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Nantes v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Oct, 19:45 BST, La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro welcomes Bruno Genesio to the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau on Sunday evening, as their Nantes and Lille charges go head to head in the Ligue 1. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Nantes and Lille will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. The bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of Lille coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
22%
7/2
25%
16/5
14%
Draw
23%
13/5
3%
13/5
3%
Lille
54%
4/5
10%
5/6
9%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Lille 1-0
10%
13/2
12%
11/2
13%
Lille 2-1
10%
15/213/2
6%
Lille 2-0
9%
15/2
15%
7/1
11%
Nantes 1-0
6%
12/1
8%
9/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
8/1
5%
Nantes 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Lille 3-1
6%
14/111/1
8%
Lille 3-0
5%
14/1
21%
11/1
20%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
18%
Nantes 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
13%
Lille 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
Lille 4-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Lille 4-0
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Nantes 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
10/11
6%
17/20
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
10/11
5%
17/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
42%
6/4
11%
8/5
8%
Away 1st Goal
54%
8/13
3%
8/13
5%
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
8/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/5
8%
4/5
6%
BTTS - No
46%
19/20
7%
10/11
7%
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/2
31%
6/1
17%
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
10%
18/5
6%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/413/5
3%
Home/draw
46%
19/20
8%
19/20
8%
Away/draw
78%
2/11
9%
2/9
5%
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
6%
12/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/5
7%
21/10
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/11
3%
1/3
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
9%
19/4
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
1%
1/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
10/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/33
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
8/1
Home DNB
39%
9/4
24%
2/1
15%
Away DNB
71%
1/3
8%
7/20
6%
Nantes win to nil
11%
7/1
14%
-
Lille win to nil
29%
2/1
20%
-
Nantes / Nantes
11%
13/2
36%
11/2
13%
Nantes / Lille
4%
22/1
10%
18/1
Nantes / Draw
6%
14/112/1
8%
Draw / Nantes
9%
8/1
13%
15/2
13%
Draw / Lille
17%
15/4
14%
18/5
4%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Lille / Nantes
3%
33/1
17%
25/1
Lille / Lille
28%
15/8
10%
9/5
10%
Lille / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG7511816 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
2
Marseille75021015 
May 3
Jan 4
Dec 5
Mar 22
3
Strasbourg7502715 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
Jan 25
Nov 9
4
Lyon7502415 
Feb 8
Nov 30
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
5
Monaco7412413 
Oct 29
Feb 15
w
 
1-0F
May 9
6
Lens7412413 
Dec 6
May 9
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
7
Lille7322411 
Oct 19
Mar 1
-
-
8
Paris FC7313-110 
Jan 18
Oct 24
Nov 23
Apr 26
9
Toulouse7313-110 
May 16
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
10
Rennes7241-110 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
Jan 4
Mar 15
11
Brest722308 
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
d
 
3-3F
12
Nice7223-38 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
Oct 29
13
Lorient7214-77 
Nov 23
Feb 1
Mar 8
w
 
