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Toulouse v Lyon : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 20:00 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Sunday night sees Carles Martínez Novell’s Toulouse and Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca’s Lyon go head to head in a Ligue 1 battle at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this fixture will serve up 4 goals or more, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Toulouse and Lyon have rarely served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in Ligue 1 individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.36.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Lyon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toulouse 27%	16/5	17/5
Draw 26%	11/4	14/5
Lyon 47%	3/4	3/4
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2	11/2
Lyon 1-0 12%	13/2	6/1
Lyon 2-1 9%	15/2	13/2
Lyon 2-0 9%	15/2	7/1
Toulouse 1-0 8%	12/1	10/1
Draw 0-0 8%	11/1	9/1
Toulouse 2-1 7%	12/1	11/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	11/1
Lyon 3-1 5%	12/1	11/1
Toulouse 2-0 4%	20/1	16/1
Lyon 3-0 4%	14/1	11/1
Lyon 3-2 2%	22/1	18/1
Toulouse 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Toulouse 3-2 2%	33/1	25/1
Lyon 4-1 2%	28/1	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	4/5	3/4
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	1/1	19/20
Home 1st Goal 44%	6/4	13/8
Away 1st Goal 52%	8/13	4/7
No 1st Goal 5%	11/1	9/1
BTTS - Yes 51%	3/4	3/4
BTTS - No 49%	1/1	1/1
BTTS - Home Win 12%	13/2	13/2
BTTS - Draw 18%	4/1	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 20%	13/5	12/5
Home/draw 53%	1/1	1/1
Away/draw 73%	2/9	1/5
Home/away 74%	1/4	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	1/4	1/4
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	3/1	27/10
Over 3.5 Goals 26%	2/1	19/10
Under 3.5 Goals 74%	2/5	4/11
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	9/2	17/4
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/7	2/15
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	10/1	9/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/20	1/25
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/20	1/25
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10/1	9/1
Home DNB 45%	9/4	21/10
Away DNB 65%	1/3	3/10
Toulouse win to nil 15%	7/1	-
Lyon win to nil 27%	9/4	-
Toulouse / Toulouse 12%	6/1	11/2
Toulouse / Lyon 4%	20/1	16/1
Toulouse / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Toulouse 9%	8/1	8/1
Draw / Lyon 17%	15/4	19/5
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	17/4
Lyon / Toulouse 3%	33/1	28/1
Lyon / Lyon 30%	7/4	13/8
Lyon / Draw 6%	12/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Toulouse have conceded 33 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 16 games at home, winning 5, drawing 6 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Lyon lay in 3rd place on 60 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 6 and losing 7 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lyon have conceded 30 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Lyon have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Toulouse Lyon
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSG	31	22	4	5	43	70	l 3-6A	l 3-1A	l 2-3A	w 1-2F
2	Lens	31	20	4	7	28	64	l 0-3A	l 3-2F	May 17	w 0-1F
3	Lyon	32	18	6	8	18	60	May 10	w 1-2A	-	-
4	Lille	32	17	7	8	16	58	l 0-4A	l 2-1F	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
5	Rennes	32	16	8	8	10	56	d 2-2A	l 1-0A	w 4-2A	l 3-1F
6	Monaco	32	16	6	10	8	54	d 2-2A	l 1-0A	l 1-2F	w 1-3F
7	Marseille	32	16	5	11	15	53	l 0-1A	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	l 3-2F
8	Strasbourg	31	13	7	11	9	46	w 1-0F	w 1-2A	w 2-1A	l 3-1A
9	Lorient	32	10	12	10	-5	42	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	w 2-0F	l 1-0A
10	Toulouse	32	11	8	13	0	41	-	-	l 1-2F	May 10
11	Paris FC	32	10	11	11	-3	41	d 1-1A	w 0-3F	d 1-1A	d 3-3F
12	Brest	31	10	8	13	-10	38	w 2-0F	w 0-2F	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0
13	Angers	32	9	7	16	-19	34	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
14	Le Havre	32	6	14	12	-13	32	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0
15	Nice	32	7	10	15	-22	31	w 5-1F	w 0-1F	w 2-0F	l 3-2A
16	Auxerre	32	6	10	16	-13	28	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	w 3-2F	d 0-00-0
17	Nantes	32	5	8	19	-22	23	d 2-2A	May 17	w 3-0F	w 0-1F
18	Metz	32	3	7	22	-40	16	w 4-0F	w 3-4F	w 3-0F	w 2-5F

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	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse	2 - 2	Monaco
Toulouse	0 - 4	Lille
Toulouse	1 - 0	Lorient
Toulouse	0 - 1	Marseille
Toulouse	1 - 1	Paris FC
Toulouse	0 - 0	Auxerre
Toulouse	5 - 1	Nice
Toulouse	0 - 3	Lens
Toulouse	1 - 0	Strasbourg
Toulouse	0 - 1	Angers
Toulouse	0 - 0	Le Havre
Toulouse	2 - 2	Rennes
Toulouse	4 - 0	Metz
Toulouse	2 - 2	Nantes
Toulouse	3 - 6	PSG
Toulouse	2 - 0	Brest
Toulouse	1 - 1	Lens
Toulouse	2 - 1	Rennes
Toulouse	1 - 2	Lille
Toulouse	2 - 4	Brest

