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Lyon v Lorient : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 19:45 BST, Groupama Stadium, Lyon

We’ve Ligue 1 action to enjoy on Sunday evening, as Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca and his Lyon side host Olivier Pantaloni’s Lorient at the Groupama Stadium. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a sound selection is shown below. Go between 17 markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Lyon and Lorient have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lyon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lyon
51%
7/10
2%
-
Draw
25%
13/5-
Lorient
24%
15/4
5%
-
Lyon 1-0
12%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
Lyon 2-0
9%
7/1-
Lyon 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
10/1
10%
-
Lorient 1-0
7%
12/1-
Lorient 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
-
Lyon 3-0
5%
12/1-
Lyon 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
-
Lorient 2-0
4%
22/1
12%
-
Lyon 3-2
3%
25/1-
Lyon 4-0
2%
28/1
12%
-
Lyon 4-1
2%
28/1-
Lorient 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
8/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
50%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
8/1
5%
-
Home/draw
76%
2/11
1%
-
Away/draw
49%
11/10
2%
-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
-
Home DNB
69%
2/7
3%
-
Away DNB
41%
5/2
7%
-
Lyon win to nil
29%
2/1
9%
-
Lorient win to nil
13%
7/1
11%
-
Lyon / Lyon
30%
7/4
5%
-
Lyon / Lorient
2%
33/1
17%
-
Lyon / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Lyon
18%
7/2-
Draw / Lorient
9%
17/2
5%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Lorient / Lyon
4%
20/1
9%
-
Lorient / Lorient
10%
7/1
6%
-
Lorient / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Lyon have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 5 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Lyon have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Lyon have played 13 games at home winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Lorient are in 10th position in the Ligue 1 on 37 points having played 27 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 4 and won 6. Lorient have conceded 21 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lyon
Lorient
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG2619343660 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
May 3
2
Lens2719263059 
May 16
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
3
Marseille2715481949 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
Apr 18
l
 
4-0A
4
Lyon2714581247 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
5
Lille271458847 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-7A
d
 
1-1A
6
Monaco271449946 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-3F
7
Rennes271287644 
May 3
l
 
3-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
8
Strasbourg2711791040 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
9
Toulouse2710710637 
l
 
1-2F
May 9
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Lorient279108-437 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
-
-
11
Brest2710611-536 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
12
Angers279513-1332 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
13
Paris FC2771010-1131 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
3-3F
Apr 5
l
 
2-0A
14
Le Havre276912-1327 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
May 16
d
 
1-1F
15
Nice277614-2027 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3A
16
Auxerre275715-1422 
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
17
Nantes264517-2117 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
18
Metz273519-3514 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-5F
d
 
1-1A
May 9
Win / draw / win form
Lyon 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
1
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Lorient 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lyon since 2014
Lyon
Lorient
Goals: Scored
13
10
Games: Scored
5 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
3 / 8
LYN
2
D
4
LOR
2
League games at Lorient since 2013
Lorient
Lyon
Goals: Scored
11
14
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
LYN
3
D
3
LOR
3
Goal Statistics

Lyon have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Ligue 1 outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Lorient on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Lyon 4th Lorient 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Lyon will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Lorient scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Lyon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Lorient’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Lyon
PG (predicted goals)
Lorient
1.6
1
Attack rating
%
better
LYN
LOR
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LYN
LOR
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Lyon v Lorient Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Lyon Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251067
C MataP SulcA MoreiraN Tagliafico
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Mata DEF25
5
-
M Niakhaté DEF252
3
-
T Tessmann MID251
2
-
C Tolisso MID2471
5
-
A Maitland-Niles DEF2313
5
1
T Morton MID2322
5
1
D Greif GLK221
-
P Sulc MID22103
2
-
A Moreira FWD2026
2
-
N Tagliafico DEF193
5
2
Abner DEF193
4
1
A Karabec MID191
3
-
K. Merah MID171
2
-
H Hateboer DEF13
1
R Kluivert DEF1112
2
-
M Satriano FWD1121
1
-
M. de Carvalho MID10
1
-
M Fofana FWD1021
1
-
R Ghezzal  FWD8
-
R Descamps GLK5
-
O Mangala MID5
-
E. Honoré Molébé FWD1
-
Lorient Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25867
M TalbiP PagisK. KouassiA. Faye
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Bris MID2622
-
S Soumano FWD2642
2
-
M Talbi DEF251
3
-
K. Kouassi DEF2526
3
-
K Dermane MID2512
3
-
Y Mvogo  GLK24
-
J Makengo MID2432
1
-
A Avon MID2411
3
-
L Abergel MID231
6
-
N Cadiou MID2111
1
-
P Pagis FWD2181
1
-
D Yongwa DEF201
3
1
B Meïté DEF203
3
-
A Tosin  FWD204
1
-
Mohamed Bamba FWD1812
3
-
J Mvuka MID15
-
B Dieng FWD1571
3
-
I Silva DEF141
1
-
A. Faye DEF10
7
-
N Adjei DEF9
-
P Katseris MID9
2
-
B Kamara GLK3
-