1-7F
14
Auxerre7205-56 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
May 16
Dec 14
15
Le Havre7133-26 
Feb 22
Nov 8
May 3
Nov 30
16
Nantes7133-26 
-
-
Mar 1
Oct 19
17
Angers7124-85 
Mar 8
Dec 12
Nov 2
Feb 22
18
Metz7025-112 
Nov 2
Apr 5
Oct 26
Feb 8
Win / draw / win form
3
Nantes have drawn 3 consecutive league games
Nantes 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes2 - 2Rennes
Nantes1 - 0Auxerre
Nantes0 - 1PSG
Nantes3 - 0Montpellier
Nantes0 - 1Angers
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Nantes1 - 1PSG
Nantes1 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 1Strasbourg
Nantes3 - 1Lens
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Nantes1 - 1Lyon
Nantes2 - 2Monaco
Nantes1 - 0Rennes
Nantes0 - 2Le Havre
Nantes1 - 2Marseille
Nantes1 - 1Nice
Nantes2 - 2St Etienne
Nantes1 - 2Reims
Nantes2 - 0Auxerre
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANantes0 - 0Brest
ANantes2 - 2Toulouse
HNantes2 - 2Rennes
ANantes0 - 1Nice
HNantes1 - 0Auxerre
ANantes0 - 1Strasbourg
HNantes0 - 1PSG
HNantes3 - 0Montpellier
ANantes1 - 1Auxerre
HNantes0 - 1Angers
HNantes0 - 0Toulouse
HNantes1 - 1PSG
ANantes1 - 2Rennes
ANantes2 - 1Nice
ANantes2 - 3Le Havre
HNantes1 - 0Lille
HNantes0 - 1Strasbourg
ANantes0 - 2Marseille
HNantes3 - 1Lens
ANantes1 - 7Monaco
Lille 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lens3 - 0Lille
Lorient1 - 7Lille
Brest3 - 3Lille
Brest2 - 0Lille
Angers0 - 2Lille
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Lyon2 - 1Lille
Nantes1 - 0Lille
PSG4 - 1Lille
Rennes0 - 2Lille
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Auxerre0 - 0Lille
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Montpellier2 - 2Lille
Nice2 - 2Lille
Lens0 - 2Lille
Monaco0 - 0Lille
Le Havre0 - 3Lille
St Etienne1 - 0Lille
Reims0 - 2Lille
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLille1 - 1PSG
HLille0 - 1Lyon
ALille0 - 3Lens
HLille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille7 - 1Lorient
HLille1 - 0Monaco
ALille3 - 3Brest
HLille2 - 1Reims
ALille0 - 2Brest
HLille1 - 1Marseille
ALille2 - 0Angers
HLille3 - 1Auxerre
ALille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille1 - 2Lyon
HLille1 - 0Lens
ALille0 - 1Nantes
HLille1 - 0Montpellier
ALille1 - 4PSG
HLille2 - 1Monaco
ALille2 - 0Rennes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nantes since 2013
Nantes
Lille
Goals: Scored
8
17
Games: Scored
6 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
6 / 12
NAN
1
D
4
LIL
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nantes
Nantes1 - 0
1 - 2Lille
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Lille
0 - 2Lille
0 - 1Lille
2 - 3Lille
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Lille
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Lille
League games at Lille since 2014
Lille
Nantes
Goals: Scored
20
6
Games: Scored
10 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
2 / 12
NAN
1
D
3
LIL
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lille2 - 0
Lille2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Lille2 - 0
Lille2 - 1
Lille2 - 1
Lille3 - 0
Lille3 - 0
0 - 1Nantes
Lille2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Lille have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Nantes on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Nantes 16th Lille 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Lille will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Nantes have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
+12
Lille have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
NAN
LIL
61%
better
view stats
Games scored2
4
Failed to score3
1
Scored first1
3
Goals scored3
13
Avg. goals scored0.4
1.9
Avg. shots per game5
8
Avg. shots per goal11
4
Conversion rate for9
24
Avg. XG for0.7
2.1
KickOff rating
+61%
Defence rating
10%
better
NAN
LIL
view stats
Games conceded4
4
Clean sheets1
1
Conceded first4
2
Goals conceded5
8
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
5
Conversion rate against10%
19%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+10%

Nantes v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7113
A LopesL. LerouxM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK7
1
-
C Awaziem DEF7
3
-
K Amian DEF7
2
-
L. Leroux MID71
1
-
D. Assoumani MID7
-
M Abline FWD71
-
N Cozza DEF6
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
J Lepenant MID61
-
Y Benhattab FWD61
-
M Mohamed FWD61
1
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID5
-
A. Camara FWD5
-
Y Arabi FWD51
-
B. Guirassy FWD51
-
J Mwanga MID41
-
F Coquelin MID4
1
-
M. Lahdo FWD41
1
-
U Radakovic DEF1
-
B. Deuff MID1
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7232
N Ngoy M FernandezF CorreiaM Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Ngoy  DEF71
1
-
N Bentaleb MID71
1
-
F Correia FWD73
-
M Fernandez FWD721
2
-
B Özer GLK61
-
R Perraud DEF611
1
-
H Haraldsson MID62
-
O Giroud FWD62
1
-
A Mandi DEF5
2
-
B André MID51
2
-
N Mukau MID51
-
I. Hamza FWD521
1
-
O Sahraoui FWD511
-
Alexsandro DEF4
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID42
-
T Meunier DEF3
-
C Mbemba DEF2
1
-
C Verdonk DEF2
1
-
T Santos DEF2
-
M Broholm FWD2
-
A Bodart GLK1
-
O. Touré DEF1
-
U Raghouber MID1
-