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Monaco v Lorient : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 16th Jan, 18:00 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

It's an away trip for Olivier Pantaloni's Lorient side on Friday evening, as they head to the Stade Louis II for a Ligue 1 meeting with Sébastien Pocognoli's Monaco. Analysing both teams' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% chance of Monaco and Lorient serving up at least 2 goals in this Ligue 1 tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
59%
11/20
8%
3/5
Draw
22%
10/3
5%
17/5
Lorient
19%
17/4
17%
4/1
Monaco 1-0
10%
8/1
12%
7/1
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Monaco 2-0
10%
15/2
19%
7/1
Monaco 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Monaco 3-0
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
Monaco 3-1
6%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
5%
16/112/1
Lorient 1-0
5%
16/112/1
Lorient 2-1
5%
16/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
13%
11/1
Monaco 3-2
3%
20/116/1
Monaco 4-0
3%
20/1
10%
16/1
Monaco 4-1
3%
20/1
10%
16/1
Lorient 2-0
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Lorient 3-1
2%
40/1
17%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/7
3%
4/7
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
11/8
5%
13/10
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/2
2%
10/21
Away 1st Goal
41%
8/5
9%
9/5
No 1st Goal
3%
16/112/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/6
5%
4/6
BTTS - No
46%
11/10
7%
11/10
BTTS - Home Win
27%
2/12/1
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1
5%
4/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
15/2
20%
13/2
Home/draw
81%
1/6
4%
1/6
Away/draw
41%
11/8
8%
13/10
Home/away
78%
1/5
2%
1/5
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/62/11
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/17/2
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
11/8
5%
7/5
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/7
2%
8/15
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
10/316/5
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/91/5
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/1
11%
13/2
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/12
1%
1/14
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/331/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/112/1
Home DNB
74%
2/9
8%
1/4
Away DNB
35%
3/1
19%
27/10
Monaco win to nil
31%
2/1
18%
-
Lorient win to nil
9%
10/1
9%
-
Monaco / Monaco
35%
11/8
9%
5/4
Monaco / Lorient
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
Monaco / Draw
6%
14/1
13%
12/1
Draw / Monaco
17%
7/2
6%
19/5
Draw / Lorient
8%
10/1
17%
9/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
Lorient / Monaco
4%
18/116/1
Lorient / Lorient
10%
8/1
21%
6/1
Lorient / Draw
5%
16/1
12%
12/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Monaco have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Monaco have outscored their opponents by 27 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Monaco have played 9 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Lorient are in 12th position in the Ligue 1 on 19 points having played 17 matches so far this season. Lorient are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Lorient have conceded 22 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1713131840 
l
 
1-4A
Feb 22
Mar 15
l
 
3-0A
2
PSG1712322239 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
May 3
3
Marseille1710251932 
Apr 5
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
l
 
4-0A
4
Lille1710251132 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-7A
Mar 8
5
Lyon17935830 
l
 
1-3A
Mar 22
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
6
Rennes17863530 
Jan 31
l
 
4-1A
w
 
4-0F
Jan 24
7
Strasbourg17737524 
w
 
3-2F
May 16
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
8
Toulouse17656223 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
9
Monaco17728-323 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Jan 16
10
Angers17647-222 
Mar 1
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
l
 
2-0A
11
Brest17647-422 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
d
 
3-3F
Feb 8
12
Lorient17476-919 
Jan 16
l
 
3-1A
-
-
13
Le Havre17467-818 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 24
May 16
d
 
1-1F
14
Nice17539-1018 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 8
w
 
3-1A
Feb 22
15
Paris FC17449-916 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 12
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
16
Nantes17359-1214 
Feb 15
w
 
3-5F
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
17
Auxerre173311-1312 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Mar 1
l
 
