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Nantes v Paris FC : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Jan, 16:15 BST, La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, Nantes

Sunday afternoon at the La Beaujoire-Louis-Fonteneau, and it’s a Ligue 1 showdown between Nantes and Paris FC. Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro and Stéphane Gilli will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. Below you'll find unique stats for every major market, from both teams to score to double chance, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come directly from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Nantes and Paris FC will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro or Stéphane Gilli has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.30 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Paris FC coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nantes
34%
21/10
20%
2/1
Draw
25%
11/523/10
Paris FC
41%
27/20
11%
11/8
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Paris FC 1-0
9%
7/1
6%
13/2
Paris FC 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
Nantes 1-0
8%
17/2
16%
7/1
Nantes 2-1
8%
10/1
18%
17/2
Paris FC 2-0
7%
10/1
9%
9/1
Draw 0-0
6%
17/215/2
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Nantes 2-0
5%
14/1
27%
12/1
Paris FC 3-1
4%
18/1
11%
14/1
Nantes 3-1
4%
25/1
12%
18/1
Paris FC 3-0
3%
20/1
10%
16/1
Paris FC 3-2
3%
28/1
10%
20/1
Nantes 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Nantes 3-0
2%
33/1
21%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1/11/1
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
4/53/4
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10
10%
23/20
Away 1st Goal
49%
5/6
5%
10/11
No 1st Goal
4%
17/215/2
BTTS - Yes
57%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
43%
1/119/20
BTTS - Home Win
17%
5/1
17%
9/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
15/4
9%
7/2
Home/draw
59%
4/7
10%
4/7
Away/draw
66%
4/11
5%
4/11
Home/away
75%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/3
2%
1/3
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
12/5
3%
11/5
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
5/2
7%
12/5
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
3/10
1%
2/7
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6/1
7%
11/2
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/10
1%
1/11
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
14/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/331/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
5%
15/2
Home DNB
52%
6/5
19%
11/10
Away DNB
58%
8/13
10%
4/6
Nantes win to nil
17%
9/2
18%
-
Paris FC win to nil
20%
3/1
13%
-
Nantes / Nantes
17%
4/1
20%
18/5
Nantes / Paris FC
3%
25/1
12%
20/1
Nantes / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Nantes
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
Draw / Paris FC
15%
9/2
9%
9/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Paris FC / Nantes
3%
28/1
17%
22/1
Paris FC / Paris FC
22%
11/4
9%
13/5
Paris FC / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Nantes have played 17 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Nantes have conceded 26 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nantes have played 8 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Paris FC lay in 15th place on 16 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 17 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 5 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Paris FC have conceded 5 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Paris FC have played 9 away games, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nantes
Paris FC
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1713131840 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
Feb 15
l
 
2-1A
2
PSG1712322239 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
May 16
l
 
2-1A
3
Marseille1710251932 
May 3
w
 
0-2F
Jan 31
l
 
5-2A
4
Lille1710251132 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 1
Apr 26
l
 
4-2F
5
Lyon17935830 
Feb 8
l
 
3-0A
d
 
3-3A
Mar 8
6
Rennes17863530 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
l
 
0-1A
May 9
7
Strasbourg17737524 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
Mar 15
8
Toulouse17656223 
May 16
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
9
Monaco17728-323 
l
 
3-5A
Feb 15
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
10
Angers17647-222 
Mar 8
l
 
4-1A
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
11
Brest17647-422 
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-2F
12
Lorient17476-919 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 31
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
13
Le Havre17467-818 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
14
Nice17539-1018 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
15
Paris FC17449-916 
Jan 18
w
 
1-2F
-
-
16
Nantes17359-1214 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Jan 18
17
Auxerre173311-1312 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Feb 8
18
Metz173311-2012 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 5
w
 
