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Marseille v Stade Brestois 29 : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

Roberto De Zerbi welcomes Eric Roy to the Stade Vélodrome on Sunday evening, as their Marseille and Stade Brestois 29 troops meet in the Ligue 1. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets as well as predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Marseille's next match is v Lille at 19:45 on Sunday 4th May
Stade Brestois 29's next match is v Montpellier at 16:15 on Sunday 4th May
The last French Ligue 1 meeting between Marseille and Brest was on Sunday 27th April 2025
French Ligue 1
April 27th 2025
Marseille 4
1 Brest
 
A. Gouiri 8'25' A. Sima
M. Greenwood (OG) 37'
A. Gouiri 45'
A. Gouiri 63'
 
MAR
SBR
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
4
3
Corners
4
3
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
14
16
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
MarseilleBrest
 
G. Rulli
M. Murillo Bermudez
L. Balerdi Rossa (Q. Merlin 77')
U. Garcia Lopes (D. Cornelius 77')
G. Kondogbia
V. Rongier (I. Bennacer 67')
P. Højbjerg
A. Rabiot
M. Greenwoodfootball icon (A. Harit 83')
A. Gouirifootball iconfootball iconfootball icon (J. Rowe 67')
L. Tomaz de Lima
G. Coudert
J. Le Cardinal
M. Haïdara
B. Chardonnet
K. Lala
(M. Baldé 69') H. Magnetti
(J. Martin 77') M. Camara
P. Lees Melou
(K. Doumbia 69') football iconA. Sima
(H. Makalou 87') L. Ajorque
(R. Del Castillo 77') M. Pereira Lage

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Marseille to win

Having examined the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding both teams ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Marseille to win and delight their home supporters is what we would suggest. We predict they'll be too strong for Brest, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It could be a tighter than we expect, but Marseille winning is the bet come Sunday evening.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Marseille are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
60%
4/11
16%
-
Draw
20%
17/4
31%
-
Brest
20%
13/2
50%
-
Marseille 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
25%
-
Marseille 2-0
8%
7/1
11%
-
Marseille 3-1
7%
10/1
8%
-
Marseille 1-0
7%
9/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
16/1
31%
-
Marseille 3-0
6%
9/1
23%
-
Brest 2-1
5%
20/1
40%
-
Marseille 3-2
4%
20/1-
Marseille 4-1
4%
16/1
19%
-
Brest 1-0
4%
22/1
35%
-
Marseille 4-0
3%
14/1
35%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
27%
-
Marseille 4-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
Brest 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
1/2
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
13/8
14%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/4
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
13/5
25%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
27%
-
BTTS - Yes
63%
7/10
2%
-
BTTS - No
37%
21/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
34%
13/8
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
26%
-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
10/1
38%
-
Home/draw
80%
1/10
6%
-
Away/draw
40%
2/1
33%
-
Home/away
80%
1/6
4%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/7
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/2
22%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
6/5
12%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
4/6
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
11/4
17%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
2/7
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
11/2
28%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/9
4%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
27%
-
Home DNB
74%
1/8
10%
-
Away DNB
34%
5/1
60%
-
Marseille win to nil
26%
13/8
19%
-
Brest win to nil
8%
14/1
50%
-
Marseille / Marseille
43%
20/21
22%
-
Marseille / Brest
2%
40/1
21%
-
Marseille / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
Draw / Marseille
19%
10/3
4%
-
Draw / Brest
5%
16/1
70%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
31%
-
Brest / Marseille
5%
16/1
11%
-
Brest / Brest
6%
12/1
63%
-
Brest / Draw
4%
18/1
27%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 3 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 62 goals to 48 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 15 games at home winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 33 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 20 goals at home.

Brest are in 9th position in the Ligue 1 on 44 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Brest have conceded 30 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Brest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3124615378 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-5A
l
 
3-1F
2
Marseille Home3118492358 
-
-
l
 
1-5A
l
 
4-1A
3
Lille3116871756 
d
 
1-1F
May 4
May 10
l
 
3-1A
4
Monaco3116782255 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
5
Lyon3116692054 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
6
Nice3115972054 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 17
7
Strasbourg3115971354 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Lens3113612-245 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
1-3F
l
 
2-0A
9
Brest Away3113513-444 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-5F
-
-
10
Auxerre3111812041 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
11
Rennes3112217238 
May 17
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
12
Toulouse319814-135 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-4F
13
Reims318914-1033 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
14
Nantes3171113-1532 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
Angers318617-2130 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
16
Le Havre318419-3128 
w
 
