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Paris FC v Nantes : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 24th Oct, 19:45 BST, Stade Jean Bouin, Paris

Stéphane Gilli and Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro clash in the Ligue 1 on Friday evening, as Paris FC face Nantes at the Stade Jean Bouin. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during 90 mins. Both Paris FC and Nantes's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Paris FC are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Paris FC
57%
1.65-
Draw
22%
3.90
4%
-
Nantes
21%
5.00-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50-
Paris FC 1-0
10%
7.50-
Paris FC 2-1
10%
8.50-
Paris FC 2-0
10%
8.00-
Paris FC 3-1
6%
13.00-
Paris FC 3-0
6%
13.00-
Nantes 1-0
6%
15.00-
Nantes 2-1
5%
15.00
12%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
12.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00-
Paris FC 3-2
3%
23.00-
Nantes 2-0
3%
26.00-
Paris FC 4-1
3%
26.00-
Paris FC 4-0
3%
23.00-
Nantes 3-1
2%
41.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.80-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.00-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.53-
Away 1st Goal
42%
2.63-
No 1st Goal
3%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
55%
1.80-
BTTS - No
45%
1.95-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3.50-
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.00-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
9.00-
Home/draw
79%
1.17-
Away/draw
43%
2.20-
Home/away
78%
1.25-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.00-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.40-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12.00-
Home DNB
73%
1.25-
Away DNB
36%
3.75-
Paris FC win to nil
30%
2.75-
Nantes win to nil
10%
9.00-
Paris FC / Paris FC
32%
2.60-
Paris FC / Nantes
2%
34.00-
Paris FC / Draw
6%
15.00-
Draw / Paris FC
18%
4.50-
Draw / Nantes
8%
10.00-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00-
Nantes / Paris FC
4%
21.00-
Nantes / Nantes
10%
8.00
6%
-
Nantes / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table
Won
Draw
Lost
Paris FC
Nantes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG7511816 
May 16
Jan 4
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
2
Marseille75021015 
Feb 1
l
 
5-2A
May 3
Jan 4
3
Strasbourg7502715 
l
 
2-3A
Mar 15
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
4
Lyon7502415 
Oct 29
Mar 8
Feb 8
Nov 30
5
Monaco7412413 
Apr 12
Nov 1
Oct 29
Feb 15
6
Lens7412413 
Feb 15
Oct 19
Dec 6
May 9
7
Lille7322411 
Apr 26
Nov 23
Oct 19
Mar 1
8
Paris FC7313-110 
-
-
Jan 18
Oct 24
9
Toulouse7313-110 
Dec 13
Feb 22
May 16
d
 
2-2F
10
Rennes7241-110 
Nov 7
May 9
d
 
2-2A
Apr 26
11
Brest722308 
May 3
w
 
1-2F
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
12
Nice7223-38 
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
13
Lorient7214-77 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 5
Nov 23
Feb 1
14
Auxerre7205-56 
Nov 29
Feb 8
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
15
Le Havre7133-26 
Mar 22
Dec 7
Feb 22
Nov 8
16
Nantes7133-26 
Oct 24
Jan 18
-
-
17
Angers7124-85 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Mar 8
Dec 12
18
Metz7025-112 
w
 