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Toulouse	2 - 1	Strasbourg
H	Toulouse	2 - 2	Monaco
A	Toulouse	2 - 3	Lens
H	Toulouse	0 - 4	Lille
A	Toulouse	1 - 3	PSG
H	Toulouse	1 - 0	Lorient
A	Toulouse	4 - 3	Metz
H	Toulouse	0 - 1	Marseille
A	Toulouse	0 - 1	Rennes
H	Toulouse	1 - 1	Paris FC
A	Toulouse	1 - 2	Le Havre
A	Toulouse	0 - 1	Angers
H	Toulouse	0 - 0	Auxerre
A	Toulouse	2 - 0	Brest
H	Toulouse	5 - 1	Nice
H	Toulouse	0 - 3	Lens
A	Toulouse	3 - 0	Paris FC
H	Toulouse	1 - 0	Strasbourg
A	Toulouse	2 - 2	Marseille
H	Toulouse	0 - 1	Angers

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG	1 - 2	Lyon
Angers	0 - 0	Lyon
Le Havre	0 - 0	Lyon
Marseille	3 - 2	Lyon
Strasbourg	3 - 1	Lyon
Nantes	0 - 1	Lyon
Metz	2 - 5	Lyon
Monaco	1 - 3	Lyon
Lorient	1 - 0	Lyon
Auxerre	0 - 0	Lyon
Brest	0 - 0	Lyon
Paris FC	3 - 3	Lyon
Nice	3 - 2	Lyon
Lille	0 - 1	Lyon
Rennes	3 - 1	Lyon
Lens	0 - 1	Lyon
Monaco	2 - 0	Lyon
St Etienne	2 - 1	Lyon
Auxerre	1 - 3	Lyon
Strasbourg	4 - 2	Lyon

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Lyon	4 - 2	Rennes
H	Lyon	3 - 2	Auxerre
A	Lyon	2 - 1	PSG
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Lorient
A	Lyon	0 - 0	Angers
H	Lyon	1 - 2	Monaco
A	Lyon	0 - 0	Le Havre
H	Lyon	1 - 1	Paris FC
A	Lyon	2 - 3	Marseille
A	Lyon	1 - 3	Strasbourg
H	Lyon	2 - 0	Nice
A	Lyon	1 - 0	Nantes
H	Lyon	1 - 0	Lille
A	Lyon	5 - 2	Metz
H	Lyon	2 - 1	Brest
A	Lyon	3 - 1	Monaco
H	Lyon	1 - 0	Le Havre
A	Lyon	0 - 1	Lorient
H	Lyon	3 - 0	Nantes
A	Lyon	0 - 0	Auxerre

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Lyon have beaten Toulouse in 4 consecutive away league meetings

Lyon have not lost to Toulouse in 8 consecutive away league meetings

Toulouse

Lyon

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

TOU

LYN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
	1 - 2	Lyon
	2 - 3	Lyon
	1 - 2	Lyon
	2 - 3	Lyon
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 2	Lyon
	1 - 2	Lyon
	2 - 3	Lyon
Toulouse	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Lyon

Toulouse

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 11

4 / 11

Clean sheets

7 / 11

1 / 11

TOU

LYN

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lyon
	1 - 2	Toulouse
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Lyon	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Lyon	3 - 0
Lyon	5 - 1
Lyon	2 - 0
Lyon	4 - 0
Lyon	3 - 0
Lyon	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Lyon have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Toulouse on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Toulouse 10th	Lyon 3rd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.1 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal	0 22% 1 34% 2 25% 3 13% 4+ There is a 78% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Toulouse’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-4 Lyon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season

TOU

LYN

22%

better

view stats

Games scored	21		26
Failed to score	10		5
Scored first	12		21
Goals scored	43		48
Avg. goals scored	1.3		1.5
Avg. shots per game	9		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		18
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.5
KickOff rating		+22%

TOU

LYN

31%

better

view stats

Games conceded	22		16
Clean sheets	9		15
Conceded first	17		6
Goals conceded	44		32
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		8
Conversion rate against	16%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.4
KickOff rating		+31%

Toulouse v Lyon Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	8	5	8
G. Restes	Y Gboho	A Dönnum	A Dönnum

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G. Restes GLK	32			3 -
D Sidibé DEF	31	3	4	1 -
R Nicolaisen DEF	31	1		2 -
Y Gboho FWD	30	8	4	1 1
C Yepes MID	29	2	3	6 -
M McKenzie DEF	28		2	6 1
C Cresswell DEF	28	3	2	7 -
A Dönnum MID	27	4	5	8 -
S Hidalgo FWD	27	4	5	4 -
D. Methalie DEF	26	1	1	8 -
Emersonn FWD	26	6	2	5 1
M Sauer MID	25	1		4 -
W Kamanzi DEF	23		1	1 -
A. Vossah MID	22	1	1	4 1
F Magri FWD	17	5	1	3 -
J. Vignolo FWD	13	2		-
R. Messali MID	12			2 -
N. Edjouma FWD	12			-
S. Koumbassa DEF	8	1		-
A Francis MID	8			2 -
K Haug GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	19	5	9
Y Gboho	Emersonn	A Dönnum	A Dönnum

