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Marseille v Stade Brestois 29 : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 8th Nov, 16:00 BST, Stade Vélodrome, Marseille

We’ve Ligue 1 action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Roberto De Zerbi and his Marseille side host Eric Roy’s Stade Brestois 29 at the Stade Vélodrome. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our expansive database and found the stats that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and these are used to generate our predictions. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Marseille
70%
--
Draw
16%
--
Brest
15%
--
Marseille 2-1
8%
--
Marseille 3-1
8%
--
Marseille 2-0
7%
--
Marseille 3-0
6%
--
Draw 1-1
6%
--
Marseille 4-1
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Marseille 3-2
5%
--
Marseille 1-0
5%
--
Marseille 4-0
4%
--
Brest 2-1
4%
--
Marseille 4-2
4%
--
Marseille 5-1
3%
--
Marseille 5-0
3%
--
Brest 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
23%
--
Home 1st Goal
57%
--
Away 1st Goal
43%
--
No 1st Goal
1%
--
BTTS - Yes
68%
--
BTTS - No
32%
--
BTTS - Home Win
43%
--
BTTS - Draw
14%
--
BTTS - Away Win
10%
--
Home/draw
85%
--
Away/draw
30%
--
Home/away
84%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
58%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
42%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
61%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
23%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
77%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
--
Home DNB
81%
--
Away DNB
26%
--
Marseille win to nil
26%
--
Brest win to nil
4%
--
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Marseille have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ligue 1 league table. Marseille have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 2 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below in the table, having won 5, drawn 0 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Marseille have outscored their opponents by 22 goals to 14 goals.

Home League Performance

Marseille have played 4 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Brest are in 12th position in the Ligue 1 on 9 points having played 9 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Brest have conceded 14 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Marseille
Brest
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG96211120 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 8
l
 
0-3A
May 9
2
Lens9612619 
Jan 25
l
 
2-1F
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
3
Marseille96031318 
-
-
Feb 22
Nov 8
4
Lyon9603418 
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
Nov 2
Jan 18
5
Lille95221117 
Mar 22
Dec 5
d
 
3-3A
Feb 15
6
Monaco9522517 
Dec 14
Apr 5
Dec 5
Mar 15
7
Strasbourg9513616 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
Apr 12
Nov 30
8
Nice9423-114 
Apr 26
Nov 21
w
 
4-1F
Feb 1
9
Toulouse9414213 
Nov 29
Mar 8
Jan 25
l
 
2-0A
10
Rennes9252-211 
May 16
l
 
1-0A
Apr 5
Dec 13
11
Paris FC9315-310 
w
 
5-2F
Feb 1
l
 
1-2A
May 3
12
Brest9234-39 
Nov 8
Feb 22
-
-
13
Nantes9234-39 
Jan 4
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
14
Le Havre9234-59 
w
 
6-2A
May 9
Mar 8
Oct 29
15
Angers9234-69 
Oct 29
Jan 18
May 16
w
 
0-2F
16
Lorient9225-98 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 19
Feb 8
d
 