3-2A
Apr 19
Nov 2
Apr 5
Win / draw / win form
6
Nantes have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Paris FC 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Paris FC2 - 0Lorient
Paris FC2 - 3Strasbourg
Paris FC3 - 2Metz
Paris FC2 - 0Ajaccio
Paris FC1 - 0Bastia
Paris FC2 - 0Clermont
Paris FC4 - 2Caen
Paris FC3 - 2Lorient
Paris FC1 - 0Troyes
Paris FC3 - 1Pau
Paris FC4 - 1Red Star
Paris FC1 - 0Amiens
Paris FC1 - 2Martigues
Paris FC0 - 0Annecy
Paris FC3 - 3Rodez
Paris FC2 - 1Grenoble
Paris FC1 - 0Lavallois
Paris FC2 - 0Guingamp
Paris FC1 - 2Metz
Paris FC3 - 2Dunkerque
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HParis FC2 - 0Lorient
AParis FC1 - 1Nice
HParis FC2 - 3Strasbourg
AParis FC2 - 1Brest
HParis FC3 - 2Metz
AParis FC2 - 5Marseille
AParis FC0 - 1Angers
HParis FC2 - 0Ajaccio
AParis FC1 - 1Martigues
AParis FC1 - 1Rodez
HParis FC1 - 0Bastia
AParis FC2 - 1Grenoble
HParis FC2 - 0Clermont
HParis FC4 - 2Caen
AParis FC0 - 3Lavallois
HParis FC3 - 2Lorient
AParis FC3 - 2Annecy
HParis FC1 - 0Troyes
AParis FC0 - 1Dunkerque
HParis FC3 - 1Pau
Nantes 16TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Brest0 - 0Nantes
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Nice1 - 0Nantes
Strasbourg1 - 0Nantes
Auxerre1 - 1Nantes
Rennes2 - 1Nantes
Nice1 - 2Nantes
Le Havre3 - 2Nantes
Marseille2 - 0Nantes
Monaco7 - 1Nantes
Reims1 - 2Nantes
St Etienne1 - 1Nantes
Lille1 - 1Nantes
Brest4 - 1Nantes
PSG1 - 1Nantes
Lens3 - 2Nantes
Strasbourg3 - 1Nantes
Lyon2 - 0Nantes
Angers1 - 1Nantes
Montpellier1 - 3Nantes
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANantes0 - 0Brest
ANantes2 - 2Toulouse
HNantes2 - 2Rennes
ANantes0 - 1Nice
HNantes1 - 0Auxerre
ANantes0 - 1Strasbourg
HNantes0 - 1PSG
HNantes3 - 0Montpellier
ANantes1 - 1Auxerre
HNantes0 - 1Angers
HNantes0 - 0Toulouse
HNantes1 - 1PSG
ANantes1 - 2Rennes
ANantes2 - 1Nice
ANantes2 - 3Le Havre
HNantes1 - 0Lille
HNantes0 - 1Strasbourg
ANantes0 - 2Marseille
HNantes3 - 1Lens
ANantes1 - 7Monaco
Goal Statistics

Paris FC have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Nantes on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Paris FC 8th Nantes 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Paris FC will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Nantes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Paris FC have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
-1
Nantes’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Paris FC
PG (predicted goals)
Nantes
1.9
1
Attack rating
43%
better
PAR
NAN
view stats
Games scored4
2
Failed to score1
3
Scored first1
1
Goals scored9
3
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.4
Avg. shots per game9
5
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for14
9
Avg. XG for1.6
0.7
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
PAR
NAN
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
4
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded12
5
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
10
Conversion rate against26%
10%
Avg. XG against2
1.5
KickOff rating
+43%

Paris FC v Nantes Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Paris FC Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7422
M MbowI KebbalM López M López 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N. Sangui DEF7
-
M Mbow DEF7
1
-
M López  MID72
2
-
M Simon FWD722
-
J Krasso FWD721
-
I Kebbal FWD742
-
O Nkambadio GLK6
-
S Chergui DEF6
-
A. Camara MID6
-
W Geubbels FWD61
-
O Silva DEF5
1
1
T Smet DEF5
-
P Lees-Melou MID5
1
-
V Marchetti MID41
1
-
N Dicko FWD411
-
M Cafaro FWD4
-
A Gory FWD41
-
H Traoré DEF3
-
J López FWD3
-
T Kolodziejczak DEF2
-
L Doucet MID2
1
-
J Ikoné FWD2
-
P Hamel FWD2
-
K Trapp GLK1
-
Nantes Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7113
A LopesL. LerouxM AblineC Awaziem
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lopes GLK7
1
-
C Awaziem DEF7
3
-
K Amian DEF7
2
-
D. Assoumani MID7
-
L. Leroux MID71
1
-
M Abline FWD71
-
N Cozza DEF6
-
H Hyun-seok MID6
-
J Lepenant MID61
-
Y Benhattab FWD61
-
M Mohamed FWD61
1
-
K Hyeok-Kyu MID5
-
B. Guirassy FWD51
-
A. Camara FWD5
-
Y Arabi FWD51
-
J Mwanga MID41
-
F Coquelin MID4
1
-
M. Lahdo FWD41
1
-
U Radakovic DEF1
-
B. Deuff MID1
-