to visit Toulouse and Carles Martínez Novell. Analysing both sides' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Toulouse's next match is v Nantes at 20:00 on Sunday 17th May
Lyon's next match is v Lens at 20:00 on Sunday 17th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Toulouse and Lyon was on Sunday 10th May 2026
French Ligue 1
May 10th 2026
Toulouse 2
1 Lyon
 
D. Methalie 10'71' C. Tolisso
W. Kamanzi 78'
 
TOU
LYN
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
5
7
Corners
7
8
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
20
9
Yellow/red cards
5/1
2/0
 
ToulouseLyon
 
G. Restes
R. Nicolaisen
M. McKenzie
C. Cresswell
A. Dønnum
Y. Gboho (S. Koumbassa 90')
S. Hidalgo Massa (D. Sidibé 82')
J. Russell-Rowe (E. Correia da Silva 61')
D. Methaliefootball icon (W. Kamanzi 60')
C. Cásseres Yepes
A. Vossah (P. Diop 61')
D. Greif
A. Da Silva Santos
M. Niakhaté
football iconC. Tolisso
E. Moreira de Sousa
A. Bastardo Moreira
C. Mata Pedro Lourenço
(M. Fofana 89') A. Maitland-Niles
(N. Teye Nartey 83') T. Morton
(P. Šulc 67') K. Merah
(E. Appiah Nuamah 83') R. Yaremchuk

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Toulouse and Lyon will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 73%. Bookies have it at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Lyon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
28%
27/101/40
Draw
26%
29/1012/1
Lyon
47%
17/2090/1
Draw 1-1
12%
13/21/1
Lyon 1-0
11%
8/113/2
Lyon 2-1
9%
15/214/5
Lyon 2-0
8%
9/18/1
Toulouse 1-0
8%
12/17/5
Draw 0-0
7%
14/19/1
Toulouse 2-1
7%
12/17/20
Draw 2-2
5%
12/110/3
Lyon 3-1
5%
12/111/1
Toulouse 2-0
4%
20/111/2
Lyon 3-0
4%
16/112/1
Lyon 3-2
3%
20/118/1
Toulouse 3-1
2%
28/110/1
Toulouse 3-2
2%
28/133/1
Lyon 4-1
2%
28/140/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
4/63/4
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
6/51/1
Home 1st Goal
44%
13/1029/20
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/1313/20
No 1st Goal
5%
14/19/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
8/1319/20
BTTS - No
48%
6/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
13%
11/22/9
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/410/3
BTTS - Away Win
21%
5/216/1
Home/draw
53%
10/111/300
Away/draw
72%
2/711/4
Home/away
74%
1/42/11
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/91/2
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
10/329/20
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
7/42/1
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
4/94/11
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
4/112/1
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/61/50
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
9/150/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/161/500
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/19/1
Home DNB
46%
7/41/100
Away DNB
65%
2/514/1
Toulouse win to nil
15%
7/1-
Lyon win to nil
26%
5/2-
Toulouse / Toulouse
13%
11/221/20
Toulouse / Lyon
4%
20/118/5
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/127/10
Draw / Toulouse
9%
15/220/1
Draw / Lyon
16%
4/110/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/112/1
Lyon / Toulouse
3%
28/1125/1
Lyon / Lyon
29%
15/833/1
Lyon / Draw
6%
12/170/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Toulouse have conceded 33 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Lyon lay in 3rd place on 60 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 6 and losing 7 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lyon have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Lyon have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Lyon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3324454676 
l
 
3-6A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2F
2
Lens3321482767 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-2F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
3
Lille3318781761 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
4
Lyon3318691760 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
-
-
5
Rennes3317881159 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-1F
6
Marseille33175111656 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
7
Monaco3316611754 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-3F
8
Strasbourg33148111050 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
9
Lorient33111210-145 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Toulouse3312813144 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-1A
11
Paris FC33101112-441 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
12
Brest3310815-1238 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Angers339816-1935 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Le Havre3361413-1432 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Auxerre3371016-1231 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
0-00-0
16
Nice3371016-2331 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
17
Nantes335820-2323 
d
 