5-1F
May 10
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
St Etienne317618-3727 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
3-3F
18
Montpellier314423-4916 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-5F
May 4
l
 
3-1A
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Marseille2 - 2Reims
Marseille3 - 1Lorient
Marseille2 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 2Nice
Marseille0 - 2PSG
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
AMarseille0 - 3Auxerre
HMarseille5 - 1St Etienne
AMarseille2 - 0Angers
HMarseille3 - 2Lyon
AMarseille0 - 2Nice
HMarseille1 - 1Strasbourg
AMarseille2 - 1Rennes
HMarseille5 - 1Le Havre
HMarseille1 - 1Lille
AMarseille2 - 0St Etienne
HMarseille2 - 1Monaco
AMarseille3 - 1Lens
HMarseille1 - 3Auxerre
Brest 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
St Etienne3 - 3Brest
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Lyon2 - 1Brest
Strasbourg0 - 0Brest
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Le Havre0 - 1Brest
Rennes1 - 2Brest
Angers2 - 0Brest
Lille3 - 1Brest
Monaco3 - 2Brest
Montpellier3 - 1Brest
Reims1 - 2Brest
Auxerre3 - 0Brest
PSG3 - 1Brest
Lens2 - 0Brest
Toulouse0 - 3Brest
Rennes4 - 5Brest
Lyon4 - 3Brest
Lorient0 - 1Brest
Lens1 - 0Brest
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrest1 - 3Lens
ABrest3 - 3St Etienne
HBrest2 - 1Monaco
ABrest4 - 2Toulouse
HBrest0 - 0Reims
HBrest2 - 0Angers
ABrest1 - 2Lyon
ABrest0 - 0Strasbourg
HBrest2 - 2Auxerre
ABrest2 - 0Nantes
HBrest2 - 5PSG
ABrest1 - 0Le Havre
ABrest2 - 1Rennes
HBrest2 - 1Lyon
ABrest0 - 2Angers
HBrest4 - 1Nantes
ABrest1 - 3Lille
HBrest3 - 1Strasbourg
ABrest2 - 3Monaco
ABrest1 - 3Montpellier
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2019
Marseille
Brest
Goals: Scored
9
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
MAR
3
SBR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille2 - 0
1 - 2Brest
1 - 2Brest
Marseille3 - 1
Marseille2 - 1
League games at Brest since 2020
Brest
Marseille
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
MAR
3
D
1
SBR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
1 - 5Marseille
Brest1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Marseille
2 - 3Marseille
Goal Statistics

Stade Brestois 29 have been awful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. This run could continue, with Marseille's PG an impressive 2.2.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Stade Brestois 29 of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Marseille.

Marseille 2nd Brest 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 65% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Brest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+16
Marseille have scored 16% more goals at home than predicted
+28
Brest have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279222/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Brest
2.2
1.2
Attack rating
8%
better
MAR
SBR
view stats
Games scored24
24
Failed to score6
6
Scored first16
18
Goals scored62
48
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
MAR
SBR
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
22
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first14
10
Goals conceded42
49
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against18%
19%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+5%

Marseille v Brest Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311968
G RulliM Greenwood L HenriqueL Balerdi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Rulli GLK31
1
-
M Murillo DEF2713
2
-
L Balerdi DEF24
7
1
G Kondogbia DEF24
1
-
L Henrique MID3176
-
P Höjbjerg MID2723
5
-
V Rongier MID2331
5
-
U Garcia MID1822
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD31194
2
-
A Rabiot FWD2674
4
-
A Gouiri FWD1173
-
Subs
J Lange GLK
-
D Cornelius DEF20
6
2
A Dedic DEF91
-
Q Merlin DEF2413
1
-
A Harit  MID1223
1
1
I Bennacer MID102
1
-
J Rowe FWD2532
1
-
N Maupay FWD2144
2
1
F Moumbagna FWD1
-
Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281276
M CamaraL AjorqueM LageB Chardonnet
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Coudert GLK2
-
K Lala DEF2732
5
-
B Chardonnet DEF261
6
-
J Cardinal DEF161
3
-
M Haidara DEF19
2
2
M Camara MID3152
5
-
P Lees-Melou MID1822
5
-
H Magnetti MID291
4
-
M Lage FWD2627
3
-
L Ajorque FWD28122
5
-
A Sima FWD2462
2
-
Subs
N. Jauny GLK
-
E Fernandes DEF171
1
-
T. Zogbe DEF13
2
-
R. Le Guen DEF
-
K Doumbia MID2722
1
-
R Castillo MID2353
-
J Martin MID151
2
-
H. Makalou MID2
-
M Baldé FWD2523
3
-