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Monaco v Toulouse : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 25th Oct, 18:00 BST, Stade Louis II, Fontvieille

It's a long trek for Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse side on Saturday evening, as they head to the Stade Louis II for a Ligue 1 tie with Sébastien Pocognoli's Monaco. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Ligue 1 clash, with Monaco and Toulouse going head-to-head, offers great potential in the widely used 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Strikers for both will look to come out on the front foot and, having reviewed the relevant statistics and odds, we firmly believe that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monaco are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monaco
55%
7/10
3%
-
Draw
21%
16/5
3%
-
Toulouse
24%
31/10
9%
-
Monaco 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2-
Monaco 2-0
7%
17/2-
Monaco 1-0
7%
17/2
6%
-
Monaco 3-1
7%
12/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1-
Toulouse 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
-
Monaco 3-0
5%
14/1
15%
-
Toulouse 1-0
4%
14/1-
Monaco 3-2
4%
20/1-
Monaco 4-1
3%
22/1-
Draw 0-0
3%
16/1-
Toulouse 2-0
3%
22/1
12%
-
Toulouse 3-2
3%
28/1
15%
-
Toulouse 3-1
3%
28/1
15%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
13/10-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
4%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
64%
8/13-
BTTS - No
36%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
11/5
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2
7%
-
Home/draw
76%
2/9
3%
-
Away/draw
45%
11/10
5%
-
Home/away
79%
2/9
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
8/15-
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/14-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
14/1
12%
-
Home DNB
70%
1/3
2%
-
Away DNB
39%
9/4
4%
-
Monaco win to nil
23%
12/5
5%
-
Toulouse win to nil
9%
8/1-
Monaco / Monaco
31%
13/8
5%
-
Monaco / Toulouse
3%
28/1
15%
-
Monaco / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Monaco
16%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Toulouse
9%
17/2
5%
-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Toulouse / Monaco
4%
18/1-
Toulouse / Toulouse
12%
6/1
7%
-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Monaco
Toulouse
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG7511816 
Nov 29
Mar 8
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
2
Marseille75021015 
Apr 5
Dec 14
Mar 8
Nov 29
3
Strasbourg7502715 
w
 
3-2F
May 16
Dec 6
May 3
4
Lyon7502415 
Jan 4
Mar 22
May 9
w
 
1-2A
5
Monaco7412413 
-
-
Apr 26
Oct 25
6
Lens7412413 
Nov 8
Feb 22
Jan 4
Apr 19
7
Lille7322411 
May 9
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
8
Paris FC7313-110 
Nov 1
Apr 12
Feb 22
Dec 13
9
Toulouse7313-110 
Oct 25
Apr 26
-
-
10
Rennes7241-110 
Feb 1
Nov 22
Oct 29
Mar 1
11
Brest722308 
Mar 15
Dec 5
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
12
Nice7223-38 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 8
Jan 18
w
 
0-1F
13
Lorient7214-77 
Jan 18
l
 
3-1A
Mar 22
Nov 9
14
Auxerre7205-56 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
15
Le Havre7133-26 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 25
Nov 2
Feb 15
16
Nantes7133-26 
Feb 15
Oct 29
d
 
2-2A
May 16
17
Angers7124-85 
Mar 1
Oct 18
Nov 23
Feb 8
18
Metz7025-112 
w
 
5-2A
May 3
Oct 19
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
12
Monaco have not lost in 12 consecutive home league games
Monaco 5TH
20 league games
Home
12
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Toulouse 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monaco since 2013
Monaco
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
20
9
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
MCO
6
D
1
TOU
2
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Monaco
Goals: Scored
11
17
Games: Scored
7 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
3 / 10
MCO
5
D
4
TOU
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is decent for Monaco in their clash with Toulouse, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 26 consecutive Ligue 1 outings.

Monaco 5th Toulouse 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Monaco will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Monaco have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
+6
Toulouse’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Monaco
PG (predicted goals)
Toulouse
2.1
1.3
Attack rating
19%
better
MCO
TOU
view stats
Games scored4
4
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
3
Goals scored13
7
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game6
6
Avg. shots per goal3
6
Conversion rate for30
18
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
MCO
TOU
12%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
3
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded7
9
Avg. goals conceded1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
21%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+12%

Monaco v Toulouse Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Monaco Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6532
T MinaminoA FatiL CamaraT Kehrer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Henrique DEF7
1
-
T Minamino FWD721
1
-
M Biereth  FWD71
-
E Dier DEF61
-
J Teze DEF6
1
-
G Ilenikhena FWD62
-
M Akliouche FWD621
1
-
P Köhn GLK5
-
L Camara MID53
1
-
F Balogun FWD511
-
K Ouattara DEF4
1
-
Vanderson DEF41
1
-
C Mawissa DEF4
1
-
A. Bamba MID4
1
-
M. Coulibaly MID4
1
-
D Zakaria MID41
1
-
L Hradecky GLK3
-
T Kehrer DEF3
1
1
S. Idumbo Muzambo MID31
-
A Golovin MID3
-
K Diatta FWD31
-
A Fati FWD35
-
P. Brunner FWD3
1
-
M Salisu DEF2
1
-
Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7324
G. RestesF MagriA DönnumA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK7
2
-
D. Methalie DEF7
2
-
M McKenzie DEF7
2
-
D Sidibé DEF71
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF7
-
C Cresswell DEF71
1
-
W Kamanzi DEF7
-
M Sauer MID7
1
-
A Dönnum MID712
4
-
F Magri FWD73
1
-
Y Gboho FWD722
-
C Yepes MID6
1
-
S Hidalgo FWD62
1
-
N. Edjouma FWD5
-
A. Vossah MID411
1
A Francis MID4
1
-
Emersonn FWD32
-
S. Koumbassa DEF1
-
R. Messali MID1
-