1-0A
18
Metz173311-2012 
w
 
5-2A
May 3
d
 
1-1A
May 9
Win / draw / win form
3
Monaco have lost 3 consecutive league games
10
Lorient have not won in 10 consecutive away league games
Monaco 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monaco1 - 3Lyon
Monaco1 - 0PSG
Monaco1 - 4Lens
Monaco0 - 1Paris FC
Monaco1 - 0Toulouse
Monaco2 - 2Nice
Monaco5 - 2Metz
Monaco3 - 2Strasbourg
Monaco3 - 1Le Havre
Monaco2 - 0Lyon
Monaco0 - 0Strasbourg
Monaco3 - 0Marseille
Monaco2 - 1Nice
Monaco3 - 0Reims
Monaco7 - 1Nantes
Monaco4 - 2Auxerre
Monaco3 - 2Rennes
Monaco2 - 4PSG
Monaco2 - 0Toulouse
Monaco3 - 2Brest
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonaco1 - 3Lyon
AMonaco0 - 1Marseille
AMonaco0 - 1Brest
HMonaco1 - 0PSG
AMonaco1 - 4Rennes
HMonaco1 - 4Lens
HMonaco0 - 1Paris FC
AMonaco5 - 3Nantes
HMonaco1 - 0Toulouse
AMonaco1 - 1Angers
HMonaco2 - 2Nice
AMonaco1 - 3Lorient
HMonaco5 - 2Metz
AMonaco2 - 1Auxerre
HMonaco3 - 2Strasbourg
AMonaco0 - 1Lille
HMonaco3 - 1Le Havre
AMonaco0 - 4Lens
HMonaco2 - 0Lyon
AMonaco3 - 1St Etienne
Lorient 12TH
20 league games
Away
10
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Strasbourg0 - 0Lorient
Nantes1 - 1Lorient
Lens3 - 0Lorient
Angers2 - 0Lorient
Paris FC2 - 0Lorient
Le Havre1 - 1Lorient
Marseille4 - 0Lorient
Auxerre1 - 0Lorient
Ajaccio2 - 1Lorient
Annecy0 - 0Lorient
Guingamp1 - 2Lorient
Grenoble1 - 2Lorient
Paris FC3 - 2Lorient
Troyes0 - 1Lorient
Red Star1 - 2Lorient
Dunkerque0 - 1Lorient
Lavallois2 - 0Lorient
Bastia0 - 0Lorient
Clermont2 - 1Lorient
Rodez3 - 3Lorient
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLorient1 - 1Metz
ALorient0 - 0Strasbourg
HLorient1 - 0Lyon
HLorient3 - 1Nice
ALorient1 - 1Nantes
HLorient1 - 1Toulouse
ALorient0 - 3Lens
HLorient1 - 1PSG
ALorient0 - 2Angers
HLorient3 - 3Brest
ALorient0 - 2Paris FC
HLorient3 - 1Monaco
ALorient1 - 1Le Havre
ALorient0 - 4Marseille
HLorient1 - 7Lille
HLorient4 - 0Rennes
ALorient0 - 1Auxerre
HLorient5 - 1Martigues
ALorient1 - 2Ajaccio
HLorient4 - 0Caen
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Monaco have not lost to Lorient in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Monaco since 2013
Monaco
Lorient
Goals: Scored
15
10
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
MCO
3
D
3
LOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monaco
Draw2 - 2Draw
Monaco3 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Monaco4 - 0
2 - 3Lorient
1 - 2Lorient
Monaco1 - 0
League games at Lorient since 2014
Lorient
Monaco
Goals: Scored
12
18
Games: Scored
6 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
3 / 9
MCO
4
D
3
LOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lorient
Lorient3 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
Lorient1 - 0
2 - 5Monaco
0 - 3Monaco
0 - 2Monaco
0 - 1Monaco
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics
Monaco 9th Lorient 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Monaco will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Lorient scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
Monaco have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Lorient have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
1.9
1
Attack rating
18%
better
MCO
LOR
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score4
6
Scored first7
7
Goals scored27
20
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for18
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
MCO
LOR
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
14
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded30
29
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
4
Conversion rate against18%
24%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%

Monaco v Lorient Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15536
M AklioucheA FatiK OuattaraT Kehrer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Teze DEF16
5
-
M Akliouche FWD1632
2
-
M Biereth  FWD162
-
T Minamino FWD1532
4
-
C Henrique DEF14
2
-
G Ilenikhena FWD132
-
F Balogun FWD1342
1
1
T Kehrer DEF12
4
2
M Salisu DEF121
3
-
M. Coulibaly MID1221
4
1
P Köhn GLK11
1
-
K Ouattara DEF113
2
-
A Golovin MID1121
1
-
A Fati FWD105
1
-
K Diatta FWD101
1
-
L Camara MID93
2
-
L Hradecky GLK8
-
Vanderson DEF82
3
-
C Mawissa DEF7
1
-
D Zakaria MID71
2
1
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID71
-
E Dier DEF61
-
A. Bamba MID5
1
-
P. Brunner FWD4
1
-
P Pogba MID3
-
L. Michal FWD2
-
Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16545
M TalbiP PagisK. KouassiL Abergel
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Soumano FWD1742
2
-
K. Kouassi DEF1614
2
-
M Talbi DEF16
1
-
T Bris MID1621
-
L Abergel MID161
5
-
A Avon MID161
3
-
K Dermane MID151
3
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD1512
3
-
Y Mvogo  GLK14
-
D Yongwa DEF14
2
1
J Makengo MID141
-
A Tosin  FWD143
1
-
P Pagis FWD145
1
-
J Mvuka FWD14
-
N Cadiou MID12
-
B Meïté DEF111
2
-
I Silva DEF81
1
-
A. Faye DEF7
5
-
B Dieng FWD511
1
-
B Kamara GLK3
-
N Adjei DEF3
-
P Katseris MID3
1
-