3-3A
17
Auxerre9216-67 
Mar 15
Nov 1
Jan 4
Mar 22
18
Metz9027-202 
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
Nov 23
Mar 1
Win / draw / win form
Marseille 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille6 - 2Le Havre
Marseille1 - 0PSG
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Marseille4 - 2Rennes
Marseille4 - 1Brest
Marseille5 - 1Montpellier
Marseille3 - 2Toulouse
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Marseille5 - 1St Etienne
Marseille3 - 2Lyon
Marseille1 - 1Strasbourg
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Marseille2 - 1Monaco
Marseille1 - 3Auxerre
Marseille0 - 3PSG
Marseille1 - 1Angers
Marseille2 - 0Nice
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMarseille1 - 2Lens
HMarseille6 - 2Le Havre
AMarseille3 - 0Metz
AMarseille2 - 1Strasbourg
HMarseille1 - 0PSG
HMarseille4 - 0Lorient
AMarseille0 - 1Lyon
HMarseille5 - 2Paris FC
AMarseille0 - 1Rennes
HMarseille4 - 2Rennes
AMarseille3 - 1Le Havre
AMarseille1 - 1Lille
HMarseille4 - 1Brest
HMarseille5 - 1Montpellier
AMarseille0 - 3Monaco
HMarseille3 - 2Toulouse
AMarseille1 - 3Reims
AMarseille1 - 3PSG
HMarseille0 - 1Lens
HMarseille2 - 0Nantes
Brest 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lorient3 - 3Brest
Angers0 - 2Brest
Lens3 - 1Brest
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Nice6 - 0Brest
Marseille4 - 1Brest
St Etienne3 - 3Brest
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Lyon2 - 1Brest
Strasbourg0 - 0Brest
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Le Havre0 - 1Brest
Rennes1 - 2Brest
Angers2 - 0Brest
Lille3 - 1Brest
Monaco3 - 2Brest
Montpellier3 - 1Brest
Reims1 - 2Brest
Auxerre3 - 0Brest
PSG3 - 1Brest
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBrest0 - 3PSG
ABrest3 - 3Lorient
HBrest0 - 0Nantes
ABrest2 - 0Angers
HBrest4 - 1Nice
HBrest1 - 2Paris FC
ABrest1 - 3Lens
ABrest0 - 2Toulouse
HBrest3 - 3Lille
ABrest0 - 6Nice
HBrest2 - 0Lille
HBrest1 - 0Montpellier
ABrest1 - 4Marseille
HBrest1 - 3Lens
ABrest3 - 3St Etienne
HBrest2 - 1Monaco
ABrest4 - 2Toulouse
HBrest0 - 0Reims
HBrest2 - 0Angers
ABrest1 - 2Lyon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Marseille since 2019
Marseille
Brest
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
MAR
4
SBR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Marseille
Marseille4 - 1
Marseille2 - 0
1 - 2Brest
1 - 2Brest
Marseille3 - 1
Marseille2 - 1
League games at Brest since 2020
Brest
Marseille
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
MAR
3
D
1
SBR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Brest
1 - 5Marseille
Brest1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Marseille
2 - 3Marseille
Goal Statistics

Marseille's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 games. A PG of 2.8 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Stade Brestois 29 of late. It has been 5 Ligue 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday afternoon against Marseille.

Marseille 3rd Brest 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.8
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
21%
There is a 83% probability that Marseille will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Brest will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+42
Marseille have scored 42% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Brest’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Marseille
PG (predicted goals)
Brest
2.8
1.3
Attack rating
25%
better
MAR
SBR
view stats
Games scored7
6
Failed to score2
3
Scored first5
3
Goals scored22
14
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for22
18
Avg. XG for2.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
29%
better
MAR
SBR
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first4
5
Goals conceded9
17
Avg. goals conceded1
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+29%

Marseille v Brest Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Marseille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8734
M Greenwood M Greenwood M Greenwood M Murillo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Murillo DEF92
4
-
P Höjbjerg MID91
1
-
T Weah FWD91
1
-
M Greenwood  FWD973
-
L Balerdi DEF8
3
-
A Gomes MID81
2
-
R. Vaz FWD822
1
-
G Rulli GLK7
-
B Nadir MID73
1
-
P Aubameyang FWD731
-
N Aguerd DEF61
1
-
B Pavard DEF611
3
-
Emerson DEF6
-
M O'Riley MID611
1
-
I Paixão FWD611
1
-
A Gouiri FWD611
-
D. Bakola MID4
-
C Egan-Riley DEF3
1
U Garcia DEF3
1
-
A Vermeeren MID31
-
J Lange GLK2
-
F Medina DEF2
-
G Kondogbia MID2
-
P Lirola DEF1
-
H Traorè FWD1
-
Brest Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9433
B LockoR CastilloL AjorqueL Ajorque
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Locko DEF91
-
K Lala DEF91
1
-
L Ajorque FWD913
3
-
J Chotard MID81
-
H Magnetti MID8
2
-
K Doumbia MID821
1
-
R Castillo FWD842
-
R Majecki GLK7
1
M Diaz DEF7
-
B Chardonnet DEF7
2
-
H. Makalou MID7
-
J Ebimbe MID61
-
P. Mboup FWD6
2
-
M Baldé FWD511
-
D Guindo DEF4
-
J Cardinal DEF41
1
-
R Lascary FWD42
1
-
G Coudert GLK3
-
T. Zogbe DEF3
-
S Coulibaly DEF2
-
L Tousart MID2
-
S. Diop FWD2
-
R. Le Guen DEF1
-
J. Bourgault DEF1
-