3-2A
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
6
Nantes have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
Nantes 17TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes1 - 2Lens
Nantes1 - 1Lorient
Nantes0 - 2Metz
Nantes3 - 5Monaco
Nantes0 - 2Lille
Nantes2 - 2Rennes
Nantes1 - 0Auxerre
Nantes0 - 1PSG
Nantes3 - 0Montpellier
Nantes0 - 1Angers
Nantes0 - 0Toulouse
Nantes1 - 1PSG
Nantes1 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 1Strasbourg
Nantes3 - 1Lens
Nantes0 - 2Brest
Nantes1 - 1Lyon
Nantes2 - 2Monaco
Nantes1 - 0Rennes
Nantes0 - 2Le Havre
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANantes2 - 0Marseille
ANantes1 - 4Angers
HNantes1 - 2Lens
ANantes0 - 3Lyon
HNantes1 - 1Lorient
ANantes1 - 1Le Havre
HNantes0 - 2Metz
HNantes3 - 5Monaco
ANantes2 - 1Paris FC
HNantes0 - 2Lille
ANantes0 - 0Brest
ANantes2 - 2Toulouse
HNantes2 - 2Rennes
ANantes0 - 1Nice
HNantes1 - 0Auxerre
ANantes0 - 1Strasbourg
HNantes0 - 1PSG
HNantes3 - 0Montpellier
ANantes1 - 1Auxerre
HNantes0 - 1Angers
Paris FC 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG2 - 1Paris FC
Le Havre0 - 0Paris FC
Lille4 - 2Paris FC
Monaco0 - 1Paris FC
Lens2 - 1Paris FC
Nice1 - 1Paris FC
Brest1 - 2Paris FC
Marseille5 - 2Paris FC
Angers1 - 0Paris FC
Martigues1 - 1Paris FC
Rodez1 - 1Paris FC
Grenoble1 - 2Paris FC
Lavallois3 - 0Paris FC
Annecy2 - 3Paris FC
Dunkerque1 - 0Paris FC
Guingamp0 - 1Paris FC
Metz3 - 1Paris FC
Lorient2 - 0Paris FC
Ajaccio0 - 2Paris FC
Pau0 - 0Paris FC
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AParis FC1 - 2PSG
HParis FC0 - 3Toulouse
AParis FC0 - 0Le Havre
HParis FC1 - 1Auxerre
AParis FC2 - 4Lille
HParis FC0 - 1Rennes
AParis FC1 - 0Monaco
HParis FC3 - 3Lyon
HParis FC1 - 2Nantes
AParis FC1 - 2Lens
HParis FC2 - 0Lorient
AParis FC1 - 1Nice
HParis FC2 - 3Strasbourg
AParis FC2 - 1Brest
HParis FC3 - 2Metz
AParis FC2 - 5Marseille
AParis FC0 - 1Angers
HParis FC2 - 0Ajaccio
AParis FC1 - 1Martigues
AParis FC1 - 1Rodez
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Nantes of late. It has been 6 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday afternoon against Paris FC.

Paris FC's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because Nantes have conceded in each of their last 9 Ligue 1 outings. A PG of 1.5 for S. Gilli's side suggests that run should continue.

Nantes 17th Paris FC 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Paris FC will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Nantes have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Paris FC have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Nantes
PG (predicted goals)
Paris FC
1.3
1.5
Attack rating
NAN
PAR
17%
better
view stats
Games scored10
13
Failed to score7
4
Scored first5
5
Goals scored16
22
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game7
9
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1
1.4
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
7%
better
NAN
PAR
view stats
Games conceded14
14
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first11
11
Goals conceded28
31
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
21%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+7%

Nantes v Paris FC Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17326
K AmianY ArabiM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Amian DEF171
2
-
M Abline FWD1722
3
-
A Lopes GLK16
2
-
C Awaziem DEF161
6
-
D. Assoumani MID15
2
-
Y Arabi FWD153
-
M Mohamed FWD152
1
-
B. Guirassy FWD1421
1
-
N Cozza DEF13
-
J Mwanga MID131
2
1
L. Leroux MID1311
1
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID12
2
-
J Lepenant MID111
1
-
Y Benhattab FWD101
-
B. Deuff MID9
-
A. Camara FWD9
-
M. Lahdo FWD811
1
-
F Centonze DEF72
1
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
F Coquelin MID5
1
-
U Radakovic DEF4
-
P Carlgren GLK2
-
S. Doucouré DEF1
-
Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16646
M MbowI KebbalI KebbalM López 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Mbow DEF16
2
-
M Simon FWD1632
-
J Krasso FWD1622
-
I Kebbal FWD1664
2
-
A. Camara MID151
4
-
M López  MID153
6
-
W Geubbels FWD153
-
T Smet DEF141
3
1
O Silva DEF14
5
1
V Marchetti MID132
1
-
S Chergui DEF121
1
-
O Nkambadio GLK11
-
P Lees-Melou MID1111
2
-
N. Sangui DEF10
-
A Gory FWD101
-
H Traoré DEF9
3
-
J Ikoné FWD9
1
-
M Cafaro FWD8
-
N Dicko FWD811
-
T Ollila DEF7
-
K Trapp GLK6
-
T Kolodziejczak DEF6
-
L Doucet MID51
2
-
J López FWD5
-
P Hamel FWD2
-