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Gboho FWD	8	16	4	3
Emersonn FWD	6	19	2	2
F Magri FWD	5	12	1	1
A Dönnum MID	4	13	5	9
S Hidalgo FWD	4	10	5	4
D Sidibé DEF	3	5	4	4
C Cresswell DEF	3	11	2	1
C Yepes MID	2	6	3	7
J. Vignolo FWD	2	7
R Nicolaisen DEF	1	5
D. Methalie DEF	1	6	1	4
M Sauer MID	1	3
A. Vossah MID	1	2	1	1
S. Koumbassa DEF	1	1
M McKenzie DEF		1	2	4
W Kamanzi DEF		1	1
R. Messali MID				1
N. Edjouma FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1372	77	166
C Cresswell	C Yepes	Y Gboho

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Cresswell DEF	1372	23	165
C Yepes MID	1326	77	145
R Nicolaisen DEF	1196	23	120
M McKenzie DEF	1123	43	95
A Dönnum MID	981	47	112
D Sidibé DEF	901	48	91
G. Restes GLK	797		12
Y Gboho FWD	764	21	166
D. Methalie DEF	445	51	98
A. Vossah MID	360	13	42
W Kamanzi DEF	289	19	41
S Hidalgo FWD	268	37	86
M Sauer MID	240	12	25
Emersonn FWD	238	20	99
A Francis MID	238	19	33
F Magri FWD	203	8	78
R. Messali MID	177	10	29
S. Koumbassa DEF	161	10	13
N. Edjouma FWD	62	5	19
J. Vignolo FWD	41	3	8
K Haug GLK	11

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
30	10	7	7
C Mata	C Tolisso	A Moreira	A Maitland-Niles

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Niakhaté DEF	30		2	3 -
C Mata DEF	30			5 -
T Tessmann MID	29	1		2 -
A Maitland-Niles DEF	28	1	4	6 1
T Morton MID	28	2	2	6 1
C Tolisso MID	28	10	4	5 -
D Greif GLK	27		1	-
P Sulc MID	25	10	3	2 -
A Moreira FWD	25	4	7	3 -
Abner DEF	24	3	2	4 1
A Karabec MID	21	1		3 -
K. Merah MID	21		1	2 -
N Tagliafico DEF	20		3	5 2
R Kluivert DEF	15	1	2	4 -
H Hateboer DEF	14			1
M. de Carvalho MID	11			1 -
M Satriano FWD	11	2	1	1 -
R Ghezzal FWD	10			-
M Fofana FWD	10	2	1	1 -
O Mangala MID	8			-
R Descamps GLK	5			-
E. Honoré Molébé FWD	1			-
E Nuamah FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
10	25	7	9
C Tolisso	C Tolisso	A Moreira	C Tolisso

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C Tolisso MID	10	25	4	9
P Sulc MID	10	18	3	5
A Moreira FWD	4	14	7	8
Abner DEF	3	7	2	5
T Morton MID	2	8	2	3
M Satriano FWD	2	7	1	3
M Fofana FWD	2	9	1	3
T Tessmann MID	1	8		3
A Maitland-Niles DEF	1	7	4	5
A Karabec MID	1	5		3
R Kluivert DEF	1	1	2	2
M Niakhaté DEF			2	3
D Greif GLK			1
K. Merah MID		3	1	3
N Tagliafico DEF		1	3	3
H Hateboer DEF		1
M. de Carvalho MID		2
R Ghezzal FWD		1
O Mangala MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1955	57	150
M Niakhaté	A Maitland-Niles	M Niakhaté

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Niakhaté DEF	1955	35	150
C Mata DEF	1716	40	117
T Morton MID	1462	47	93
C Tolisso MID	1212	35	137
T Tessmann MID	1093	29	82
A Maitland-Niles DEF	1051	57	98
Abner DEF	897	30	55
D Greif GLK	866	3	15
N Tagliafico DEF	674	29	87
A Moreira FWD	472	31	106
K. Merah MID	464	25	57
R Kluivert DEF	390	15	39
P Sulc MID	343	25	67
H Hateboer DEF	336	13	22
A Karabec MID	275	4	43
M Fofana FWD	209	11	39
O Mangala MID	199	6	16
M. de Carvalho MID	190	8	18
M Satriano FWD	157	5	35
R Descamps GLK	135		1
R Ghezzal FWD	107	7	13
E. Honoré Molébé FWD	5
E Nuamah FWD	2

Toulouse v Lyon : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Toulouse have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Lyon lay in 3rd place on 60 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Toulouse v Lyon Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

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