2-2A
May 17
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Metz333723-4416 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
3-4F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-5F
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse2 - 2Monaco
Toulouse0 - 4Lille
Toulouse1 - 0Lorient
Toulouse0 - 1Marseille
Toulouse1 - 1Paris FC
Toulouse0 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse5 - 1Nice
Toulouse0 - 3Lens
Toulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse0 - 1Angers
Toulouse0 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse2 - 2Rennes
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse2 - 1Strasbourg
HToulouse2 - 2Monaco
AToulouse2 - 3Lens
HToulouse0 - 4Lille
AToulouse1 - 3PSG
HToulouse1 - 0Lorient
AToulouse4 - 3Metz
HToulouse0 - 1Marseille
AToulouse0 - 1Rennes
HToulouse1 - 1Paris FC
AToulouse1 - 2Le Havre
AToulouse0 - 1Angers
HToulouse0 - 0Auxerre
AToulouse2 - 0Brest
HToulouse5 - 1Nice
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
Lyon 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG1 - 2Lyon
Angers0 - 0Lyon
Le Havre0 - 0Lyon
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Strasbourg3 - 1Lyon
Nantes0 - 1Lyon
Metz2 - 5Lyon
Monaco1 - 3Lyon
Lorient1 - 0Lyon
Auxerre0 - 0Lyon
Brest0 - 0Lyon
Paris FC3 - 3Lyon
Nice3 - 2Lyon
Lille0 - 1Lyon
Rennes3 - 1Lyon
Lens0 - 1Lyon
Monaco2 - 0Lyon
St Etienne2 - 1Lyon
Auxerre1 - 3Lyon
Strasbourg4 - 2Lyon
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLyon4 - 2Rennes
HLyon3 - 2Auxerre
ALyon2 - 1PSG
HLyon2 - 0Lorient
ALyon0 - 0Angers
HLyon1 - 2Monaco
ALyon0 - 0Le Havre
HLyon1 - 1Paris FC
ALyon2 - 3Marseille
ALyon1 - 3Strasbourg
HLyon2 - 0Nice
ALyon1 - 0Nantes
HLyon1 - 0Lille
ALyon5 - 2Metz
HLyon2 - 1Brest
ALyon3 - 1Monaco
HLyon1 - 0Le Havre
ALyon0 - 1Lorient
HLyon3 - 0Nantes
ALyon0 - 0Auxerre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Lyon have beaten Toulouse in 4 consecutive away league meetings
8
Lyon have not lost to Toulouse in 8 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Lyon
Goals: Scored
14
20
Games: Scored
9 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
1 / 10
TOU
1
D
2
LYN
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
1 - 2Lyon
2 - 3Lyon
1 - 2Lyon
2 - 3Lyon
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Lyon
1 - 2Lyon
2 - 3Lyon
Toulouse2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Lyon since 2013
Lyon
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
26
5
Games: Scored
10 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
1 / 11
TOU
1
D
3
LYN
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lyon
1 - 2Toulouse
Draw0 - 0Draw
Lyon3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lyon3 - 0
Lyon5 - 1
Lyon2 - 0
Lyon4 - 0
Lyon3 - 0
Lyon3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Lyon have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 games. Their PG of 1.5 against Toulouse on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Toulouse 10th Lyon 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Toulouse’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
Lyon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Lyon
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
TOU
LYN
22%
better
view stats
Games scored22
27
Failed to score10
5
Scored first12
21
Goals scored45
52
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
18
Avg. XG for1.4
1.5
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
TOU
LYN
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
17
Clean sheets9
15
Conceded first18
7
Goals conceded45
34
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+29%

Toulouse v Lyon Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
338610
G. RestesY GbohoS HidalgoA Dönnum
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK33
3
-
M McKenzie DEF292
7
1
C Cresswell DEF2932
8
-
R Nicolaisen DEF321
2
-
A Dönnum MID2845
9
1
A. Vossah MID2311
5
1
C Yepes MID3023
6
-
D. Methalie MID2721
9
-
S Hidalgo FWD2846
4
-
Y Gboho FWD3185
1
1
J Russell-Rowe FWD131
-
Subs
K Haug GLK1
-
W Kamanzi DEF2411
1
-
D Sidibé DEF3234
1
-
S. Koumbassa DEF91
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
P Diop MID1512
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD132
-
Emersonn FWD2762
5
1
I. Azizi FWD3
-
Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311177
C MataC TolissoEndrickA Maitland-Niles
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Greif GLK281
-
A Maitland-Niles DEF2914
6
1
C Mata DEF31
5
-
M Niakhaté DEF312
3
-
Abner DEF2532
4
1
T Morton MID2922
6
1
C Tolisso MID29114
5
-
Endrick MID1557
4
-
K. Merah MID221
2
-
A Moreira MID2647
3
-
R Yaremchuk FWD1041
1
-
Subs
R Descamps GLK5
-
N Tagliafico DEF203
5
2
R Kluivert DEF1512
4
-
H Hateboer DEF14
1
M. de Carvalho MID11
1
-
N. Teye Nartey MID112
-
P Sulc MID26103
2
-
M Fofana FWD1121
1
-
E Nuamah FWD2
-