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Monaco v Nice : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 5th Oct, 16:15 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

Nice, led by manager Franck Haise, visit Adi Hutter and his Monaco side at the Stade Louis II on Sunday afternoon in the Ligue 1. Statistics drive the predictions below for all the markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

KickOff's prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Ligue 1 tie is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the fixture. As we don't have an obvious winner here given their latest form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point to on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
52%
17/2010/11
Draw
21%
14/53/1
Nice
26%
29/1013/5
Monaco 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
9%
7/113/2
Monaco 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Monaco 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
7%
10/19/1
Nice 2-1
6%
12/110/1
Monaco 3-1
6%
12/110/1
Monaco 3-0
5%
16/114/1
Nice 1-0
5%
16/112/1
Monaco 3-2
4%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
3%
18/114/1
Monaco 4-1
3%
22/118/1
Nice 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Nice 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Nice 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1/210/21
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
13/86/4
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/1313/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
6/513/10
No 1st Goal
2%
18/112/1
BTTS - Yes
65%
4/910/21
BTTS - No
35%
13/86/4
BTTS - Home Win
31%
21/102/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/317/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
9/217/4
Home/draw
74%
1/42/7
Away/draw
48%
10/1110/11
Home/away
79%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/71/7
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
9/24/1
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
6/523/20
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
4/613/20
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
11/45/2
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
2/72/7
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
11/25/1
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/91/10
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/401/66
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/114/1
Home DNB
67%
2/52/5
Away DNB
41%
7/417/10
Monaco win to nil
22%
3/1-
Nice win to nil
10%
8/1-
Monaco / Monaco
28%
15/89/5
Monaco / Nice
3%
25/122/1
Monaco / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Monaco
15%
9/24/1
Draw / Nice
10%
15/27/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/15/1
Nice / Monaco
4%
18/116/1
Nice / Nice
14%
5/19/2
Nice / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Nice
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG6501815 
Nov 30
Mar 8
Mar 22
Nov 1
2
Lyon6501515 
Jan 4
Mar 22
Oct 18
Feb 15
3
Marseille6402712 
Apr 5
Dec 14
Nov 23
Apr 26
4
Monaco6402412 
-
-
Feb 8
Oct 5
5
Strasbourg6402212 
w
 
3-2F
May 16
Jan 4
Apr 5
6
Lille6312410 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
Oct 29
Apr 19
7
Lens6312310 
Nov 8
Feb 22
May 3
Dec 14
8
Rennes6231-19 
Feb 1
Nov 23
Mar 8
Oct 26
9
Brest621307 
Mar 15
Dec 7
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
10
Toulouse6213-27 
Oct 25
Apr 26
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
11
Paris FC6213-37 
Nov 1
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
12
Nice6213-37 
Oct 5
Feb 8
-
-
13
Lorient6213-57 
Jan 18
l
 
3-1A
Feb 22
Nov 30
14
Auxerre6204-46 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
May 9
15
Le Havre6123-25 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 25
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
16
Nantes6123-25 
Feb 15
Oct 29
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
17
Angers6123-35 
Mar 1
Oct 18
Dec 7
Mar 15
18
Metz6024-82 
w
 
5-2A
May 3
May 16
Nov 9
Win / draw / win form
4
Monaco have won 4 consecutive home league games
3
Nice have lost 3 consecutive away league games
11
Monaco have not lost in 11 consecutive home league games
Monaco 4TH
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
Nice 12TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monaco since 2014
Monaco
Nice
Goals: Scored
16
11
Games: Scored
9 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
3 / 12
MCO
7
D
2
NIC
3
League games at Nice since 2013
Nice
Monaco
Goals: Scored
20
16
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
MCO
6
D
1
NIC
5
Goal Statistics

Nice have been abject at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. This run could continue, with Monaco's PG an impressive 2.0.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Nice of late. It has been 7 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Monaco.

Monaco 4th Nice 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Monaco will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Nice will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Monaco have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+14
Nice have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Nice
2
1.4
Attack rating
27%
better
MCO
NIC
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
2
Goals scored13
6
Avg. goals scored2.2
1
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal3
10
Conversion rate for30
11
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
MCO
NIC
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
3
Goals conceded7
9
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.4
KickOff rating
+3%

Monaco v Nice Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5332
T MinaminoA FatiL CamaraT Kehrer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Henrique DEF6
1
-
T Minamino FWD621
1
-
M Biereth  FWD61
-
E Dier DEF51
-
J Teze DEF5
1
-
L Camara MID53
1
-
G Ilenikhena FWD52
-
M Akliouche FWD521
1
-
P Köhn GLK4
-
C Mawissa DEF4
1
-
Vanderson DEF41
1
-
A. Bamba MID4
1
-
D Zakaria MID41
1
-
F Balogun FWD411
-
L Hradecky GLK3
-
T Kehrer DEF3
1
1
K Ouattara DEF3
1
-
M. Coulibaly MID3
1
-
A Golovin MID3
-
P. Brunner FWD3
1
-
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID21
-
A Fati FWD23
-
K Diatta FWD21
-
M Salisu DEF1
-
Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
Y DioufJ BogaH BoudaouiH Boudaoui
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Diouf GLK6
-
K Oppong DEF61
1
-
M Bard DEF6
1
-
H Boudaoui MID62
2
-
I Jansson FWD6
1
-
S Diop FWD61
2
-
J Boga FWD62
-
T Moffi FWD62
-
A. Juma Bah DEF5
2
-
J Clauss  DEF5
-
S Samed MID5
1
-
T Louchet MID52
-
A Mendy DEF4
1
-
M Sanson MID4
-
K Carlos FWD4
1
-
C Vanhoutte MID31
1
-
T Gouveia FWD2
-
B. Nguene FWD2
1
-
M Cho FWD21
-
M Bombito DEF1
-
Dante DEF1
-
A Abdi DEF1
-